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CA: bearish on JPY vs. USD and EUR According to strategists at Credit Agricole, in the coming weeks the Japanese yen will fall further against the USD and EUR. In their view, risk appetite on the market will keep rising. "This is not only due to easing tensions as related to Syria. There is also scope for global growth expectations to adjust higher", analysts believe. What's more, the bank expects the BoJ to stay ready to ease policy further. http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/611

UBS: view on USD/JPY and USD/CHF Bullish on USD/JPY: Any downside should be limited as bullish conditions persist. Support is at 98.78 ahead of 97.64. Resistance is at 101.53 ahead of 103.74, indicating a bullish outlook. Chart. Daily USD/JPY Bearish on USD/CHF: Support at 0.9265, a breach of which would trigger a deeper sell-off to 0.9147. Resistance is at 0.9371 ahead of 0.9456. Chart. Daily USD/CHF http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/610

Trade signals from Danske Bank EUR/USD: Hold long from $1.3243 with a target of $1.3410 and a revised stop at $1.3250 USD/JPY: Hold long from 99.41 with a target of 101.05, stop revised to 98.95 GBP/USD: Buy at $1.5760 with a target of $1.5892 and a stop at $1.5710 USD/CHF: Hold short from 0.9359 with a target of 0.9264 and a stop at 0.9370 AUD/USD: Buy lower USD/CAD: Hold short from 1.0422 with a target of 1.0292 and a stop at 1.0390 http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/608

Key currency options Market prices tend to move towards the strike price at the time large vanilla options (ordinary put and call options) expire. It happens (all things equal) as each side of the deal seeks to hedge its risk exposure. This action is most noticeable ahead of 10 a.m. New York time when the majority of options expire (14:00 GMT). Here are the key options expiring today: EUR/USD: $1.3200, $1.3275, $1.3290; GBP/USD: $1.5785, $1.5800; USD/JPY: 98.00, 99.20, 99.50, 99.70, 99.95, 100.00, 100.50, 100.70, 101.00; USD/CHF: 0.9325, 0.9450, 0.9500 AUD/USD: $0.9200, $0.9205, $0.9330, $0.9345; EUR/GBP: 0.8400, 0.8410; GBP/CHF: 1.4700; AUD/JPY: 92.00, 93.50; GBP/JPY: 155.50. http://fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/482

Sep. 12: Asian session The greenback remained lower versus most of its major counterparts as traders speculated whether the US economy is strong enough for the Fed to consider a reduction in stimulus when they meet next week. EUR/USD is consolidating above the $1.3300 mark. As for the data releases, today we have the ECB monthly bulletin (8:00 GMT) and industrial production (9:00 GMT). The ECB president Mario Draghi will speak in Latvia around 11:40 GMT – market will pay special attention to his comments. GBP/USD is consolidating around the yesterday’s high of $1.5830 (highest level since February 2013). Great Britain will start the regular discussion on inflation at 9:00 GMT. USD/JPY closed below the 100.00 handle yesterday after testing 100.60, the highest level since July 22. Today US dollar slid to 99.50. Asian shares halted a 10-day advance and Japan’s machinery orders stagnated. USD/CHF slid yesterday by about 40 pips to 0.9300 and is now trading little changed in this area. AUD/USD slid from today’s high around $0.9350 to $0.9250. Aussie dropped after data showed the nation’s employers unexpectedly cut payrolls by 10.8K, while economists expected 0.2K. The nation’s unemployment rate rose to 5.8%. NZD/USD is trading on the upside for the fifth day in a row and has reached to $0.8150 today. New Zealand’s dollar climbed as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand signaled it may raise interest rates earlier than previously expected. USD/CAD has renewed a monthly low at 1.0305. http://fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/481

NZD/USD: all eyes on RBNZ The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will announce its interest rate decision today at 21:00 GMT. The central bank is expected to keep the benchmark rate unchanged at 2.5%. Last month the RBNZ governor Graeme Wheeler announced some tools which might let him keep interest rates lower for longer while reacting to the bubbling housing market without fuelling demand for what he calls an overvalued currency. Analysts at ASB Institutional think that Wheeler will talk NZD down. If, however, he doesn’t do that, NZD/USD may jump to $0.8200. NZD/USD has been steadily rising since the beginning of September. In the short-term kiwi is overbought. The pair closed above $0.8050 yesterday. Resistance is at $0.8100, $0.8137, $0.8162 and $0.8185. Support at $0.8050, $0.8005, $0.7990. График. H4 NZD/USD http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/606

FBS: sell USD/CHF The USD/CHF currency pair is trading in an upward trend this week. However, the rebound from the Monday’s low of 0.9300 remains capped at 0.9370. The pair entered the 4-hour bullish Ichimoku Cloud. FBS analysts maintain a long-term bullish view on the pair, but see a good short-term selling opportunity on a break below 0.9330 with a target of 0.9290. Such a bearish move could be triggered, for example, by a new wave of Syria woes. Rise above 0.9370 would be a bullish signal. Chart. H4 USD/CHF http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/607

FBS: EUR/JPY will test May high EUR/JPY rose by more than 100 pips yesterday and closed above the resistance line from May highs. Today euro reached the highest point since spring at 133.36 and then eased down a bit finding support around July highs at 132.70 which used to act as resistance before. After some retracement/consolidation euro will likely aim for 133.80. A bigger advance may start unfolding from here with the top of the monthly Ichimoku Cloud at 137.68 in focus. Support is at 132.74, 132.40, and 132.13/10 ahead of 131.50 (100-month MA) and 131.00. Chart. Daily EUR/USD http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/605

Trade signals from Danske Bank EUR/USD: Hold short from $1.3225 with a target of $1.3410 and a stop at $1.3187 USD/JPY: Hold long at 99.41 with a target of 101.05, stop revised to 99.95 GBP/USD: Buy at $1.5685 with a target of $1.5781 and a stop at $1.5625 USD/CHF: Short at 0.9359 with a target of 0.9289 and a stop at 0.9407 AUD/USD: Hold long at $0.9120 with a revised target of $0.9345, stop revised to $0.9189 USD/CAD: Hold short at 1.0422 with a target of 1.0292, stop revised to 1.0390 http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/601

Key currency options Market prices tend to move towards the strike price at the time large vanilla options (ordinary put and call options) expire. It happens (all things equal) as each side of the deal seeks to hedge its risk exposure. This action is most noticeable ahead of 10 a.m. New York time when the majority of options expire (14:00 GMT). Here are the key options expiring today: EUR/USD: 1.3100, 1.3215, 1.3250, 1.3350; GBP/USD: none; USD/JPY: 99.50, 99.60, 100.00, 100.10, 100.50, 101.10; USD/CHF: 0.9275; AUD/USD: 0.9200, 0.9285, 0.9300; USD/CAD: 1.0400; NZD/USD: 0.7950; EUR/GBP: 0.8400, 0.8405, 0.8420; EUR/CHF: 1.2310; EUR/JPY: 132.00; EUR/AUD: 1.4375. http://fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/474

Sep. 11: Asian session EUR/USD has once again failed to rise above $1.3280 and edged lower into the $1.3250 area. On the data front today there is only the German final CPI at 6:00 GMT. GBP/USD is trading slightly below the $1.5745/50 resistance area. Cable is waiting for a bunch of the UK employment data at 8:30 GMT. Claimant count change is expected to improve in August, but at a slower pace than in July. Unemployment rate is forecasted to stay at 7.8%. USD/JPY reached the 7-week high at 100.60 after US President Barack Obama called for a pause in authorizing military strikes on Syria as the market’s sentiment improved and demand for yen as a safe haven declined. USD/CHF is rising for the second day. Today the greenback’s trading at yesterday’s high in the 0.9365 area. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped by 0.2% after gaining 2.7% this week. AUD/USD rose on Tuesday to the top of the daily Ichimoku Cloud at $0.9318, the highest level since July, and is trading below this level at the moment of writing. NZD/USD closed yesterday above $0.8050. Today kiwi’s correcting down a bit, to $0.8040. The RBNZ will announce its interest rate decision at 21:00 GMT. USD/CAD recovered from the yesterday’s monthly low of 1.0345 to 1.0360 http://fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/473

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AUD/USD: Elliot wave analysis Weekly. The pair keeps forming the wave III of the downside impulse. Chart. Weekly AUD/USD Daily. We are witnessing formation of a corrective wave [4] in line with the forecast. One can’t tell precisely when this wave will be complete, but when it happens the pair will start forming the downside impulse wave [5] and Australian dollar will survive a big decline. Chart. Daily AUD/USD H8. Here’s the detailed marking of the wave [3]. The marking of the wave [4] isn’t final yet. It’s still hard to predict the form of the wave. We may be seeing the first smaller wave of the wave [4] which is taking the form of the flat A-B-C. Chart. H8 AUD/USD Roman Petuchov for FX Bazooka http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/594

USD/JPY: Elliot wave analysis Daily. We are witnessing the formation of the global corrective wave 2. The pair’s currently forming a corrective wave , which is taking the form of a narrowing horizontal triangle. Trading in a triangle is a very complicated thing, so it explains the many failures here. Chart. Daily USD/JPY H4. The pair has finished the wave (С) of and now is forming the descending wave (D). Until the wave is complete, it’s dangerous to trade this pair as the moves may be unpredictable. Chart. H4 USD/JPY H1. Here’s the detailed marking of the wave (С). The wave (D) will likely take form of a Zigzag. The pair has already started the first impulse of this Zigzag. Chart. H1 USD/JPY Roman Petuchov for FX Bazooka http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/593

GBP/USD: Elliot wave analysis Weekly. On the weekly chart there’s a global Zigzag A-B-C. The pair keeps forming the wave С which aims at the level 1.1 where the pair was last seen in 1985. Chart. Weekly GBP/USD Daily. The pair may have finished the upward corrective wave [iI]. So, in the near term we expect a decline in the wave [iII]. Chart. Daily GBP/USD H4. The pair has finished the wave 1 and 2 which are the first downside impulse waves inside a big impulse [iII]. In the near term we expect a decline in the wave 3 as it’s shown at the picture. Chart. H4 GBP/USD Roman Petuchov for FX Bazooka http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/592

EUR/USD: Elliot wave analysis W1. The pair has finished the global corrective wave B. We are now witnessing the formation of the corrective [2] which is taking form of a Zigzag. Chart. Weekly EUR/USD Daily. The (b) of [2] took form of a widening triangle. We are now witnessing the formation of the downside impulse wave © of [2]. Chart. Daily EUR/USD H4. The market has started forming corrective wave [4] which is likely to take form of a horizontal correction. After the wave [4] is complete there will be a decline in the wave [5]. When the wave 1 is complete expect a correction to the wave 1 (this will be the wave 2). The approximate trajectory is shown at the picture. Chart. H4 EUR/USD Roman Petuchov for FX Bazooka http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/591

Danske Bank: trade recommendations EUR/USD: Short at $1.3220 with a target of $1.3051 and a stop at $1.3225 USD/JPY: Buy at 99.41 with a target of 101.05 and a stop at 98.79 GBP/USD: Long at $1.5615 with a target of $1.5738 and a stop at $1.5550 USD/CHF: Look to buy at 0.9320/00 AUD/USD: Long at $0.9120 with a target of $0.9320 and a stop at $0.9063 USD/CAD: Short at 1.0422 with a target of 1.0292 and a stop at 1.0472 http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/590

EUR/USD's on the upside EUR/USD is trading on the upside. The pair approached the 55-day MA at $1.3188 after it levels just above $1.3100 on Friday, the lowest since July 19. As for the data releases, there’s only Sentix Investor Confidence at 8:30 GMT (forecast: -4.0; previous: -4.9) – further improvement in sentiment is anticipated. On Friday euro managed to strengthen due to lower-than-expected NFP data. Note though that EUR/USD still fell for the second week in a row on the ECB Draghi’s dovish stance. Resistance is at $1.3190, $1.3200, $1.3223 (Sep. 5 high) and $1.3250. Support is at $1.3145/40 (200-, 100-day MAs), $1.3105 (Sep. 5 low), $1.3089 (July 19 low) and $1.3050. Chart. H1 EUR/USD http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/464

Key currency options Market prices tend to move towards the strike price at the time large vanilla options (ordinary put and call options) expire. It happens (all things equal) as each side of the deal seeks to hedge its risk exposure. This action is most noticeable ahead of 10 a.m. New York time when the majority of options expire (14:00 GMT). Here are the key options expiring today: EUR/USD: $1.3050, $1.3120, $1.3250; GBP/USD: $1.5500, $1.5600; USD/JPY: 98.50, 98.60, 99.00, 99.50, 100.00, 101.00; AUD/USD: $0.9100; USD/CAD: 1.0475; EUR/JPY: 130.75; EUR/CHF: 1.2345; AUD/NZD: 1.1450. http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/463

Sep. 9: Asian session EUR/USD is consolidating in the $1.3160/80 range on Monday. On Friday euro managed to rebound from $1.3100, but as a whole the past week was once again negative for the pair. Cautious ECB’s view on the block’s economy and Fed tapering expectations keep pressuring the single currency. There are no important data releases scheduled for today. GBP/USD is trading a bit higher around $1.5640, but remains below the Friday’s peak at $1.5680. USD/JPY opened with more than a 60-pip gap up after it lost about 100 pips on Friday. Yen fell as Tokyo’s winning bid to host the 2020 Olympics boosted optimism in Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s package of fiscal and monetary policies which tend to debase the national currency. In addition, a report showed the nation’s economy expanded faster than initially estimated: GDP growth in Q2 was revised up from 0.6% to 0.9%. USD/CHF opened with a 10-pip gap up and is now consolidating around 0.9385. AUD/USD is trading just under $0.9200 after it tested $0.9167 earlier in Asia. Australian dollar remains close to a 3-week high as data showed China’s exports increased, boosting trade prospects. NZD/USD opened above $0.8000, but is now trading about 20 pips below this level. Kiwi’s correcting after it gained more than 100 pips on Friday. USD/CAD slipped back below the 1.0400 mark today. On Friday the pair formed a strong bearish candle with a low at 1.0380, but closed the day above 1.0400. On Friday US dollar weakened versus its counterparts as US non-farm payrolls came lower than expected and the market has priced in a solid reading. The Fed is still expected to start tapering QE this month though. http://fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/460

AUD/USD eased from highs AUD/USD has twice touched the $0.9190 resistance, but failed to break higher and has finally slipped to $0.9125. Aussie faced significant resistance at the lower border of the daily bearich Ichimoku Cloud. Resistance: $0.9190, $0.9200, $0.9220/30, $0.9250, $0.9275, $0.9300 Support: $0.9125, $0.9100, $0.9070, $0.9050 Chart. H1 AUD/USD http://fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/451

Trade signals from Danske Bank EUR/USD: Short at $1.3220 with a target of $1.3051 and a revised stop at $1.3261 USD/JPY: Long at 99.40 with a target of 101.54 and a stop at 98.50 GBP/USD: Possibly buy USD/CHF: Long at 0.9320 with a target of 0.9443 and a stop at 0.9280 AUD/USD: Long at 0.9120 with a target of 0.9320 and a stop at 0.9063 USD/CAD: Long at 1.0515 with a target of 1.0609 and a stop at 1.0469 http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/583

5 September 2013, 07:23 Key currency options Market prices tend to move towards the strike price at the time large vanilla options (ordinary put and call options) expire. It happens (all things equal) as each side of the deal seeks to hedge its risk exposure. This action is most noticeable ahead of 10 a.m. New York time when the majority of options expire (14:00 GMT). Here are the key options expiring today: EUR/USD: $1.3060, $1.3065, $1.3100, $1.3175, $1.3200, $1.3250; GBP/USD: $1.5450, $1.5500, $1.5700; USD/JPY: 98.50, 98.85, 98.90, 99.00, 99.40, 99.50, 99.65, 100.00, 100.50; AUD/USD: $0.9100; USD/CAD: 1.0545; EUR/JPY: 130.20 131.00; EUR/GBP: 0.8475; EUR/CHF: 1.2320 1.2360 1.2425; AUD/JPY: 90.00. http://fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/446

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