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AllForexnews replied to AllForexnews's topic in Fundamental Analysis
Date: 10th November 2026. USD Decline Prompts Gold Rebound Ahead of Key CPI Release. The US Dollar Index saw a strong decline on Monday, falling from 102.08 to 101.48, supporting Gold. Gold prices rose to the $4,145.00 resistance level due to the decline in the Dollar and oil prices. However, the primary driver of the week is likely to remain the US Consumer Price Index (inflation rate). Markets expect a moderate increase for October’s inflation figures. The current expectations are that inflation will rise from 3.7% to 3.9%, almost double the Federal Reserve’s target. Over the past week, Gold’s prices have continued to improve after a record decline; however, inflation remains a key concern. NFP and Consumer Price Index Friday’s NFP report showed that the US economy added 165,000 jobs in October, significantly exceeding market expectations of 65,000. This marked a considerable improvement from September’s upwardly revised figure of 60,000 and was the highest figure in five months. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate declined from 4.2% to 4.1%, indicating continued resilience in the US labour market. Average hourly earnings increased by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.1% annually, suggesting that wage pressures remain present. Investors were particularly interested in the strong wage increase, as it is known to contribute to persistent inflation as consumer demand rises. At first, Gold fell moderately by 0.75%, but momentum failed and Gold was quick to rebound on Monday. However, if inflation comes in higher than market expectations, the Federal Reserve may become noticeably more hawkish over the next six months. As a result, Gold may witness renewed pressure, declining back to the $4,000 psychological level. In addition to the inflation rate, investors will also monitor the core Consumer Price Index, which investors expect to rise from 2.6% to 2.7%. The US Dollar Index and Oil Prices One of the key factors supporting Gold’s upward momentum is the weakening US Dollar. The US Dollar is weakening due to the decline in oil prices and easing Middle East tensions. Since Friday’s market close, the US Dollar Index has fallen by 0.68% and is now trading at a five-day low. This morning, Crude oil prices have fallen by a further 6% declining to their lowest level since late August. The decline in oil prices is also a positive factor for inflation and will impact the Fed’s interest rate guidance. This can also be positive for Gold, but in order to have a sustainable impact, oil prices will need to continue declining below $80 as a bare minimum. The lower oil prices fall, the more positive it will be for the Gold prices and the more negative for the US Dollar. However, this will largely depend on whether tensions continue to ease, which remains highly uncertain for now. If oil prices continue to decline further throughout the day, the inflation release may have a lesser impact. Gold (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis and CPI Release If the US inflation rate and core Consumer Price Index both come in higher than the market’s expectations, the price of Gold may come under pressure and decline. However, traders should remain cautious, as prices could rebound later in the day, particularly if oil prices continue to decline. If the CPI releases come in 0.1% higher than expectations, the release will be deemed negative, but 0.2% higher could be particularly damaging. However, lower inflation could prompt stronger demand. This will also depend on the CPI release and whether the US Dollar Index also continues to remain weak. Gold's four-hour chart currently supports a cautiously bullish outlook, but the daily and weekly trends remain less convincing. The main challenge for buyers is to establish a sustained breakout above $4,150 and subsequently $4,200. On the smaller timeframes, bullish indications are likely to materialise as the price breaks above $4,127.70. HFM - Gold 30-Minute Chart Key Takeaways: Gold approaches $4,150 as the US Dollar and oil prices continue to decline. Markets expect US inflation to rise to 3.9%, potentially increasing pressure on the Federal Reserve. Stronger-than-expected NFP figures highlight continued resilience in the US labour market. A breakout above $4,150 could support further gains towards $4,200, while higher inflation could trigger renewed selling pressure. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
Brent at $90, WTI below $85. Where could the oil decline stop? On November 10, #BRENT fell to $90.42, and #WTI to $84.68 per barrel. In the previous session, Brent futures lost 5.85%, and WTI lost 4.38%. A new wave of selling began after Donald Trump stated that strikes on Iran are unlikely as long as negotiations are progressing. After meeting with the Prime Minister of Qatar on November 9, the US President confirmed that he currently sees no need to resume strikes. All four targets of our forecast from November 3 were met last week. #BRENT passed $103 and $100, and #WTI passed $95 and $94. Since then, both benchmarks have lost an additional $9+ per barrel. FreshForex's Birthday continues! In honor of our 22nd anniversary, we are giving: Swap-free trading until November 15! 220% drawdown bonus starting from $220! Double cashback — up to $40 per lot! Why oil continued to fall Last week, initial reports of Iran's contacts with Qatari mediators eased concerns about supply disruptions. Now Washington has publicly signaled its readiness to refrain from new strikes. The lower the probability of escalation, the less buyers are willing to pay a premium for the risk of export interruptions. An additional signal came from Iraq. The country's Foreign Minister announced an agreement with the US, which provides for transporting Iraqi oil through the Strait of Hormuz via a route along the coast of Oman. If tankers can regularly use this route, part of the supply will become more predictable. What could bring buyers back Trump stated that the US will maintain the maritime blockade of Iran. Meanwhile, reports continue to emerge from the Strait of Hormuz area regarding attacks on vessels. It is now important for the market whether tankers can pass through the strait regularly. New disruptions could quickly return part of the risk premium to the price. According to analysts FreshForex, the decline may continue if negotiations with Iran progress and flights of Iraqi tankers confirm that the agreement with the US is working. Then buyers will have fewer reasons to pay a premium for the risk of supply disruptions. Under such a scenario, by the end of the week, #BRENT could drop to the $87–88 per barrel range, and #WTI to $82–83. Only 5 days, remain to get 220% Drawdown Bonus upon depositing from $220! Activate the bonus, activate promo code FF22 in your Client Area, and celebrate with us!
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Analysis of margin levels for November 10, 2026 XAUUSD XAUUSD: BUY 4047.15-4097.65, TP1-4148.05, TP2-4273.25. The Freshforex birthday celebration continues! To celebrate our 22nd anniversary, we are offering: Swap-free trading until the end of the month! A 220% drawdown bonus from $220! Double cashback — up to $40 per lot! Long-term trend: short. The maximum accumulation of volume for the current contract is located in the range with quotes 4150.00–4200.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being executed below this range, indicating seller strength. Medium-term trend: long. The maximum accumulation of volume for the medium-term trend is located in the range with quotes 4113.00-4128.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being executed below this range, indicating buyer weakness. The area of favorable prices for buying from the perspective of margin support is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones constructed from the maximum of 09.11.2026. Quote for the upper boundary of zone 1/4 – 4097.65. Quote for the upper boundary of zone 1/2 – 4047.15. Intraday targets: update of the maximums from 09.11.2026 – 4148.05. Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the Support and Resistance Zone (SRZ) – 4273.25. Trading recommendations: buy from the favorable price range upon formation of a reversal pattern. Buy: 4047.15–4097.65, Take Profit 1 – 4148.05, Take Profit 2 – 4273.25. Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown! You can find more analytical information on our website.
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Traderbeauty replied to MrAdmin's topic in Announcements
i did check and your old user has a different email so there is no way for me to validate what you are saying. jane -
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Traderbeauty replied to MrAdmin's topic in Announcements
approved enjoy jane -
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Traderbeauty replied to MrAdmin's topic in Announcements
approve enjoy jane pls be more active in the future -
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Sukhdev replied to MrAdmin's topic in Announcements
Dear @Traderbeauty Please add me To VIP valut. I was little off from trading. I am member of indo-investasi plus 5 years under user name "Sukhsan" Thanks and regard. Sukhsan -
Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
XAUUSD poised for a breakout, with US CPI the key catalyst Gold continues to strengthen following the release of US employment data, with prices currently hovering at 4,125 USD. Technical outlook On the H4 chart, XAUUSD prices have formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the middle Bollinger Band and could extend their upward wave as the pattern's signal plays out. Since XAUUSD remains within an ascending channel, the target for further growth is the 4,190 USD resistance level. Gold continues to recover following the release of US employment data, with US CPI figures set to be the main catalyst this week. Read more - Gold Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
Yen weakness persists as USDJPY reverses sharply higher The significant yield differential between the US and Japan remains the main factor supporting the US currency, sustaining demand for dollar-denominated assets. USDJPY forecast: key takeaways US Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 165 thousand, surpassing a forecast of 65 thousand The unemployment rate stood at 4.1%, compared to expectations of 4.2% USDJPY forecast for 9 November 2026: 160.25 Fundamental analysis USDJPY fundamental analysis indicates that the pair retains predominantly upward potential despite growing expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. The significant yield differential between the US and Japan remains a key factor supporting the US currency, as it continues to drive demand for dollar-denominated assets. The key event of last week was the release of US labour market data for October. Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 165 thousand, well above a market forecast of 65 thousand, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 594 replies
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⭐ Rashid replied to MrAdmin's topic in Announcements
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HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.
AllForexnews replied to AllForexnews's topic in Fundamental Analysis
Date: 9th November 2026. Gold Above $4,000 for now: US Inflation and Iran Tensions in Focus The markets last week felt the full effect of the midterm elections and the Democratic wins in the house and the senate. The stock market felt the full force of a market selloff while most safe haven assets rose in value. Economists also note that volatility after the midterms was slightly higher than the recent average reaction. However, investors are now turning their attention to the Iran conflict, oil prices, and inflation. Economists expect the US inflation rate to rise from 3.7% to 3.9%, making a December rate hike close to certain. Gold Attempts To Maintain Bullish Momentum The inflation rate, as well as the Middle East conflict, will have a considerable impact on Gold prices. After a sharp decline in October, Gold prices are improving due to their safe-haven status and the midterm elections. The price of Gold has risen above the $4,000 psychological level and is so far maintaining a price above this level. On the 1-minute chart, Gold is experiencing heightened intraday volatility following its recent recovery. On these smaller timeframes, the price is showing strong bearish momentum and strength, creating a strong bearish bias. The price is also trading below key moving averages and forming clear breakouts. However, on the 30-minute chart, the technical outlook remains cautiously bullish, although a slight further decline will weaken all bullish indications. In order for bullish signals to strengthen, the price needs to rise above $4,116.00. Below $4,090, the price is likely to become more bearish. Only on the 4-hour chart, Gold is showing real signs of a bullish recovery, supported by higher lows and improving momentum. The RSI has recently been around 63, indicating positive momentum without reaching traditionally overbought territory. However, the broader trend remains vulnerable following recent selling pressure. HFM - Gold 10-Minute Chart The issue for Gold is the decline in the stock market, demand for bonds, and the strength of the US Dollar. While inflation is likely to rise and the Federal Reserve continues increasing interest rates, any upward price movement remains restricted. The US Dollar continues to trade above the 100.00 level, which is negative for Gold. If the US inflation rate or core inflation data come in higher than the market's current expectations, Gold is likely to decline back towards its support levels. Currently, 80% of market participants believe the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates in December 2026. Crude Oil Declines on Bearish Trump Comments Crude oil prices are trading close to $90.00 per barrel, which remains elevated but much lower than in recent weeks. The lower oil prices go, the more positive it is for Gold. The key influencing factor for oil prices will remain the Middle East conflict. US President Donald Trump has indicated that further military strikes against Iran are highly unlikely, provided negotiations over Tehran’s nuclear programme and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz continue to progress. Speaking to CNN last night, Trump emphasised that avoiding military action depends on Iran agreeing to a strong diplomatic deal. However, Marco Rubio, the Secretary of State, was less optimistic. Mr Rubio said that he wouldn’t say the US is on the verge of a breakthrough in talks on ending the conflict with Iran. If tensions escalate again, oil prices could rise above $100 per barrel, pressuring inflation and Gold prices. Technical analysis is less viable for Oil prices due to the nature of the asset. However, if the price falls below $89.16 per barrel, momentum indicators will point towards the price declining further. Key support levels for the asset are $87.00 and $80.20 per barrel. Key Takeaways: Gold holds above $4,000 as safe-haven demand supports prices following the US midterm elections and heightened stock market volatility. Gold’s technical outlook remains mixed, with bearish momentum dominating shorter timeframes while the 4-hour chart indicates a potential bullish recovery. US inflation could rise to 3.9%, strengthening expectations of another Fed rate hike in December, potentially limiting Gold’s upside. Oil prices remain sensitive to US-Iran negotiations, with crude trading near $90 per barrel. Renewed military escalation could push prices above $100, increasing inflationary pressures. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
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Weekly review: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | November 13, 2026 XAUUSD: BUY 4129.25, SL 4090.25, TP 4211.25 The Freshforex birthday celebration continues! To celebrate our 22nd anniversary, we are offering: Swap-free trading until the end of the month! A 220% drawdown bonus from $220! Double cashback — up to $40 per lot! Gold rose at the start of the week as oil declined amid more restrained US statements regarding Iran. Lower oil prices reduce inflation concerns and may ease pressure from high yields on the metal. However, October US employment growth of 165k strengthened expectations for a December rate hike by the Federal Reserve. US consumer price data will be released on Tuesday, and producer price data on Friday. Moderate price growth could help gold hold onto part of Monday's gains and continue its recovery if bond yields fall. An acceleration in core inflation could revive demand for the dollar and derail this scenario. Trading idea: BUY 4129.25, SL 4090.25, TP 4211.25 #SP500: SELL 7426, SL 7516, TP 7219 The S&P 500 lost 2.7% last week, although tech stocks partially recovered on Friday. On Thursday, Applied Materials' results and outlook will help determine whether chipmakers' demand for equipment remains strong. A weak forecast could intensify doubts that AI infrastructure investments will yield the expected profits. Actual results and estimates for companies yet to report indicate that S&P 500 earnings grew 31.4% year-on-year in the third quarter. This provides support for equities. However, strong US employment supports rate hike expectations, and expensive borrowing limits recovery potential. While the market awaits inflation data and new corporate forecasts, the risk of further declines remains higher. Trading idea: SELL 7426, SL 7516, TP 7219 #BRENT: SELL 97.16, SL 99.66, TP 92.16 Oil starts the week lower following Donald Trump's statement that new strikes on Iran are unlikely as negotiations progress. For the market, this reduces the risk of new export disruptions. According to JPMorgan, global supply already exceeded demand by 1.4 million barrels per day in October, increasing downward pressure on prices as supply threat fears subside. On Thursday, the IEA's World Oil Market Outlook and US inventory data will be released. Rising inventories would strengthen the downside scenario, while a significant drawdown could slow it. After last week's sharp drop, some de-escalation expectations are already priced in. New disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could quickly bring back the risk premium. Trading idea: SELL 97.16, SL 99.66, TP 92.16 Up to $20 per lot with real funds - get guaranteed income by joining the promotion Cashback! You can find more analytical information on our website.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for November 9, 2026 GBPUSD GBPUSD: The Freshforex birthday celebration continues! To celebrate our 22nd anniversary, we are offering: Swap-free trading until the end of the month! A 220% drawdown bonus from $220! Double cashback — up to $40 per lot! The pound starts the week with support from the Bank of England's decision: the regulator raised the interest rate to 4%, and all nine committee members voted for tightening. One member had proposed a larger step. However, the regulator currently sees few signs that rising energy costs have translated into broader price and wage growth. The drop in oil prices amid Iran negotiations weakens the argument for an imminent further rate hike. The US report provides the market with a fresh reason to reassess rate expectations. Average hourly earnings in the US rose by 0.4% month-on-month in October, and job growth significantly exceeded expectations. This combination strengthened expectations of a Fed rate hike in December. For the pound, this limits support from the UK decision, especially since the market has already reacted to it last week. The pound may retain some of the morning recovery if improved sentiment in equity markets continues and demand for the dollar weakens. A sharper decline in energy prices could also support British assets through expectations of reduced pressure on household incomes. As long as the advantage remains with the dollar, the trade idea suggests a decline in GBPUSD. Trade idea: SELL 1.3370, SL 1.3395, TP 1.3310 Up to $20 per lot with real funds - get guaranteed income by joining the promotion Cashback! You can find more analytical information on our website.
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⭐ isha started following ⭐ JackSparrow440
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Dear @sapperindi Are you registered on this site? Are you interested in purchasing this course?
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⭐ technician9 replied to MrAdmin's topic in Announcements
I just lurk here, I probably don't meet the criteria, but figured I would ask. I can be more active if added to VIP. -
https://clubbingbuy . exchange /threads/the-w-d-gann-timing-system.3833/page-2 remove empty space.
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⭐ setare changed their profile photo
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A "tick" refers to the smallest possible price change in a market. Defining the "tick" for Gold, Silver, and Copper charts based on current prices: For Gold, Silver, and Copper charts, it is important to distinguish between two concepts: Tick Size: The smallest permitted price change within a trading contract. Current Price: The prevailing market price, which is subject to constant change. Important Note: The tick size does not change as the price of Gold, Silver, or Copper fluctuates; rather, it is determined by the specific contract type and the trading market. To apply the Gann method, one must determine the value of a single tick (in terms of price units) and then multiply it by the relevant ratio—such as 1×1, 2×1, or 8×1. Gold (GC) $4,074.90 USD per troy ounce One tick = $0.10 Silver (SI) $51.97 USD per troy ounce; last observed price on November 6 One tick = $0.005
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What software did Patrick Mikula use to draw?
⭐ sapperindi replied to ⭐ setare's topic in Ask For Help
I didn't read Mikula's book, but if tick is price, then you can set scale (timeprice ratio) in optuma to achieve the same. read this Using the Time/Price Ratio to Scale a Chart | Optuma Knowledge Base -
These two are different (scale/tics); in his book, Mr. Mikula uses "ticks" rather than a scale. Do you have any ideas regarding this?
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What software did Patrick Mikula use to draw?
⭐ sapperindi replied to ⭐ setare's topic in Ask For Help
@setare - you can set scale in optuma, the right bottom corner.