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Gold (XAUUSD) rises amid easing US inflation

XAUUSD prices are strengthening on Thursday, currently standing at 2,944 USD. Discover more in our analysis for 13 March 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Easing US inflation heightens expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut
  • The growing likelihood of a Fed rate cut supports Gold prices
  • XAUUSD forecast for 13 March 2025: 2,970

Fundamental analysis

XAUUSD quotes are rising for the third consecutive day as continued uncertainty about tariffs boosts demand for safe-haven assets. The precious metal is additionally supported by easing US inflation, which has fuelled expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.

US consumer prices rose by 2.8% year-on-year in February, below 3.0% in January and analysts’ average forecasts of 2.9%.

Easing inflation increases the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, bolstering Gold prices and indicating the potential for their further growth, according to the XAUUSD forecast for 13 March 2025.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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The RoboForex Team

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EURUSD forecast: the pair corrected towards 1.0800

The EURUSD rate is undergoing a moderate downward correction, falling to 1.0800. Today, the market is focused on the eurozone’s inflation statistics. Find out more in our EURUSD analysis for 14 March 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Market focus: the US Producer Price Index showed no month-on-month inflation growth in February (0%)
  • Current trend: correcting within the uptrend
  • EURUSD forecast for 14 March 2025: 1.0875 and 1.0765

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD pair appears rather confident amid weaker-than-expected US inflation growth in February, with the CPI and PPI below forecast. Today, the market is focused on inflation statistics of the eurozone’s largest countries.

The February Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Germany, Spain, and France will be released. A more significant uptick in inflation in the leading European economies will help strengthen the euro, while weaker-than-expected data could cause the EURUSD pair to continue a downward correction.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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US consumer confidence collapses, EURUSD is set for a leap

The EURUSD pair is correcting, with the price currently at 1.0877. Find more details in our analysis for 17 March 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

  • The US consumer confidence index fell to its lowest level since November 2022
  • US retail sales data is in the spotlight today
  • EURUSD forecast for 17 March 2025: 1.1035

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD rate is declining slightly on Monday. However, the US dollar remains under pressure due to trade uncertainty and growing concerns about the US economy.

Friday’s data showed a decline in US consumer confidence and a sharp increase in inflation expectations. The consumer confidence index fell to 57.9 points in March from 64.7 in February, reaching its lowest level since November 2022.

Investors are now focused on the release of US retail sales data, which is due today and will provide information on consumer spending. The key event of the week will be the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Wednesday, where the interest rate is expected to remain unchanged.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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The RoboForex Team

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Market is in suspense: where will Brent head after the API report?

In anticipation of the API report, Brent prices are rising and could reach the 72.25 USD level. Discover more in our analysis for 18 March 2025.

Brent forecast: key trading points

  • Brent crude oil prices are on the rise
  • Weekly US crude oil inventories from the American Petroleum Institute (API): previously at 4.247 million barrels
  • Brent forecast for 18 March 2025: 70.00 and 72.25

Fundamental analysis

Fundamental Brent analysis for today, 18 March 2025, takes into account that oil prices continue their upward momentum.

Today, 18 March 2025, Brent prices are slightly rising amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and China’s stimulus measures. Brent futures were up 17 cents (0.2%), reaching 71.24 USD per barrel. The US Department of Energy revised its previous forecast, expecting Brent prices to average at 74.22 USD per barrel in 2025.

Despite the current price increase, long-term forecasts take into account a possible decline in Brent prices due to global economic factors.

According to the API, weekly US crude oil inventories rose significantly in the previous reporting period. The Brent analysis for today takes into account that following the data release, the quotes could maintain their upward trajectory and head towards 72.25 USD.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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The RoboForex Team

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Gold (XAUUSD) sets a new record, with prices aiming for 3,050 USD

XAUUSD prices are rising significantly ahead of the Federal Reserve decision, currently standing at 3,043 USD. Discover more in our analysis for 19 March 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Concerns about an economic slowdown support bullish momentum in XAUUSD
  • Traders are focused on the Fed decision, which may impact further Gold price movements
  • The regulator’s soft stance may fuel demand for the precious metal
  • XAUUSD forecast for 19 March 2025: 3,075

Fundamental analysis

XAUUSD prices continue to rise on Wednesday, hitting new all-time highs. Buyers confidently surpassed the 3,037 USD resistance level due to mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Gold remains a key hedging instrument amid economic uncertainty caused by the US tariff policy, with the unstable trading environment only making it more attractive as a safe-haven asset. Investors’ concerns about an economic slowdown and higher recession risks support bullish momentum, which aligns with the XAUUSD forecast for today.

All eyes are on the Federal Reserve’s decision, which will be announced today. If the regulator takes a soft stance, reacting to concerns about the tariff impact on economic growth, this will boost demand for Gold and open the way to the next key resistance level at 3,065 USD.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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Can a reversal pattern send down Brent prices?

Brent prices are strengthening, currently standing at 70.99 USD. Discover more in our analysis for 20 March 2025.

Brent forecast: key trading points

  • US gasoline and distillate inventories fell to their lowest levels since early 2025
  • The Head and Shoulders pattern on the Brent chart indicates a potential price decline
  • Brent forecast for 20 March 2025: 66.65

Fundamental analysis

Brent prices continue to rise for the second consecutive trading session. However, buyers cannot surpass the key resistance level at 71.00 USD yet. Brent quotes are supported by US inventory data and escalating tensions in the Middle East, fuelling concerns about possible oil supply disruptions.

Wednesday’s data showed a sharp decline in distillate and gasoline stocks to their lowest levels since early 2025 despite an increase in crude oil inventories. Gasoline stocks decreased by 527 thousand barrels, with distillate inventories down by 2.80 million barrels. At the same time, commercial crude oil reserves in the US rose by 1.75 million barrels last week.

Investors currently continue to assess the prospects for US economic growth. The Federal Reserve reiterated its forecast for two benchmark interest rate cuts this year, which supports the oil market, according to the Brent price forecast.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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The Fed holds off on rate cuts: is EURUSD set to collapse?

The EURUSD pair is falling for the third consecutive trading session, with the price currently at 1.0823. Find out more in our analysis for 21 March 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Easing concerns about an economic downturn put pressure on the EURUSD rate
  • The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged and reiterated plans for two more cuts this year
  • The EURUSD pair is testing the lower boundary of a Double Top reversal pattern
  • EURUSD forecast for 21 March 2025: 1.0680

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD rate is declining as the Federal Reserve has signalled that it is in no rush to lower interest rates. The US dollar receives additional support from easing concerns about an economic slowdown amid US President Donald Trump’s active trade policy. Furthermore, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell called the imposed tariffs a temporary measure and emphasised that the regulator does not rush to ease monetary policy further.

On Wednesday, the Fed held rates steady and reiterated its forecast for two quarter-percentage-point cuts this year, which is in line with the median forecast. Traders are seeing signs of a potential EURUSD reversal, according to today’s forecast. The quotes are currently testing a key support level, a breakout below which may push the currency pair lower.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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USDJPY surges as slump in Japan’s business activity crushes the yen

The USDJPY rate is strengthening, with buyers aiming to test the 150.15 resistance level. Find out more in our analysis for 24 March 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

  • The au Jibun Bank Japan Composite PMI fell to 48.5 in March
  • The Bank of Japan’s governor says the regulator will continue to raise interest rates
  • Moving averages confirm the bullish trend in USDJPY
  • USDJPY forecast for 24 March 2025: 151.15

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is rising for the second consecutive session as the Japanese yen remains under pressure from weakening business activity. According to preliminary data, the au Jibun Bank Japan Composite PMI fell to 48.5 in March from 52.0 in February, marking the first contraction in the private sector since October and the sharpest decline since February 2022. Manufacturing has been in decline for the ninth consecutive month, and the services sector has now also entered contraction territory.

Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasised that the regulator will continue to raise interest rates if core inflation nears 2%. Markets still expect the BoJ to tighten its monetary policy this year amid persistent inflationary pressure and rising wages. According to today’s USDJPY forecast, these factors may limit further weakening of the yen.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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Gold (XAUUSD) resumes growth: market fears US tariffs

Gold (XAUUSD) is hovering around 3,020 USD on Wednesday, with investors interested in safe-haven assets. Discover more in our analysis for 26 March 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Gold (XAUUSD) continues to rise after a brief pause
  • Markets still seek risk protection amid Trump’s tariff wars
  • XAUUSD forecast for 26 March 2025: 3,036 and 3,057

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) prices strengthened to 3,020 USD.

The market is heading for record levels again as Gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset increases, fuelled by uncertainty over the upcoming US retaliatory tariffs.

While President Donald Trump’s tariff plans may be limited and targeted, investors are still pricing in considerable risk. The new round of tariffs set to begin on 2 April will signal an escalation in trade tensions between the US and its key partners.

At the same time, geopolitical developments also remain in focus, with the US playing a diplomatic role. This involves potential easing of sanctions against Russia. In the long run, this could reduce investor appetite for Gold.

The Gold (XAUUSD) forecast is positive.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Edited by RBFX Support
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EURUSD rebounds amid Trump’s trade threats

The EURUSD rate is rising, with buyers testing the 1.0785 resistance level. Discover more in our analysis for 27 March 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Investors fear that trade restrictions will slow US economic growth
  • US durable goods orders rose by 0.9% in February
  • The Stochastic Oscillator indicates the bearish correction may be ending
  • EURUSD forecast for 27 March 2025: 1.0945

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD rate is recovering after six consecutive trading sessions of decline. The European currency received support following US President Donald Trump’s decision to impose 25% tariffs on imported cars and light trucks. Investor concerns that these trade restrictions could hamper US economic growth and accelerate inflation may support the current EURUSD gains, according to the EURUSD forecast for today.

Meanwhile, US durable goods orders data rose unexpectedly by 0.9% in February to 289.3 billion USD, exceeding forecasts. Market focus now shifts to Friday’s PCE price index report, a key inflation gauge for the Federal Reserve, and the mutual tariffs expected to be announced next week.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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Bearish scenario for USDJPY: the market poised for a Wedge pattern breakout

The USDJPY rate is edging lower, but buyers are not retreating from the 151.75 resistance level. Find out more in our analysis for 28 March 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

  • Tokyo inflation accelerated to 2.4%, exceeding the BoJ’s target for the fifth consecutive month
  • Kazuo Ueda confirmed the possibility of further interest rate hikes
  • The formation of a Wedge reversal pattern could trigger yen strengthening
  • USDJPY forecast for 28 March 2025: 149.05

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate has slightly declined following the release of the Bank of Japan’s March meeting minutes. The regulator reiterated its commitment to a flexible approach to monetary policy, reinforcing expectations for further rate hikes. This supports the yen and, according to the USDJPY forecast, may prevent a breakout above the key 151.75 resistance level.

At the same time, Tokyo’s inflation rose to 2.4%, adding to pressure on the BoJ. This marks the fifth consecutive month that core inflation has exceeded the Bank of Japan’s 2.0% target, strengthening expectations for continued monetary policy normalisation.

Nevertheless, earlier this week, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda signalled that further rate hikes remain on the table if economic conditions align with the central bank’s outlook.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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Gold (XAUUSD) soared above 3,100 USD, setting a new all-time high

XAUUSD prices are showing rapid growth, breaking above the 3,100 USD level. This week, the market will focus on US employment data. Find out more in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 31 March 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Market focus: another wave of the tariff war is expected this week, with Trump planning to impose a 25% tariff on imported cars
  • Current trend: a strong uptrend is underway
  • XAUUSD forecast for 31 March 2025: 3,150 and 3,100

Fundamental analysis

Gold continues its rapid growth in the uptrend, now trading above the 3,100 USD mark. The precious metal remains in high demand from investors and central banks amid ongoing tariff wars by US President Donald Trump, who plans to introduce a 25% tariff on imported vehicles and announce a broader reciprocal tariff plan.

This week, market focus will shift to US employment statistics, with the ADP report, Nonfarm Payrolls, and the unemployment rate scheduled for release. Stronger-than-expected figures could support the US dollar and trigger a correction in the XAUUSD pair. Conversely, weaker data would allow Gold to continue its upward move.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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USDJPY seeks direction as investors weigh risks

The USDJPY pair is consolidating around 149.75. The market is closely watching the trajectory of the US dollar. Find more details in our analysis for 2 April 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

  • The USDJPY pair remains in consolidation
  • The market avoids risk-taking while waiting for the first signals from the new round of US trade wars
  • USDJPY forecast for 2 April 2025: 149.95

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is hovering around 149.75 on Wednesday. The Japanese yen continues to move sideways as the market stays in wait-and-see mode ahead of the new round of US President Donald Trump’s tariff wars.

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has warned that US tariffs could significantly impact global trade and economic growth.

Earlier this week, data revealed a deterioration in Japanese business sentiment for Q1. This has raised concerns about the potential effects of US tariffs on Japan’s export-driven economy.

The baseline forecast expects the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates by the end of 2025. However, fears over global trade and domestic economic uncertainty still cloud the outlook.

The USDJPY forecast is neutral.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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EURUSD soared above 1.0900 after Trump imposed new tariffs

The EURUSD rate has climbed above 1.0900 following the introduction of new US trade tariffs. Find out more in our analysis for 3 April 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Market focus: US ADP employment data showed an increase of 155 thousand
  • Market focus: Donald Trump imposed new tariffs on US trading partners
  • Current trend: an uptrend is in place
  • EURUSD forecast for 3 April 2025: 1.0800 and 1.0955

Fundamental analysis

Yesterday, US President Donald Trump introduced a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, with even higher duties targeting key trading partners: 34% on China, 20% on the EU, and 24% on Japan. Additionally, a 25% tariff on foreign cars took immediate effect.

Commenting on the move, Trump described the tariffs as a strategy to support domestic manufacturing and reduce the trade deficit. In response, the EURUSD pair surged as the US dollar came under pressure due to concerns over a potential US economic slowdown triggered by ongoing trade wars.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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Friday chaos – Nonfarm Payrolls to shake up Gold (XAUUSD) again

A decline in US Nonfarm Payrolls may boost XAUUSD quotes towards 3,160 USD. Discover more in our analysis for 4 April 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

  • US Nonfarm Payrolls: previously at 151 thousand, projected at 137 thousand
  • US unemployment rate: previously at 4.1%, projected at 4.1%
  • Current trend: moving upwards
  • XAUUSD forecast for 4 April 2025: 3,160 and 3,075

Fundamental analysis

According to the XAUUSD forecast for 4 April 2025, US Nonfarm Payrolls may decline to 137 thousand from the previous 151 thousand. If the actual figure aligns with expectations, the market may see heightened volatility and a temporary weakening of the US dollar.

The Nonfarm Payrolls release consistently generates strong market reactions and can either support the US dollar or make it lose ground.

Today’s XAUUSD analysis also considers that the US unemployment rate for March is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%. The lack of changes from the previous period would be a neutral factor for the USD.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

Edited by RBFX Support
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EURUSD remains in the eye of the storm: tariff fears dominate the market

The EURUSD rate is hovering around 1.0990 on Monday as market chaos continues. Discover more in our analysis for 7 April 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

  • The EURUSD pair is moving more actively than usual
  • Investors remain concerned about global trade tensions, although the White House maintains its stance
  • EURUSD forecast for 7 April 2025: 1.1146

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD pair is trading around 1.0990 on Monday.

Volatility remains above average. Investors are assessing the impact of Donald Trump’s tariff policy on inflation and economic growth. The global trade war is only escalating.

Despite the market panic, the White House stands firm on its decision to impose retaliatory tariffs. On Sunday, Trump compared the tariffs to medicine you have to take to fix something. Previously, China agreed on a 34% tariff on all US-made goods, which may prompt similar measures from other countries.

The unfolding tariff saga has intensified fears over US inflation and economic growth, complicating the Fed’s policy path. Markets are now pricing in a total of 100 basis points in rate cuts for 2025.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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Strong data from Japan keeps USDJPY from rising further

The USDJPY pair is slightly declining, currently trading at 147.70. Find more details in our analysis for 8 April 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

  • Donald Trump announces readiness to begin trade talks with Japan
  • Japan posts a record current account surplus in February 2025
  • USDJPY forecast for 8 April 2025: 146.25

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is retreating after Monday’s sharp rally, where the pair tested the key resistance level at 148.00. The Japanese yen temporarily weakened against the US dollar amid growing uncertainty around global trade — typically a driver of safe-haven demand.

On the political front, Donald Trump confirmed his readiness to start trade negotiations with Japan following a phone call with Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba. The upcoming talks will address a wide range of issues, including tariffs, currency policy, and state subsidies.

Robust economic data keeps the yen from further weakening. In February 2025, Japan recorded a record current account surplus of 4.0607 trillion yen, driven by strong export growth amid high external demand and a decline in imports due to lower energy prices and subdued domestic consumption.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
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Gold (XAUUSD) rises, supported by the Fed stance and market demand

Gold (XAUUSD) has climbed to 3,028 USD, with safe-haven demand continuing to drive the metal higher. Discover more in our analysis for 9 April 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Gold (XAUUSD) prices continue to recover following recent volatility
  • Despite April's dip, Gold (XAUUSD) quotes have gained 13% year-to-date
  • XAUUSD forecast for 9 April 2025: 3,046

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) prices rose to 3,028 USD on Wednesday amid growing safe-haven demand. The escalating trade war fuels fears of global recession and rising inflation.

The US government confirmed that additional tariffs on imports from multiple countries will take effect today, with no exemptions at this stage.

China faces the steepest tariff hike of 104% after it refused to comply with US demands to lift its retaliatory duties on US goods by the deadline. US President Donald Trump also announced that a significant tariff on pharmaceutical imports is expected soon.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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Brent remains highly volatile: new stress ahead?

Brent crude prices are falling again, sliding towards 64.90 USD after a 4% rally in the previous session. Find more details in our analysis for 10 April 2025.

Brent forecast: key trading points

  • Brent gained 4% in the previous session but has now stalled
  • Trump’s temporary tariff compromise supported prices, but the outlook remains uncertain, potentially curbing growth
  • Brent forecast for 10 April 2025: 64.80 and 64.00

Fundamental analysis

Brent prices are hovering around 64.90 USD. On Wednesday, prices rose by over 4% as investor sentiment improved following the US decision to pause tariff hikes for most countries.

US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day period during which import tariffs would be lowered to 10% in an effort to support ongoing trade talks. The move helped reduce fears of a full-blown trade war, which could trigger a global recession and suppress oil demand.

However, markets remain cautious as China was excluded from this deal, and its tariff rate was raised to 125%.

The latest data from the US Department of Energy showed a larger-than-expected drop in gasoline and distillate inventories, helping offset a moderate rise in crude oil stockpiles.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

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The RoboForex Team

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EURUSD hits a three-year high: the US dollar is not in demand

The EURUSD rate is testing the 1.1285 level and setting a new peak at 1.1383, with the market concerned about the impact of the US trade war. Find out more in our analysis for 11 April 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

  • The EURUSD pair hits a three-year high and shows no signs of slowing
  • The market remains focused on tariff-related risks and sees reasons for a decline in US GDP
  • US core inflation for March gives reason for the Fed to cut interest rates
  • EURUSD forecast for 11 April 2025: 1.1384

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD rate touched the 1.1384 level but is now hovering around 1.1285.

The dominant market driver working against the US dollar is concern over the state of the US economy. Investors fear that aggressive tariffs will slow down US growth despite the current 90-day tariff pause.

US inflation data for March came in mixed. The core CPI rose just 2.8% year-on-year, marking the slowest increase since March 2021. This gives markets further reason to anticipate a rate cut from the Federal Reserve.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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USDJPY falls sharply – yen takes centre stage as safe-haven asset

The USDJPY pair plummeted to 142.41, with chances to reach new lows being high. Find more details in our analysis for 14 April 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

  • The USDJPY pair is testing six-month lows and may go lower
  • The market is focused on the upcoming US-Japan tariff negotiations
  • The Japanese yen is performing strongly as a safe-haven asset
  • USDJPY forecast for 14 April 2025: 142.06

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate fell to 142.41 on Monday, approaching its lowest level in six months. Escalating global uncertainty driven by trade conflicts has increased demand for safe-haven assets.

Markets are closely watching the upcoming trade talks between Washington and Tokyo. Japan’s chief negotiator, Akazawa Ryosei, is set to meet this week with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer.

Japan currently benefits from a reduced 10% tariff rate and aims to secure more favourable terms in ongoing discussions.

The USDJPY forecast is negative.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

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Gold (XAUUSD) holds bullish momentum — US risks keep safe havens in demand

Gold is moving steadily toward 3,220 USD as global demand for safe-haven assets remains high. Full details in our analysis for 15 April 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

  • Gold (XAUUSD) continues its upward trend, pausing only for brief consolidations
  • Global investors remain focused on safe-haven assets
  • XAUUSD forecast for 15 April 2025: 3,246

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) is trading near 3,220 USD on Tuesday.

The primary driver for gold remains the heightened level of market uncertainty linked to US trade policy. While new tariffs are currently on pause and trade talks are ongoing, the Trump administration has shifted focus to auto parts — considering removing them from the list of high-tariff items.

Still, that remains speculative. Meanwhile, attention has shifted to key import sectors like pharmaceuticals and semiconductors, which may soon face increased tariffs. These sectors are substantial, and the prospect of new duties has fuelled demand for safe-haven assets like gold.

Another solid support for gold comes from expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut — markets are currently pricing in around 86 basis points of easing in 2025. Lower interest rates typically benefit gold by reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

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Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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EURUSD is poised for growth: the market awaits weak US sales

The EURUSD pair is rising aggressively, currently trading around 1.1370. Find out more in our analysis for 16 April 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points

  • The US dollar is declining amid market caution ahead of the Fed chair’s speech
  • US March retail sales data is expected today
  • Weak data may support further EURUSD upside
  • EURUSD forecast for 16 April 2025: 1.1565

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD rate is gaining momentum following yesterday’s bearish correction. Buyers are actively pushing towards the 1.1380 resistance level – a breakout here could open the way to new local highs.

The US dollar is weakening as markets turn cautious ahead of today’s speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Traders are waiting for signals regarding the Fed’s next steps amid an economic slowdown and persistent inflation concerns.

All eyes are also on today’s US retail sales data for March. The consensus forecast suggests a 0.2% decline, which may add to pressure on the US dollar and further strengthen the ongoing bullish trend in the EURUSD pair.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

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