US 30 forecast: the uptrend continues, resistance remains unbroken
After reaching a new all-time high, the US 30 index trend remains unstable. The US 30 forecast for today is positive.
US 30 forecast: key trading points
Recent data: the US core CPI rose 3.1% year-on-year in August
Market impact: the current reading may have a mixed effect on the US equity market
Fundamental analysis
The US core CPI for August 2025 showed growth of 3.1% year-on-year, matching analysts’ forecasts and remaining unchanged from the previous month. This reflects persistent inflationary pressure in the economy, excluding volatile food and energy categories.
The index’s stability at above 3% highlights that inflation remains higher than the Federal Reserve’s long-term target of around 2%. This signals to markets the need to maintain tight monetary policy. For US stocks, the data sets a neutral-to-restrained tone: on the one hand, the lack of deterioration (no sharp inflation spike) reduces the risk of aggressive Fed tightening, but on the other hand, inflation staying above target caps expectations of an imminent policy easing.
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