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XRP retains chances of reaching new local highs XRPUSD is undergoing a correction following a rise, but the price holding above key levels supports expectations of further growth. The price currently stands at 1.1076. XRPUSD forecast: key takeaways XRPUSD entered a moderate correction phase after a strong upward momentum Spot XRP ETFs in the US saw no net capital inflows for the first time in eight weeks The main reason for the pause in investment inflows was stronger resistance near 1.15 Fundamental analysis The XRPUSD rate moved into a moderate correction after the strong upward momentum formed a day earlier. Buyers tested the key resistance level near 1.1145 USD, where they encountered profit-taking, which triggered a local decline in prices. The fundamental backdrop remains mixed. For the week ending 13 July, spot XRP ETFs in the US did not record net capital inflows, breaking an eight-week series of steady investment, during which the funds attracted about 1.48 billion USD. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

EURUSD gets a boost as weak US inflation hits the dollar The US CPI, which came in below the previous figure, provided support for the euro. The EURUSD rate is testing the 1.1440 level. Technical outlook On the H4 chart, the EURUSD pair formed a Harami reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band. At this stage, the price may continue its upward wave following the signal received, with the upside target at the 1.1480 resistance level. Fundamental analysis for 15 July is favourable for the euro, as the USD has lost some of its support following a decline in US inflation. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Date: 15th July 2026. Markets are breathing a sigh of relief, but is the rally built to last? Asian stock markets moved higher on Wednesday after softer-than-expected US inflation data eased concerns that the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates again in the coming months. The positive inflation surprise sparked renewed demand for technology shares, lowered Treasury yields and improved investor sentiment across global markets. However, while lower inflation supported equities, rising oil prices and renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continued to remind investors that risks remain elevated. For traders, the current market environment presents an interesting balance between improving macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical uncertainty. US Inflation Eases Pressure on the Federal Reserve The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed annual US inflation slowing to 3.5%, below market expectations. Although inflation remains above the Federal Reserve's long-term target, the latest figures suggest price pressures may be moderating faster than anticipated. Immediately after the release, markets sharply reduced expectations of another Federal Reserve rate hike this month. Treasury yields declined, while equities responded positively as investors anticipated that borrowing costs could remain stable for longer. Lower interest rates generally support financial markets by reducing financing costs for businesses and increasing the attractiveness of growth-oriented investments. For forex traders, softer inflation also weighed on the US Dollar, allowing several major currencies to recover modestly against the greenback. Asian Stock Markets Follow Wall Street Higher The improvement in sentiment quickly spread across Asian stock markets. South Korea's Kospi recorded one of the strongest gains in the region as investors returned to semiconductor shares following recent volatility. Japan's Nikkei 225 also advanced, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng benefited from renewed buying interest in technology companies. Australia's ASX 200 posted moderate gains as investors balanced stronger global risk appetite against higher commodity prices. China offered a mixed picture. Although retail sales and industrial production exceeded forecasts, second-quarter GDP growth slowed to 4.3%, highlighting that the country's economic recovery remains uneven. For investors, China's slower growth remains an important factor because it influences global commodity demand, manufacturing activity and overall market sentiment. AI Stocks Lead the Recovery Technology stocks once again became the market's primary driver. The artificial intelligence sector rebounded after several sessions of profit-taking, with semiconductor companies leading gains. SK Hynix surged after renewed optimism surrounding memory chips used in AI infrastructure, while ASML strengthened sentiment by raising its annual sales forecast for the second time this year. In the United States, Nvidia and Micron Technology also recovered strongly, helping lift the Nasdaq and the broader technology sector. Despite recent volatility, investors continue to view artificial intelligence as one of the market's strongest long-term growth themes. Oil Prices Continue to Climb While inflation eased, oil markets remain under pressure from geopolitical developments. Brent crude continues trading above $85 per barrel, supported by renewed military tensions involving the United States and Iran. The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world's most important energy routes, with approximately one-fifth of global oil supplies passing through the region. Recent military activity and shipping disruptions have increased concerns over global energy supplies, keeping crude prices elevated. Although President Donald Trump withdrew a proposed transit fee for cargo passing through the Strait of Hormuz following discussions with Gulf allies, uncertainty surrounding regional security continues supporting higher energy prices. Higher oil prices remain one of the biggest upside risks for inflation during the second half of the year. Strong Bank Earnings Reflect Active Financial Markets Another positive development for investors came from Wall Street's largest banks. JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Citigroup all reported strong quarterly earnings, benefiting from increased trading activity, higher investment banking revenues and elevated market volatility. Much of this strength has been supported by continued investor enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence, which has driven capital raising, corporate activity and market participation throughout the year. However, if enthusiasm for AI were to slow significantly, financial institutions could also experience weaker investment banking revenues. What Should Traders Watch Next? Several events could determine market direction over the coming weeks. Investors will closely monitor: Federal Reserve commentary regarding future interest rates. Further US inflation releases. Corporate earnings from major technology companies. Oil price movements as tensions in the Middle East continue. Economic data from China for signs of stronger domestic demand. Each of these factors has the potential to influence equities, currencies and commodities simultaneously. Final Thoughts Asian stock markets have welcomed softer US inflation data, giving investors renewed confidence that the Federal Reserve may not need to tighten monetary policy further in the near term. Lower Treasury yields, renewed strength in AI-related technology stocks and solid corporate earnings have helped improve overall market sentiment. Nevertheless, elevated oil prices and ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to create uncertainty. Should energy prices continue rising, inflation could accelerate again, forcing markets to reassess expectations for future interest rates. For traders, this creates an environment where macroeconomic data and geopolitical developments are likely to remain equally important drivers of market volatility throughout the coming weeks. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

No fixed rule, because market conditions change. If I’m in a 70% winrate strategy and lose 3 in a row, that’s statistical noise. I keep 1%. If I’m testing a new setup and lose 2 in a row, I’m already down to 0.25%. My only fixed rule: Never increase risk after a loss. Reduction is discretionary: If I feel tilt, if news week is messy, if I took a loss breaking my rules then I cut size regardless of count. Drawdown is emotional. Protect the trader, not just the account.

Agree on the confluence part. Question for everyone: which pivot timeframe do you find most reliable? I stopped using daily pivots because of false breaks at London open. Weekly pivots and daily candle wick rejection has been cleaner for me on H4. What’s working for you guys in 2024-2025 with all the algo volatility?

[B]Date: 14th July 2026.[/B] [B]Oil Prices Jump: How US-Iran Tensions Could Impact Traders.[/B] Oil prices are back in focus after escalating US-Iran tensions reignited concerns over global energy supplies and inflation. Brent crude climbed above $85 per barrel, extending gains for a second consecutive session as markets reacted to renewed uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. At the same time, investors are preparing for key US inflation data, fresh comments from the Federal Reserve, and the start of the second-quarter earnings season. Together, these events could shape the direction of oil, gold, currencies, and stock markets over the coming days. For traders, this combination of geopolitical risk and macroeconomic data could create significant trading opportunities, but also increased volatility. Why Are Oil Prices Rising? The latest rally follows renewed tensions between the United States and Iran, with concerns that shipping through the Strait of Hormuz could once again face disruption. The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most important energy corridors, with around one-fifth of global oil supplies passing through it. Even the possibility of supply interruptions is enough to push oil prices higher as traders price in additional geopolitical risk. While no major supply shortages have been confirmed, uncertainty alone has been sufficient to support crude prices and increase volatility across global financial markets. Why the Strait of Hormuz Matters The Strait of Hormuz connects the Persian Gulf with the Arabian Sea and serves as a critical route for oil exports from several major producing nations. Any disruption to this shipping lane can have widespread consequences, including: Higher crude oil prices. Increased transportation and shipping costs. Rising inflationary pressures. Greater uncertainty across global financial markets. Historically, geopolitical tensions involving the Strait of Hormuz have often triggered sharp moves in energy markets, making it a key area for traders to monitor. Rising Oil Prices Could Fuel Inflation Again Higher oil prices don’t just affect the energy sector, they can influence the broader economy. As fuel and transportation costs rise, businesses often face higher operating expenses, which can eventually filter through to consumer prices. This is why oil is closely watched by central banks when assessing inflation risks. The latest increase in crude prices has already prompted markets to increase expectations that the Federal Reserve could tighten monetary policy further if inflation remains stubbornly high. That shift has pushed Treasury yields higher while adding pressure to growth-oriented assets such as technology stocks. US Inflation Data Could Be the Next Major Market Catalyst Attention now turns to the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Economists expect inflation to cool modestly compared with the previous month, but markets remain highly sensitive to any surprise. Three scenarios could shape market sentiment: Inflation Is Higher Than Expected Expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike increase. Treasury yields may continue climbing. The US Dollar could strengthen. Technology stocks and major equity indices may come under additional pressure. Oil could remain supported if inflation concerns intensify. Inflation Meets Expectations Market attention is likely to remain focused on geopolitical developments. Oil prices and Federal Reserve commentary may continue driving sentiment. Inflation Is Lower Than Expected Pressure on the Federal Reserve may ease. Treasury yields could decline. Equities may recover. Gold could benefit from improved risk sentiment and lower yields. Federal Reserve Expectations Are Shifting Markets have become increasingly convinced that another interest rate increase remains a possibility. Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials have reinforced the view that policymakers may need to keep borrowing costs elevated if inflation proves more persistent than expected. Higher interest rates generally strengthen the US Dollar while increasing borrowing costs for businesses and consumers. They also tend to weigh on growth sectors, particularly technology companies whose valuations depend heavily on future earnings. For traders, changes in interest rate expectations often generate volatility across forex, indices, commodities, and bond markets. Technology Stocks Face Fresh Pressure Artificial intelligence has been one of the biggest themes driving equity markets this year, but investors are becoming more selective. Recent weakness in semiconductor shares highlighted growing concerns that some AI-related valuations may have become stretched. Higher bond yields and rising interest rate expectations add further pressure because they reduce the present value of future earnings, making growth companies more vulnerable during tightening cycles. This could lead to larger price swings in the NASDAQ 100 and semiconductor stocks as earnings season begins. Gold Returns as a Safe-Haven Asset Gold rebounded after two consecutive days of losses as investors balanced two competing forces. On one hand, higher interest rates usually reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold. On the other hand, geopolitical uncertainty often boosts demand for safe-haven investments. If tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate, safe-haven buying could provide ongoing support for gold even if expectations for tighter monetary policy remain elevated. Markets Traders Should Watch This Week Several key markets are likely to remain particularly sensitive in the coming days: Brent Crude and WTI Oil - vulnerable to further geopolitical developments. US Dollar Index (DXY) - driven by inflation expectations and Federal Reserve policy. Gold – balancing safe-haven demand against higher bond yields. US Treasury Yields - especially the 2-year note, which closely reflects interest rate expectations. NASDAQ 100 and Semiconductor Stocks - sensitive to both earnings results and interest rate expectations. Energy Stocks - could continue benefiting if crude oil remains elevated. Risk Management During High Volatility This week combines several powerful market catalysts: Escalating US-Iran tensions. Higher oil prices. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Federal Reserve commentary. The beginning of earnings season. When multiple high-impact events occur within a short period, market volatility can increase rapidly. Rather than reacting to individual headlines, traders should focus on how these events interact. A stronger-than-expected inflation report alongside sustained gains in oil prices could reinforce expectations of tighter monetary policy, affecting currencies, commodities, and global equity indices simultaneously. Maintaining disciplined risk management, appropriate position sizing, and clearly defined trading plans becomes especially important during periods of heightened uncertainty. Bottom Line Escalating US-Iran tensions have once again placed oil markets at the centre of global investor attention. Brent crude has climbed above $85 per barrel, reviving concerns about inflation just as traders prepare for crucial US CPI data, Federal Reserve guidance, and the start of earnings season. For traders, the days ahead could bring significant opportunities across oil, gold, currencies, and stock indices. However, the combination of geopolitical developments and major economic releases also increases the potential for sharp price swings. Staying informed, monitoring key economic events, and managing risk carefully will be essential as markets navigate one of the most eventful weeks of the quarter. [B]Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.[/B] [B]Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.[/B] Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/hf/en/trading-tools/economic-calendar.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/en/trading-tools/trading-webinars.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to register for FREE! [URL='https://analysis.hfm.com/'][B]Click HERE to READ more Market news.[/B][/URL] [B]Andria Pichidi HFMarkets[/B] [B]Disclaimer:[/B] This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Brent rises on concerns over oil supply stability Brent prices maintain upward momentum amid rising geopolitical risks and an improving technical picture, currently standing at 83.26 USD. Technical outlook Brent quotes have confidently consolidated above the upper boundary of the descending channel, indicating a change in market sentiment in favour of buyers. Price consolidation above the EMA-65, which is now acting as dynamic support, further confirmed the strengthening upward momentum. Fundamental factors and the improving technical picture continue to support the uptrend in Brent. Read more - Brent Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

XAUUSD under pressure: oil, inflation, and the Fed unite against gold Ahead of US data, gold is attempting to regain ground, with XAUUSD prices testing the 4,030 USD level. XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways US Consumer Price Index (CPI): previously at 4.2%, projected at 3.8% The escalation of the conflict in the Strait of Hormuz is weighing on XAUUSD quotes The Federal Reserve may raise the interest rate in the near term Fundamental analysis The XAUUSD price forecast for today, 14 July 2026, shows that gold is forming a correction after declining and testing the 4,030 USD mark. Following a series of hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials, the market has increased the likelihood of an interest rate hike at the September meeting. Rising Treasury yields and a stronger dollar are reducing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding asset. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

My view

DE 40 forecast: the index enters a correction The DE 40 stock index entered a correction after reaching a new all-time high. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive. DE 40 forecast: key takeaways Recent data: Germany’s industrial production rose by 1.9% month-on-month in May Market impact: the data creates a moderately positive backdrop for the German stock market Fundamental analysis The publication of German industrial production data is a moderately positive signal for the DE 40 index. In May, the indicator rose by 0.9% compared to the previous month, significantly exceeding the forecast of 0.1%. Furthermore, output continued to rise following a revised increase of 0.2% in April. Since the DE 40 index includes the country’s largest publicly traded companies and represents the main part of German stock market capitalisation, improved macroeconomic indicators may support its price. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

BTC trapped: USD, oil, and the Fed are putting pressure on cryptocurrencies After another attempt to regain ground, the BTCUSD price is forming a correction and is hovering around 63,000 USD. Technical outlook On the H4 chart, BTCUSD formed a Shooting Star reversal pattern near the upper Bollinger Band. At this stage, quotes may continue the corrective wave as the signal plays out, with the downside target at the 61,730 support level. Today’s Bitcoin price forecast is not favourable for the cryptocurrency. Read more - BTCUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

My opinion: Don't look at specific dates, only the overall trend direction. Furthermore, a cycle only repeats 3-5 times, and the phase changes, so 1. You need to set two LBC: one with the latest price and one with a price some time ago, to find a common trend direction. 2. Set the FSM to 2-4, not too long This is a video posted by a forum member: hxxps://youtu.be/qFNpUuh-7EI This is one of his forum threads hxxps://www.forexfactory.com/thread/108462-planetary-cycles-trading-eurusd?page=740

My perspective is different on this, look for change in trend on these date instead of finding tops and bottoms. as far as trading is concerned still needs to figure out how to trade this , may be entry on breakout of high/ low of the day and keeping the dates low/ high as SL.. let’s observe couple of more dates.

Thanks Santosh. As can be seen, projection indicated a Top on 1 July but it happens to be a low. 1-2 days can be in tolerance but in the present case its off by 5 days which is a long time in trading/intra day trading. Like this only I lost money and confidence in the software! In any case, there are many people in their forum who swears by the software, I dont know how they make money or adjust to the wild variations. Posting the software for those confident people!

even a basic strategy needs precise rules for entry, exit and risk. Otherwise “strategy” just becomes a loose explanation added after the trade. Broker conditions matter too, but they can’t create an edge by themselves