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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
USDJPY corrects as buyers fail to hold 148.80 The USDJPY pair remains under pressure, while the reduction of US tariffs on Japanese cars strengthens the yen. The current rate is 148.19. Find out more in our analysis for 5 September 2025. USDJPY technical analysis The USDJPY pair is trading near the upper boundary of its sideways range formed by a horizontal resistance level at 148.80. The current correction suggests a potential pullback towards the lower boundary of the ascending channel around 147.80, where a new upside reversal point may form. The USDJPY rate remains under pressure amid weak macroeconomic indicators, but expectations of a BoJ rate hike could trigger a new bullish impulse. Read more - USDJPY Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) continues its rally: Fed rate outlook provides support Gold (XAUUSD) prices stand at 3,550 USD by the end of the week. Pressure on the Fed is opening new opportunities for the precious metal. Find more details in our analysis for 5 September 2025. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points Gold (XAUUSD) prices continue to climb, hitting new record highs Expectations of more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts provide strong support for gold XAUUSD forecast for 5 September 2025: 3,564 and 3,578 Fundamental analysis Gold (XAUUSD) rose to 3,550 USD per ounce on Friday and remains near record highs, showing a weekly gain of over 3%. Support for the metal comes from expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and increased demand for safe-haven assets. Weakness in the labour market – falling job vacancies, rising layoffs, and an increase in initial jobless claims to a two-month high – has strengthened expectations of Fed easing. The market is now pricing in not only a September rate cut but also up to three moves by the end of the year. This is favourable for gold, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 313 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) corrects after a sharp rally XAUUSD prices are moderately declining after a strong rally and a new all-time high at 3,578 USD. Today, the market focus is on US employment data from ADP. Find more details in our analysis for 4 September 2025. XAUUSD technical analysis XAUUSD prices show a sharp rally on the daily chart, hitting a new all-time high at 3,578 USD. The Alligator indicator is also confidently trending upwards, suggesting the potential for continued bullish movement after a minor correction. Gold is moderately correcting after a sharp rally and a new all-time high at 3,578 USD. Read more - Gold Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
JP 225 forecast: the uptrend has shifted to a short-term downtrend The JP 225 index continues its correction within a downtrend. The JP 225 forecast for today is negative. JP 225 forecast: key trading points Recent data: Japan Tokyo CPI for August rose by 2.5% year-on-year Market impact: this result is positive for the Japanese stock market Fundamental analysis Tokyo’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.5% year-on-year in August 2025, in line with forecasts but lower than the previous reading of 2.9%. For the Japanese equity market, this result matters. Easing inflation signals reduced pressure on consumers and businesses, which may act as a positive factor for domestic demand. However, inflation remains above the Bank of Japan’s target (around 2.0%), supporting arguments for a cautious review of monetary policy. For the JP 225, the sectoral impact is mixed. The consumer sector (retail, restaurants, and everyday goods) benefits from lower inflationary pressure, which supports purchasing power. Export-oriented companies may also gain if expectations of a softer Bank of Japan stance put downward pressure on the yen, improving competitiveness abroad. Conversely, the financial sector may face limits, as slower inflation reduces the likelihood of aggressive interest rate hikes, restraining bank margins. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 313 replies
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roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
USDJPY rally: yen avoids risk The USDJPY pair surged to 148.80, with political imbalance weighing on the yen outlook. Find out more in our analysis for 3 September 2025. USDJPY forecast: key trading points The USDJPY pair is rising rapidly The market is monitoring political issues and pricing in these risks USDJPY forecast for 3 September 2025: 148.90 Fundamental analysis The USDJPY rate climbed to 148.80 midweek. The yen reached a one-month low amid political uncertainty in Japan. Hiroshi Moriyama, secretary of the ruling party and close ally of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, announced his resignation. This fueled speculation about Ishiba’s potential departure, with pressure mounting after his election defeat. Among possible successors is Sanae Takaichi, known for her support of low interest rates. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino emphasised on Tuesday that the central bank will continue to raise rates gradually but noted the persistence of elevated global risks. This signals no urgency in tightening policy. Investors now await fresh wage data, which should provide additional signals on the future course of monetary policy. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 313 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
GBPUSD in turbulence zone – what will the Bank of England say The British pound came under pressure again, but ahead of key fundamental data, there is a small chance of a GBPUSD correction towards 1.3425. Discover more in our analysis for 3 September 2025. GBPUSD technical analysis On the H4 chart, the GBPUSD pair tested the lower Bollinger Band and formed an Inverted Hammer reversal pattern. At this stage, the pair may develop a corrective wave following this signal. Given that the price is within a descending channel after a sharp drop, a corrective rebound is likely. The market is waiting for the Bank of England MPC hearings. Read more - GBPUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
AUDUSD in correction: a pause needed before the next growth wave The AUDUSD pair declined to 0.6540. Australian statistics remain highly mixed. Find more details in our analysis for 2 September 2025. AUDUSD technical analysis The AUDUSD H4 chart shows a strong rebound after the decline in the second half of August. Quotes reached the 0.6550-0.6560 area, from where a minor correction is observed. Support forms at 0.6500-0.6520, while resistance is located around 0.6565-0.6570, where local highs are clustered. The AUDUSD pair entered a mild correction after five days of growth. Read more - AUDUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
US 500 forecast: after rebounding from support, the index aims to renew its all-time high The US 500 once again hit a new all-time high within the ongoing uptrend. The US 500 forecast for today is positive. US 500 forecast: key trading points Recent data: The US core PCE price index came in at 2.9% in July Market impact: for the US stock market, this has a mixed effect in the medium term Fundamental analysis The latest figures for the core PCE price index in the US show a yearly increase of 2.9%, in line with forecasts and slightly above the previous 2.8%. This index excludes food and energy components and serves as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge when assessing inflation risks and shaping monetary policy. Meanwhile, the cash allocation of US mutual funds has dropped to a record low of 1.4%, below the 1.5% level seen before the 2022 bear market. After a short-lived rise in April, fund cash positions resumed their more than three-year downtrend. For context, between 2008 and 2020, the average cash share was roughly twice as high. With funds almost fully invested and lacking significant reserves to buy on potential pullbacks, the market remains vulnerable if sudden volatility spikes occur. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 313 replies
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roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
DE 40 forecast: the index enters a downtrend within the correction phase The growth momentum of the DE 40 index has slowed. The DE 40 forecast for today is positive. DE 40 forecast: key trading points Recent data: Germany’s unemployment rate for July 2025 stood at 6.3% Market impact: this supports consumer stocks Fundamental analysis Germany’s unemployment rate for August 2025 came in at 6.3%, in line with both forecasts and the previous reading. The stability of the indicator confirms that the German labour market remains resilient despite internal and external economic challenges. For the German stock market, this stability is highly significant. A steady unemployment rate points to sustained household demand, which underpins domestic consumption. For the DE 40, the impact of this figure varies by sector. The financial sector reacts positively to labour market stability as it reduces credit risks. Industrial companies and exporters benefit indirectly since steady domestic demand can offset fluctuations in external markets. The consumer sector also stands to gain as stable employment supports household solvency and drives demand for goods and services. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 313 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
USDCAD drops to support at 1.3720 The USDCAD rate declined towards the 1.3700 area amid the current weakness of the US dollar. This week’s focus is on US labour market data. Discover more in our analysis for 1 September 2025. USDCAD technical analysis The USDCAD H4 chart shows a bearish trend. The Alligator indicator is confidently pointing downwards, confirming the current downtrend. The key support level that could temporarily halt the decline is at the daily level of 1.3720. The USDCAD rate is falling, testing the 1.3720 support level. Read more - USDCAD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
AUDUSD poised to surge: Aussie challenges the dollar amid Fed turmoil With the USD weakening, the AUDUSD pair may continue its upward trajectory towards 0.6580. Discover more in our analysis for 29 August 2025. AUDUSD forecast: key trading points The AUD continues to strengthen against the USD The Australian PMI and retail sales support the Aussie AUDUSD forecast for 29 August 2025: 0.6580 Fundamental analysis Today’s AUDUSD forecast favors the Australian dollar, which continues to recover against the USD, with the pair currently trading near 0.6530. The weakness in the USD is driven by rising expectations of a Fed rate cut in September and political risks surrounding the US central bank. This has created a favorable backdrop for the Aussie’s growth and boosted the chances of a continued uptrend. Australian macroeconomic data also keeps the AUD supported. Inflation accelerated to 2.8% in July, lowering the likelihood of an RBA rate cut. Against this backdrop, the Australian dollar strengthened before entering a correction. The AUDUSD outlook also considers the positive impact of PMI and retail sales data, which sustain domestic optimism and reinforce AUD’s gains against the USD. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 313 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
EURUSD: everything is complicated, dynamics depend on US data The EURUSD pair is hovering near 1.1660. The market is weighing US GDP data and awaiting the key PCE report. Find more details in our analysis for 29 August 2025. EURUSD technical analysis The EURUSD H4 chart shows volatile sideways dynamics. The pair is trading within the 1.1581-1.1742 range, where the lower boundary acts as support and the upper as key resistance. In the middle, the 1.1628 level stands out as an intermediate balance point, repeatedly tested in August. The EURUSD pair may break out of its sideways range based on US statistics. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
JP 225 forecast: the uptrend continues, but a short-term correction is possible The JP 225 index hit a new all-time high and then entered a correction. The JP 225 forecast for today is negative. JP 225 forecast: key trading points Recent data: Japan’s core inflation rate for July rose by 3.1% year-on-year Market impact: market reaction may range from neutral to moderately negative Fundamental analysis Japan’s national core CPI came in at 3.1% year-on-year, compared to a forecast of 3.0% and the previous reading of 3.3%. The indicator shows that inflation remains above the Bank of Japan’s 2.0% target, although it continues to ease from earlier levels. While risks of persistent inflation remain, the pressure is gradually declining. For the JP 225, this reading may have a mixed effect. On one hand, slower inflation versus the previous month reduces the risk of abrupt monetary tightening and supports risk appetite. On the other hand, a reading above forecast keeps alive the possibility of rate hikes, limiting equity revaluation. Overall, the effect for the JP 225 is neutral to moderately negative in the short term, as expectations for higher rates and bond yields increase. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 313 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
Brent under pressure: end of summer season weighs on fuel demand The oil market remains under pressure, with Brent quotes edging lower amid expectations of weaker demand and geopolitical factors, currently standing at 66.76 USD. Find more details in our analysis for 28 August 2025. Brent technical analysis Brent quotes are retreating after rebounding from the 68.50 resistance level, remaining within a descending channel. The current dynamics suggest a strong likelihood of a bearish impulse towards 63.90 USD. Brent quotes continue to face pressure, with expectations of declining US demand and uncertainty over India’s oil imports increasing the risk of bearish dynamics. Read more - Brent Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) rises to the 3,400 USD area XAUUSD prices continue to strengthen, climbing to the 3,400 USD area amid dollar weakness driven by US President Trump’s pressure on the Fed. Discover more in our analysis for 27 August 2025. XAUUSD technical analysis XAUUSD prices are on the rise after rebounding from the 3,300 USD area. The Alligator indicator has turned upwards, confirming potential continuation of the uptrend after a minor correction. Gold confidently rose to the 3,400 USD area amid ongoing dollar weakness. Read more - Gold Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team