Page 8 of 11 FirstFirst ... 678910 ... LastLast
Results 71 to 80 of 103
  1. #71
    Silver Member Array
    Join Date
    Jul 2013
    Posts
    202
    Thanks
    1,397
    Thanked 101 Times in 59 Posts
    [QUOTE=kesk;461186]On work related visit outside ?
    i didn't get it

  2. #72
    Platinum Member Array johnbest's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Wonderland...
    Posts
    546
    Thanks
    150
    Thanked 1,453 Times in 234 Posts
    kesk,

    good work.

    Regards
    JB

  3. #73
    Gold Member Array
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Posts
    436
    Thanks
    120
    Thanked 463 Times in 154 Posts
    Just today only after a huge down-day, I wanted to check the correlation of the forecasts:

    1. VIX - On 17th, today, there was a slight upward indication - Good correlation

    2. Volatility indicator on NIFTY - Indicates a low day

    3. Nifty - Yesterday was supposed to be a low day, but turned out to be today.

    I am really not sure, whether the turning points are bankable ! Should I continue or stop posting these pictures.

  4. #74
    Silver Member Array
    Join Date
    Apr 2012
    Posts
    129
    Thanks
    89
    Thanked 20 Times in 17 Posts
    please continue your contribution..

  5. #75
    Platinum Member Array Unclepips's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Location
    Washington, DC, USA
    Posts
    955
    Thanks
    197
    Thanked 690 Times in 313 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by kesk View Post
    I attended the Larry Williams CMT program a few days ago where he commented that instead of using price & its derivatives, forecasting Volatility (fear & greed) can be a good idea and he demonstrated the same using Timingsolution. However, he did not disclose any parameter or technique in the webminar. I used the Volatility of the Close-PrevClose method (an indicator in TSA) to make a forecast.

    The past :

    [url=https://ibb.co/Pgq9T54][/url]


    The future:

    [url=https://ibb.co/GF7P4WK][/url]



    Being Volatility, I believe one should interpret the correlation as inverted. That is, Volatility high, market is low and vice versa.

    Next thing is forecasting using VIX data.
    Hi Kesk, I use RPO instead of the instrument itself in all of my forecast.

    https://i.imgur.com/p7PROBX.jpg


  6. The Following 3 Users Say Thank You to Unclepips For This Useful Post:


  7. #76
    Platinum Member Array Unclepips's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Location
    Washington, DC, USA
    Posts
    955
    Thanks
    197
    Thanked 690 Times in 313 Posts
    Ok- I finally ran astronomy composite with a target using RPO against itself. It produced good forecastability with 100% and 26-37% correlation. To me, it is pretty good. However, it gives a short up than my spectrum. Possible up for this astronomy only last for a few days, but spectrum indicates that it'll go until 10-02. If I trade VIX, I would buy long only from now till Sept. 19, and likely to sell short around 10/02 where everything conformed.

    https://i.imgur.com/LbN4Wfe.jpg


  8. The Following User Says Thank You to Unclepips For This Useful Post:


  9. #77
    Platinum Member Array Unclepips's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Location
    Washington, DC, USA
    Posts
    955
    Thanks
    197
    Thanked 690 Times in 313 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Unclepips View Post
    Ok- I finally ran astronomy composite with a target using RPO against itself. It produced good forecastability with 100% and 26-37% correlation. To me, it is pretty good. However, it gives a short up than my spectrum. Possible up for this astronomy only last for a few days, but spectrum indicates that it'll go until 10-02. If I trade VIX, I would buy long only from now till Sept. 19, and likely to sell short around 10/02 where everything conformed.

    https://i.imgur.com/LbN4Wfe.jpg

    CORRECTION: october 2 (10-02), not 01-02

  10. #78
    Gold Member Array
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Posts
    436
    Thanks
    120
    Thanked 463 Times in 154 Posts
    Hi Unclepips.

    Thanks for joining and adding to the thread, your contribution will be highly welcome and appreciated !

    Let me put some of my doubts/questions and I do hope you take time to answer them:

    1. The VIX data itself seems a bit different than mine. The candles are different. Please see the pic below


    VIX only
    [url=https://ibb.co/1zZfz2W][/url]

    2. When I ran the Astro setting with Jup-Ven-Helio, I got negative correlation. See pic below:

    Jup-Ven-Helio
    [url=https://ibb.co/SVbM8vn][/url]

    3. When I ran it with Jup-Ven-Geo, got positive correlation. Why is that?

    Jup-Ven-Geo
    [url=https://ibb.co/k8PTv6y][/url]

    I would make a request on behalf of Nifty followers to make your contribution to this thread for a better forecast and help us improve.

    Once again thanks for your participation.

  11. #79
    Gold Member Array
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    Posts
    436
    Thanks
    120
    Thanked 463 Times in 154 Posts
    Unclepips,

    Can you pls clear your inbox, its full !

  12. #80
    Platinum Member Array Unclepips's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2009
    Location
    Washington, DC, USA
    Posts
    955
    Thanks
    197
    Thanked 690 Times in 313 Posts
    hi,
    1. I use esignal data.
    2. I use roughly 10 years worth of data to run the calculation.
    3. you don't have to select geo or helio when you run it.
    4. all negative results imo cannot be used.

    Do the following:
    1. click on composite expert
    2. run WFA
    3. you'll get result here (it should select automatically)
    4. click "add selected cycle..." send it to composite box.

    https://i.imgur.com/cGmMjaN.jpg



    You should always use wavelet hunter to search if the cycle is still good to use.
    1
    Last edited by Unclepips; 09-17-2019 at 04:21 PM. Reason: just to add the link for clarity

  13. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Unclepips For This Useful Post:


Page 8 of 11 FirstFirst ... 678910 ... LastLast

Similar Threads

  1. Req: Latest update of Timingsolution Advanced or Terra
    By kesk in forum Trading Platform
    Replies: 39
    Last Post: 04-14-2019, 10:55 AM
  2. Replies: 134
    Last Post: 02-21-2019, 08:14 AM
  3. vertical 1st posts on every page???
    By winfx in forum Suggestions and Ideas
    Replies: 8
    Last Post: 05-06-2010, 06:39 AM
  4. surefire secret page
    By deadsoul in forum Trading Systems and Strategies
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 12-31-2009, 02:29 PM
  5. Profitable EA Link Page
    By hrdforex in forum MetaTrader Expert Advisors
    Replies: 9
    Last Post: 10-13-2009, 11:54 AM

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •