RBFX Support

Silver (XAGUSD) price rises, climbing above 31.00 USD The XAGUSD price steadily rose after reversing from the support level near 30.00 USD. The trend is upward, and it is likely to continue. Our XAGUSD analysis for today, 17 October 2024, provides more details and insights. XAGUSD technical analysis XAGUSD quotes continue to rise gradually after receiving strong support from buyers in the price area near 30.00 USD and reversing upwards. Market participants now focus on an annual high of 32.95 USD. If the price surpasses this level, there is potential for growth to 35.00 USD. Silver (XAGUSD) quotes continue ascending within the uptrend, potentially reaching an all-time high of 32.95 USD in the short term. Read more - Silver Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

AUDUSD rises on positive employment data The AUDUSD rate remains above the EMA-200 line, thanks to the stable Australian economy. Discover more in our analysis for 17 October 2024. AUDUSD forecast: key trading points Analysts expect the RBA not to lower interest rates until the first half of next year The Australian economy added 64,100 jobs in September, well above the forecast of 25,000 Australia’s labour force participation rate increased to a record 67.2% in September AUDUSD forecast for 17 October 2024: 0.6645 Fundamental analysis The AUDUSD rate rose on Thursday after falling for three consecutive days. A robust employment report supported the Australian dollar, reinforcing the hawkish outlook for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s monetary policy. The data showed that the Australian economy added 64,100 jobs in September, significantly exceeding the forecast of 25,000, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.1%. The labour force participation rate increased to a record 67.2% in September, up from 67.1% in August and above analysts’ forecasts of 67.1%. The results indicate the labour market’s resilience, reducing the likelihood of an RBA interest rate cut in the coming months. Meanwhile, Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter warned that the central bank remains committed to controlling inflation amid steady price growth. According to analysts (given the strengthening labour market), the regulator will not lower interest rates until the first half of next year, which may support the Australian dollar as part of today’s AUDUSD forecast. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

EURUSD: New York manufacturing activity fell to its lowest level since May The EURUSD rate has been declining for the third consecutive trading session. More details are available in our analysis for 16 October 2024. EURUSD technical analysis The EURUSD H4 chart shows that the market has completed a downward wave towards 1.0881, extending the boundaries of the consolidation range around 1.0916. The price could rise to 1.0916 (testing from below) today, 16 October 2024. After reaching this level, the EURUSD rate is expected to plunge to 1.0833. The data on declining manufacturing activity in New York may deter further declines in the EURUSD rate. This week’s crucial economic reports, including US retail sales and industrial production, may determine the pair's future direction. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

USDJPY: BoJ’s uncertain stance and weak data put pressure on the yen The USDJPY rate rose slightly on Wednesday but remains below the resistance level. Find out more in our analysis for 16 October 2024. USDJPY forecast: key trading points Seiji Adachi’s speech did not significantly impact the volatility of the USDJPY pair According to the BoJ official, interest rate hikes should be gradual to avoid the risk of deflation Japan’s machinery orders fell by 1.9% in August USDJPY forecast for 16 October 2024: 150.22, 151.30, and 153.22 Fundamental analysis The USDJPY rate continues to test the 149.45 resistance level. However, buyers have yet to secure a position above it. The speech by BoJ official Seiji Adachi, which could have shed light on the BoJ’s future monetary policy moves, did not significantly impact the currency pair’s movements. In his speech, Adachi said that the interest rate should be raised gradually to avoid the risk of deflation. He noted that the Japanese economy has already created conditions for normalising monetary policy, but slowing global demand requires a thorough assessment. The regulator’s official also emphasised that it is necessary to maintain a loose financial policy until inflation reaches a stable level. Meanwhile, machinery orders in Japan decreased by 1.9% in August 2024, although analysts expected a 1.5% increase. This represents the fifth contraction this year. Orders declined by 3.4% year-on-year, significantly contrasting with the 8.7% growth in July. Therefore, this data within today’s USDJPY forecast may exert additional pressure on the yen. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

USDJPY under pressure: uncertainty about Japan and China intensifies The USDJPY rate is slightly declining after rising for two trading sessions. Find out more in our analysis for 15 October 2024. USDJPY technical analysis The USDJPY H4 chart shows the market has broken above the consolidation range at 149.30. A growth structure is expected to develop today, 15 October 2024, aiming for 150.20. After reaching this level, the USDJPY rate could decline to 149.30 (testing from above). The USDJPY rate remains under pressure amid uncertainty about the BoJ’s monetary policy and the yen’s weakness due to China’s fiscal stimulus package. Read more - USDJPY Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

EURUSD declines for the third consecutive week The EURUSD rate continues to edge down, falling below 1.0900. Discover more in our analysis for 15 October 2024. EURUSD forecast: key trading points Markets estimate the likelihood of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate cut in November at 86.8% The ECB is expected to lower the interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.25% EURUSD forecast for 15 October 2024: 1.0890 and 1.0850 Fundamental analysis The euro continues to trade under pressure from strong US labour market data as markets expect the Fed to reduce interest rates at a more measured pace. At its Thursday meeting, the ECB is expected to lower the interest rate from 3.50% to 3.25%. The projected rate cut pressures the European currency, pushing the EURUSD pair down. Today, the market will focus on the euro area Bank Lending Survey (BLS), industrial production growth rates, and the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index. Depending on the data released, volatility in the EURUSD pair may increase sharply. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

EURUSD under pressure: the Fed holds off on rate cuts The EURUSD rate is poised for another test of the EMA-200. Find out more in our analysis for 14 October 2024. EURUSD technical analysis The EURUSD H4 chart shows that the market has completed a growth wave, reaching 1.0953, and corrected towards 1.0926, forming the boundaries of a consolidation range around 1.0926. The market has broken below the 1.0926 level. The range could extend towards 1.0898 today, 14 October 2024. The EURUSD rate declines further amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold back from substantial interest rate cuts this year. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) continues its ascent, rising above 2,650 USD XAUUSD price has completed a downward correction and decisively reversed upwards. The price is expected to continue ascending and potentially hit a new all-time high of 2,685 USD. Discover more in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 14 October 2024. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: last week’s US inflation statistics came out roughly in line with forecasts Current trend: trading in an uptrend XAUUSD forecast for 14 October 2024: 2,630 and 2,685 Fundamental analysis XAUUSD quotes have completed a downward correction and reversed upwards in line with the trend, receiving active support from buyers at around 2,600 USD. Gold is in demand from global central banks and investors, with escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East adding to its appeal. Last week’s US inflation data, particularly the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI), roughly aligned with forecasts. The stock market responded to the released statistics with a rise, and gold also strengthened against the US dollar. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

NZDUSD rises, with the market recouping previous losses The NZDUSD pair is rising, and investors are buying the Kiwi at lows. Discover more in our analysis for 11 October 2024. NZDUSD technical analysis The NZDUSD H4 chart shows that the market has completed a downward wave, reaching 0.6051. A consolidation range has formed above this level. It is worth considering a breakout above the range towards the first target of 0.6138 today, 11 October 2024. The NZDUSD pair is poised for a recovery after a sell-off phase. Read more - NZDUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) reversed upwards from 2,600 USD XAUUSD price has completed a downward correction, with the chart showing an upward reversal. The market will focus on the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data. More details and insights are available in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 11 October 2024. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: market participants are awaiting today’s US inflation statistics, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) scheduled for release Current trend: the pair is trading in an uptrend USD forecast for 11 October 2024: 2,630 and 2,670 Fundamental analysis XAUUSD quotes have completed a downward correction, receiving active support from buyers near 2,600 USD. Gold continues to attract demand from global central banks and investors, with escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East adding to its appeal. Yesterday’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data broadly aligned with market expectations. The Producer Price Index (PPI) is due today. A weaker-than-expected reading could exert pressure on the USD and help strengthen gold. Conversely, a higher-than-expected figure would support the US dollar, potentially pushing XAUUSD prices lower. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

AUDUSD found temporary support near 0.6700 AUDUSD quotes have halted their decline and are attempting to reverse upwards after encountering demand from buyers near 0.6700. More details can be found in our analysis for 10 October 2024. AUDUSD technical analysis The AUDUSD H4 chart shows that the market is forming a consolidation range around 0.6735. The AUDUSD rate is expected to break below this range and reach the target level of 0.6682 today, 10 October 2024. The AUDUSD pair is still trading within a downward correction. Read more - AUDUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

EURUSD appears weak: US inflation data ahead The EURUSD pair declined markedly. The market believes in the US dollar’s “exceptionalism”. Discover more in our analysis for 10 October 2024. EURUSD forecast: key trading points The EURUSD pair fell to a low seen on 13 August The market increasingly favours the US dollar EURUSD forecast for 10 October 2024: 1.0905 Fundamental analysis The EURUSD rate is consolidating around 1.0943 on Thursday. This is the euro’s lowest level since 13 August. As they say on the stock market, investors were again drawn to the idea of the US currency’s “exceptionalism”. According to the latest US Federal Reserve meeting minutes released yesterday, the regulator remains focused on maintaining the health of the labour market. The US economy is growing strongly, providing solid support for the USD position. Interesting US inflation data for September will be released today. The weekly jobless claims report is also worth noting. The EURUSD forecast remains cautious for now. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

EURUSD hits a 2-month low: the US dollar regains favour The EURUSD pair continues to decline, with the market increasingly favouring the US dollar. Find out more in our analysis for 7 October 2024. EURUSD technical analysis The EURUSD H4 chart shows that the market has reached the downward wave’s local target of 1.0951. A correction towards 1.1037 (testing from below) is possible today, 7 October 2024. Subsequently, another decline in the EURUSD rate could follow, with 1.0946 as the first target. The EURUSD pair remains under intense pressure due to the growing market preference for the US dollar. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

USDJPY: the strong US labour market supports growth in the pair The USDJPY rate is approaching the 149.35 resistance level amid uncertainty regarding the BoJ policy. Discover more in our analysis for 7 October 2024. USDJPY forecast: key trading points The number of US jobs increased by 254,000 in September, marking the highest gain over the past six months The likelihood of a 50-basis-point Federal Reserve interest rate cut decreased to 4.3% Japan’s Leading Economic Index fell to its lowest level since October 2020 USDJPY forecast for 7 October 2024: 145.95, 144.30, and 142.68 Fundamental analysis The USDJPY rate has decreased significantly since last week’s surge. The yen came under pressure due to statements from Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba and Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa, who called for caution regarding further BoJ interest rate hikes, considering the current economic conditions. The additional weakening of the yen is caused by the strong US employment report released on Friday. The US economy added 254,000 jobs in September, showing the most substantial growth over the past six months and reducing market expectations of a potential significant interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve. The likelihood of a 50-basis-point cut in November decreased to 4.3%, while the odds of a softer 25-basis-point reduction increased to 95.7%. Such expectations in today’s USDJPY forecast may prompt buyers to break above the 149.35 resistance level. Japan’s Leading Economic Index, which evaluates the prospects for the months ahead, decreased to 106.7 points in August 2024 from 109.3 in July, reaching its lowest level since October 2020. Japan’s Coincident Index, which includes data such as production output, employment, and retail sales, dropped to 113.5 in August from 117.2 a month earlier, marking the lowest reading since February. Traders are currently focusing on the upcoming wage data in Japan, which may impact inflationary expectations and the BoJ’s monetary policy. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

NZDUSD weakens amid challenges in New Zealand’s economy NZDUSD has declined for the fourth consecutive trading session. A detailed analysis for 4 October 2024 provides insights into the key factors behind this movement. NZDUSD technical analysis On the H4 chart of the NZDUSD pair, the market has been on a wave of decline, hitting the level of 0.6207. The price action is close to reaching its calculated local target of the downward wave. As of 4 October 2024, consolidation is likely above the 0.6207 level. NZDUSD rate continues its downward trajectory, pressured by expectations of further monetary easing by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Read more - NZDUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

USDJPY halts growth as the market pauses for further developments USDJPY growth halted on Friday as the market paused and awaits further developments. More details and insights are available in our USDJPY analysis and forecast for today, 4 October 2024. USDJPY forecast: key trading points The USDJPY pair is consolidating The market paused following a 3% decline in the yen over the past week USDJPY forecast for 4 October 2024: 145.22 and 143.2 Fundamental analysis On Friday, the USDJPY rate reached a high of 146.27 before stabilising. The Japanese yen has slightly recovered after its sharp decline of over 3% against the US dollar, driven by a shift in the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy stance, which softened its outlook on interest rates. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba reiterated that current economic conditions do not justify a rate hike. Meanwhile, the yen faced additional pressure from the strong appreciation of the US dollar. Recent US economic data signals that the Federal Reserve may not reduce interest rates as aggressively as initially expected. The overall USDJPY forecast remains neutral as the market assesses these fundamental factors. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

AUDUSD analysis: the market remains cautious as AUDUSD continues to decline The AUDUSD is steadily moving away from its recent highs, with the strength of the US dollar applying consistent downward pressure on the Australian dollar (AUD). More details can be found in our AUDUSD analysis and forecast for 3 October 2024. AUDUSD technical analysis Regarding technical analysis, the H4 chart for the AUDUSD pair shows the first wave of decline targeting 0.6845. The price is consolidating around 0.6895 as of 3 October 2024, with an expected breakout to the downside towards the target level of 0.6845. AUDUSD is moving away from the 19-month high amid deteriorating external sentiment. Read more - AUDUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Silver (XAGUSD) corrects down from resistance at 32.30 USD The XAGUSD price failed to overcome the resistance at 32.30 USD yesterday and entered a downward correction. Tomorrow, market participants will focus on US labour market data. Read about it in our XAGUSD analysis for today, 3 October 2024. Silver forecast: key trading points Market focus: market participants are awaiting tomorrow’s US labour market statistics Current trend: a local correction is underway within the uptrend XAGUSD forecast for 3 October 2024: 32.30 and 31.00 Silver fundamental analysis Silver (XAGUSD) remains in a strong daily uptrend, fuelled by the US Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates by 0.50% during the September meeting. This cycle of rate cuts is weakening the US dollar, supporting both gold and silver prices. Market participants are closely watching US employment data for insights. The ADP report on Wednesday showed an increase of 143,000 jobs. However, Friday’s upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate figures will be crucial. A decline in employment could weigh on the USD and provide bullish momentum for silver. At the same time, stronger-than-expected job growth could support the USD, potentially triggering a deeper correction in XAGUSD. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

EURUSD declines sharply: Middle East tensions make investors nervous EURUSD is testing a four-week low. Investors are shying away from risk as tensions escalate. Read more in our detailed EURUSD forecast for 2 October 2024. EURUSD technical analysis On the H4 chart, the EURUSD rate has seen a strong downward impulse to the level of 1.1090. A consolidation range has formed around this level. A break below this range suggests the market could further develop a downside structure towards 1.0982 The EURUSD pair has fallen to a four-week low as market sentiment turns risk-averse. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Gold (XAUUSD) reverses down from resistance at 2,670 USD Gold (XAUUSD) experienced a reversal after attempting to break through the resistance at 2,670 USD. Today, market participants will shift their focus to the US labour market data from ADP, which could significantly impact the XAUUSD outlook. Read more in our analysis for today, 2 October 2024. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: market participants are awaiting today's Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) statistics on the US labour market, which will serve as a potential signal for the next moves in XAUUSD Current trend: a correction within the uptrend is underway XAUUSD forecast for 2 October 2024: 2,685 and 2,630 Fundamental analysis XAUUSD quotes are currently in a moderate downward correction after reaching an all-time high of 2,685 USD last week. Yesterday, XAUUSD prices surged due to heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Today's employment data from ADP is expected to reveal 120,000 new jobs. If the data falls below the forecast, it could pressure the USD and strengthen gold, signalling a bullish trend for XAUUSD. Conversely, if job growth exceeds expectations, it would bolster the US dollar, contributing to a bearish XAUUSD prediction and potentially signalling a decline in gold prices. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Brent crude oil declines moderately, falling below 72.00 USD Brent price failed to overcome the resistance level at 75.00 USD last week and turned downwards. The daily trend is downward, and the decline may continue - read about it in our Brent analysis for today, October 1, 2024. Brent technical analysis Brent oil completed its upward correction and reversed downward from the resistance level of 75.00 USD. Prices have since fallen to the 70.00 USD area, where temporary support from buyers was found. The daily trend remains bearish, suggesting further declines may occur. Brent quotes have formed a downward reversal from the 75.00 USD resistance level. Today’s API oil reserves data could significantly influence Brent’s price forecast. Read more - Brent Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

USDJPY develops upward momentum: the dollar has become the market favourite USDJPY remains on the upside. Powell and Ishiba supported the USD. Read more in our USDJPY analysis for 1 October 2024. USDJPY forecast: key trading points The USDJPY pair has been ‘in the plus’ for the second consecutive day Powell’s comments have reinforced support for the US dollar USDJPY forecast for 1 October 2024: 144.47 Fundamental analysis On 1 October 2024, the USDJPY rose to 144.29, marking the second session in a row with the yen declining against the dollar. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell provided support to the US dollar with his comments, signaling that a rapid reduction of interest rates in the US is not expected. Powell indicated that the Fed might opt for a 25 basis point rate cut in its two remaining meetings this year. The Fed has shifted its outlook from a ‘hard’ rate stance to a softer, more adaptable approach, leading the market to reevaluate its position. In Japan, political comments from Shigeru Ishiba, former defence minister, added pressure on the yen. Ishiba emphasised that Japan's fiscal policies should remain flexible, reflecting the nation's current economic conditions. The USDJPY outlook continues to favour the US dollar, and further gains are anticipated. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

GBPUSD analysis: growth continues amid uncertain prospects GBPUSD continues to grow, with the pound needing to break out of the sideways channel. Read more in our GBPUSD analysis and forecast for today, 30 September 2024. GBPUSD technical analysis On the H4 chart, GBPUSD continues to develop its growth structure within the ascending channel. GBPUSD has found support near the channel’s lower boundary at 1.3366, and the pair is now moving towards 1.3455. Today’s GBPUSD forecast suggests that this level should be reached, followed by a decline to 1.3380 (at minimum). GBPUSD is in an upward trend, though the rise is expected to be cautious. Read more - GBPUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

EURUSD rises amid US inflation slowdown The EURUSD rate is strengthening but remains at a strong resistance level of 1.1200. Read more in our analysis for 30 September 2024. EURUSD forecast: key trading points The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index rose by 0.1% in August, while the annual growth was 2.2% The Core PCE index increased by 0.1% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year in August Initial jobless claims fell to 218k, a 4-month low The likelihood of the Fed rate cut by 50 basis points decreased to 54%, and a cut by 25 basis points increased to 46% EURUSD forecast for 30 September 2024: 1.1222 Fundamental analysis EURUSD is slightly higher on Monday as the US dollar remained under pressure amid poor economic data reinforcing expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts. The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index increased 0.1% in August compared to July, while the annualised growth rate was the lowest since February 2021, at 2.2%, versus the forecasted 2.3%. The Core PCE (Core Personal Consumption Expenditures) price index, which does not include food and energy prices, also rose 0.1% in August from the previous month and increased by 2.7% annually. The Core PCE index is the Fed’s key indicator to assess inflation risks. At the same time, data on jobless claims demonstrated the labour market’s resilience. The number of initial applications for benefits decreased by 4,000 to 218,800, the lowest level for the last four months. Analysts had forecasted an increase to 223,400. Investors await the September US employment report for further signals about the Fed’s policy. The probability of a 50-basis-point interest rate cut at the next meeting fell to 54.0% from 60.3%, while the odds of a 25-point cut rose to 46.0% from 39.7%. Given the weakness of the US dollar and the regulator’s subsequent actions, today’s EURUSD forecast still holds potential for a breakthrough of the 1.1200 level. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

EURUSD analysis: the pair is poised to rise as the US dollar declines for 4 weeks in a row EURUSD is resuming its upward movement. The market is anticipating a significant easing of the Fed’s monetary policy in the future. Read more details in our analysis for 27 September 2024. EURUSD technical analysis On the H4 chart of EURUSD, the market received support at 1.1121. A growth wave to 1.1164 and a correction to 1.1125 have occurred. Today, 27 September 2024, the growth impulse to 1.1188 was realised. We expect the EURUSD to correct to 1.1155. EURUSD may continue to grow. For the US dollar, it would mark the fourth week of decline. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team