roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[RBFX Support]

USDJPY: dollar strengthens, but gains capped by resistance

The USDJPY rate remains in consolidation within a sideways range, with the market focused on upcoming Fed remarks and key US inflation data. The rate currently stands at 147.81. Find out more in our analysis for 23 September 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• Bank of Japan kept its key rate at 5% for the fifth consecutive meeting
• The regulator highlighted a moderate economic recovery in Japan
• The BoJ pointed to risks associated with global trade policy
• USDJPY forecast for 23 September 2025: 149.60

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is strengthening while remaining within a sideways range as sellers defend the key resistance level at 148.15. Market focus is on upcoming Fed commentary ahead of fresh US inflation data.

Fed Governor Stephen Miran noted that the current federal funds rate is too high and should be reduced to protect the US labour market. Scheduled for Tuesday are speeches by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and Vice Chair Michelle Bowman. On Friday, market participants will focus on the August report on US personal income and outlays, which includes the core PCE price index, the Fed’s key inflation gauge.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

[RBFX Support]

GBPUSD under pressure: domestic news looks unimpressive

The GBPUSD pair dropped to 1.3505. Investors are avoiding risks amid worsening conditions. Discover more in our analysis for 24 September 2025.

GBPUSD forecast: key trading points

• The GBPUSD pair declines amid market doubts about the Bank of England’s stance
• Domestic political contradictions also undermine the stability of the pound
• GBPUSD forecast for 24 September 2025: 1.3450

Fundamental analysis

On Wednesday, the GBPUSD pair is falling to 1.3505 after a survey reflected a slowdown in business activity in the UK in early September. Companies reported a decline in momentum and confidence amid rising risks of tax hikes before the end of the year.

The preliminary S&P Global UK composite PMI fell from 53.5 points in August to 51.0 in September.

The pound struggles to sustain growth even against the backdrop of positive investor sentiment and British equities at record levels. Markets are pricing in only 7 basis points of Bank of England rate cuts before the end of the year.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

[RBFX Support]

JP 225 forecast: the index approached the upper boundary of the ascending channel and hit new all-time high

The JP 225 stock index continues to rise within the ascending channel. The JP 225 forecast for today is positive.

JP 225 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: the Bank of Japan policy rate remains at 0.50%
• Market impact: the effect on the Japanese stock market is moderately positive

Fundamental analysis

The Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate at 0.50%, in line with forecasts and the previous level. This decision signals continued cautious normalisation of monetary conditions without additional tightening that could significantly increase capital costs for corporations. Short-term uncertainty declines, and the risk premium on Japanese equities generally remains stable.

For the JP 225, the impact can be described as neutral to positive. The decision was widely expected, which supports investor appetite for risk assets and allows markets to focus on corporate earnings and global demand. The yen remains a key factor: a stable or weaker currency boosts export revenue conversion, traditionally providing support for the index.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team