roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[RBFX Support]

US 500 forecast: prices approached resistance but failed to break through and reach a new all-time high

The US 500 remains in an uptrend, which is highly likely to become medium-term. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.

US 500 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: the US Producer Price Index (PPI) came in at 0.9% in July
• Market impact: rising producer costs have a negative effect on the US stock market

Fundamental analysis

The US PPI for July rose by 0.9% from the previous month, well above the forecast of 0.2% and the previous reading of 0.0%. PPI growth is a significant signal, as it reflects higher producer costs, which may be passed on to the end consumer. Overall, this strengthens inflationary pressure and increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will adopt a more hawkish stance in monetary policy.

Higher financing rates, in turn, can negatively affect the equity market by making stocks less attractive than bonds and increasing borrowing costs for businesses. For the US 500 index, the effect of such data is likely to be restrictive. Stronger inflation expectations could trigger a correction in the index, particularly in rate-sensitive sectors.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

[RBFX Support]

Gold (XAUUSD) falls ahead of the Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium

Gold (XAUUSD) prices continue to decline, moving towards 3,317 USD. Demand for safe-haven assets has weakened significantly. Find more details are in our analysis for 20 August 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

• Gold (XAUUSD) is edging down, preparing to reach a new three-week low
• Easing geopolitical tensions and a surging USD have drawn part of market interest away from gold
• XAUUSD forecast for 20 August 2025: 3,311 and 3,265

Fundamental analysis

On Wednesday, gold (XAUUSD) prices fell to 3,317 USD per troy ounce, nearing their three-week low. Pressure on the metal came from expectations of easing geopolitical tensions and a stronger US dollar.

Earlier, US President Donald Trump stated that he does not plan to send ground troops but admitted the possibility of air support as part of efforts to resolve the conflict with Russia. Investors now focus on the upcoming speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole. Additional market cues may also come from the FOMC minutes due later on Wednesday.

Rate futures indicate the likelihood of two Fed rate cuts of 25 basis points each by the end of the year, with the first possibly coming in September.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

[RBFX Support]

JP 225 forecast: index continues to rise within an ascending channel, correcting after reaching a new all-time high

The JP 225 stock index hit a new all-time high and started a correction. Today’s JP 225 forecast is negative.

JP 225 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: Japan’s Q2 2025 GDP grew by 0.3%
• Market impact: this is a positive signal for the stock market, as growth exceeded expectations

Fundamental analysis

Data shown on the chart indicates that Japan’s quarterly GDP growth was 0.3%, above the forecast of 0.1% and the previous figure of 0.1%. Stronger-than-expected GDP growth signals more resilient economic activity in the country. This suggests increased domestic demand, exports, or investments, which creates a positive backdrop for corporate profits and, consequently, the stock market. Stronger macroeconomic data may also reduce recession concerns, reinforcing investor confidence.

For the JP225 index, this positive GDP surprise could contribute to further price growth. The strengthening of sustainable economic growth expectations increases the likelihood of stock market gains. However, investors may also consider potential risks of Bank of Japan’s monetary tightening if the positive momentum proves persistent.

RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team