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Date: 18th June 2026. US Dollar Surges as Fed Chair Warsh Signals Higher Rates and Tough Inflation Stance. A relatively hawkish Federal Reserve chairman saw the US Dollar Index witness new bullish momentum. The US Dollar Index rose more than 1% and is now pressuring the key resistance level at 100.40. If this level is broken, the currency will trade at its highest in more than 12 months. The new Federal Reserve chairman’s press conference is the reason for yesterday’s volatility. During Kevin Warsh’s press conference, the stock market was quick to decline, as were Gold and oil. The main winner from the press conference is the US Dollar, which continues to be the best-performing currency of the day. Kevin Warsh Press Conference Analysts were unsure what to expect from Kevin Warsh, as it is well-known that he does not support guidance nor give too much information to journalists. However, the new Chairman did not shy away from affirming how he believes the Federal Reserve should work. It is clear from the market’s reaction and comments from analysts that this was significantly more hawkish than previous expectations. Chairman Warsh strongly emphasised the Fed’s commitment to returning inflation to the 2% target. Analysts were clear to pick up on that the chairman’s statements were definite and did not leave room for a slow progress towards the target or any leeway. In addition to this, during the press conference, the chairman made no reference to supporting the economy. Nor did Mr Warsh reassure economists that he will ensure employment remains stable while bringing inflation down. Many are now questioning whether the Fed now has one target, inflation, and not employment. This is unlikely, however, many agree that the Fed will be willing for employment to take a slight hit while bringing inflation down to the 2% target. For this reason, the market views the comments as particularly hawkish. After this meeting, markets shifted toward pricing a much higher probability of rates staying elevated or even rising further. There is now a high probability of rate hikes in 2026, with the Chicago exchange predicting a 32% chance of a rate hike in July. This is significantly higher than the 8% possibility from before the press conference. In addition to this, there is a 33% chance of two interest rate hikes in 2026, up from 14%. The Chairman was very clear in stating that the FOMC all agreed that the Fed will not provide forward guidance or submit dots. For this reason, investors can expect more volatility during the Fed’s rate decisions compared to the past 10 years. Lastly, Kevin Warsh reiterated his concerns about the Federal Reserve’s large bond holdings. He also confirmed that the central bank's balance sheet will be reviewed as part of its broader reform efforts. While no immediate policy changes were announced, the review could influence how the Fed manages its assets in the future. Analysts expect this to support the Dollar by limiting supply. USDCAD - Oil Pressures the CAD as the US Dollar Gains Momentum USD/CAD remains within a strong bullish trend, supported by a stronger US Dollar. The US Dollar is the best-performing currency of the day. The Canadian Dollar is the worst-performing and is particularly coming under pressure from the lower oil prices. The pair continues to trade above its key moving averages and is holding comfortably above the psychological 1.4000 level. Momentum indicators remain positive, although recent gains suggest the pair may be approaching overbought territory in the short term. As long as price remains above 1.4000, buyers are likely to retain control of the trend. From a technical perspective, a break above the recent high near 1.4080 could open the door for a move towards 1.4125, with a further bullish target at 1.4160. However, if the pair struggles to sustain gains, a correction towards 1.4000 and 1.3900 cannot be ruled out. HFM - USDCAD 30-Minutes Gold - Technical Analysts See New 2026 Low In Sight Gold remains under pressure as higher US Treasury yields and expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve reduce demand for non-yielding assets. All metals are declining, which further supports Gold weakness. The metal continues to trade below key resistance levels, with momentum indicators favouring sellers in the short term. As long as Gold remains below $4,340, the near-term bias is likely to remain bearish. Some technical analysts also advise that Gold has the potential to decline to the psychological price of $4,000, which would take us to an eight-month low. HFM - USDCAD 30-Minutes Key Takeaway Points: Warsh reinforced the Fed’s commitment to 2% inflation, delivering a more hawkish message than markets expected. Rate hike expectations jumped sharply, with July hike odds rising from 8% to 32%. The US Dollar surged, while stocks, Gold, and oil declined following the press conference. The Fed will end forward guidance, likely increasing volatility around future policy decisions. USD/CAD remains bullish above 1.4000, while Gold risks falling towards the $4,000 level. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Thank you dear friend This is a classic method I didn't understand when we want to predict the future with cycles and the trend when we don't have future highs and lows and we try to draw a tool on the cycles that gives the future highs and lows How to use your method

Mark the high low of that candle on cycle and trade on that bases. See the RSI indicator too if below 38.2 look for buy only and above 61.8 look for sell

Date: 17th June 2026. New Fed Chairman in Focus: Stocks Decline and Gold Loses Momentum. The NASDAQ saw a significant decline on Tuesday, largely due to profit-taking from stocks that had seen significant increases in the previous days. All global indices fell on Tuesday as investors took a cautious approach to the new Federal Reserve chairman. However, the NASDAQ came under significantly higher pressure. Furthermore, the US Dollar is declining largely due to the lower demand for safe-haven assets and lower oil prices. Crude oil has now fallen to $75 per barrel, the lowest since 5 March. Gold has also lost momentum despite the price of the Dollar retracing lower. The main price drivers for the US Dollar and Gold will be tonight’s press conference from the Federal Reserve. The NASDAQ Comes Under Profit-Taking Pressure Analysts note that the stocks that drove the NASDAQ lower on Tuesday were primarily NVIDIA, Broadcom, Micron Technology, and Intel. These are stocks that had seen significant gains in the previous days. For this reason, investors believe the decline is also due to profit-taking after quick significant quick gains. In addition to this, investors are also taking a cautious approach to the Federal Reserve’s press conference. The US Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision tonight at 18:00 GMT. Kevin Warsh will chair the meeting and hold his first press conference as chairman. HFM - NASDAQ 30-Minute Chart Markets widely expect interest rates to remain unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%. Investors will instead focus on the press conference and updated economic projections for clues on the future policy path. Kevin Warsh does not favour forward guidance, which sets him apart from his predecessor. Some analysts believe that, despite his hawkish policy stance, a reduced emphasis on forward guidance could benefit the stock market. Previously, Mr Warsh has told the market he is looking to reform the Fed. Investors will be interested to hear what this means for Fed policy. If the Fed opts to stop its QE programme, the stock market could come under pressure, particularly as the Dollar increases again. The NASDAQ remains in an overall uptrend, but the next major move is likely to depend on the Federal Reserve meeting. A hawkish tone from Kevin Warsh could pressure growth stocks and extend the current pullback. A neutral or dovish tone could help the index retest its recent highs. However, in terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ is regaining bullish momentum and obtaining further buy signals as the price corrects. Gold Does Not Maintain Bullish Momentum Gold has traded mostly sideways over the past 24 hours, holding near a one-week high around the $4,330-$4,370 area. Momentum remains cautiously positive after Monday’s rebound, but the recovery is not fully confirmed while prices stay below the key 200-day moving average, which is acting as resistance near $4,446. A key concern for technical analysts is that Gold has not been able to maintain bullish momentum while the US Dollar has continued to decline. This can be seen as a key signal that Gold may again decline or remain within a new price range between $4,000 and $4,350. The short-term bias remains neutral-to-slightly bullish as long as gold holds above the recent support zone around $4,300–$4,320. A break above $4,446 could strengthen the bullish outlook, while a move back below $4,300 may signal renewed selling pressure. A hawkish Fed can pressure Gold, in a very similar way to the stock market. HFM - Gold 30-Minute Chart Key Takeaways: The NASDAQ fell as investors took profits in semiconductor stocks following strong gains earlier in the week. Investors await Kevin Warsh’s first Fed press conference for clues on future monetary policy and reforms. The US Dollar weakened as oil prices fell and demand for safe-haven assets eased. Gold struggled to maintain momentum despite a weaker Dollar, raising concerns over further upside potential. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

The dollar is waiting for support from the Fed: USDJPY is targeting 161.00 The USDJPY pair is trading near the key resistance level at 160.60 as the market awaits the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. Hawkish rhetoric from the regulator may support the dollar and pave the way for the pair to rise to 161.00. USDJPY forecast: key takeaways Today, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision Hawkish Fed rhetoric may bolster the dollar, pushing the USDJPY pair higher to 161.00 The interest rate differential between the US and Japan continues to support carry trade operations Fundamental analysis Fundamental analysis for 17 June 2026 shows that the USDJPY rate remains near the psychologically important resistance level at 160.60, with the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting becoming the key event for the pair. The market expects the rate to remain at the current level, but the main focus will be on the Fed's comments rather than the decision itself. The Bank of Japan’s decision to raise the rate to 1.00% from the previous 0.75% failed to strengthen the yen noticeably. The reason is that the market had already priced in this move. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

XAUUSD consolidates near the key resistance at 4,365 USD XAUUSD quotes remain under pressure after a series of strong gains as investors assess the outlook for Fed policy. Prices currently stand at 4,324 USD. Technical outlook XAUUSD quotes continue to move within a developing Triangle pattern. Despite the proximity of the key resistance level at 4,365 USD, selling pressure remains limited, while buyers are holding prices above the EMA-65. The XAUUSD forecast for today suggests continued upward potential with a target at 4,505 USD. Read more - Gold Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

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US 500 forecast: the index resumes growth The US 500 index resumed its upward momentum after the acute phase of the conflict between the US and Iran ended. The US 500 forecast for today is positive. US 500 forecast: key takeaways Recent data: the US CPI rose by 4.2% year-on-year in May Market impact: this data is moderately negative for the stock market Fundamental analysis US inflation data appears negative for the US 500 index, although the actual reading matched the forecast. The key point here is not that the figures matched expectations, but rather the acceleration in inflation from 3.8% to 4.2% year-on-year. This means that price pressure in the US economy is increasing, while the disinflation process may prove slower than market participants expected. For the US 500 index, such statistics typically create pressure. Higher inflation reduces the likelihood of near-term monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve and may fuel expectations that interest rates will remain elevated for longer. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Ethereum (ETHUSD) needs a break: too much significant news Ethereum (ETHUSD) is holding at 1,774 USD, with the market watching BitMine and the ecosystem. Technical outlook On the H1 chart, Ethereum maintains a confident uptrend following a strong momentum on 15 June. Quotes rose sharply from the 1,660–1,680 area to a local high near 1,840, after which the market moved into a correction phase. Ethereum (ETHUSD) prices still have room to rise, provided certain conditions are met. Read more - ETHUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team