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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) trades near highs ahead of the Fed rate decision XAUUSD price remains near annual highs, awaiting the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Its announcement and the press conference of the Federal Reserve chair may give fresh momentum to the stock price. XAUUSD technical analysis The XAUUSD pair is trading within an uptrend on the daily chart, with the price currently hovering around 2,570 USD. After breaking above the sideways range last week, gold price is steadily rising, aiming for the target of the previously formed triangle pattern near 2,600 USD. Gold prices are rallying upwards, reaching the 2,590 USD level this week. Read more - XAUUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
USDCAD: markets expect a faster interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada The USDCAD rate is declining on Wednesday after rebounding from the crucial resistance level. Find out more in our analysis for 18 September 2024. USDCAD forecast: key trading points Inflation in Canada eased to 2.0% in August, the lowest in 3.5 years Inflation data supports the Bank of Canada governor’s statements that the pace of interest rate cuts may be accelerated Housing starts in Canada fell by 22.3% to 217,000 in August, marking the lowest reading since November 2023 USDCAD forecast for 18 September 2024: 1.3695 Fundamental analysis The USDCAD rate is influenced by inflation data as investors are confident in further monetary policy easing by the Bank of Canada. Inflation in Canada continued to slow, reaching 2.0% in August. This is the lowest reading in the past 3.5 years and is in line with the regulator’s forecasts, which expected inflation to ease to 2.5% in the second half of 2024. However, analysts believe inflation may rise again as the August slowdown is partially due to falling global fuel prices. This data reinforces statements by Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem about a potential acceleration of the pace of interest rate cuts amid concerns about the employment market and an expected fall in oil prices. The markets now anticipate a 50-basis-point interest rate cut, which may lead to sharp price fluctuations as part of the USDCAD forecast for today. However, high mortgage rates and rents continue to exert pressure on inflation, indicating ongoing challenges in the Canadian economy despite the overall inflation easing. This is further confirmed by the data on a sharp decrease in construction: housing starts fell by 22.3% to 217,000 in August 2024, the lowest since November 2023 and well below market expectations of 258,000. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
USDCHF declines: the US dollar is in a disadvantageous position The USDCHF pair continues to fall, with the Swiss franc benefiting from the weakness of the US dollar. Find out more in our analysis for 17 September 2024. USDCHF technical analysis The USDCHF H4 chart shows that the market has completed a growth wave, reaching 0.8549. A corrective structure has fully formed today, 17 September 2024, aiming for 0.8434. A consolidation range is currently developing above this level. The USDCHF pair remains under pressure until the end of the US Federal Reserve meeting. Read more - USDCHF Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
EURUSD: expectations for a 50-basis-point Fed interest rate cut are growing The EURUSD rate is correcting after declining for three consecutive sessions, with losses exceeding 1.19%. Discover more in our analysis for 17 September 2024. EURUSD forecast: key trading points The likelihood of a 50-basis-point Federal Reserve interest rate cut is 69%, while the odds of a 25-basis-point rate reduction is 31% Investors are awaiting data on US retail sales and industrial production today, which are projected to decrease slightly Some analysts believe the US economy continues to grow, which may support the US dollar EURUSD forecast for 17 September 2024: 1.1115 and 1.1026 Fundamental analysis The EURUSD rate continues to test the 1.1130 level, with the US dollar remaining under pressure as investors await the crucial Federal Reserve meeting, where interest rates are expected to be cut for the first time since 2020. The markets have already priced in a possible 25-basis-point Federal Reserve interest rate cut. However, expectations are rising for a more significant 50-basis-point cut. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the likelihood of this event currently stands at 69%, up from 59% a day ago. The odds of a more modest 25-basis-point cut are estimated at 31%. Today, investors are awaiting the release of US retail sales and industrial production data to better assess the state of the economy. Forecasts suggest a slight decrease in the figures. According to some analysts, the US economy continues to grow, outperforming most other countries; hence, the US currency is not expected to weaken sharply. Nevertheless, BNP Paribas experts believe the situation may change if the US economy begins to slow down. In case of a possible recession, the Federal Reserve will likely lower interest rates more aggressively than other central banks, which may weaken the US dollar and increase its vulnerability. As shown by Goldman Sachs research, the US dollar typically strengthens if rates are reduced amid economic growth. It is also noted that the US currency shows strong positions if the Federal Reserve cuts rates simultaneously with other central banks. In the current situation, several major central banks are cutting rates, which may positively impact the US dollar movements as part of today’s EURUSD forecast. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
EURUSD rose: the Fed must be decisive The EURUSD pair has been rising for the third consecutive trading day. Investors are awaiting a 50-basis-point Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Find out more in our analysis for 16 September 2024. EURUSD technical analysis The EURUSD H4 chart shows that the market is forming a consolidation range around 1.1086. The market extended the range down to 1.1073 and up to 1.1104. The price could decline to 1.1055 today, 16 September 2024. After reaching this level, it might rise to 1.1128. The EURUSD pair strengthened its position, with further volatility expected amid the September Federal Reserve meeting. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
GBPUSD continues to rise following a correction Improving UK house price index and US manufacturing index figures support the British pound. Discover more in our analysis for 16 September 2024. GBPUSD forecast: key trading points The Rightmove UK house price index (y/y): previously at -1.5%, currently at 0.8% NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (US): previously at -4.7 points, currently at -4.1 GBPUSD forecast for 16 September 2024: 1.3177 and 1.3199 Fundamental analysis A monthly change in the Rightmove UK year-over-year house price index was published on Monday, 16 September 2024. The indicator shows how much the average price of housing property for sale has changed. Figures above the forecast and previous data are a positive factor for the British pound. A weaker-than-expected reading reflects negative developments. The previous statistics came out below forecasts, while the current reading has now shifted to positive territory, reaching 0.8% and propelling the GBPUSD rate. The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index measures the development of the manufacturing sector in New York State. It is calculated based on a survey of 200 largest manufacturing enterprises. A reading above zero points to increased manufacturing activity, while the one below zero indicates a decline. Stronger-than-expected data may provide significant support to the US dollar. The forecast for 16 September 2024 suggests that the reading will remain in negative territory at -4.1, which is still negative for the US dollar. Fundamental analysis for 16 September 2024 does not provide arguments in favour of the US currency, so the pound sterling has every chance to continue its upward momentum after the correction. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is rising rapidly, reaching a new all-time high of 2,532 USD XAUUSD price exited a sideways range yesterday, subsequently surpassing an all-time high of 2,532 USD. Gold may continue its ascent. Find out more in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 13 September 2024. XAUUSD technical analysis The XAUUSD H4 chart shows a sideways price range, with boundaries at 2,532 USD and 2,470 USD. Following the release of US inflation data, gold prices rose and broke above the range’s upper boundary, indicating the potential for further upward movement. Gold prices are rising steadily, reaching an all-time high of 2,532 USD after the release of weaker-than-expected US inflation data. Read more - XAUUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
USDJPY at annual lows: this is not the end yet The USDJPY pair continues to fall. The Japanese yen has risen to new highs. Find out more in our analysis for 13 September 2024. USDJPY forecast: key trading points The USDJPY pair declines rapidly The yen receives support from the Bank of Japan’s hawkish statements USDJPY forecast for 13 September 2024: 139.70 and 137.77 Fundamental analysis The USDJPY rate fell to 140.99 on Friday, marking another annual low. This became possible due to the hawkish comments from a Bank of Japan member. Yesterday, Bank of Japan Policy Board member Naoki Tamura said that the regulator should raise short-term interest rates to 1.00% by fiscal 2026 to reach the inflation target of 2.00%. This is not the only strong statement in recent days. Junko Nakagawa has previously noted that the Bank of Japan is ready to hike interest rates further. This will be relevant if the economy and inflation align with forecasts. Rating agency Fitch revised its interest rate expectations. The borrowing cost is now projected at 0.50% by the end of 2024, 0.75% by the end of 2025, and 1.00% by the end of 2026. The yen has benefited from the global weakening of the US dollar. The USDJPY forecast suggests further sell-offs in the pair. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
AUDUSD is poised for growth, supported by global positive sentiment AUDUSD is strengthening for the second consecutive day, with the market favouring risk. Find out more in our analysis for 12 September 2024. AUDUSD technical analysis The AUDUSD H4 chart shows that the market has completed a downward wave, reaching 0.6622. A correction towards 0.6686 is expected today, 12 September 2024. Once the correction is complete, the AUDUSD rate is expected to decline to 0.6650. The AUDUSD pair is rising for the second consecutive day, supported by a growing risk appetite. Read more - AUDUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
EURUSD: rising US core inflation has almost ruled out a 50-basis-point Fed interest rate cut The EURUSD rate is slightly correcting following a decline caused by a rise in US inflation. Discover more in our analysis for 12 September 2024. EURUSD forecast: key trading points US core inflation unexpectedly rose by 0.3% in August from July, marking the highest reading in four months The likelihood of a 50-basis-point Federal Reserve interest rate cut at the next meeting is virtually ruled out, while the odds of a 25-basis-point cut (market expectations) are 87% The European Central Bank is expected to lower the key rate by 25 basis points today According to analysts, the EURUSD rate may fall to 1.0200 by the end of the year amid ECB monetary policy tightening EURUSD forecast for 12 September 2024: 1.0986 and 1.0950 Fundamental analysis US core inflation unexpectedly rose in August, driven by increased housing and travel prices. The core CPI, excluding food and energy costs, increased by 0.3% from July, marking the highest reading over the past four months. Headline inflation ran at 0.2% m/m and 2.5% y/y. This unexpected rise in inflation may prevent the Federal Reserve from lowering interest rates aggressively despite signs of a slowing employment market. The current inflation data changed market expectations, pushing the EURUSD rate slightly down. The likelihood of a 50-basis-point Federal Reserve interest rate cut at the upcoming meeting is now virtually ruled out. Instead, expectations of a 25-basis-point cut are estimated at 87%, while the odds of a more significant 50-basis-point reduction have dropped to 13%. The market has already priced everything in, although analysts had expected to get clarity on interest rate issues only by Friday. At the same time, the European Central Bank is expected to lower the key rate by 25 basis points today. This decision is due to the fact that inflation in the eurozone eased to 2.2% in August, wage growth slowed, and the GDP Q2 growth forecast was revised to 0.2%. According to analysts, the EURUSD rate may decline to 1.0200 by the end of the year amid ECB monetary policy tightening in response to the weakening economy. The current ECB meeting may directly impact today’s EURUSD forecast and become a significant catalyst for the currency market, showing that the regulator can cut rates faster than currently expected. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
EURUSD declined: US political debates and inflation report are ahead The EURUSD pair hovers at a four-week low on Wednesday. The market appears wary. Discover more in our analysis for 11 September 2024. EURUSD technical analysis On the EURUSD H4 chart, the market has completed a downward wave, reaching 1.1015. A correction towards 1.1046 (testing from below) is expected today, 11 September 2024. Once the correction is complete, the downward wave could develop to 1.1030. The EURUSD pair has declined markedly. The market has reduced its activity level as the news landscape is highly busy. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
USDCAD: the US dollar continues to strengthen The US consumer price index at last year’s level and the rest of the fundamental data package may further drive the USDCAD pair. Discover more in our analysis for 11 September 2024. USDCAD forecast: key trading points The Thomson Reuters/Ipsos primary consumer sentiment index in Canada (PCSI): previously at 50.06 The US consumer price index (m/m) for August: previously at 0.2%, projected at 0.2% The US consumer price index (y/y) for August: previously at 2.9%, projected at 2.5% USDCAD forecast for 11 September 2024: 1.3700 Fundamental analysis The primary consumer sentiment index is calculated by Thomson Reuters/Ipsos and measures consumer sentiment based on a target group survey. The index increased to 50.06 last month, indicating positive consumer sentiment. The forecast for 11 September 2024 may be disappointing for the Canadian dollar, with the USDCAD rate continuing its ascent after a correction. The expected fundamental news for the USDCAD pair may be called neutral. According to analytical forecasts, almost all data may be released in line with expectations or with minor deviations. There is a package of US news, including year-over-year and month-over-month consumer price indices for August. They reflect changes in consumer goods and services prices and are key indicators for the direction of purchases and US inflation. Readings below the forecast are considered negative for the US dollar, while those above are considered positive. The forecast suggests that the CPI index may remain flat at 0.2% month-over-month and slightly decrease to 2.5% year-over-year. Expectations that the estimates will align with actual data are so far low. An increase in indicators may further boost the USDCAD pair. Despite the news, the USDCAD forecast for 11 September 2024 appears positive for the US dollar as it may strengthen its position against the Canadian dollar. Actual data aligning with the forecast may also drive growth in the pair. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
USDCHF under pressure ahead of US inflation data The USDCHF rate is slightly correcting but remains within a descending channel. Discover more in our analysis for 10 September 2024. USDCHF technical analysis The USDCHF H4 chart shows that the market is forming a consolidation range around 0.8477. The price could break above the 0.8500 level today, 10 September 2024. Breaking above the 0.8500 mark may be considered a signal for a further upward movement, opening the potential for a growth wave towards 0.8555. The USDCHF currency pair is under pressure due to expectations of crucial US inflation data, which may impact the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates. Read more - USDCHF Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
USDJPY remains flat: the market is awaiting signals The USDJPY pair has halted its rise and is consolidating. Investors have a busy week ahead. Find out more in our analysis for 10 September 2024. USDJPY forecast: key trading points The USDJPY halted its ascent The market is still betting on a decisive monetary policy tightening by the Bank of Japan USDJPY forecast for 10 September 2024: 139.70 Fundamental analysis The USDJPY rate is hovering around 143.25 on Tuesday. Last week’s gains for the yen appear to be offset, with the US dollar regaining ground ahead of the release of crucial inflation statistics this week. The JPY rate rose by more than 3.00% over the past week, with the USDJPY pair falling to annual lows. This became possible due to expectations of future decisive steps by the Bank of Japan. In making a decision to raise interest rates before the end of the year, the BoJ could be supported by the continued growth of wages in the country and persistent inflationary pressure. It became known a little earlier that the Japanese economic growth rate slowed in Q2. The country’s GDP grew by 2.90% year-over-year, falling short of the preliminary estimate of 3.10%. The USDJPY forecast is still neutral. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
GBPUSD is in equilibrium: the US dollar came under pressure The GBPUSD pair has strengthened its position. The market is disappointed in the outlook following Friday’s US employment statistics. Find out more in our analysis for 9 September 2024. GBPUSD technical analysis The GBPUSD H4 chart shows that the market has completed a corrective wave, reaching 1.3237. Following the news, it declined to 1.3147 before rising to 1.3198. The GBPUSD rate is expected to fall to 1.3110 and form a consolidation range around this level today. Investors in the GBPUSD pair are preoccupied with assessing risks and monitoring the news landscape. Read more - GBPUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) remains in a sideways range; the market awaits US inflation statistics The XAUUSD price has been trading in a sideways range for three weeks; the direction of the price movement out of the range may determine the future trend. The market will focus on US inflation data this week. Find out more in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 9 September 2024. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: market participants are awaiting US inflation statistics this week Current trend: gold is consolidating within a sideways range XAUUSD forecast for 9 September 2024: 2,532 and 2,470 Fundamental analysis Friday’s US employment market statistics aligned with the forecasts, with nonfarm payrolls showing growth of 142,000 and the unemployment rate declining to 4.2%. US stock indices responded to this data with a fall, and gold also corrected downwards from its annual high of 2,532 USD to 2,500 USD. Market participants will focus on US inflation statistics this week, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) scheduled for release. A decline in inflation will exert pressure on the USD and help strengthen gold. Conversely, a rise in inflation will support the US dollar, potentially causing XAUUSD quotes to fall. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
USDJPY under pressure: the Japanese economy is recovering The USDJPY rate has been falling for the fourth consecutive trading session. Traders are awaiting the US employment report. Find out more in our analysis for 6 September 2024. USDJPY technical analysis The USDJPY H4 chart shows that the market is forming a new consolidation range around 143.43, extending it to 144.22 and down to 142.84. The price could break below the lower boundary of the range today, 6 September 2024. Weak US economic data continue to pressure the USDJPY rate, increasing the likelihood of a more aggressive Federal Reserve interest rate cut as early as this month. Read more - USDJPY Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
EURUSD rose: the market awaits US employment market statistics Supported by expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s policy, the EURUSD pair returned above 1.1100, rising for the third consecutive session. Find out more in our analysis for 6 September 2024. EURUSD forecast: key trading points The EURUSD pair has resumed steady growth Today, investors are awaiting the crucial US employment sector releases for August EURUSD forecast for 6 September 2024: 1.1133, 1.1026, and 1.0985 Fundamental analysis The EURUSD rate climbed to 1.1115. The first release of US employment market data for August surprised the market yesterday. ADP private sector jobs increased by only 99,000, missing the forecast of 144,000 and falling short of the previous increase of 122,000. While there is no direct correlation between these figures and nonfarm payrolls, the sentiment is clear: the employment market is losing jobs. This may prompt the US Federal Reserve to act even more swiftly than planned. In this context, today’s statistics are crucial, with the US unemployment rate report for August scheduled for release this evening. The main forecast suggests a decrease to 4.2% from 4.3%. Nonfarm payrolls could expand by 164,000 following previous growth of 114,000. However, statistics may bring surprises. The EURUSD forecast suggests an increase in volatility later this afternoon. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
AUDUSD is strengthening amid the Reserve Bank of Australia’s hawkish stance The AUDUSD rate is stabilising following a speech by the RBA’s chief. Find out more in our analysis for 5 September 2024. AUDUSD technical analysis The AUDUSD H4 chart shows that the market has corrected towards 0.6740. A decline to 0.6700 is expected today, 5 September 2024. A breakout below this level may signal further movement towards the first target of 0.6650. The AUDUSD rate still has the potential to strengthen thanks to stable foreign trade and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s tight monetary policy stance, even amid easing inflation. Read more - AUDUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
USDJPY heads down: demand for the yen has risen significantly The USDJPY pair is losing ground. The market favours the yen as a safe-haven asset. Discover more in our analysis for 5 September 2024. USDJPY forecast: key trading points The USDJPY pair fell to a two-month low Japan’s robust domestic statistics and weak US reports are supporting the yen USDJPY forecast for 5 September 2024: 141.46 Fundamental analysis The USDJPY rate halted its decline near the 143.69 level. The pair is hovering near a two-month low after an active two-day sell-off. The yen’s strength is now based on the latest statistics from Japan. Data showed that real wages in the country rose in July for the second consecutive month, adding 0.4% y/y. Overall cash earnings increased by 3.6%. This aligns with the Bank of Japan’s forecast for moderate economic growth rates. Additionally, such data supports expectations of wage increases, which will lead to higher overall inflation. In addition to domestic statistics, the yen benefitted from growing market demand for safe-haven assets following the release of relatively weak US statistics. The figures reminded investors of a potential recession in the US economy, which boosted demand for safe-haven assets. The USDJPY forecast suggests local growth in the yen. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
USDCAD rebounds from five-month low: declining oil prices may hurt Canada’s economy The USDCAD pair has been on an upward trend. The Canadian dollar is pressured by weak forecasts for commodity exports and currency inflows. Discover more in our analysis for 4 September 2024. USDCAD technical analysis The USDCAD H4 chart shows that the market has reached the downward wave’s local target of 1.3400. A correction is forming towards the 1.3570 level and is expected to be completed today, 4 September 2024. The USDCAD pair has strengthened its position. The market took advantage of worsening oil market conditions and supported the US dollar position. Read more - USDCAD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is under pressure but holds above the crucial support level XAUUSD price fell below 2,500 USD on Tuesday but stayed above the significant 2,470-2,480 USD support area. The market will focus on US employment data on Thursday and Friday. Find out more in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 4 September 2024. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: market participants await US employment statistics at the end of the week Current trend: although gold is trading within an uptrend, there are risks of a downward correction XAUUSD forecast for 4 September 2024: 2,532 and 2,470 Fundamental analysis XAUUSD quotes are trading within an uptrend, supported by the beginning of US Federal Reserve monetary policy easing. However, gold has yet to reach the all-time high of 2,532 USD, as it encounters active selling pressure near this level. The US employment market statistics due Thursday and Friday may influence future asset movements. Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) will publish employment data on Thursday, while nonfarm payrolls and the unemployment rate will be released on Friday. A decline in employment could weaken the USD and help strengthen gold. Conversely, job growth could support the US dollar and push XAUUSD into a downward correction. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
EURUSD analysis: EURUSD falls as market bets on ECB policy easing The EURUSD pair has experienced a decline for the third consecutive trading day, reflecting investor sentiment towards potential policy easing by the European Central Bank (ECB). With inflation trends supporting this outlook, market participants are increasingly expecting an ECB interest rate cut in September. EURUSD technical analysis The EURUSD H4 chart shows that the market has formed a consolidation range around 1.1050 and extended it to 1.1076. The price is expected to decline to 1.1050 and break below the range today, 3 September 2024, expanding the wave towards 1.1025 The EURUSD pair remains under significant selling pressure, with the market's focus on the upcoming ECB meeting. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
USDCHF: the US dollar awaits a chance to strengthen The release of Switzerland’s CPI and GDP data and the US PMI data may help the US dollar strengthen its position. Find out more in our analysis dated 3 September 2024. USDCHF forecast: key trading points Switzerland’s Consumer Price Index (m/m) for August: previously at -0.2%, projected at 0.1% Switzerland’s GDP (q/q): previously at 0.5%, projected at 0.5% US manufacturing PMI: previously at 49.6, projected at 48.0 USDCHF forecast for 3 September 2024: 0.8572 Fundamental analysis The Consumer Price Index reflects the dynamics of consumer prices for goods and services. Investors view a higher-than-expected reading as a positive factor for economic health, while a weaker-than-expected reading is considered negative. For August, Switzerland’s Consumer Price Index (m/m) is projected to return to positive territory. The previous reading was -0.2%, while a forecast for 3 September 2024 is optimistic, suggesting 0.1%. A stronger-than-expected actual CPI reading may strengthen the Swiss franc. GDP reflects the aggregate value of all goods and services produced in a country (only end products are considered, excluding the costs of raw materials). Switzerland releases quarterly GDP changes in percentage terms, demonstrating the economy’s comprehensive dynamics. Analysis for 3 September 2024 suggests that the GDP reading may remain flat at 0.5%, and the actual figure will show whether expectations are realised. An increase in the indicator may help strengthen the Swiss franc against the US dollar, while a decrease in GDP will drive further growth in the USDCHF rate. The US manufacturing PMI evaluates the activity of purchasing managers in the industrial sector, reflecting the state and the dynamics of industrial processes. According to a preliminary estimate, the index is expected to decrease to 48.0 points. Given that figures have been decreasing for the past several months, the actual reading in the current period may be equal to or below the projected value. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 315 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is below 2,500 USD, but the trend remains upward Despite XAUUSD's price falling below 2,500 USD on Monday, growth prospects remain. This week, market participants are closely watching the latest XAUUSD news, particularly focusing on US employment data, which is expected to significantly impact the XAUUSD outlook. XAUUSD technical analysis On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is trading within an ascending price channel just below 2,500 USD but above the upper boundary of the completed triangle pattern. Although XAUUSD has fallen below 2,500 USD, there is still potential for growth. This week, market participants will focus on the US employment market data, which could drive further gold price movements. Read more - XAUUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team