roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

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USDJPY: dollar strengthens, but gains capped by resistance

The USDJPY rate remains in consolidation within a sideways range, with the market focused on upcoming Fed remarks and key US inflation data. The rate currently stands at 147.81. Find out more in our analysis for 23 September 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• Bank of Japan kept its key rate at 5% for the fifth consecutive meeting
• The regulator highlighted a moderate economic recovery in Japan
• The BoJ pointed to risks associated with global trade policy
• USDJPY forecast for 23 September 2025: 149.60

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is strengthening while remaining within a sideways range as sellers defend the key resistance level at 148.15. Market focus is on upcoming Fed commentary ahead of fresh US inflation data.

Fed Governor Stephen Miran noted that the current federal funds rate is too high and should be reduced to protect the US labour market. Scheduled for Tuesday are speeches by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and Vice Chair Michelle Bowman. On Friday, market participants will focus on the August report on US personal income and outlays, which includes the core PCE price index, the Fed’s key inflation gauge.

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