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  4. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) stays positive as buyers focus on further gains Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rose to 65,126 USD, with risk assets supported by US economic data. Technical outlook On the H1 chart, BTCUSD maintains its upward momentum and is trading near 65,126. After recovering from the 64,650–64,800 zone, the price returned above the middle Bollinger Band and approached the indicator’s upper boundary. The Bitcoin price is moving higher as the market focuses on positive signals and ignores the delay to the Clarity Act. Read more - BTCUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team
  5. Market Fundamental Analysis for August 10, 2026 GBPUSD GBPUSD: Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only. The pound begins the new session with moderate support from fresh UK labor market data. The REC/KPMG survey showed signs of stabilization in hiring in July and faster growth in starting salaries. This reduces the risk of a sharp deterioration in domestic conditions and keeps the Bank of England focused on price pressures, but it does not yet provide GBPUSD with a strong independent bullish driver. Following weak US employment data, the dollar lost some of its advantage, although demand for the US currency is recovering moderately at the start of Monday’s session. US Treasury yields are edging higher, while the market is reluctant to extend Friday’s repricing of Federal Reserve expectations ahead of the July inflation report. For the pound, this creates renewed pressure despite more resilient signals from the UK labor market. The Bank of England is keeping its policy rate at 3.75%, so the pound’s next move will depend on whether upcoming data confirm economic resilience and persistent inflationary pressure. For now, the fresh UK factor only limits downside pressure and does not outweigh the current US dollar impulse. Under the baseline scenario, the bias remains toward a moderate decline in GBPUSD during the session. Trading idea: SELL 1.3485, SL 1.3520, TP 1.3400
  6. Date: 10th August 2026. Weak NFP Hits the Dollar and Supports Gold as Markets Turn to US Inflation. The US NFP release comes in as a surprise, pushing the US Dollar significantly lower. Due to the end of the World Cup, economists were expecting the employment data to come in weaker than expected. However, the US NFP change fell by 80,000, significantly lower than predictions. For this reason, expectations of interest rate hikes in September fell. In response to the NFP release, the stock market found further support, as did Gold. However, the US Dollar Index fell close to a two-month low. According to the Bank of America, NFP is triggering volatility, but the upcoming inflation release will be more significant and could trigger longer-lasting trends. Non-Farm Payrolls - Weak NFP Shocks Markets The average NFP change over the past six months is 86,000, and most economists were expecting the latest release to be 75,000. However, many institutions and fund managers were expecting a figure as low as 50,000 due to the end of the World Cup. The official NFP figures fell by 23,000, marking the first time in five months that the US employment change has fallen. Average hourly earnings increased by only $0.02 to $37.62, equivalent to roughly 0.1% month-on-month, while annual wage growth slowed to 3.2%. This is important for the Fed because weaker wage growth reduces one source of inflationary pressure. The fall in unemployment from 4.2% to 4.1% looks positive at first. However, the overall figure confirms this does not necessarily confirm a strengthening labour market. This is because of the weak NFP figure and the decline in the labour force participation rate. For this reason, the employment data does not support an interest rate hike despite the Federal Reserve chairman’s wish to hike. Consequently, the Consumer Price Index (inflation rate) on Wednesday will be vital for market pricing. Consumer Price Index - Inflation to Determine the Next Trend? The July US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be released on Wednesday, 12 August at 8:30 a.m. ET. The release will be the most important announcement for the Federal Reserve after Friday’s unexpectedly weak employment report. Investors and economists are expecting the inflation rate to fall from 3.5% to 3.4% and core inflation to fall to 2.5%. If inflation falls below 3.4%, expectations for a September rate hike would likely decline sharply. Such an outcome could trigger significant market volatility as traders rapidly reprice interest rate expectations across currencies, equities, bonds, and Gold. Over the past week, the possibility of a rate adjustment in September fell from 67% to 44%. If the inflation rate falls, the chances of a rate hike will likely fall below 30%. As a result, the US Dollar is likely to fall, while Gold and stocks find support. Bank of America has also advised that it is increasing its target for the S&P 500 to 8,000 due to higher earnings and AI. Gold - Finds Support from a Potential Pause and a Weaker Dollar Gold is showing strong bullish momentum, outperforming the US Dollar and experiencing higher volatility in line with its inverse correlation. Trend-based indications are also supporting a bullish bias, with the price trading above the VWAP, above its previous highs, and with clear bullish crossovers. HFM - Gold 2-Hour Chart In terms of technical analysis, the price is only witnessing a bearish indication from divergence on oscillators. Divergence can be seen mainly on the RSI on multiple timeframes. The divergence signal may indicate a retracement or change in the trend. However, this will need to have a clear price driver. For example, if inflation remains at 3.5%, Gold again may come under pressure in the short term. If the price declines and comes under pressure from CPI, a possible target remains the $4,222.00 level. This level is a support area based on price action and in line with the 75-bar exponential moving average. This would also be a similar price movement to previous impulse waves. Upward price movement, on the other hand, sees a clear resistance level at $4,382.00. If the bullish price movement experiences stronger momentum, a potential target may be $4,570.00, which is the average price of 2026 so far. Key Takeaways: US NFP surprised sharply to the downside, with payrolls falling by 23,000 and wage growth slowing. The unemployment rate improved slightly falling from 4.2% to 4.1%. Rate-hike expectations dropped significantly, helping support Gold and equities while pushing the US Dollar Index towards a two-month low. Wednesday’s CPI release is now the key market catalyst, with inflation expected to ease from 3.5% to 3.4% and core inflation to 2.5%. A softer CPI reading could push September hike expectations even lower. A lower inflation rate will likely pressure the US Dollar while supporting Gold and stock markets. Gold remains technically bullish, with resistance around $4,382 and $4,570, while $4,222 stands out as an important downside support level. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
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  23. XAUUSD Surges in One Day: Gold Shocks the Market Again! Gold delivered one of its strongest moves in recent months. During the August 5 trading session, XAUUSD gained about 4.4% and climbed above $4,250 per ounce — reaching its highest level in roughly seven weeks. The rally was especially notable after several months of decline. As recently as August 3, gold was trading near $4,030, meaning its value increased by more than 5% in just a few sessions! Earn up to $20 per lot in real funds — get guaranteed income by activating the Cashback promotion! Factors behind XAUUSD growth: Weaker dollar. The decline of the U.S. currency made gold cheaper for buyers from other countries and supported demand. At the same time, falling government bond yields reduced the advantage of interest-bearing assets over gold, which does not generate income on its own. Weak U.S. data. The private sector created fewer jobs than expected. After the data release, the probability of a Fed rate hike in September dropped from around 67% to 55%, providing an additional reason to buy gold. Falling oil prices. Talks between Iran and Oman increased hopes for restoring shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Lower oil prices could ease inflationary pressure and reduce the need for further interest rate hikes. Return of buyers. Holding the key psychological level of $4,000 attracted traders expecting a rebound after a prolonged correction. Accelerating growth forced the closure of short positions, further strengthening the upward momentum. Despite the sharp jump, gold is still trading well below its January all-time high. Therefore, the current move could mark either the beginning of a new recovery phase or a short-term reaction to shifting expectations regarding Fed policy. According to FreshForex analysts, a move above $4,300 will confirm buyer strength and open the way for further growth, making current levels potentially attractive for buying gold. A drop back below $4,100 would weaken this scenario and indicate fading upward momentum. FreshForex offers 250+ trading instruments, including metals with leverage up to 1:1000. Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only.
  24. Date: 7th August 2026. Oil and Gold Rise as Traders Await the US Jobs Report. Key Takeaways Brent crude rose 1.4% to around $83.65 as uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz kept supply risks elevated. Gold advanced to approximately $4,264, supported by geopolitical uncertainty ahead of the US jobs report. The US 10-year Treasury yield held near 4.68% as higher oil prices revived inflation concerns. Economists expect the US economy to have added 80,000 jobs in July, following 57,000 additions in June. The US Dollar strengthened, while the Japanese Yen surrendered almost half of its recent intervention-driven gains. Asian stocks were mixed as Chinese equities rose, but AI-linked semiconductor shares remained under pressure. Oil prices Rise as Uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz Continues Global markets entered Friday focused on two major risks: developments in the Strait of Hormuz and the release of the July US nonfarm payrolls report. Brent crude gained approximately 1.4% to $83.65 per barrel after hopes for a lasting agreement to reopen the strategic waterway weakened. Iranian reports suggested that Tehran may seek to restrict US and Israeli vessels, despite signs that an Iran-Oman arrangement could be approaching its final stages. Oil remained around 5% lower for the week after previously falling on optimism that the US and Iran would reach an agreement. This leaves prices highly sensitive to headlines. A credible deal could reduce the geopolitical premium, while further restrictions or attacks could quickly push supply concerns back into focus. The move matters beyond the energy market. Persistently high oil prices can raise transport and production costs, reinforce inflation, and make it harder for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. That prospect contributed to weakness in government bonds, with the US 10-year Treasury yield holding near 4.68%. Copper Rises on Supply Concerns and Strong Chinese Trade Copper prices moved higher after the Democratic Republic of Congo introduced an immediate ban on copper and cobalt concentrate exports. The decision raised concerns about global supply, briefly pushing London copper prices approximately 1.8% higher. Sentiment was also supported by strong Chinese trade data. China’s exports increased 23.9% year-on-year in July, while imports rose 27.5%, signalling resilient activity in the world’s largest copper-consuming economy. Traders should monitor whether supply restrictions and Chinese demand can keep copper near its recent record level. Gold Advances, but Higher Yields May Limit Gains Gold extended its recovery, with spot XAU/USD rising to around $4,264 an ounce. Silver also moved higher to approximately $62.26, while platinum reached around $1,740. Geopolitical uncertainty supported demand for precious metals, while Chinese gold-backed exchange-traded funds recorded a fourteenth consecutive session of inflows. However, gold faces competing forces. Middle East tensions can increase safe-haven demand, but higher oil prices may also lift inflation expectations, Treasury yields, and the US Dollar. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold and could restrict its upside. The late-June low near $3,942 remains an important technical reference. On the upside, the 200-day moving average near $4,489 represents a major test. A sustained break above it could strengthen the recovery, while a rejection from that area may signal that momentum is fading. US Nonfarm Payrolls could Reshape Fed Expectations The July US employment report is the day’s main scheduled event. Economists expect employers to have added 80,000 jobs, compared with a weaker-than-expected increase of 57,000 in June. Recent data have shown continued resilience. Initial jobless claims remained below 200,000 for a third consecutive week, while second-quarter productivity exceeded expectations. At the same time, higher energy prices have kept inflation, and the possibility of tighter Federal Reserve policy, at the centre of the market outlook. Traders should assess more than the headline payroll figure. Wage growth, unemployment, labour force participation, and revisions to previous months may determine whether the initial market reaction lasts. Three NFP Scenarios for Traders Stronger than expected: A result clearly above 80,000, particularly alongside firm wage growth or lower unemployment, could lift Treasury yields and the US Dollar. Gold, bonds, and rate-sensitive technology shares may face pressure. Weaker than expected: A soft figure could revive concerns about an economic slowdown and support Treasuries. Lower yields may weaken the Dollar and help gold, although equities could react negatively if the data point to a sharper deterioration in employment. Mixed report: A weak headline combined with strong wages, or a strong headline alongside higher unemployment, could produce volatile, short-lived moves. In this case, revisions and wage data may matter more than the initial number. US Dollar Strengthens as the Yen Loses Momentum The US Dollar strengthened against most major currencies as Treasury yields rose and geopolitical uncertainty supported defensive demand. The US Dollar Index traded close to 100 after recovering from seven-month lows. USD/JPY traded near 158.35 after falling as low as 155.23 earlier in the week. The Yen has now surrendered almost half of the gains generated by the first coordinated US-Japan intervention since 1998. The reversal shows that intervention can disrupt a currency trend without necessarily changing the interest rate forces behind it. The 155 area remains a key reference from the intervention move, while the late-July region near 164 may attract renewed attention to the risk of further official action. Asian Markets Remain Divided over the AI Trade Asian equities were mixed. China’s CSI 300 rose approximately 1% and the Shanghai Composite gained around 0.8% after the country reported a larger-than-expected July trade surplus. Exports increased 24% year over year, while imports rose 28%. Technology shares in South Korea and Japan remained under pressure as investors questioned whether elevated AI valuations could be justified by near-term earnings. South Korea’s KOSPI fell around 0.8%, with SK Hynix losing more than 4%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 declined approximately 0.3%, while Fujifilm plunged after announcing that it was considering a partial spin-off of its imaging business. Despite the recent AI-related sell-off, capital-raising activity remains strong. Asia-Pacific companies raised more than $83 billion through initial public offerings, placements, and block trades in July, indicating that corporate confidence remains high even as investors become more selective. What Traders Should Watch Today The US jobs report may generate the day’s largest scheduled move, but its effect will depend on oil prices and inflation expectations. The most important cross-market relationships are: Rising oil may lift inflation expectations, bond yields, and the US Dollar. Higher yields could limit gold’s safe-haven gains. A strong jobs report may pressure highly valued technology and AI shares. Renewed Yen weakness may increase the risk of further currency intervention. A credible Hormuz agreement could reverse part of oil’s geopolitical premium. With major economic data and geopolitical headlines arriving together, volatility may remain elevated across commodities, currencies, bonds, and stock indices. Traders should review the full employment report, prepare for wider spreads, and apply disciplined risk management around the release. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
  25. EURUSD holds steady ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls The EURUSD pair is stabilising after its decline, remaining within a narrow range ahead of key US labour market data. The rate currently stands at 1.1522. Technical outlook The EURUSD rate is declining and has almost reached the lower boundary of the bullish channel. Today’s EURUSD forecast suggests a renewed upward movement, with a potential target at 1.1635. The EURUSD pair remains in a consolidation phase ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls release. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team
  26. NFP could send Dogecoin into a new trend The House of Doge team continues to expand cooperation with payment and fintech companies, while the Dogecoin price may form a correction against this backdrop. The current quote is 0.06920 DOGEUSD forecast: key takeaways US initial jobless claims: previously at 198 thousand, currently at 199 thousand The House of Doge team continues to expand cooperation with payment and fintech companies The number of services accepting DOGE could increase significantly in the near term Fundamental analysis Today’s DOGEUSD fundamental analysis takes into account that Dogecoin is consolidating near 0.0692, remaining within a sideways trend that has continued since early July. A key driver of long-term growth remains the development of the DOGE Pay payment network, launched with the involvement of House of Doge and MoonPay. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team
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  28. Market Fundamental Analysis for August 7, 2026 EURUSD Event to watch today: 15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change EURUSD: Exclusively for our readers — get $10 to start trading with no deposit required! Register, complete verification, and enter the promo code INDOINVEST10 in your Client Area. This is a limited offer: the bonus is available to the first 100 participants only. The euro begins the session against a mixed domestic backdrop. Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.9%, while the core rate rose to 2.5%, maintaining expectations of further ECB policy tightening. Second-quarter economic growth was more resilient than forecast. However, the unexpected decline in Italian industrial production shows that the recovery remains uneven and is not providing the euro with an independent source of strength against the dollar. The main driver of the day is the US labor market report. The market expects employment growth to accelerate following the weak June result, while unemployment is forecast to remain at 4.2%. The Federal Reserve kept its policy rate within the 3.50–3.75% range in July and continues to emphasize that future decisions will depend on incoming data. Ahead of the release, this supports cautious demand for the dollar amid persistent inflationary pressure. The euro is receiving support from expectations surrounding the ECB, but this factor has already been largely priced in and is constrained by the uneven economic picture across the region. Unless US employment data comes in significantly below expectations, the dollar may retain the advantage. The baseline scenario allows for a moderate decline in EURUSD, while a weak US report remains the main risk to the selling idea. Trading idea: SELL 1.1525, SL 1.1555, TP 1.1455
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