EURUSD surges above 1.1600 amid weakening dollar
The EURUSD rate is climbing rapidly, rising above 1.1600 amid a weakening US dollar and upbeat economic data from the eurozone. Find more details in our analysis for 25 June 2025.
EURUSD forecast: key trading points
Market focus: Germany's ifo Business Climate Index rose to 88.4 in June 2025
Current trend: upward trend persists
EURUSD forecast for 25 June 2025: 1.1577 and 1.1642
Fundamental analysis
The US dollar continues to weaken following the announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Continued oil supply from the Middle East has eased investor concerns over inflation and supports expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.
Germany’s ifo Business Climate Index climbed to 88.4 in June 2025, its highest level in nearly a year, up from 87.5 in May and slightly above forecasts of 88.2. The expectations component jumped to 90.7, the highest since April 2023.
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