RBFX Support Posted February 5 Author Report Share Posted February 5 Gold (XAUUSD) continues to soar to new price highs The increase in US nonfarm employment does not strengthen the US dollar significantly, with Gold prices continuing their ascent to 2,880 USD. Discover more in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 5 February 2025. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points The US ADP nonfarm employment change: previously at 122 thousand, projected at 148 thousand The US services PMI: previously at 56.8, projected at 52.8 Current trend: moving upwards XAUUSD forecast for 5 February 2025: 2,830 and 2,880 Fundamental analysis The XAUUSD forecast for 5 February 2025 shows that XAUUSD prices have broken above the 2,850 USD level, with the pair likely to continue its upward momentum. The US nonfarm employment change is a national employment report from ADP, which tracks changes in nonfarm jobs based on data from about 400 thousand business sources. The report is published two days before official US employment data. The reading is currently projected at 148 thousand. If the actual data aligns with expectations, the market may see increased volatility. Conversely, worse-than-forecast data may weaken the USD against Gold. The US services PMI is expected to decline to 52.8. A stronger-than-expected PMI reading will provide some support to the US dollar. The XAUUSD price forecast appears rather optimistic as the quotes have the potential to reach 2,880 USD. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 6 Author Report Share Posted February 6 USDJPY is under pressure amid expectations of a BoJ rate hike The USDJPY rate is declining for the fourth consecutive trading session, with the price currently at 152.44. Discover more in our analysis for 6 February 2025. USDJPY forecast: key trading points Expectations of another Bank of Japan interest rate hike are rising Data showed Tokyo wages rose by 0.6% in December Japan’s nominal wages reached the highest level in nearly 30 years USDJPY forecast for 6 February 2025: 150.75 and 149.40 Fundamental analysis The USDJPY rate fell to an eight-week low amid expectations of another Bank of Japan interest rate hike. Minister of Finance Katsunobu Kato said that inflation could rise further, increasing the likelihood of monetary policy tightening and driving the current decline in the currency pair. Additionally, the latest data showed strong wage growth, with Tokyo’s figures rising for the second consecutive month, up 0.6% in December, while analysts expected a 0.7% decline. Nominal wage growth hit the highest level in nearly 30 years, adding to inflationary pressures. These factors strengthen expectations that the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates in 2025. The increasing contrast with the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of two rate cuts before the end of the year may support the yen’s strength as part of today’s USDJPY forecast. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 7 Author Report Share Posted February 7 Gold (XAUUSD) rises ahead of crucial US labour market data XAUUSD prices are rising after rebounding from the support level, with the quotes currently at 2,863 USD. Find more details in our analysis for 7 February 2025. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points XAUUSD quotes are rising for the sixth consecutive week amid increased demand for Gold Increased buying is driven by concerns caused by trade uncertainty and the release of the US employment report XAUUSD forecast for 7 February 2025: 2,885 and 2,915 Fundamental analysis XAUUSD quotes have been rising for the sixth consecutive week as demand for Gold has increased amid the current trade uncertainty. Investors are actively buying up the precious metal ahead of the crucial US employment report. According to traders, Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with analysts revising their forecasts upwards, expecting sustainable growth amid US political hyperactivity and massive hedging by global central banks and investors. Markets are now focused on the US employment data, which may provide insight into the outlook for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. An economy with full employment, steady growth, and easing inflation will allow the Fed to continue its rate-cutting cycle. Markets expect the regulator to lower the rate by another 100 basis points in the process. This will inevitably lead to a decline in US Treasury bond yields and a cheaper cost of owning Gold. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 10 Author Report Share Posted February 10 EURUSD: the pair declines after the US labour market statistics The EURUSD rate edged down to 1.0300 following Friday’s release of mixed US employment data. Discover more in our analysis for 10 February 2025. EURUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: ECB President Christine Lagarde will deliver a speech today Current trend: the downtrend EURUSD forecast for 10 February 2025: 1.0200 and 1.0350 Fundamental analysis The US labour market statistics for January became available last Friday, including Nonfarm Payrolls and the unemployment rate. The Nonfarm Payrolls data came in slightly worse than expected at 143 thousand jobs, below the forecast of 170 thousand. Conversely, the unemployment rate data exceeded expectations, showing a decline to 4.0% (previously at 4.1%). The EURUSD pair reacted to the US data release with a moderate decline, falling to the price area around 1.0300. Today, market participants will focus on ECB President Christine Lagarde’s speech, which could shed light on the outlook for the regulator’s monetary policy. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 11 Author Report Share Posted February 11 USDJPY: the pair found support at 151.00 The USDJPY rate is consolidating in the price area around 152.00, with the market focus on the Fed chairman’s speech before the US Senate today. Find out more in our analysis for 11 February 2025. USDJPY forecast: key trading points Market focus: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech before the US Senate Current trend: the downtrend USDJPY forecast for 11 February 2025: 151.00 and 152.50 Fundamental analysis The Japanese yen has been gradually strengthening its position at the beginning of the year. Bank of Japan’s Board member Naoki Tamura said recently that the BoJ should raise the benchmark interest rate to at least 1% in the second half of 2025. This view was supported by the recent data on wages and household spending in Japan, which showed a stronger-than-expected increase, bolstering expectations of a BoJ rate hike. Investors are currently awaiting the release of Japan’s GDP and inflation statistics next week to assess the future outlook for the BoJ monetary policy. Today, the market will focus on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech before the US Senate, in which he could announce the regulator’s further plans. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 12 Author Report Share Posted February 12 Gold (XAUUSD) corrected from highs ahead of US inflation data XAUUSD quotes are undergoing a local correction after reaching a new all-time high of 2,942 USD. Today, the focus remains on US inflation statistics. Find out more in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 12 February 2025. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: US consumer inflation data will be released today – the Consumer Price Index (CPI) Current trend: the uptrend XAUUSD forecast for 12 February 2025: 2,850 and 2,942 Fundamental analysis XAUUSD prices are moderately correcting after reaching a new all-time high of 2,942 USD. Market participants will focus on US inflation data for January during the American trading session today, with the CPI scheduled for release. The indicator is projected to rise by 0.3% month-on-month and 2.9% year-on-year. The Federal Reserve considers inflation data when deciding whether to change interest rates. Weaker-than-forecast statistics will put pressure on the USD and help strengthen Gold. Conversely, stronger figures will support the US dollar and cause XAUUSD quotes to decline. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 13 Author Report Share Posted February 13 Brent reversed downwards, with prices falling below 75.00 USD Brent prices are declining, falling to the support area at 75.00 USD. Find out more in our analysis for 13 February 2025. Brent forecast: key trading points According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), US crude oil inventories rose by 4.1 million barrels last week OPEC+ maintained its oil demand growth forecast at 1.45 million barrels per day in 2025 Current trend: moving downwards Brent forecast for 13 February 2025: 74.00 and 75.00 Fundamental analysis Yesterday’s US inflation data showed rising inflation risks, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) up 0.5% month-on-month and 3.0% year-on-year (expected at 0.4% and 2.9%, respectively). Accelerating inflation may negatively impact US economic growth, putting pressure on oil prices. Brent was also affected by the release of the latest EIA report on US crude oil inventories. The data showed that oil stocks increased by 4.1 million barrels last week, exceeding the expected growth of 3.0 million. OPEC+ maintained its oil demand growth forecast at 1.45 million barrels per day in 2025. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 14 Author Report Share Posted February 14 EURUSD: the pair rises amid talks on Ukraine The EURUSD rate rose to the price area near 1.0500, driven by the beginning of negotiations to end the conflict in Ukraine. Find out more in our analysis for 14 February 2025. EURUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: the market is awaiting the eurozone’s GDP data for Q4 2024 today Current trend: upward momentum EURUSD forecast for 14 February 2025: 1.0400 and 1.0530 Fundamental analysis The euro rate rose above a two-week high of 1.0400 after US President Donald Trump signed a memorandum to renegotiate reciprocal tariffs with the eurozone without immediately imposing new tariffs, easing concerns about a sharp deterioration of trade relations with the US. Optimism about the euro currency also rose on hopes of an end to the military conflict in Ukraine, as Donald Trump promised to make every effort to start a peaceful settlement and held talks with the presidents of Russia and Ukraine. Today, market participants will focus on the eurozone’s GDP statistics for Q4 2024. The indicator is expected to remain unchanged quarter-on-quarter and rise by 0.9% year-on-year. Stronger-than-expected data will support the euro, with the EURUSD pair likely to continue its ascent. Conversely, weaker figures could send the pair into a correction. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 17 Author Report Share Posted February 17 Gold (XAUUSD) continues to strengthen after a correction Gold continues to rally towards 2,950 ahead of FOMC members’ speeches. Discover more in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 17 February 2025. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points A speech by FOMC representative Patrick T. Harker A speech by FOMC representative Michelle Bowman Current trend: moving upwards XAUUSD forecast for 17 February 2025: 2,877 and 2,950 Fundamental analysis Today’s XAUUSD analysis shows that Gold prices have corrected towards 2,876 USD, with the pair likely to form another growth wave in the future. On of the main news for XAUUSD (Gold) is that the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President and FOMC representative Patrick T. Harker is expected to deliver a speech today, 17 February 2025. Earlier, Harker spoke about possible rate cuts in 2025 but emphasised that there was no need for this at present and that further decisions would depend on incoming economic data. FOMC member Michelle Bowman’s report is scheduled after Harker’s speech. Earlier, in September 2024, she advocated for a 0.25 percentage point rate cut, which reflects her cautious approach to monetary policy changes. Given the current economic situation, it is worth paying attention to inflation, the labour market, and the Federal Reserve’s possible future actions. Bowman’s speech may provide additional signals about the direction of US monetary policy and adjust the market sentiment. Based on Bowman’s previous statements and the current economic conditions, she is expected to underscore the need for a balanced approach to interest rate changes, taking into account both the risks of overheating the economy and the need to maintain its sustainable growth. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 18 Author Report Share Posted February 18 Japan’s GDP growth adds to pressure on USDJPY The USDJPY rate is strengthening after rebounding from the 151.20 support level. Discover more in our analysis for 18 February 2025. USDJPY forecast: key trading points Japan’s economy grew by 0.7% in Q4 2024 BoJ interest rate hike in March remains in question USDJPY forecast for 18 February 2025: 151.60 and 150.20 Fundamental analysis The USDJPY rate is on the rise after falling for three consecutive trading sessions as traders focus on the upcoming release of the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes. The regulator is adopting a wait-and-see approach, while the market is more focused on the prospects of an interest rate cut. Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair remains under pressure after unexpectedly strong GDP growth data from Japan. Monday’s quarterly statistics showed that the country’s economy grew by 0.7% in Q4 2024, up from 0.4% in the previous quarter and above the forecast of 0.3%. GDP rose 2.8% year-on-year, aligning with expectations and exceeding 1.7% in Q3. The data reinforces hawkish sentiment towards the BoJ monetary policy. While there is still uncertainty over a potential rate hike in March, further tightening of monetary conditions during the year is considered quite likely, which may help the yen strengthen as part of today’s USDJPY forecast. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 19 Author Report Share Posted February 19 Geopolitical uncertainty supports demand for Gold (XAUUSD) XAUUSD prices are poised to break above the key resistance level at 2,940 USD. Find more details in our analysis for 19 February 2025. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points Markets are awaiting the release of the US Federal Reserve minutes, which may affect Gold prices Donald Trump’s trade policy supports demand for Gold as a safe-haven asset XAUUSD forecast for 19 February 2025: 2,065 and 3,030 Fundamental analysis XAUUSD quotes are undergoing a minor correction after a two-day rise. Gold remains under pressure after reaching record highs and in anticipation of new negotiations between the US and Russia to resolve the conflict in Ukraine. Investors continue to monitor the geopolitical situation as uncertainty around the outcome of the talks restrains price movements. Markets also focus on the upcoming release of the US Federal Reserve meeting minutes. If the regulator’s rhetoric remains tough, Gold may plunge due to higher yields on dollar assets. At the same time, Donald Trump’s trade policy continues to drive demand for Gold as a safe-haven asset. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 20 Author Report Share Posted February 20 Brent is trading below 72.00 USD following the OPEC+ meeting Brent quotes are declining, with sellers testing the 75.50 USD support level. Discover more in our analysis for 20 February 2025. Brent forecast: key trading points According to the American Petroleum Institute, US crude oil inventories rose by 3.34 million barrels There are downside risks for Brent as part of the implementation of the reversal pattern Brent forecast for 20 February 2025: 74.35 and 73.15 Fundamental analysis Brent prices are plunging after rising for three days. The pressure primarily comes from the American Petroleum Institute data, which recorded an increase in US crude oil reserves. According to the API estimates, the country’s oil stocks grew by 3.34 million barrels in the week ended on 14 February. Brent quotes rose earlier, driven by reports that the G-7 countries were discussing the possibility of strengthening the mechanism to limit Russia’s oil prices. Additionally, traders are closely following the negotiations between the US and Russia on the situation in Ukraine, analysing the incoming information in search of prerequisites for easing sanctions that affect the energy sector. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 21 Author Report Share Posted February 21 USDJPY forecast: the pair declines amid rising inflation in Japan The USDJPY rate plunged below 150.00 amid the release of Japan’s stronger-than-expected inflation statistics for January. Discover more in our analysis for 21 February 2025. USDJPY forecast: key trading points Market focus: Japan’s national Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 4.0% in January Current trend: the downtrend USDJPY forecast for 21 February 2025: 150.00 and 148.60 Fundamental analysis According to today’s statistics, Japan’s annual national inflation rate rose by 4.0% in January 2025 from 3.6% in the previous month, marking the highest level since early 2023. The core annual CPI increased by 3.2% from 3.0% in December. The USDJPY quotes fell to the price area around 149.00 during the Asian session, hitting a two-month low. The Japanese currency is strengthening amid rising GDP and inflation in the country, with investors expecting the Bank of Japan to tighten monetary policy further. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 24 Author Report Share Posted February 24 EURUSD is in positive territory again: another rise is likely The EURUSD pair continues to rise and has already reached 1.0509. The market is interested in risk again. Discover more in our analysis for 24 February 2025. EURUSD forecast: key trading points The EURUSD pair rose amid improved expectations for the eurozone The market is interested in risk but is still cautious EURUSD forecast for 24 February 2025: 1.0529 Fundamental analysis The EURUSD rate strengthened, reaching 1.0509. The euro fully recouped Friday’s losses after the conservative Christian democrats won the German elections. The preliminary elections were largely in line with investor expectations. The market is now focused on the timing of forming a coalition. Conservative opposition leader Friedrich Merz intends to create one within the next two months. Strong and cohesive management is considered essential to push through much-needed fiscal reforms, especially amid economic stagnation in Germany and trade tensions over US tariff policy. Reform of the debt system, which has restrained investments for years, is expected to support both the eurozone’s stocks and the EUR rate. The latest data showed that private sector activity in the eurozone remained stable in February. The PMI decreased to 50.2 points, below the expected 50.5. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 25 Author Report Share Posted February 25 Gold (XAUUSD) corrects after record peaks, but demand for the precious metal remains strong XAUUSD prices are declining after rebounding from the 2,950 USD resistance level. Find more details in our analysis for 25 February 2025. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points Global economic risks remain high, fuelling the upward momentum in Gold All eyes are on the release of the US PCE price index Investors expect the Federal Reserve to postpone an interest rate cut XAUUSD forecast for 25 February 2025: 2,970 and 3,000 Fundamental analysis XAUUSD prices are edging down today after reaching a record high on Monday. Demand for the precious metal remains as investors seek safe-haven assets amid market uncertainty. Gold was additionally supported by substantial inflows into the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund. Experts note that as long as global economic risks remain high, XAUUSD will maintain its upward momentum. A crucial factor for the market will be the release of the US PCE price index on Friday, which is a key inflation gauge for the Federal Reserve. Most economists expect the Federal Reserve to postpone rate cuts until the next quarter despite forecasts of a potential policy easing as early as March. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 26 Author Report Share Posted February 26 EURUSD forecast: the pair climbed to 1.0500 The EURUSD rate reached 1.0500 amid positive sentiment after the German parliamentary elections. Find out more in our analysis for 26 February 2025. EURUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: Germany’s GDP declined by 0.2% in Q4 2024, as expected Current trend: consolidating in a sideways range EURUSD forecast for 26 February 2025: 1.0400 and 1.0530 Fundamental analysis The EURUSD pair is rising moderately after the conservative Christian Democrats won the German elections. Investors perceived the election outcome positively and are now interested in the details of how the new government plans to stimulate the growth and development of Europe’s largest economy. Tomorrow, market participants are awaiting US GDP data for Q4 2024 and the report from the latest ECB monetary policy meeting. Investors hope to see hints about the regulator’s further plans: whether the ECB will continue to cut rates or it is poised to pause the monetary policy easing cycle. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 27 Author Report Share Posted February 27 Brent may end the month with the biggest losses since September 2024 Brent prices fell to 72.75 USD per barrel. The market is concerned about future supply growth. Discover more in our analysis for 27 February 2025. Brent forecast: key trading points Brent prices continue to fall The commodity market is preparing to record the biggest decline in five months in February Brent forecast for 27 February 2025: 71.90 Fundamental analysis Brent prices fell to 72.75 USD on Thursday, reaching the lowest level since December 2024. Oil seems to be preparing to close February with the strongest decline in five months. Investors are still concerned about the prospects for growth in oil supply and pessimistic demand forecasts. The possibility of easing sanctions against Russia may increase global oil supply, putting pressure on prices. An additional negative factor is the US tariff policy. Market participants believe that the White House tariffs on China may slow down economic growth and weaken demand. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted February 28 Author Report Share Posted February 28 Gold (XAUUSD) continues to correct, plunging below 2,860 USD XAUUSD quotes are undergoing a downward correction, dipping to 2,860 USD. Market participants are awaiting US inflation statistics today. Find more details in our XAUUSD analysis for today, 28 February 2025. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points Market focus: US consumer inflation data is due today – the PCE price index Current trend: a downward correction XAUUSD forecast for 28 February 2025: 2,833 and 2,870 Fundamental analysis XAUUSD prices went into a downward correction after setting an all-time high of 2,956 USD. Gold prices are now under pressure from a stronger US dollar and the talks on a peaceful agreement to resolve the military conflict in Ukraine. During the American trading session today, market participants will focus on the US inflation data for January, with the PCE price index scheduled for release. The figure is expected to grow by 0.3% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year. The Federal Reserve takes into account inflation data when deciding on interest rate changes. Weaker-than-forecast statistics will put pressure on the USD and help Gold strengthen. Conversely, stronger-than-expected growth will support the US dollar, potentially pushing XAUUSD quotes lower. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted Tuesday at 10:48 AM Author Report Share Posted Tuesday at 10:48 AM Gold (XAUUSD) prices may rise as stock exchanges avoid risk Gold quotes are awaiting news, hovering around 2,888 USD, with the market in great tension. Discover more in our XAUUSD analysis for 4 March 2025. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points Gold (XAUUSD) prices are not rising yet but are poised for a rally The capital market will need safe-haven assets in large quantities XAUUSD forecast for 4 March 2025: 2,895 and 2,921 Fundamental analysis Gold (XAUUSD) prices are consolidating around 2,888 USD on Tuesday. The market is assessing the US steps to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico and 10% tariffs on China starting today. China has already responded that it would introduce retaliatory tariffs of 15% on some US goods, including beef and soya beans. These measures help expand trade wars. They, in turn, will launch a new round of inflationary growth and a slowdown in global economic development, with both factors strengthening the status of Gold as a safe-haven asset. Yesterday’s statistics showed a slowdown in the growth rate of the US factory activity. This raises concerns that the White House tariffs will undermine the already slowing economy of the country. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted Wednesday at 10:31 AM Author Report Share Posted Wednesday at 10:31 AM USDJPY forecast: the pair returned to around 150.00, with US ADP employment in focus The USDJPY rate hit this year’s new low of 148.10 yesterday before retracing to 150.00. Market participants are awaiting US ADP labour market statistics today. Discover more in our analysis for 5 March 2025. USDJPY forecast: key trading points Market focus: market participants are awaiting US employment statistics for February today, with the ADP employment change data scheduled for release Current trend: correcting within the downtrend USDJPY forecast for 5 March 2025: 151.00 and 148.10 Fundamental analysis The USDJPY rate hit a new annual low of 148.10 yesterday. The Japanese yen is in demand as market participants expect the Bank of Japan to continue to raise the benchmark interest rate this year amid an unexpected uptick in inflation in Q4 2024 and positive GDP data. Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) will release US employment statistics for February during the American session today. Stronger-than-expected data (+140 thousand jobs) will support the US dollar and the USDJPY pair may form a local upward reversal. Conversely, weaker-than-forecast figures could push the quotes lower. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted Thursday at 10:07 AM Author Report Share Posted Thursday at 10:07 AM EURUSD rallies: parity is forgotten The EURUSD pair is hovering around 1.0806 on Thursday, with the euro reaching the high seen in early November 2024. Find out more in our EURUSD analysis for 6 March 2025. EURUSD forecast: key trading points The EURUSD pair hit highs observed in early November 2024 Germany’s plans and the general positive sentiment about the eurozone outlook support the euro EURUSD forecast for 6 March 2025: 1.0820 Fundamental analysis The EURUSD rate rose to 1.0806, which was last seen by the market on 8 November 2024. The US dollar is under pressure from a strong euro and evolving consequences of President Donald Trump’s tariff policy. New US trade tariffs on Canada, China, and Mexico have provoked retaliatory measures from these countries. This stance raises concerns about escalating trade wars, which could slow down US economic growth. The market is now awaiting fresh US employment statistics. The ADP data showed that the US private sector added just 77 thousand jobs in February, the smallest gain in seven months. The main reports are due on Friday. The euro is rising as the 500 billion euro infrastructure fund proposed by Germany and plans to reconsider borrowing rules have improved the eurozone outlook. The ECB meeting is scheduled for today, with the regulator likely to lower the interest rate to 2.65% per annum from the current 2.90%. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RBFX Support Posted Friday at 10:55 AM Author Report Share Posted Friday at 10:55 AM USDJPY fell to a five-month low: the yen acts as a safe-haven asset The USDJPY pair is hovering around 147.60 on Friday as the market needs safe-haven assets. Discover more in our analysis for 7 March 2025. USDJPY forecast: key trading points The USDJPY pair fell to its lowest level since 8 October 2024 The market is in dire need of safe-haven assets and favours the yen USDJPY forecast for 7 March 2025: 147.29 Fundamental analysis The USDJPY rate fell to 147.60, driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets amid the escalating global trade war and the volatile tariff policy of US President Donald Trump. The market is concerned about the possible impact on the US economy, which prompts investors to shift from the US dollar to the yen and Swiss franc. Domestically, the JPY position and Japan’s government bond yields strengthened on expectations that the Bank of Japan will continue to raise interest rates this year. This week, BoJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said that the regulator could raise rates further if its economic forecasts prove true. Such comments could be interpreted as the beginning of a withdrawal from a sweeping monetary easing program. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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