US 500 forecast: prices attempt to break above resistance and set a new all-time high
The US 500 continues to rise but has not yet managed to overcome the resistance level. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.
US 500 forecast: key trading points
Recent data: US Nonfarm Payrolls for August came in at 22 thousand
Market impact: for the US equity market, this has a rather positive effect in the medium term
Fundamental analysis
The latest US Nonfarm Payrolls data for August 2025 showed 22 thousand new jobs, well below the forecast of 75 thousand and significantly weaker than the previous 79 thousand. This result signals a slowdown in labour market dynamics, which has multiple implications for the US stock market.
From a macroeconomic perspective, such a weak reading indicates declining demand from employers and potential cooling of the economy. For the US 500, this can act as a double-edged factor. On the one hand, weakness in employment may increase concerns about the sustainability of economic growth. On the other hand, a softer labour market could strengthen expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a looser monetary policy than previously anticipated.
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