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Date: 17th November 2025. The US Reopens. Central Banks Pause. What Happens Next? Global Markets Outlook: Uncertainty Persists as the US Reopens and Central Banks Hold Steady The US government is officially back in operation, but the shutdown has left a mark. Beyond the drag on fourth-quarter growth, the bigger issue now is the integrity of the economic data. Several key surveys were simply not conducted, meaning policymakers may be navigating with only partial visibility for weeks, possibly until 2026. This uncertainty could cloud the Federal Reserve’s view heading into the 9-10 December FOMC meeting. In the meantime, Fed hawks are taking the lead, arguing for a cautious, wait-and-see stance until the labour market and inflation picture becomes clearer. Elsewhere, central banks are signalling stability, not action. The ECB looks firmly on hold. The BoE’s flexibility is constrained by budget pressures. And in Japan, fiscal and political developments continue to shape the BoJ’s next steps. United States This week will finally bring a wave of US economic data back to the markets, with the delayed September nonfarm payrolls report on November 20 expected to attract the most attention. Yet how insightful these releases will be is another question entirely. The information is now outdated, and the October household employment survey may never be recovered. As a result, markets will be relying on older indicators to piece together the state of the economy. Construction spending, industrial production, factory orders, trade price data, and consumer sentiment will all come through, but the labour market will remain at the center of the debate. Policymakers want to see whether the slowdown in employment is significant enough to justify a rate cut. Hawkish commentary in recent weeks has already pushed expectations lower, with markets now assigning roughly even odds for a cut next month. Our expectation is for nonfarm payrolls to rise by around 40k, following modest gains in previous months. The unemployment rate is likely to hold steady at 4.3%, while wage growth should maintain a monthly pace of 0.3%, keeping the annual rate at 3.7%. Alternative indicators, from jobless claims to ISM employment components, suggest cooling rather than collapsing labour conditions. If data land in line with these expectations, it would strengthen the argument for holding rates steady. This week will also be dominated by a packed Fedspeak calendar. Key policymakers, including Jefferson, Waller, Williams, Kashkari, Barr, Barkin, Logan, and Goolsbee, will be delivering remarks across the week. Their commentary following the jobs report will be particularly important, especially for understanding the direction of the December meeting. The release of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday adds another layer to an already heavy calendar. Canada Canada will release October CPI and retail sales, both of which will be central to shaping expectations for the December 10 Bank of Canada meeting. The economy continues to soften under the weight of global trade pressures, tariffs, and a weakening job market. Inflation has eased, with headline CPI expected to remain slightly above 2% year-over-year, although core inflation is still hovering near 3%. This makes it difficult for the Bank to justify an additional cut without stronger evidence of cooling. Retail sales, which showed a solid increase in August before slipping in September’s advance estimate, will provide further clarity. For now, the odds of either a hold or a cut remain evenly balanced. Eurozone ECB officials continue to stress that current interest rates are appropriate, and upcoming data is unlikely to shift that stance. Markets will focus on the flash HCOB PMI reports, where manufacturing activity is expected to inch slightly above the 50 expansion threshold, while services remain comfortably in growth territory. This combination supports the ECB’s narrative of an economy that is not strong, but still resilient. Inflation should confirm the preliminary reading of 2.1% year-over-year, a figure that aligns closely with the ECB’s target. However, core inflation, and especially services inflation, remains elevated, reinforcing the view that rate cuts are not on the agenda anytime soon. Additional data from Germany, the Eurozone confidence surveys, and French business indicators will offer more insight but are unlikely to alter the overall picture. United Kingdom In the UK, fiscal concerns have re-emerged following reports that Chancellor Reeves abandoned plans to raise income taxes. The decision came after more optimistic debt projections from the OBR, but it has reignited concerns about how the government intends to address a remaining fiscal gap estimated at around GBP 20 billion. Markets reacted nervously, particularly on fears that this uncertainty could limit the Bank of England’s ability to cut rates in December. The November 26 budget will overshadow most other developments this week. Even so, the BoE will be watching the inflation report closely. CPI is expected to ease to 3.6% year-over-year, while core inflation should also decline slightly. Despite remaining above target, the downward trend gives the central bank some room to consider a cut, assuming the budget does not disrupt confidence further. PMI figures are expected to soften, with services activity dipping but still above 50, while manufacturing may slide deeper into contraction. Retail sales will likely reflect the same cautious spending behaviour seen in recent months, with households saving more and spending less. Japan Japan enters an important week with a flood of major economic reports, including GDP, CPI, trade data, production numbers, and machinery orders, arriving ahead of the December 18-19 BoJ meeting. While inflation is expected to remain near the 3% mark, GDP likely contracted sharply by around -2.0%, which supports the argument for keeping policy unchanged. Ongoing uncertainty around fiscal plans under the new Takaichi government adds another reason for a cautious approach. Apart from a few hawkish voices, most policymakers seem in no rush to tighten policy again in the near term. China China’s loan prime rate announcements are also due, although no changes are expected. The PBoC has resisted easing, keeping the one-year and five-year LPRs at 3.00% and 3.50% respectively, levels last trimmed in May. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Would be nice to know, can't tell when I get them.

one looks like something else added not sure what it is, the order flow one. But the 2 files of moneyball itself were from 2 different people?

from people using moneyball from dyno?

Apparently there is some AI-detected malware in there. Just 1 positive out of 70+. https://prnt.sc/dFqZgWNXzXPq

sorry no

Bump

@mmicro The files you uploaded, are they from Dyno Trading?

Anyone has the original files for the MaverickBearBull? Thanks

Please only post original files, not files that have been worked on by other people.

Not original files.. sorry can't

Traderbeauty The channel is closed, do you have the last ninja ver?

It's in the video, totally different money ball. But same confusing name from Quantvue!

He's responding in Telegram.

EURUSD declines: everyone awaits US data The EURUSD pair fell to 1.1594 as the market awaits a flood of key US statistics. Discover more in our analysis for 17 November 2025. EURUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: the EURUSD pair is correcting after last week’s active movements Current trend: the market awaits macroeconomic data delayed due to the US government shutdown EURUSD forecast for 17 November 2025: 1.1561 Fundamental analysis On Monday, the EURUSD rate is hovering around 1.1594 as the US dollar gradually recovers from last week’s losses. Investors are preparing for a large block of US data, the publication of which was postponed due to the government shutdown and will now be key to understanding the Federal Reserve’s next steps. The main event is the September labour market report, due on Thursday. In addition, the week will feature the S&P Global PMI figures, existing home sales data, the NAHB confidence index, and the ADP employment estimate. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

CAD under pressure – USDCAD gears up for a new surge The Canadian dollar remains under pressure, with USDCAD trading near 1.4030. Discover more in our analysis for 17 November 2025. USDCAD technical analysis On the H4 chart, the USDCAD pair has formed a Shooting Star reversal pattern near the upper Bollinger Band. The price may now develop a downward wave following this signal. Since the pair remains within an ascending channel, a decline towards the nearest support level at 1.3990 is possible. The Canadian dollar remains under pressure despite the Bank of Canada’s positive inflation outlook. Read more - USDCAD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Live classes, i think , are not shared anywhere. MJ last three books (on Astro Volume I to III) publications are rich in terms of its content for those who desires to explore this subject.

Thanks 🙂

@version=5.txt FIX.txt

Also hoping for this! @apmoo HELP 😃

Please can you copy the corrected code and put it in a text file?

just look for the emoji with sunglasses 😎 and replace with ....8)..... don't include the dots

This is the one from Quantvue. The one they are referring is from DynoTrading

Thats "moneyball" for Quantvue and not the one from Dyno Trading

https://drive.google.com/file/d/16CNICW6d9o9VzVEjC3nqUPTRxaDP13dc/view?usp=sharing