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USDJPY tests resistance: the yen gears up for a correction out of the sideways channel The yen's strengthening has stalled, with the USDJPY pair poised for a correction. The USDJPY rate currently stands at 154.45. Technical outlook On the daily chart, the USDJPY pair continues to trade below the previously established 155.15 support level, while a new support level has not yet formed. The outlook for the USDJPY rate remains moderately negative. Read more - USDJPY Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

BTCUSD continues to hold key support BTCUSD is under pressure amid growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike, with the price currently hovering at 77,842. BTCUSD forecast: key takeaways The likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike has risen to 86% Investors are reducing positions in risk assets amid changing expectations for US monetary policy BTCUSD forecast for 14 September 2026: 73,825 Fundamental analysis The BTCUSD price is recovering after testing the key support level at 76,505 USD, although selling pressure persists. The main negative factor for the cryptocurrency market remains the shift in expectations regarding Federal Reserve monetary policy following the release of fresh US inflation data. Additional pressure on Bitcoin comes from outflows from US spot ETFs. From 8 to 11 September, the funds recorded combined net outflows of around 462.6 million USD, marking a notable reversal following strong inflows earlier in the month. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

Fundamental Market Analysis for September 14, 2026 EURUSD EURUSD: A month without swaps on majors! The euro begins the week after the ECB raised its interest rate by 25 basis points. The regulator raised the deposit facility rate to 2.50% and indicated that inflation will remain above target longer than expected. This supports the euro, but the effect of the decision is already partially priced in by the market, while rising energy costs simultaneously increase risks for the eurozone economy. The American side of the pair received a fresher impulse following August's inflation data. Rising consumer prices strengthened expectations of an FOMC rate hike at the September 15–16 meeting, and US Treasury yields are holding near multi-year highs. This gives the dollar an advantage ahead of the regulator's decision, especially given investors' cautious risk appetite. As a result, support from the ECB for the euro currently does not outweigh the reassessment of the Fed's trajectory. Expensive energy further complicates growth prospects for the eurozone, while the expectation of a US rate hike remains a relevant driver for the current session. Against this backdrop, the priority remains a decline in EUR/USD. Trading idea: SELL 1.1595, SL 1.1630, TP 1.1515 You can find more analytical information on our website.

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US Tech rebounds from the lower boundary of the consolidation range The US Tech is attempting to end a three-day losing streak, with the price currently at 29,279. US Tech forecast: key takeaways Expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts are being reassessed, increasing risks for the technology sector High oil prices are intensifying inflation risks, which could limit the Federal Reserve’s room to ease monetary policy Fundamental analysis The US Tech index is attempting to recover after declining for three consecutive trading sessions. The price has almost reached the key support level at 29,000 and is attempting to recoup yesterday’s losses. Pressure on the technology sector increased after US government bond yields rose and stronger-than-expected wholesale price data was released. The primary driver of the previous session’s sell-off was an acceleration in the annual growth rate of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) to 5.4% in August. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

DOGEUSD approaches key support DOGEUSD is declining following news of the closure of the Bitwise Dogecoin ETF, with the price currently at 0.0837. Technical outlook The Dogecoin price is declining within a descending channel, with sellers holding resistance at 0.0845, indicating persistent bearish pressure. Today’s Dogecoin price forecast suggests a further decline towards the 0.0780 target. Despite strong selling pressure following the closure of the Bitwise Dogecoin ETF, the 0.0810 support level is preventing a deeper sell-off. Read more - DOGEUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

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Fundamental Market Analysis for September 11, 2026 USDJPY Event to watch today: 15:30 EET. USD - Consumer Price Index USDJPY: A month without swaps on majors! The yen is receiving fundamental support from fresh data on Japan. Wholesale inflation in August rose by 7.6% year-on-year and exceeded market expectations, strengthening the case for the Bank of Japan to raise rates at its meeting next week. The limit on USDJPY growth remains authorities' attention to the currency market and their willingness to support its orderly functioning. However, in the current session, the American side of the pair remains the stronger factor. Yields on US ten-year bonds have approached 5%, and the market estimates the probability of a Fed rate hike next week at approximately 70%. At the same time, demand for the dollar is supported by deteriorating risk sentiment against the backdrop of expensive oil and tensions in the Middle East. The yen rally in early September has already significantly narrowed the gap in policy assessments between the two central banks, while the last few hours have seen a recovery in the dollar. Expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan and the risk of authorities' actions limit the potential of USDJPY, so the scenario requires caution. However, ahead of the release of US inflation data, the combination of high US yields and current dollar demand maintains the advantage for moderate pair growth. Trading idea: BUY 154.60, SL 154.10, TP 155.65 You can find more analytical information on our website.

From my experience with HFM, EMA makes way more sense as a trigger/filter than as the whole reason for the trade. Without HTF bias and structure it can just keep flipping you around in chop