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FreshForexTeamOriginal
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Elliott wave analysis of the market for August 20, 2026 BTCUSD BTCUSD: BUY 70000, SL 67500, TP 75000. Bitcoin has finally produced the strong directional move that had been anticipated for quite some time. The price surged higher, exactly as expected. This move is most likely driven by the beginning of Wave 3 of (iii). The upside potential is far from exhausted. In the near term, the price is likely to continue its strong advance toward the previously established target. However, 75,000 may not be the ultimate limit. If buyers gain further momentum, Bitcoin could potentially accelerate beyond 80,000, making the current setup particularly attractive for long positions. Therefore, previously opened long positions should continue to be held. Additional positions in the same direction may also be considered. Investment idea: BUY 70000, SL 67500, TP 75000.
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AI Has Arrived in MetaTrader 5: Trading Is Changing! MetaTrader 5 has received one of its biggest feature updates in recent years. The platform now integrates a full-fledged AI Assistant with support for the Model Context Protocol (MCP), allowing it to work directly with market data, the trading terminal, and MetaEditor. A subsequent update expanded the AI’s capabilities, enabling it to interact with chart indicators as well. Unlike a regular chatbot, the new assistant can independently break a task down into a sequence of actions and use MetaTrader 5 tools to complete it. According to MetaQuotes, in just three weeks after its launch, users processed more than 1 trillion tokens through the free MQL5 Lite model, highlighting strong interest in the new feature among traders and developers. What can AI now do in MetaTrader 5? Analyze the market. AI Assistant has access to quotes and charts and can assess the current market situation for an instrument, analyze price history, open positions, and completed trades. The assistant can identify risky positions and generate analytical reports. Work with charts. Following the Build 6090 update, AI gained the ability to add indicators directly to charts, as well as access a list of available indicators and their parameters. This makes it possible to use natural language for more advanced technical analysis. Create trading robots. In MetaEditor, the assistant can write an MQL5 program based on a text description, identify errors in existing code, make changes, compile the program, and check the result. In other words, AI can now assist not only with individual code fragments but also with entire projects. Connect external AI systems. Thanks to MCP, MetaTrader 5 can connect compatible solutions, including OpenAI Codex and Claude Code. Users can also use their own API keys for OpenAI, Anthropic, Gemini, DeepSeek, Ollama, and other providers. The developers have paid particular attention to controlling trading operations. Users can completely prohibit AI from executing such actions, allow them, or require mandatory manual confirmation. This means the final decision on a trade remains with the trader. How to use the new functionality: Use the desktop version of MT5 Build 6090 on Windows 10/11. Go to Help → About and check the build number. You need at least Build 6060, while Build 6090 or newer is recommended. The assistant is disabled on Windows 7. Log in to your MQL5.community account via Tools → Options → Community. This is a separate account and is not the same as your trading account login. Go to Tools → Options → AI Assistant. For market analysis, simply open AI Assistant in the terminal and enter a request in natural language, for example: “Analyze EURUSD on H1, identify the trend and the nearest support and resistance levels.” The assistant can also analyze open positions, trade history, and instruments available in Market Watch. Use the new MetaTrader 5 capabilities in your trading! The updated platform offers a more advanced set of tools for market analysis, algorithmic trading, and working with AI.
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Analysis of margin levels for August 18, 2026 XAUUSD #NQ100: BUY 29695.0-29972.5, TP1-30250.0, TP2-30995.2. Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only. Long-term trend: bearish. The largest concentration of volume in the current contract is located within the 29600.0–29850.0 range. At present, trading activity in #NQ100 is taking place within this range, indicating temporary uncertainty. Medium-term trend: bullish. The largest concentration of medium-term volume is located within the 29572.0–29708.0 range. At present, trading activity in #NQ100 is taking place above this range, indicating buyer strength. From a margin requirements perspective, the favorable buying area is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones drawn from the high of 17.08.2026. The upper boundary of the 1/4 zone is 29972.5. The upper boundary of the 1/2 zone is 29695.0. Intraday targets: a retest of the highs from 17.08.2026 at 30250.0. Medium-term targets: a test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ at 30995.2. Investment recommendations: consider buying from the favorable price range if a reversal pattern forms. Buy: 29695.0-29972.5, Take Profit 1-30250.0, Take Profit 2-30995.2.
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Market Fundamental Analysis for August 17, 2026 GBPUSD GBPUSD: Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only. The pound enters Monday with support from the latest UK economic data. June GDP grew more strongly than expected, while previously released business activity indicators pointed to an improvement in the services sector. This reduces concerns about a sharp slowdown in the UK economy and allows the market to maintain a more resilient assessment of the British currency’s outlook. At the same time, the US dollar lost some support after an unexpected decline in US retail sales and more moderate inflation readings. The probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September has fallen noticeably, while UK short-term interest rates remain elevated. For GBPUSD, this combination reduces pressure from the interest rate differential and supports demand for the pound. The main constraint is the approach of important UK inflation and labor market data, which could change expectations for Bank of England policy. The upside potential therefore does not appear one-sided. Nevertheless, there is currently no strong local factor weighing on the pound, while the softer US dollar impulse coincides with resilience in the UK economy. If these conditions persist, the bias remains toward a moderate rise in GBPUSD. Trading idea: BUY 1.3540, SL 1.3505, TP 1.3620
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AI Drives #NQ100 Higher Again: NVIDIA and Micron Lead the Sector The U.S. technology sector received fresh support from artificial intelligence-related companies. On August 12, the Nasdaq gained around 0.5%, although the index remains approximately 0.4% below last Friday’s closing level since the beginning of the current week. At the same time, the Nasdaq rose 5.2% last week, highlighting continued strong interest in the technology sector. NVIDIA and Micron were at the center of attention. NVIDIA (#NVDIA) shares rose by around 3%, while Micron (#Micron) gained nearly 5%. Investors are increasing their positions in chipmakers again amid sustained demand for data-center equipment and artificial intelligence infrastructure. Key Drivers of Technology Sector Growth: AI demand remains strong. Major technology companies continue to increase spending on data centers and computing capacity. This supports expectations for further growth in NVIDIA processor sales and demand for Micron server memory. Investors are returning to semiconductor stocks. After the recent correction, chipmakers are once again attracting buyers. The market is becoming more selective, but companies directly benefiting from the expansion of AI infrastructure remain among investors’ favorites. Lower pressure from the Fed. Softer U.S. inflation data reduced the likelihood of a rate hike in September. Lower rate expectations traditionally support high-valued technology stocks and increase demand for #NQ100. According to FreshForex analysts, the base-case scenario for #NQ100 remains further growth. Demand for AI infrastructure remains strong, while the lower probability of another Fed rate hike provides additional support for the technology sector. If NVIDIA and Micron continue to strengthen, the index could maintain its upward momentum and test new local highs. Our trading platform offers 250+ instruments, including CFDs on stocks, indices, and cryptocurrencies. Follow market trends and seize trading opportunities. Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only.
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Analysis of margin levels for August 13, 2026 XAUUSD XAUUSD: BUY 4339.15-4394.25, TP1-4449.35, TP2-4658.05. Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only. Long-term trend: bullish. The largest concentration of volume in the current contract is located within the 4290.00–4330.00 range. At present, trading activity in XAUUSD is taking place above this range, indicating buyer strength. Medium-term trend: bullish. The largest concentration of medium-term volume is located within the 4310.00-4335.00 and 4395.00-4420.00 ranges. At present, trading activity in XAUUSD is taking place above these ranges, indicating buyer strength. From a margin requirements perspective, the favorable buying area is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones drawn from the high of 13.08.2026. The upper boundary of the 1/4 zone is 4394.25. The upper boundary of the 1/2 zone is 4339.15. Intraday targets: a renewal of the highs from 13.08.2026 at 4449.35. Medium-term targets: a test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ at 4658.05. Trading recommendation: consider buying from the favorable price range if a reversal pattern forms. Buy: 4339.15–4394.25, Take Profit 1–4449.35, Take Profit 2–4658.05.
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Brent Targets $90 Again as Hormuz Deal Falters Brent crude oil continues to recover after its recent decline. On August 11, prices rose to $88.90 per barrel, with the benchmark gaining around 5% over the past two days. The main driver was the deteriorating outlook for a potential U.S.-Iran agreement over the Strait of Hormuz. At the beginning of August, oil prices were falling amid expectations of a possible deal and a gradual restoration of shipping through the strait. The situation has now changed: renewed disagreements between the two sides have increased the risk of a prolonged standoff and further supply disruptions. Factors Supporting Brent: Negotiations have reached an impasse. New U.S. demands on Iran have reduced the chances of a quick agreement. The market is once again pricing in the risk that full tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will not be restored soon. Shipments through Hormuz remain limited. Only six vessels passed through the strait on Monday, compared with an average of around eleven over the previous ten days. Oil exports through the route fell to approximately 3 million barrels per day, down from 4.4 million barrels a week earlier. Risks are also rising in the Red Sea. Houthi attacks continue to threaten alternative routes through Bab el-Mandeb. Disruptions on two major shipping routes simultaneously increase transportation costs and raise concerns about the stability of global oil supplies. For the oil market, the $90 level has become an important psychological threshold. A sustained break above it could strengthen expectations of further gains, particularly if negotiations fail to resume or new supply disruptions emerge. At the same time, higher oil prices pose risks beyond the commodity market. Rising energy costs could once again increase inflationary pressure and influence expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest-rate policy. According to FreshForex analysts, the current base-case scenario for Brent remains bullish. As long as negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz show no progress and supply disruption risks persist, oil prices are likely to remain supported. If geopolitical tensions continue, Brent could move higher and establish itself above $90 per barrel. Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only.
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Weekly Review: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | August 14, 2026 XAUUSD: BUY 4330.00, SL 4300.00, TP 4397.50 Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only. Gold starts the week following a strong rally, as a weaker US employment report reduced expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve rate hike and supported lower US Treasury yields. The main test will be the July US inflation data. Moderate figures could sustain demand for gold, while stronger price pressures may renew pressure through interest rate expectations and the US dollar. XAUUSD has already gained more than 7% over the previous week, so further upside requires fresh confirmation. Geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the Persian Gulf continues to support demand for defensive assets, while the current reassessment of Federal Reserve policy keeps the baseline buying scenario intact. Trading idea: BUY 4330.00, SL 4300.00, TP 4397.50 #SP500: BUY 7785, SL 7745, TP 7885 #SP500 starts the week after a new record close, supported by lower expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike and strong corporate results. The earnings season is nearing its end, while profit growth remains solid, helping sustain demand for equities following gains in recent sessions. The key risk will be US inflation. A strong reading could push US Treasury yields higher and increase the cost of capital. If the inflation data do not reinforce concerns about higher rates, the combination of resilient earnings and softer Federal Reserve expectations should keep the upward scenario for the index in place. Trading idea: BUY 7785, SL 7745, TP 7885 #BRENT: BUY 84.40, SL 82.40, TP 88.80 Brent starts the week recovering amid uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, where tanker traffic remains restricted and the terms for fully reopening the route have yet to be agreed. This factor supports the risk premium and keeps the threat of supply disruptions relevant for the oil market. Supply remains a limiting factor: OPEC+ agreed to increase production quotas for September, while the latest EIA data showed an increase in US crude oil inventories. However, until there is confirmed progress on shipping, disruption risks remain the main short-term driver, keeping the baseline buying scenario in place. Trading idea: BUY 84.40, SL 82.40, TP 88.80
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Elliott wave analysis of the market for August 11, 2026 BTCUSD BTCUSD: BUY 65450, SL 63500, TP 75000 Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only. Bitcoin is starting to come back to life. The price made a sharp move lower. As previously discussed, before resuming the broader uptrend, the market could attempt a manipulation move in the opposite direction. This may be exactly what we are seeing now. The decline can therefore be interpreted as a false breakout. If so, buyers may become active in the near future and quickly push the price back toward the levels from which the decline began. The uptrend should then resume and develop into an impulsive structure, as Wave 3 is expected to unfold. For this reason, long positions may be considered once the price breaks above the nearest local high formed before the recent decline. Investment idea: BUY 65450, SL 63500, TP 75000.
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XAUUSD Surges in One Day: Gold Shocks the Market Again! Gold delivered one of its strongest moves in recent months. During the August 5 trading session, XAUUSD gained about 4.4% and climbed above $4,250 per ounce — reaching its highest level in roughly seven weeks. The rally was especially notable after several months of decline. As recently as August 3, gold was trading near $4,030, meaning its value increased by more than 5% in just a few sessions! Earn up to $20 per lot in real funds — get guaranteed income by activating the Cashback promotion! Factors behind XAUUSD growth: Weaker dollar. The decline of the U.S. currency made gold cheaper for buyers from other countries and supported demand. At the same time, falling government bond yields reduced the advantage of interest-bearing assets over gold, which does not generate income on its own. Weak U.S. data. The private sector created fewer jobs than expected. After the data release, the probability of a Fed rate hike in September dropped from around 67% to 55%, providing an additional reason to buy gold. Falling oil prices. Talks between Iran and Oman increased hopes for restoring shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Lower oil prices could ease inflationary pressure and reduce the need for further interest rate hikes. Return of buyers. Holding the key psychological level of $4,000 attracted traders expecting a rebound after a prolonged correction. Accelerating growth forced the closure of short positions, further strengthening the upward momentum. Despite the sharp jump, gold is still trading well below its January all-time high. Therefore, the current move could mark either the beginning of a new recovery phase or a short-term reaction to shifting expectations regarding Fed policy. According to FreshForex analysts, a move above $4,300 will confirm buyer strength and open the way for further growth, making current levels potentially attractive for buying gold. A drop back below $4,100 would weaken this scenario and indicate fading upward momentum. FreshForex offers 250+ trading instruments, including metals with leverage up to 1:1000. Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only.
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Market Fundamental Analysis for August 7, 2026 EURUSD Event to watch today: 15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change EURUSD: Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only. The euro begins the session against a mixed domestic backdrop. Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.9%, while the core rate rose to 2.5%, maintaining expectations of further ECB policy tightening. Second-quarter economic growth was more resilient than forecast. However, the unexpected decline in Italian industrial production shows that the recovery remains uneven and is not providing the euro with an independent source of strength against the dollar. The main driver of the day is the US labor market report. The market expects employment growth to accelerate following the weak June result, while unemployment is forecast to remain at 4.2%. The Federal Reserve kept its policy rate within the 3.50–3.75% range in July and continues to emphasize that future decisions will depend on incoming data. Ahead of the release, this supports cautious demand for the dollar amid persistent inflationary pressure. The euro is receiving support from expectations surrounding the ECB, but this factor has already been largely priced in and is constrained by the uneven economic picture across the region. Unless US employment data comes in significantly below expectations, the dollar may retain the advantage. The baseline scenario allows for a moderate decline in EURUSD, while a weak US report remains the main risk to the selling idea. Trading idea: SELL 1.1525, SL 1.1555, TP 1.1455
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Analysis of margin levels for August 6, 2026 #NQ100 #NQ100: BUY 29364.4-29673.9, TP1-29951.3, TP2-30963.1. Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only. Long-term trend: bearish. The highest concentration of volumes in the current contract is located within the 29450.0–29700.0 range. Investment activity in #NQ100 is currently taking place below this range, indicating seller strength. Medium-term trend: bullish. The highest concentration of medium-term volumes is located within the 27660.0–27760.0 and 29710.0–29810.0 ranges. Investment activity in #NQ100 is currently taking place within this range, indicating temporary uncertainty. From the perspective of margin requirements, the favorable buying area is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones constructed from the high of 05.08.2026. The upper boundary of the 1/4 zone is 29673.9. The upper boundary of the 1/2 zone is 29364.4. Intraday target: a retest of the 05.08.2026 high at 29951.3. Medium-term target: a test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ at 30963.1. Investment recommendation: buy from the favorable price range if a reversal pattern forms. Buy: 29364.4-29673.9, Take Profit 1-29951.3, Take Profit 2-30963.1.
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USDJPY Reverses from 40-Year High The USDJPY pair retreated from multi-decade highs following a rare joint intervention by the United States and Japan. In July, quotes climbed to 163.99 — the highest level in around 40 years — but by August 4, they had declined to the 157.7 area. At the peak of yen strengthening, the pair dropped to 155.20. A similar situation occurred in July 2024, when the pair rose to 161.9 and then fell to 139.7 over the following months. Japan’s Ministry of Finance confirmed that on July 31 it bought yen jointly with the U.S. Treasury. According to Reuters, the U.S. side used euros rather than dollars for the operation. This approach helped support the Japanese currency without creating the impression that Washington was aiming to weaken the dollar. Factors behind yen strengthening: Joint intervention. U.S. participation significantly amplified the impact of the operation and increased market confidence in authorities’ determination to halt the yen’s decline. For traders, this signaled that further USDJPY growth could face not only Japan’s actions but also support from Washington. Threat of further action. Japanese authorities stated they are ready to intervene again if yen weakness becomes excessively rapid. The risk of sudden intervention makes market participants more cautious about opening new positions against the yen. Closing speculative positions. The sharp drop in USDJPY forced traders to take profits on bets against the yen. The mass closing of such positions accelerated the pair’s decline and boosted short-term demand for the Japanese currency. At the same time, fundamental pressure on the yen has not disappeared. Interest rates in Japan remain lower than in the U.S., so the dollar still holds a yield advantage. Without further tightening by the Bank of Japan, the effect of the intervention may gradually fade. In the near term, key levels for USDJPY are 155 and 160. A move below 155 could strengthen the yen further, while a return above 160 would indicate that the impact of the intervention is weakening. According to FreshForex analysts, the risk of sharp USDJPY movements remains high. Traders should closely monitor statements from Japanese and U.S. authorities, Bank of Japan decisions, and U.S. labor market data. The possibility of another intervention creates trading opportunities but also increases the risk of sudden reversals. FreshForex offers over 250 trading instruments, including major currency pairs. Use USDJPY volatility to find trading opportunities and profit! Only for our readers: mention the one-time promo code GIFT20 in the support chat and get +20% on your next deposit of any amount. The maximum bonus amount is $500. Only one promo code can be applied to a deposit at a time.
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Weekly Overview: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 07 August 2026 XAUUSD: BUY 4060.00, SL 4020.00, TP 4160.00 Gold begins the week with moderate support as a weaker US dollar and a sharp decline in oil prices ease concerns about renewed inflationary pressure. However, the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, alongside support from some policymakers for a rate increase, is keeping US Treasury yields elevated and limiting demand for the metal. The main test will come from the US labor market data. Weak figures could reduce expectations of a rate increase and strengthen interest in XAUUSD, while a strong report may restore pressure. If the US dollar remains subdued and oil market conditions stay stable, the base-case scenario allows for further gains in gold. Trading idea: BUY 4060.00, SL 4020.00, TP 4160.00 #SP500: BUY 7540, SL 7480, TP 7670 The #SP500 is receiving support from lower oil prices, which reduce the risk of renewed pressure on corporate costs and consumer demand. The earnings season also remains a source of resilience, although the market’s response to technology sector results is becoming more selective. This week, the index’s direction will be shaped by employment data and further corporate earnings reports. A strong labor market could revive expectations of a Federal Reserve rate increase and intensify pressure from elevated yields. For now, the decline in the energy risk premium is supporting demand for equities, leaving a cautious upside scenario as the base case. Trading idea: BUY 7540, SL 7480, TP 7670 #BRENT: SELL 83.50, SL 86.00, TP 78.50 Brent begins the week with a sharp decline after the United States cancelled new strikes against Iran and hopes for renewed negotiations increased. The restoration of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz could reduce the risk premium, while higher OPEC+ production quotas from September are reinforcing expectations of more abundant supply. Negotiations could still break down, while regional supplies remain constrained, meaning the decline in oil prices may not be one-sided. Nevertheless, part of the geopolitical premium has already been removed, while demand forecasts remain restrained. If the diplomatic scenario remains intact, the priority stays with further downside in #BRENT. Trading idea: SELL 83.50, SL 86.00, TP 78.50 Only for our readers: mention the one-time promo code GIFT20 in the support chat and get +20% on your next deposit of any amount. The maximum bonus amount is $500. Only one promo code can be applied to a deposit at a time.
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Analysis of margin levels for August 4, 2026 XAUUSD XAUUSD: SELL 4040.30–4090.80, TP1 3989.90, TP2 3865.00. Long-term trend: temporary uncertainty. The highest concentration of volumes in the current contract is located within the 4035.00–4070.00 range. XAUUSD is currently trading within this range, indicating temporary uncertainty. Only for our readers: mention the one-time promo code MR20 in the support chat and get +20% on your next deposit of any amount. The maximum bonus amount is $500. Only one promo code can be applied to a deposit at a time. Medium-term trend: bearish. The highest concentration of medium-term volumes is located within the 4022.00–4034.00 range. XAUUSD is currently trading above this range, indicating seller weakness. From the perspective of margin requirements, the favorable selling area is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones constructed from the low of July 29, 2026. The lower boundary of the 1/4 zone is 4040.30. The lower boundary of the 1/2 zone is 4090.80. Intraday target: a retest of the July 29, 2026 low at 3989.90. Medium-term target: a test of the lower boundary of the GWCZ at 3865.00. Trading idea: consider selling within the favorable price range once a reversal pattern forms. Sell: 4040.30–4090.80, Take Profit 1: 3989.90, Take Profit 2: 3865.00.
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Earnings season splits major tech stocks Major technology companies reported strong revenue growth, particularly in cloud services, advertising, and digital products. However, the market reaction has been mixed. Some companies have demonstrated that heavy investments are already supporting both revenue and profitability. Others have raised concerns, as rising costs put pressure on future financial stability. Investors are no longer focusing solely on revenue figures. The key question now is how quickly investments in artificial intelligence, data centers, and new infrastructure will pay off. Companies showing clear returns are receiving market support, while high spending without proportional profit growth may increase pressure on stock prices. The final day of the summer 202% deposit bonus from $202 has been extended. Enter the promo code July202 in your client area to participate. Terms apply. Key drivers of U.S. stocks: #Microsoft — Azure revenue grew by 43%, confirming strong returns on large-scale investments #Amazon — AWS sales increased by 37%, strengthening confidence in its investment strategy #Meta (Facebook) — total revenue rose by 28%, but heavy infrastructure spending significantly reduced free cash flow #Google — cloud revenue surged by 82%, though rising costs continue to keep investors cautious #Apple — quarterly revenue increased by 16%; strong sales support the company, but supply constraints may limit future growth These companies reflect different outcomes of the same investment race. #Microsoft and #Amazon appear more resilient due to rapid cloud growth. #Google is also expanding its cloud business but with higher spending. Meta remains more dependent on advertising and has yet to monetize cloud infrastructure. #Apple is less involved in aggressive spending but remains sensitive to supply chain conditions. According to FreshForex analysts, the coming months will depend heavily on earnings quality. The market will continue comparing revenue growth with development costs. The key factor is whether companies can maintain investment momentum without weakening financial stability. Investor appetite for higher-risk assets will also play a role. Even in a positive scenario, managing risk and preparing for changing market conditions remains essential. For those looking to take advantage of market opportunities with a larger deposit, a special promo code July202 (202% from $202) is currently available. More details can be found on the FreshForex website or via support chat. The offer is limited in time. Invest in tech giants Only for our readers: mention the one-time promo code GIFT20 in the support chat and get +20% on your next deposit of any amount. The maximum bonus amount is $500. Only one promo code can be applied to a deposit at a time.
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Elliott wave analysis of the market for July 30, 2026 BTCUSD BTCUSD: BUY 64100, SL 62900, TP 68900 There were no significant developments in Bitcoin during the previous trading session. The price continued to trade confidently within the expanding range, remaining near its lower boundary. Only for our readers: mention the one-time promo code MR20 in the support chat and get +20% on your next deposit of any amount. The maximum bonus amount is $500. Only one promo code can be applied to a deposit at a time. As a result, the previously discussed bullish outlook remains unchanged. The expected rally is still likely to be driven by the development of the final fifth wave of the leading diagonal. The completion of this move would also mark the end of Wave 1, after which a corrective pullback is expected to develop, most likely in the form of a simple zigzag. Under these conditions, the current market environment continues to favor long positions. Investment idea: BUY 64100, SL 62900, TP 68900.
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Market Fundamental Analysis for July 29, 2026 GBPUSD Event to watch today: 21:00 EET. USD - FOMC Rate Decision GBPUSD: GBPUSD is trading near 1.3295, close to its lowest levels since early July. The pound is being restrained by weaker signals from the UK labor market and caution ahead of the Bank of England’s decision on Thursday. The market largely expects the policy rate to remain at 3.75%, meaning the British currency would need a more convincing indication that the central bank is prepared to continue tightening monetary policy. Only for our readers: mention the one-time promo code MR20 in the support chat and get +20% on your next deposit of any amount. The maximum bonus amount is $500. Only one promo code can be applied to a deposit at a time. The domestic backdrop in the United Kingdom remains mixed. Inflation is still above the Bank of England’s target, but weaker demand for workers reduces the risk of a sustained acceleration in wage growth. At the same time, uncertainty surrounding future government spending and how it will be financed is limiting demand for the pound, particularly as investors favor the dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve’s important decision. The US currency retains an advantage due to elevated yields and expectations of a firmer Federal Reserve stance. The selling scenario would come under pressure if the central bank left rates unchanged and gave the market grounds to reduce expectations of a September increase. Until that happens, the pound’s domestic drivers appear insufficient to outweigh the broader dollar impulse, leaving the downside scenario for GBPUSD as the priority. Trading idea: SELL 1.3295, SL 1.3330, TP 1.3225
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Weekly Overview: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | 31 July 2026 XAUUSD: BUY 4100.00, SL 4065.00, TP 4187.50 Gold begins the week on a stronger footing following a pause in hostilities between the United States and Iran. Lower oil prices have eased inflation concerns, supported bonds, and put pressure on the US dollar. For XAUUSD, this reduces the risk of a further rise in real yields, although the easing of geopolitical tensions limits defensive demand. The Federal Reserve’s decision will be the main event of the week. The market expects the policy rate to remain unchanged but will closely assess the central bank’s willingness to tighten policy further. If oil remains below its recent highs and Treasury yields do not resume their advance, the fundamental backdrop will continue to favor a recovery in gold. Trading idea: BUY 4100.00, SL 4065.00, TP 4187.50 #SP500: BUY 7490, SL 7440, TP 7615 The US equity market enters the week supported by lower oil prices and easing inflation risks. This reduces pressure on Treasury yields and borrowing costs while improving the environment for companies sensitive to consumer spending. However, elevated equity valuations leave #SP500 highly dependent on corporate earnings. The Federal Reserve’s decision and earnings releases from major technology companies will test current profit expectations. Strong results and controlled spending on artificial intelligence could restore demand for the sector, while restrictive signals from the central bank may limit the upside. The decline in the energy risk premium supports the buying scenario. Trading idea: BUY 7490, SL 7440, TP 7615 #BRENT: SELL 91.80, SL 94.30, TP 86.80 Brent begins the week lower following a pause in US and Iranian strikes and renewed diplomatic efforts. The reduction in the immediate threat to supply is eroding the geopolitical premium after last week’s strong advance. However, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains restricted, which may keep volatility elevated. A sustained recovery in oil prices would require fresh evidence of supply disruptions or a breakdown in negotiations. As long as regional exports continue and the risk of a more restrictive Federal Reserve policy weighs on demand expectations, the base-case weekly scenario allows for a further decline in #BRENT. Trading idea: SELL 91.80, SL 94.30, TP 86.80 Only for our readers: mention the one-time promo code MR20 in the support chat and get +20% on your next deposit of any amount. The maximum bonus amount is $500. Only one promo code can be applied to a deposit at a time.
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Market Fundamental Analysis for July 27, 2026 EURUSD EURUSD: EUR/USD begins the session recovering from last week’s decline. The pause in US strikes against Iran and the drop in oil prices have eased concerns about renewed acceleration in US inflation. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note has fallen, while the probability of an immediate Federal Reserve rate increase has declined slightly. As a result, the dollar has lost some of the demand generated by geopolitical tensions. Only for our readers: mention the one-time promo code MR20 in the support chat and get +20% on your next deposit of any amount. The maximum bonus amount is $500. Only one promo code can be applied to a deposit at a time. For the euro, the outcome of the ECB’s latest meeting remains important. The central bank kept interest rates unchanged and confirmed that it would continue assessing incoming data without committing to a predetermined policy path. Uncertainty surrounding the energy shock is limiting a stronger recovery in the single currency, although today’s decline in oil prices reduces the risk of additional pressure on the eurozone economy and supports demand for the euro. The main driver of the current session is the dollar’s correction ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting, which begins on Tuesday. The market still expects the US central bank to deliver restrictive signals, limiting the upside potential for EUR/USD. Nevertheless, the latest momentum reflects lower Treasury yields and weaker defensive demand for the dollar, making a moderate continuation of the pair’s recovery the base-case scenario. Trading idea: BUY 1.1405, SL 1.1375, TP 1.1465
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Market Fundamental Analysis for July 24, 2026 USDJPY USDJPY: USDJPY is holding near 163.80 after the yen weakened to an almost 40-year low, although the fundamental case for further gains has become less one-sided. Japan’s finance minister stated that the authorities were prepared to take decisive action in the foreign exchange market, while the US Treasury highlighted the undesirability of excessive volatility and the need for further steps from the Bank of Japan. Support for the dollar remains substantial. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note is above 4.7%, Federal Reserve expectations have become more restrictive, and oil prices above $100 are increasing inflation and import-related risks for Japan. The interest rate differential continues to weigh on the yen, meaning that verbal warnings alone may not be enough to produce a sustained recovery. However, the current session is marked by a fresh official signal and the exchange rate’s proximity to levels at which the likelihood of practical action by the Japanese authorities rises considerably. The dollar’s additional upside is limited by the risk of a sharp reduction in interest rate differential trades, while any response to intervention could be swift. The local Japanese factor may therefore outweigh the broader dollar impulse, and the baseline scenario allows for a decline in USDJPY. Trading idea: SELL 163.80, SL 164.15, TP 162.95
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Elliott wave analysis of the market for July 23, 2026 BTCUSD BTCUSD: BUY 66850, SL 65400, TP 74000 The overall wave structure for Bitcoin remains unchanged. During the previous trading session, buyers attempted to continue their slow but steady advance. However, they were unable to maintain the upward momentum. Only for our readers: mention the one-time promo code MR20 in the support chat and get +20% on your next deposit of any amount. The maximum bonus amount is $500. Only one promo code can be applied to a deposit at a time. The rally stalled and was followed by a modest pullback. For now, the market remains in consolidation, but Bitcoin is expected to resume its advance in the near term, as the broader technical picture continues to favor the bulls. The outlook still calls for further upside as Wave 3 of the developing bullish impulse unfolds. Therefore, long positions continue to offer the most attractive trading opportunity. Investment idea: BUY 66850, SL 65400, TP 74000.
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Market Fundamental Analysis for July 22, 2026 EURUSD EURUSD: The euro enters the session amid mixed expectations ahead of the ECB meeting. Higher energy prices are supporting expectations of a further rate increase. However, a survey of eurozone companies points to slower expected growth in selling prices and wages. This reduces the urgency of additional monetary tightening and limits independent support for the European currency. The US dollar is driving the market during the current session. The currency remains close to a one-week high, while the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note has approached 4.6%. Fluctuations in oil prices and tensions in the Middle East are increasing inflation risks. As a result, the market remains cautious about a rapid easing of Federal Reserve policy, supporting demand for the dollar. For EUR/USD, the timing of these factors remains decisive. A possible ECB rate increase relates to future meetings and has not yet received clear new confirmation, while elevated US Treasury yields are already supporting the dollar during the current session. In the absence of a strong local catalyst from the eurozone, the fundamental base case continues to favor a decline in the pair. Trading idea: SELL 1.1415, SL 1.1440, TP 1.1355