DE 40 forecast: the index breaks out of the sideways channel and continues to decline
The DE 40 index approached a resistance level, but the downtrend continues. The DE 40 forecast for today is negative.
DE 40 forecast: key trading points
Recent data: Germany’s ifo Business Climate Index for September 2025 came in at 87.7 points
Market impact: the figures create a restrictive backdrop for the German equity market
Fundamental analysis
Germany’s ifo Business Climate Index for September 2025 stood at 87.7 points, below the forecast of 89.3 and lower than the previous figure of 88.9. This reflects weakening optimism among German companies, with cautious expectations regarding business activity, domestic demand, and external conditions. The decline highlights ongoing pressure from high costs, weak exports, and global economic uncertainty.
For the German equity market, these figures form a restrictive backdrop. Declining business sentiment could reinforce investor caution, particularly in industry, machinery, and exports, which are traditionally sensitive to shifts in the business climate. Much will depend on the ECB’s next steps — any monetary easing could help support the German economy.
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