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Analysis of margin levels for October 20, 2026 XAUUSD

XAUUSD: SELL 4179.05-4178.00, TP1-4075.55, TP2-3912.55.

Long-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volumes for the current contract is located in the range with quotes 4133.00โ€“4183.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out within the specified range, which indicates temporary uncertainty.

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Medium-term trend: short. The maximum accumulation of volumes for the medium-term trend is located in the range with quotes 4155.00-4170.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being carried out below the specified range, which indicates seller strength.

The area of favorable prices for selling from the perspective of margin support is located between zones 1/4 and 1/2 built from the minimum of 14.10.2026.

Quote of the lower boundary of zone 1/4โ€“4127.25.

Quote of the lower boundary of zone 1/2โ€“4179.05.

Intraday targets: update of minimums from 14.10.2026โ€“4075.55.

Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of GWCZ-3912.55.

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Trading recommendations: sales from the range of favorable prices upon formation of a reversal pattern.

Sell: 4179.05-4178.00, Take Profit 1โ€“4075.55, Take Profit 2โ€“3912.55.

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Fundamental Market Analysis for October 21, 2026 EURUSD

EURUSD:

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Preparation of new security measures in France once again brings political risk to the forefront for the euro. Authorities intend to strengthen order maintenance ahead of further protests, while budget issues remain unresolved. For investors, this is a reason to be more cautious with European assets: tension complicates reform implementation and limits capital inflow into the single currency.

German statistics do not yet provide a sufficiently strong counterbalance. The October survey showed an improvement in the assessment of the current situation, but a deterioration in expectations, meaning economic recovery remains slow. Today, speeches by ECB representatives are important: a tougher stance on inflation could support the euro, but it does not eliminate French risks on its own.

The decline in US bond yields dampens demand for the dollar and limits the scale of a potential pair decline. At the same time, the expected Fed pause does not yet mean a rejection of further rate hikes. As long as French tensions persist, their influence allows for a moderate EURUSD decline even with weak dollar momentum; easing the crisis would change this scenario.

Trading idea: SELL 1.1225, SL 1.1250, TP 1.1175

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