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USDJPY falls below 144.00 amid rising inflation in Japan

The USDJPY rate has dropped below the 144.00 mark as inflation in Japan accelerates and investors anticipate a rate hike from the central bank in July. Find more details in our analysis for 30 May 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

  • Market focus: Japan’s Consumer Price Index rose by 3.6% year-on-year in May
  • Current trend: moving downwards
  • USDJPY forecast for 30 May 2025: 143.00 and 144.75

Fundamental analysis

The Japanese yen is strengthening as inflation increases. Tokyo’s Consumer Price Index rose by 3.6% year-on-year in May, up from 3.4% in April and surpassing the 3.5% market forecast. This marks the highest inflation reading in two years and boosts expectations that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates at its July meeting.

Today, market participants are awaiting US inflation data, with the core PCE price index due during the American session. Forecasts anticipate a 0.1% monthly rise and a 2.5% year-on-year increase. Higher-than-expected inflation could support the US dollar, while a weaker reading would likely strengthen the yen further.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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EURUSD starts the week steadily: all eyes on risk

The EURUSD pair is hovering around 1.1358 on Monday as investors assess risk levels at the start of a new week. Find out more in our analysis for 2 June 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

  • The EURUSD rate is edging up modestly as overall market sentiment remains weak
  • Concerns about deteriorating global trade relations re-emerge
  • EURUSD forecast for 2 June 2025: 1.1390 and 1.1424

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD pair is trading close to 1.1358 at the start of the week and the new month. Market sentiment has deteriorated due to renewed concerns over global trade tensions.

On Friday, Donald Trump said he might introduce 50% tariffs on steel and aluminium imports starting from 4 June. Meanwhile, US-China relations have worsened again as Beijing rejected Washington’s claims of breaching the temporary trade agreement. This has cast doubt on the likelihood of further trade talks between the two nations.

Still, negotiations could resume as early as this week.

Market focus now shifts to fresh US economic data, particularly Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls report for May.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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Oil on the verge of a breakout: Brent may test 66.50 USD today

A drop in US crude oil inventories may trigger a rise in Brent prices towards 66.50 USD. Find out more in our analysis for 3 June 2025.

Brent forecast: key trading points

  • Brent crude oil is forming a correction
  • Weekly US crude oil stockpiles (API): previously at -4.236 million barrels
  • Brent forecast for 3 June 2025: 63.50 and 66.50

Fundamental analysis

Fundamental analysis of Brent for today, 3 June 2025, takes into account that oil prices are moderately rising, reaching 65.00 USD per barrel. Key support factors include the weakening US dollar and geopolitical risks, such as tensions around Iran and supply disruptions from Canada due to wildfires.

Although OPEC+ decided to maintain the July output increase at 411,000 barrels per day, below market expectations, Brent quotes hit the 65.00 USD resistance level and are now entering a correction.

According to the American Petroleum Institute (API), US crude oil inventories fell by 4.236 million barrels last week. A further drop in stocks in the current reporting period could propel Brent prices towards 66.50 USD.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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