
itsmeok
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Posts posted by itsmeok
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20 hours ago, nefre821 said:
It is the 90-day cycle, which begins on December 30, but anyone can find cycles, the problem is predicting them,
Hmmm. If it's a 90 day cycle... then it has a beginning & an ending. How does it become hard to predict then?
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Once found and understand its application, let us all know. I'm curiously waiting.
Once done you'll understand why using TS alone is not the answer. But using it to aid your cycle analysis is. And this is where TS developers fall short, slightly.
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40 minutes ago, itsmeok said:
I told you to study the orb period from Ray, I didn't tell you to take his work and try to rework it with timing solutions. I see you still don't understand how cycles work.
GO find the cycle on Bitcoin. It's actually very easy to use and see. It's less than 6 months long. When you find it, report back all the lows that occurred at the end of the cycle. If you cannot do something simple like this. You post above is meaningless, as you still can't understand cycles and look at software for an answer.
Edit: You seem like a lazy analyst.Theres a silver cycle with 90% accuracy around 180 day mark. I didn't include the true cycle. You job is to find it.
I found this today, in less than 20 minutes and backtested it, 90% accuracy following the rules. -
On 4/26/2025 at 3:38 PM, dynastic said:
Yes sadly this is the same old story about Gann. The life long quest for holy grail which will keep the reader buying more cryptic magic puzzle books and courses for rest of his life.
Thank you, I think you answered the question about Gann and why this so called 'best trader' should be avoided.
Now for Ray and his Orb theory (cycle length can fluctuate with 1/6th range)... it is true cycle can fluctuate but I also call this trading book authors perfect "large margin for error"
Ok, let's test his research about cycles. I think the orb theory should become apparent.
Let us check his Gold cycles first, since it is the current most hyped bull market asset.
First we will check medium term daily Gold data 1975 until 2025, we will look for his cycles < 3 years.
You see there is many cycles detected. I choose only Ray's cycles. None of this shows consistent, correlated cycle to Gold price. Maybe his first 50 week cycle (350d) exist with 9 win and 5 loss, but will you trade this 0.7% correlation 🤣
Let's also check long term Gold cycles, I have monthly gold data from 1790 until 2025, so 235 years data.
I see 7.74y cycle, maybe it is within the Orb (7.16y - 8.5y) from Rays expected 7.83y cycle, but it is also poor quality and currently inverted negative cycle. Do you really want to trade based on 'static cycle from a book' with 9 win and 12 loss ?
Maybe the 12.1 year Gold cycle is strongest. Why this is not in Ray's book list ?
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Ok, let us also check Copper, since I know it has better cycles then Gold. In fact, trading Gold is really a dumb idea in my opinion since the Gold cycle are highly variable compared to other assets.Here is Ray's list.
I have medium term data for Copper, daily from 1988 until 2025. It is enough to test his first cycles.
I put Rays cycles, not very good if you simply use static cycle in a book.
How about if we also tune the amount of overtone and backtest period on Rays cycle, to improve
Sorry, still not very good. Reader paying attention might notice 46.7m is within "Orb" large margin for error (39m to 54m), but others are totally useless and there is much better cycle we can find ourself.
How about instead we just use recommendation by Timing Solution for Copper.
Of course 34d/155d is very good, but it is of course not even in this experts book. Why is this? Because short cycle is best for trading, but short cycle will soon expire so it cannot be used to sell your book.
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I will give one last example for Rays book list. Here is Wheat.
I use medium term daily data, 1972 until 2025.
I really do not know what this author is talking about. These are poor quality cycle.
Do you also see how many other cycle peak is detected "within Orb" 32m-52m (2.6y-4.3) range. Orb shows many possible cycles. Many possible excuses. Give me a break.
Here is my Wheat cycle. 44.8m (within 32m-52m large Orb margin for error from Rays book list). It is better then most of his other 'recommendation' but I will still not trade with such weak 9% price correlation.
Maybe you prefer my cycle, 62% price correlation.
Maybe I shall sell some books, like Ray and Gann, instead of trading 🙂 and when I make mistake and want margin for error, I will invent term, such as Orb so you will not sue me.
I told you to study the orb period from Ray, I didn't tell you to take his work and try to rework it with timing solutions. I see you still don't understand how cycles work.
GO find the cycle on Bitcoin. It's actually very easy to use and see. It's less than 6 months long. When you find it, report back all the lows that occurred at the end of the cycle. If you cannot do something simple like this. You post above is meaningless, as you still can't understand cycles and look at software for an answer.
Edit: You seem like a lazy analyst. -
1 hour ago, nefre821 said:
I'm sorry if the topic bothers you @kesk, but I think if I can prevent someone from getting scammed by buying from a gossipy, it's necessary for me to give my opinion.
An opinion on the matter doesn't mean you understand the matter, or come from authority to discuss said topic. I agree with Kesk. Stick to what you know and go buy some books. Prove to yourself through study if it works or not.
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9 hours ago, nefre821 said:
But you didn't answer the question, "What is the orb method?" Or maybe you're the typical one, who wants to generate interest in the topic so you can sell something that you know you don't even understand, but needs to sell in order to make a living.
You can learn about orbs from Ray Merriman if you so wish. You may be able to find a copy, it's a good book on cycles and explains the ORB, https://www.amazon.com.au/Merriman-Market-Cycles-Basics-Raymond/dp/0930706218.
The reason I'm telling you to research this is because the way your talking is like saying baking a cake doesn't work, simply because you don't know how to cook.
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6 hours ago, dynastic said:
What is the orb method and if Gann works, why did he die a poor man as proven by his estate sale.
If you focus on that, you won't understand Gann.
His estate was valued at roughly 1.1m in today's terms. A lot more than many members in this forum. The stories of Jesse Livermore were that he accumulated over 1 billion in profits in his time.
He too died broke, actually bankrupt by the time of his suicide.
Gann wrote about Livermore in his work. He made public note that when Livermore needed money Gann gave it to him, and when Gann needed money Livermore gave it to him.
They were honorable people. Focusing on their estate at death? You'll never understand Gann and I can see you might understand nothing of Gann by the way you speak. I just purchased Ganns new Astro Course. I've studied Gann for over a decade. Would you dare purchase his work to continue learning?
I speak with authority when I tell you that Gann works. Just because you don't understand it, or his estate was 'poor man', doesn't discredit his work.
Like I said. 1.1m is likely more than most in this forum will die with.
Gann was a believer of living life now as if you were already in heaven. Gann was one of the first people to own his very own private airplane, his Pilot was Elinor Smith. Do you fancy to hire your own pilot, for your personal planes?
He was also said to own a winter home in Miami Florida. And boats.Again, likely more than the community here will ever own.
It is also And Gann did more for the trading community of today than anyone has ever.Take a step back. Stop trying to learn 'timing solutions' if you don't even have the basics of cycles down pat. Timing Solutions isn't for beginners. It's complicated as hell, and a bloody good resource for those that know how to use it (even beyond the developers own knowledge base).
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If you want long term cycles, learn McWhirter, learn Gann, learn Sepharial, learn George Bayer.
If you want shorter term cycles, use TS like fast cycles, and spectrum viewer.
The problem with cycles and TS is that you cannot approach forecasting with cycles in a static method. You must always apply and orb to your cycles and you must always be looking alternative waves.
Gann works, his methods and those of 100 years ago works. TS default settings don't work at forecasting Gann. But they WILL help you find cycles, or even confirm your cycle being valid or not through its periodogram.
You can't learn this overnight. SO, take it easy. Pick up a book on Gann, and start to work out each of his methods one by one. Then you will see how TS fits perfectly into this.
TS is not a black box. You must learn cycles and forecasting and then TS will fill many gaps and make many jobs easier.
- santosh26_80 and dev
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Hello
I managed to get this cracked, Alphee Software V3, paid a develop a bit of money to do it. Willing to install it for others for $299 with btc payment. Contact me if you want it. RRP around $2600.
Crack is manually done, no virus or keygen, however manually with x32dbg to find serial key. Takes not too long to do now I know where key is hiding for your system.
Open to offers. Will install via TeamViewer. Cannot reveal key location here, else might patch it. -
11 hours ago, kesk said:
You misunderstood me. I provide the program without expecting anything from anyone. Whenever I see interesting and updated help on the forum, I take a PDF and post.
A forum is where all folks, known and unknown help each other. I have seen this in many such forums, people provide help and knowledge on their own volition.
Hope you understand the spirit.
Chapter 5 is where I learned how to build the mass pressure chart. Gann - Unpublished Stock Market Forecasting Courses | PDF
In timing solutions use the similar module to find which cycle is repeating, only use gann time counts. You can build your forecast. -
17 hours ago, kesk said:
I would like to believe that 'scientific approach' is better than 'Ganns' mass pressure' or 'astrology'. Science has creditability attached to it since they can be tested and proven whereas other mythologies cannot be proved or tested.
If you have 80% accuracy on something, you are welcome to post so that others can believe. Start a new topic and share your predictions in advance so we, the non-believers can learn something from that -:) After all, here we are trying to help and learn from each other!
Due to the work I do, and the fact I have a public audience I won't be doing that. Hence a fake account and stage name.
Software is only a tool. Mass Pressure is an Art. Read books by Gann, like his Master Forecasting course.
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24 minutes ago, pray4all said:
The starting point is 50-50, right? i.e. coin-toss, no advantage at all.
Then the 12-14% means the prediction should be 62-64%?
Still very difficult to trade but some edge at least?
Yes, Sergey should really change the calculation method of his model to suggest the correct percentages, not the lower oddly disastrous percentages. For example in NN, he says 20% is really good model. To the pleb, that sounds stupidly low.
Lets get the latest update of TS which includes the final update to the xpert system. -
On 11/23/2024 at 3:28 PM, kesk said:
I think this is more so User Error.
You really cannot rely on the program to find you a working model. For best success you must at least know Gann's mass pressure chart forecasting skills.
I use this with 80% accuracy.
Sergey has stated, his tool is not a Gann tool. And his approach is scientific. His approach, could be wrong. However, those that know, get great benefit.- Minerva, ⭐ RichardGere and selanne
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On 10/2/2024 at 12:35 AM, abdi said:
hi
dose any one have this software as 32-bit?
thanks in advance
does anyone have a working version with online mode which you can use with the mt4 broker, I hadnt been able to use this verison as it won't let me login offline or even onlein
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10 hours ago, E-Money said:
LOL. Have fun suing the author in Israel.
Also, the course has disappeared from his website. Take it easy, OK.This is the program:
https://www.hexatrade360.com/_api/pay/8960b8e3-b23a-4b13-866c-e8f9f5ccd264/721c88a7-eb4a-4076-a563-3b3bc7b0346d -
On 10/12/2024 at 6:31 AM, AonoL said:
Here’s the 2024 Master Forecast Output: on track so far in 2024: last week November looks a good place to buy in general. No advice. No recommendation. No Warranty.
If anybody interested, I will post the 2025 output for interest only
Do you have the program, or tutorial?
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On 10/18/2024 at 1:06 AM, E-Money said:
I don't have the course. Why would I waste the time or money?
He uses a non-Gann based methodology. He can call it whatever he wants.Non_gann methods, but calling your forecasting service a Gann based service is actually false advertising and in many developed countries Illegal. So no, you cannot call it whatever you want.
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did you end up getting locality maps brother?
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@kesk asked for feedback from everyone. Let me remind you "Share your opinions pls because I have to come to point to stop posting the updates. Seriously!"
If you really didn't want people to share their opinions, then delete your request.
Also, I paid my dues already by providing you software worth 2.5k, a link that is hidden from public domain. If you crack it good job, if not, who cares.
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Maybe @kesk you could establish some form of tool that auto fetches the updates say once a month, and posts them here for Terra or Advanced, instead of having to do it manually. That could free up your time a little. Maybe instead of posting to the forum, you post to a Google Drive we find located here.
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There are a few extra modules not available in TS, such as the McWhirter module.
Anyway I already have a licensed copy. I just hate having to request an updated serial each time something happens to my PC or or I get new laptop or whatever.
Thats why I was looking for a crack or activated version. I already paid the 2.5k ha
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4 hours ago, kesk said:
Which version of Terra are you using? You see, the author makes small corrections to the program every now and then and makes a video. There may be or may not be an official update. So once again, which version you are referring. Look at the Help-About for version date.
And this is the main reason I dont believe the program is making much sense to me. Every week, there is an update. Either there is a change or correction or methods removed. So if a program has so many changes and nuances, were they effective in the past versions? Is it worth putting the hard earned money in such a program?
Share your opinions pls because I have to come to point to stop posting the updates. Seriously!
Yes, the update the host made is actually very useful. Id like if you could issue the update please.
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I have the setup file for ATS 3 should anyway want to attempt at cracking it.
Timingsolution & Nifty Updates - 3
in NIFTY 50
Posted
Don't stress yourself out, all it did was use some 'expert' to verify what I was saying, and why you need to study cycles, the correct way.