roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[RBFX Support]

US Tech rises as expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike decline

The US Tech index maintains its upward momentum, supported by declining expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike. The price currently stands at 31,016.

US Tech forecast: key takeaways

• The yield on 30-year US Treasuries reached 5.618%, the highest level since 2000
• The US services PMI stood at 58.8

Fundamental analysis

The published services PMI data indicates that the US economy continues to expand at a strong pace. The actual reading came in at 58.8 points versus the forecast of 58.7 points and the same reading in the previous period. The index remains well above the 50-point threshold that separates expansion in economic activity from contraction. 

Yesterday, the US Treasury placed 30-year Treasury bonds worth a total of 22 billion USD. The auction yield reached 5.618%, the highest level since August 2000.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

[RBFX Support]

The Fed and US inflation will determine BTC's direction

Bitcoin is strengthening ahead of US inflation data, with the price currently hovering around 83,555.

BTCUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Investors are awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index on 14 October
• On 5 October, the CFTC proposed establishing a federal oversight framework for cryptocurrency trading platforms
• BTCUSD forecast for 12 October 2026: 85,300

Fundamental analysis

The Federal Reserve remains a key factor for Bitcoin. Investors are awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index on 14 October. An acceleration in inflation could reinforce expectations of further interest rate hikes and reduce the appeal of risk assets, including BTC.

Escalating tensions in the Middle East and attacks on energy infrastructure are making investors more cautious. Although Bitcoin is sometimes regarded as an alternative to traditional financial assets.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

[RBFX Support]

US 500: historically, quotes rise after midterm elections

Since 1950, the US 500 index has delivered an average return of 17.2% in the year following midterm elections, according to Silvia Insights experts.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• Investors are awaiting inflation data on 14 October
• The yield on 30-year US Treasuries fell to 5.62%
• US initial jobless claims came in at 197 thousand

Fundamental analysis

The US initial jobless claims data published on 8 October 2026 indicates that the US labour market remains resilient. The figure came in at 197 thousand claims versus a forecast of 200 thousand, down from the previous week's revised reading of 199 thousand.

The short-term impact of the release on the US 500 index can be assessed as neutral, bringing a moderately positive effect on corporate fundamentals, yet posing the risk of a negative price reaction driven by interest rate expectations.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team