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AI stocks crashed Wall Street. Where will #NQ100 stop? The US market rally after the elections lasted only one session. On November 5, investors began selling off shares of chip and server manufacturers, and the decline soon spread to the broader market. #NQ100 plunged to the vicinity 26,300 points and bounced back to 26 900. The benchmark indices for #SP500 and #DJI30 ended the US session with declines of 4,4% and 3,4% respectively. At the end of October, we wrote that renewed interest in AI had helped US indices bounce back. At that time, investors were encouraged by strong cloud business results and clearer timelines for return on investment. Now, the market has to reassess how quickly data centers will be built and when suppliers will receive orders that investors are already counting on. FreshForex's Birthday continues! To celebrate our 22nd anniversary, we are offering: Swap-free trading until the end of the month! A 220% drawdown bonus from $220! Double cashback — up to $40 per lot! Why Congressional elections hit AI stocks Democrats secured a majority in both chambers of Congress. On Wednesday, the broad market reacted to the election results with gains, but on Thursday attention shifted to what the change in majority might mean for the AI industry. Investors began factoring in the risk of stricter regulation on data center construction. One contentious issue is the strain on power grids. If approval for new sites drags on, some orders for chips, servers, and networking equipment may be pushed back. This is particularly critical for companies whose stock prices have already priced in rapid supply growth. Reports fuel the sell-off Fresh results from Qualcomm and Arm added reasons to sell. Qualcomm's quarterly revenue from smartphone chips fell by 26% year-over-year and came in below forecasts. Arm reported record total revenue, but received $670 million in royalties for the use of its technologies against expectations of around $721 million. Equipment buyers have their own problem. Alphabet's cloud revenue more than doubled for the quarter, yet the company's free cash flow was negative at $9.1 billion. One of the main reasons was large investments, and the company expects further growth in capital expenditures in 2027. Even with strong demand, investors have to wait longer for a return on these expenses. Which stocks lost the most By the close of US exchanges, basic shares #Micron and #AMD lost 17,5% and 17,3%. Next were #Marvel (−16,4%), #Dell (−15,0%), #AppliedMat (−13,6%), #Arm (-13.1%) and #NVIDIA (-9.3%). At #Micron there was also a separate reason for the decline. According to Bloomberg, the company suspended its factory project in Taiwan due to a prolonged labor dispute. According to analysts' estimates FreshForex, in the next few sessions #NQ100 may once again drop to 26,300 points. If chip manufacturers' stocks fail to recover even part of their losses, pressure on the index will intensify, and it risks falling below this level. In celebration of our Birthday, we have completely waived swaps! Deposit at least $220, activate promo code FF22 in your Client Area, and trade without swap fees!
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
Markets pause ahead of NFP: employment data holds the key to EURUSD's next move The euro continues to lose ground following its recent attempts to recover. Today's key catalyst is the release of US employment data (Nonfarm Payrolls). The EURUSD rate currently stands at 1.1195. Technical outlook On the H4 chart, the EURUSD pair has formed a Shooting Star reversal pattern near the upper Bollinger Band. At this stage, the price could extend the downward wave as the pattern's signal plays out, with the downside target at the 1.1115 support level. The US dollar continues to put pressure on the euro ahead of the October Nonfarm Payrolls release. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
Fundamental Market Analysis for November 6, 2026 EURUSD Event to watch today: 15:30 EET. USA - Unemployment Rate EURUSD: The Freshforex birthday celebration continues! To celebrate our 22nd anniversary, we are offering: Swap-free trading until the end of the month! A 220% drawdown bonus from $220! Double cashback — up to $40 per lot! On Friday, the euro weakened against the dollar amid a decline in tech stocks. Selling pressure spread from US markets to Asian ones, increasing demand for the dollar. Meanwhile, yields on US Treasury bonds fell at the close of the previous session. Therefore, the dollar's advantage now depends primarily on whether investor caution persists. The euro retains support from interest rate expectations. According to Eurostat's preliminary estimate, annual inflation in October rose from 3.8% to 4.0%. However, the main price pressure is coming from energy sources, and the ECB points out that expensive energy simultaneously worsens growth prospects. Therefore, accelerating inflation supports expectations of tightening, but leaves open the question of when the next step will be taken. Ahead of the labor market report, the initial jobless claims falling to 189 thousand favors the dollar. If October data confirm employment resilience, the market may once again raise its assessment of the probability of a December Fed rate hike. Rising unemployment, conversely, could revive demand for the euro. As investors reduce risk, the base scenario allows for a decline in EURUSD. Trading idea: SELL 1.1200, SL 1.1225, TP 1.1145 Our company provides the opportunity to earn income not only from your trading. By attracting clients within the affiliate program, you can earn up to $30 per lot! You can find more analytical information on our website.
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roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
Gold returns above 4,000: NFP to determine whether the recovery can extend XAUUSD prices are hovering around 4,050 USD following a strong recovery, driven by a weaker dollar, falling yields, and lower oil prices. The market is now awaiting the NFP report, which could determine gold's next move. XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways A weaker dollar, declining US Treasury yields, and falling oil prices are supporting gold's recovery The market estimates the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December at around 70.9%, making Friday's NFP report a key focus XAUUSD forecast for 6 November 2026: 4,146.90 Fundamental analysis Gold is holding around 4,050 USD following a strong recovery, bolstered by a weaker dollar, falling US bond yields, and lower oil prices. Following the US midterm elections, investors are reassessing their expectations for fiscal policy, economic growth, and the future path of Federal Reserve interest rates. Falling oil prices are easing inflation concerns and gradually tempering expectations for aggressive monetary policy tightening. Against this backdrop, gold is once again responding more favourably to the combination of a weaker dollar and lower yields. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 593 replies
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HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.
AllForexnews replied to AllForexnews's topic in Fundamental Analysis
Date: 5th November 2026. Gold Rebounds After US Midterms: Can NFP Extend the Rally? \ As the US Dollar and bond yields continue to decline, Gold finds an opportunity to rebound from its yearly lows. The US 10-year bond yield has fallen to 4.847%, the lowest level since early September. If bond yields continue to fall and inflation rises, real yields will turn negative, further supporting Gold. Inflation is likely to continue rising slightly in the upcoming months. However, lower oil prices suggest the Federal Reserve may opt for a prolonged pause following a December rate hike. Tomorrow’s US employment data will also influence market pricing for monetary policy over the upcoming six months. US Non-Farm Payroll & The Federal Reserve Markets expect the Non-Farm Payrolls report to reflect a slight improvement in the US labour market from September to October. Analysts anticipate that the US economy added 65,000 jobs, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.2%. However, weaker-than-expected data could strengthen Gold’s bullish momentum and increase the likelihood of a sustained upward trend. Weaker US employment data could prompt the Federal Reserve to reconsider hiking interest rates in December. Economists say that weaker data would still likely see the Fed hike, but future hikes will become significantly less likely. As a result, the market will price in a maximum Federal Funds Rate of 4.00-4.25% for the foreseeable future. If the employment data come in higher than expected, the possibility of further rate hikes could remain the same as current expectations. This is that the Federal Reserve will hike by 0.25% in December, with an additional hike in the first quarter of 2027. Based on this, the price of Gold may retrace lower before potentially falling into a price range. Lower Oil Prices and Bond Yields Oil prices over the past 48 hours have been falling due to the midterms. Investors believe the US midterm election results could reduce the likelihood of further military escalation against Iran. Crude Oil prices fell to their lowest level since 1 September after declining more than 15% since the start of the week. Lower Oil prices reduce the chances of interest rate hikes and higher inflation which can support Gold. At the same time, lower bond yields may lead to negative real bond yields, which make Gold more attractive than other safe-haven assets. So far, real bond yields have fallen, which is positive for Gold, but remain considerably high. If real bond yields remain elevated and the US Dollar Index stabilises above 100.00, Gold’s bullish momentum may be restricted. US Midterm Elections Impact on Gold The US midterm elections saw the Democrats win both the House and the Senate. An interesting factor is that the Democrats also won in many states that are traditionally republican. The results saw a quick change in portfolios, shifting from the US Dollar to Gold. The reason the midterm elections are supporting Gold is threefold: the US government is likely to spend less, there may be less pressure on the Fed to hike, and there is greater political instability. Investors anticipate that a divided government could restrict fiscal expansion and borrowing. This is something that is typical when a ruling party has no control over the Senate and House. Less spending means more pressure on inflation, consequently pressuring the US Dollar and supporting Gold. In terms of political instability, the conflict between the White House, Senate, and House of Representatives creates a sense of instability and makes the US Dollar less attractive. However, even with the lower US Dollar Index, investors should be cautious that a price above 100.00 can still pressure Gold’s attempt to rise. Gold (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis Gold rose almost 3.40% in response to the US midterms, the largest increase since August 19ths. The precious metal also added a further 2.15% during this morning’s Asian session, but has since retraced lower. HFM - Gold 4-Hour Chart Regardless of the retracement as we approach the European open, the price of Gold remains above the key moving averages on smaller time frames. In addition to this, Gold remains considerably higher than the Volume-Weighted Average Price. Oscillators, on the other hand, are providing a neutral indication due to the loss of short-term momentum. If the bullish trend regains momentum, breaking above the $4,133.60, bullish signals are likely to strengthen further. Bullish signals will also find positive confirmation if the US Dollar Index also falls below 101.05 and if Silver increases above $53.060. However, if Gold prices fall below $4,108.67, the indications are likely to weaken and provide a bearish bias. If the price continues to fall below $4,088.07, technical analysis is likely to turn fully bearish in the short term, particularly if the US Dollar Index rises above 101.25. Key Takeaways: Gold rebounds as the US Dollar and Treasury yields decline, improving demand for the precious metal following its recent losses. US employment data could determine Gold's next move, as weaker NFP figures may reduce expectations of further Fed rate hikes. Lower oil prices and US midterm results support Gold, easing inflation concerns and increasing political uncertainty. Gold's technical outlook remains cautiously bullish. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
XAGUSD poised for a breakout as markets await the NFP report Silver is making another attempt to recover ahead of US employment data, with prices currently standing at 52.50 USD. XAGUSD forecast: key takeaways Political developments in the US are supporting precious metals The Federal Reserve remains a potential source of pressure on silver In the coming days, particular attention will be focused on US labour market data (Nonfarm Payrolls) Fundamental analysis The XAGUSD price forecast for today, 5 November 2026, shows that silver is attempting to regain lost ground. Dollar weakness following the US midterm elections and falling US bond yields are renewing investors' interest in precious metals, but the outlook for industrial demand remains uncertain. Political developments in the US are supporting precious metals. The Democrats' victory in the midterm elections has reduced some political uncertainty. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 593 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
Elections weaken the dollar as EURUSD challenges 1.1270 The EURUSD pair is hovering near local highs, supported by US dollar weakness following the US midterm elections and a sharp decline in oil prices. The rate currently stands at 1.1254. Technical outlook The EURUSD pair continues to recover after rebounding from the 1.1120 area and is once again testing the key resistance level at 1.1269. The price is hovering above the middle Bollinger Band, while a sequence of higher local lows indicates continued upward momentum. The EURUSD forecast for 5 November 2026 indicates continued bullish momentum. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
Analysis of margin levels for November 5, 2026 XAUUSD XAUUSD: BUY 4063.97-4114.47, TP1-4164.87, TP2-4298.67. The Freshforex birthday celebration continues! To celebrate our 22nd anniversary, we are offering: Swap-free trading until the end of the month! A 220% drawdown bonus from $220! Double cashback — up to $40 per lot! Long-term trend: short. The maximum volume accumulation for the current contract is located in the range of 4150.00–4200.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being conducted below this range, indicating strong selling pressure. Medium-term trend: long. The maximum volume accumulation for the medium-term trend is located in the range of 3940.00-3960.00. Currently, investment operations on XAUUSD are being conducted above this range, indicating strong buying pressure. The area of favorable buy prices from a margin perspective is located between the 1/4 and 1/2 zones built from the maximum of 05.11.2026. Quote for the upper boundary of zone 1/4 – 4114.47. Quote for the upper boundary of zone 1/2 – 4063.97. Intraday targets: update of the maximums from 05.11.2026 – 4164.87. Medium-term targets: test of the lower boundary of the SWCZ – 4298.67. Trading recommendations: buys from the favorable price range upon formation of a reversal pattern. Buy: 4063.97–4114.47, Take Profit 1 – 4164.87, Take Profit 2 – 4298.67. FreshForex offers a wonderful bonus 300% on every deposit from $100, providing an opportunity to increase trading volumes! You can find more analytical information on our website.
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⭐ sneg replied to MrAdmin's topic in Announcements
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