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Mark the high low of that candle on cycle and trade on that bases. See the RSI indicator too if below 38.2 look for buy only and above 61.8 look for sell

Date: 17th June 2026. New Fed Chairman in Focus: Stocks Decline and Gold Loses Momentum. The NASDAQ saw a significant decline on Tuesday, largely due to profit-taking from stocks that had seen significant increases in the previous days. All global indices fell on Tuesday as investors took a cautious approach to the new Federal Reserve chairman. However, the NASDAQ came under significantly higher pressure. Furthermore, the US Dollar is declining largely due to the lower demand for safe-haven assets and lower oil prices. Crude oil has now fallen to $75 per barrel, the lowest since 5 March. Gold has also lost momentum despite the price of the Dollar retracing lower. The main price drivers for the US Dollar and Gold will be tonight’s press conference from the Federal Reserve. The NASDAQ Comes Under Profit-Taking Pressure Analysts note that the stocks that drove the NASDAQ lower on Tuesday were primarily NVIDIA, Broadcom, Micron Technology, and Intel. These are stocks that had seen significant gains in the previous days. For this reason, investors believe the decline is also due to profit-taking after quick significant quick gains. In addition to this, investors are also taking a cautious approach to the Federal Reserve’s press conference. The US Federal Reserve will announce its monetary policy decision tonight at 18:00 GMT. Kevin Warsh will chair the meeting and hold his first press conference as chairman. HFM - NASDAQ 30-Minute Chart Markets widely expect interest rates to remain unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%. Investors will instead focus on the press conference and updated economic projections for clues on the future policy path. Kevin Warsh does not favour forward guidance, which sets him apart from his predecessor. Some analysts believe that, despite his hawkish policy stance, a reduced emphasis on forward guidance could benefit the stock market. Previously, Mr Warsh has told the market he is looking to reform the Fed. Investors will be interested to hear what this means for Fed policy. If the Fed opts to stop its QE programme, the stock market could come under pressure, particularly as the Dollar increases again. The NASDAQ remains in an overall uptrend, but the next major move is likely to depend on the Federal Reserve meeting. A hawkish tone from Kevin Warsh could pressure growth stocks and extend the current pullback. A neutral or dovish tone could help the index retest its recent highs. However, in terms of technical analysis, the NASDAQ is regaining bullish momentum and obtaining further buy signals as the price corrects. Gold Does Not Maintain Bullish Momentum Gold has traded mostly sideways over the past 24 hours, holding near a one-week high around the $4,330-$4,370 area. Momentum remains cautiously positive after Monday’s rebound, but the recovery is not fully confirmed while prices stay below the key 200-day moving average, which is acting as resistance near $4,446. A key concern for technical analysts is that Gold has not been able to maintain bullish momentum while the US Dollar has continued to decline. This can be seen as a key signal that Gold may again decline or remain within a new price range between $4,000 and $4,350. The short-term bias remains neutral-to-slightly bullish as long as gold holds above the recent support zone around $4,300–$4,320. A break above $4,446 could strengthen the bullish outlook, while a move back below $4,300 may signal renewed selling pressure. A hawkish Fed can pressure Gold, in a very similar way to the stock market. HFM - Gold 30-Minute Chart Key Takeaways: The NASDAQ fell as investors took profits in semiconductor stocks following strong gains earlier in the week. Investors await Kevin Warsh’s first Fed press conference for clues on future monetary policy and reforms. The US Dollar weakened as oil prices fell and demand for safe-haven assets eased. Gold struggled to maintain momentum despite a weaker Dollar, raising concerns over further upside potential. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

The dollar is waiting for support from the Fed: USDJPY is targeting 161.00 The USDJPY pair is trading near the key resistance level at 160.60 as the market awaits the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. Hawkish rhetoric from the regulator may support the dollar and pave the way for the pair to rise to 161.00. USDJPY forecast: key takeaways Today, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision Hawkish Fed rhetoric may bolster the dollar, pushing the USDJPY pair higher to 161.00 The interest rate differential between the US and Japan continues to support carry trade operations Fundamental analysis Fundamental analysis for 17 June 2026 shows that the USDJPY rate remains near the psychologically important resistance level at 160.60, with the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting becoming the key event for the pair. The market expects the rate to remain at the current level, but the main focus will be on the Fed's comments rather than the decision itself. The Bank of Japan’s decision to raise the rate to 1.00% from the previous 0.75% failed to strengthen the yen noticeably. The reason is that the market had already priced in this move. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

XAUUSD consolidates near the key resistance at 4,365 USD XAUUSD quotes remain under pressure after a series of strong gains as investors assess the outlook for Fed policy. Prices currently stand at 4,324 USD. Technical outlook XAUUSD quotes continue to move within a developing Triangle pattern. Despite the proximity of the key resistance level at 4,365 USD, selling pressure remains limited, while buyers are holding prices above the EMA-65. The XAUUSD forecast for today suggests continued upward potential with a target at 4,505 USD. Read more - Gold Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

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US 500 forecast: the index resumes growth The US 500 index resumed its upward momentum after the acute phase of the conflict between the US and Iran ended. The US 500 forecast for today is positive. US 500 forecast: key takeaways Recent data: the US CPI rose by 4.2% year-on-year in May Market impact: this data is moderately negative for the stock market Fundamental analysis US inflation data appears negative for the US 500 index, although the actual reading matched the forecast. The key point here is not that the figures matched expectations, but rather the acceleration in inflation from 3.8% to 4.2% year-on-year. This means that price pressure in the US economy is increasing, while the disinflation process may prove slower than market participants expected. For the US 500 index, such statistics typically create pressure. Higher inflation reduces the likelihood of near-term monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve and may fuel expectations that interest rates will remain elevated for longer. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Ethereum (ETHUSD) needs a break: too much significant news Ethereum (ETHUSD) is holding at 1,774 USD, with the market watching BitMine and the ecosystem. Technical outlook On the H1 chart, Ethereum maintains a confident uptrend following a strong momentum on 15 June. Quotes rose sharply from the 1,660–1,680 area to a local high near 1,840, after which the market moved into a correction phase. Ethereum (ETHUSD) prices still have room to rise, provided certain conditions are met. Read more - ETHUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

[B]Date: 16th June 2026.[/B] [B]Trump announced that the US and Iran will sign a peace agreement on Friday.[/B] A major week for central banks and the global currency markets is underway as five central banks release their interest rate decisions. These include the Bank of Japan, Reserve Bank of Australia, Federal Reserve, Swiss National Bank, and Bank of England. So far, the Bank of Japan and Reserve Bank of Australia have made their interest rate decisions public, but the most influential decision will come from the Federal Reserve. The best-performing currencies of the past week have been the Australian Dollar and Swiss Franc. The Australian Dollar has been the best performing currency of 2026 so far, but the performance of multiple currencies will depend largely on the Federal Reserve and the US Dollar. Japanese Yen - BOJ Hike Takes Rates to a 31-Year High The Bank of Japan adjusted its policy rate from 0.75% to 1.00%, the highest since 1995. However, the Japanese Yen’s first reaction was to slightly decline, and any gains since have been minimal. As interest rate hikes are known to support the currency, why has the Japanese Yen not seen significant gains? HFM - USDJPY 30-Minute Chart The interest rate hike was widely expected and fully priced into the market. As a result, there was little need for further buying after the bank adjusted rates. In addition, the US Dollar was the best-performing currency during this morning’s Asian session and yesterday’s US session. Investors still expect Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh to maintain a hawkish stance. Bond yields also remain 20% above their 12-month average. For the Japanese Yen to gain momentum, the BOJ will need to give a strong indication of more rate hikes. So far, most analysts believe the Bank of Japan may hike on one more occasion this year. However, even with a further hike, the Yen may need a more neutral Fed in order to maintain momentum in its favour. Harumi Taguchi, principal economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence said ‘I believe the BOJ stance remains unchanged in that it will continue to implement gradual rate hikes roughly every six months. Another rate hike within the year is also possible.’ In terms of technical analysis, the price is at a neutral level, with the currency pair trading at the 200-bar moving average on the 5-minute chart. In addition to this, the price is trading in the middle of the day’s high and low. For a sell signal to materialise, traders will be looking for the price to fall below 160.140. At this level, the price will form a crossover, move away from the 200-bar SMA, and regain 65% of the previous bullish wave. For this reason, sell signals can strengthen at this point for the USD/JPY. Australian Dollar - The RBA Keeps Rates Unchanged The Australian Dollar is declining against all currencies as the Reserve Bank of Australia kept interest rates unchanged and agreed that unemployment is higher than expected. Some comments from the RBA governor were deemed hawkish, but investors focused on certain comments on the economy. Indeed, economic and employment data in recent weeks have deteriorated. However, the governor was also clear that she believes inflation will remain high. According to the RBA, there are signs that consumer spending growth is slowing as expected, while housing market momentum has weakened, with prices falling in some capital cities. The unemployment rate rose more than expected in April, although other labour market indicators remain relatively resilient. Similar to the Japanese Yen, the performance of the AUD will also depend largely on the US Dollar. However, the AUD remains the best-performing currency of the year, even ahead of the US Dollar. Therefore, investors should be cautious of quick bullish impulse waves in favour of the AUD. HFM - AUDUSD 30-Minute Chart Federal Reserve - US Dollar Hold Onto Gains Despite facing fundamental pressure from the US-Iran peace deal and lower oil prices, the US Dollar Index proved resilient. After recovering the losses caused by the negative price gap, the currency continued to strengthen and moved even higher. The market is not expecting any adjustments to interest rates tomorrow, but is treating Kevin Warsh with caution. Despite the changes in market conditions, bond yields remain high, and markets continue to price in at least one interest rate hike this year. For this reason, the US Dollar holds onto its gains, but the easing tensions in the Middle East can pressure the safe-haven currency. Markets will expect major volatility during the press conference of the new Federal Reserve Chairman, Kevin Warsh. Of particular interest to investors is whether he believes rates will rise in the coming months. Key Takeaway: The Federal Reserve remains the main market focus. While several central banks are announcing rate decisions, investors are primarily watching the new Fed Chair for guidance on future rate hikes. The Bank of Japan raised rates to their highest level since 1995. However, the Yen saw limited gains as the move was already priced in and a strong Dollar offset the impact. The Australian Dollar remains the year’s strongest currency despite RBA caution. The RBA kept rates unchanged and highlighted softer economic conditions, but persistent inflation continues to support the currency. US Dollar strength continues despite easing geopolitical risks. High bond yields and expectations of at least one Fed rate hike this year are helping the Dollar hold onto its gains. However, tomorrow’s Federal Reserve press conference will be key for this. [B]Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.[/B] [B]Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.[/B] Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/hf/en/trading-tools/economic-calendar.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/en/trading-tools/trading-webinars.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to register for FREE! [URL='https://analysis.hfm.com/'][B]Click HERE to READ more Market news.[/B][/URL] [B]Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets[/B] [B]Disclaimer:[/B] This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.