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roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
XRP under pressure again: ETF inflows slow and US crypto regulation stalls The XRP price is completing a correction after the recent upward momentum, currently trading at 1.4903. XRPUSD forecast: key takeaways Total net inflows into spot XRP ETFs have approached 1.79 billion USD Ripple is developing tools for automated payments using XRP and the RLUSD stablecoin XRPUSD forecast for 30 September 2026: 1.6965 Fundamental analysis The XRPUSD pair is trading amid renewed interest in cryptocurrencies, although XRP's next move largely depends on US Federal Reserve monetary policy, institutional capital inflows, and the development of Ripple's payment infrastructure. One of the main factors supporting XRP remains capital inflows into US exchange-traded funds that invest directly in the cryptocurrency. Total net inflows into spot XRP ETFs have approached 1.79 billion USD. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 568 replies
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Oil back near $100: U.S. reserves at their lowest since 1982 The oil market has once again approached a key psychological level. #BRENT is trading around $99.70, recovering after recently falling into the $96–97 range. At the same time, the fundamental backdrop remains tense: U.S. strategic petroleum reserves have fallen to 283.8 million barrels — the lowest level since October 1982, while the situation around the Strait of Hormuz continues to pose a risk of supply disruptions. What is supporting oil prices right now: U.S. oil reserves are at their lowest level in more than 40 years. The ability to quickly offset major supply disruptions with additional releases from strategic reserves has become significantly more limited. The Strait of Hormuz remains the main source of uncertainty. The conflict between the U.S. and Iran is still far from a final resolution, so the risk of disruptions to oil supplies continues to be reflected in prices. Alternative logistics are more expensive. Exporters have to rely on more complicated transportation and transshipment routes, increasing costs and supporting crude prices. Negotiations are simultaneously limiting the upside. Any signs of a potential agreement between the U.S. and Iran quickly bring sellers back into the market. As a result, price action remains volatile: several dollars of gains can be followed by an equally rapid correction. It is precisely this uncertainty that is keeping #BRENT within a broad range. Over the past few sessions, the price has fallen to around $96, climbed back above $100, and then corrected again. This shows that the market has not yet settled on a clear direction, but buyers continue to return actively on dips. According to FreshForex analysts, the key range for #BRENT right now is $97–101. If oil remains mostly within this range through the beginning of October and does not establish itself below $97, this would indicate that demand is holding up after each correction. In that case, a decisive move above $101 could push the price first toward the $103–105 area and, if tensions surrounding supplies persist, potentially open the way toward $106 and higher. For now, low U.S. reserve levels and uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz continue to leave room for a significant move higher, rather than simply fluctuations around the $100 level. Trade with the Cashback promotion and receive up to $20 in real funds for every lot! We also offer deposit promotions — learn more. Invest in oil
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HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.
AllForexnews replied to AllForexnews's topic in Fundamental Analysis
[B]Date: 30th September 2026.[/B] [B]Gold Rebounds Temporarily? Weaker US Data and Yields Offer Support.[/B] Gold rebounds on Tuesday as the bearish trend takes a pause and investors purchase at the lower price. Gold has now been in a downward-facing trend measuring 12.50% for five weeks. From the highest price in 2026 to now, the price is trading more than 25% lower. The price on Wednesday is trading higher, but what does the future look like for Gold? Of particular interest was the quick and sudden decline seen on Monday. Gold fell more than 4% throughout all four sessions and with no attempt to rebound. The decline took the price to seven weeks now and close to the psychological price of $4,000. This is also key when analysing the rebound over the past 24 hours, as prices often rebound after such a sharp decline. HFM - Gold 1-Hour Chart Gold - Weaker JOLTS Job Openings and Yields Allow A Rebound In the past 24 hours, gold rose close to 1.90%, which is a moderate rise, but when compared with the previous decline, the rebound remains weak. The attempt to rebound is due to price attractiveness, weaker job vacancies and weaker-than-expected inflation from certain countries. Australia, which is one of the world’s inflation hotspots, saw its inflation fail to reach previous expectations of 4.1%. The same is also being seen in the UK and Japan. As a result, Gold seems slightly more attractive. The latest JOLTS report showed US job openings falling to around 7.08 million in August 2026, down from roughly 7.3 million in July. This points to softer labour demand. Hiring was broadly stable, quits remained subdued, and layoffs stayed relatively low, suggesting that employers are becoming more cautious about adding workers rather than making large-scale job cuts. Another reason why Gold is attempting to rebound is the decline in oil prices and bond yields. Oil prices have fallen for three consecutive days, moving away from the $100 per barrel level which investors fear. Crude oil is now trading 14% lower than the most recent high. Furthermore, the US 10-year Treasury yield fell 33 basis points to 5.23% on Wednesday but remains close to its highest level since 2007. Meanwhile, the 30-year yield rose as high as 5.62%, reaching levels last seen in 2002. The slight fall in bond yields also allows for Gold to retrace higher, but the persistently high levels remain a negative. Traders should note that the rise currently does not remove all bearish signals, and pressure factors remain for Gold. In the upcoming days, key releases include the Core PCE Price Index, Final Gross Domestic Product and US Non-Farm Payroll data on Friday. Gold - Economic Release To Drive Upcoming Swings Markets are expecting the Core PCE Price Index to add a further 0.3% keeping the year on year figure at 3.3%. If the figure rises more than 0.3%, an October rate will almost become certain. However, a 0.4% rise has not been seen since February. If the Core PCE Price Index rises less than the current predictions, Gold may gain bullish momentum. The outcome of the release, along with the final GDP, will be key. The same will apply to the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll figures scheduled for Friday. A weaker figure may support Gold, while a higher figure is likely to see the bearish trend potentially continue. These three releases are likely to determine the medium-term trend. Currently, the possibility of an interest rate hike on October 28th is 45%, significantly lower than the 71% the day before. The reason for the fall is the weaker JOLTS Job Openings yesterday afternoon. However, this release is not enough to maintain momentum. In order for gold to continue to rise and rate hike expectations to fall, the NFP and PCE Index will need to fail to reach current expectations. Gold - Market Forecasts and Technical Analysis HFM - Gold 15-Minute Chart On smaller timeframes, Gold maintains a neutral position and signal from most indications. The neutral sentiment is likely to remain between $4,166.85 and $4,187.60. A breakout of these levels may see indications strengthen. On the 15-minute timeframe, the price maintains a bullish indication while the 30-minute and larger timeframes maintain a bearish signal. If the price breaks above the upper range bound area, bullish indications can materialise. Potential targets can be seen at the $4,213.60 level (at the 100-bar moving average) and $4,279.18 (Monday’s open price). To validate these indications, traders will ideally want to see weaker US data alongside rising prices across other metals. A bearish breakout will see bearish sentiment rise and fall in line with the picture seen on larger timeframes. Stronger-than-expected releases will validate the decline with indications pointing towards a decline to $4,111.50 and $4,019.00. Key Takeaways: Gold is rebounding, but the broader trend remains bearish, with prices still sharply lower over the past five weeks. Weaker JOLTS data, lower oil prices and softer Treasury yields have helped support the recent recovery. Core PCE, US GDP and Non-Farm Payrolls are likely to drive Gold’s next major move and influence Fed rate expectations. Technical signals remain mixed, with short-term bullish momentum but larger timeframes still pointing to downside risk. [B]Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.[/B] [B]Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.[/B] Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/hf/en/trading-tools/economic-calendar.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/en/trading-tools/trading-webinars.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to register for FREE! [URL='https://analysis.hfm.com/'][B]Click HERE to READ more Market news.[/B][/URL] [B]Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets[/B] [B]Disclaimer:[/B] This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
EURUSD poised for another decline after correction The EURUSD pair is recovering but remains under pressure from the strong US dollar, with the rate currently standing at 1.1349. Technical outlook The EURUSD pair is strengthening but remains within a descending channel. The EURUSD forecast for today, 30 September 2026, suggests that the decline could resume, with the nearest target at 1.1265. The EURUSD forecast for 30 September 2026 points to continued selling pressure despite the local recovery in the pair. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 30, 2026 GBPUSD Event to watch today: 15:30 EET. USD - Change in GDP volume quarter-on-quarter GBPUSD: The pound is approaching the European session near three-month lows, although the domestic backdrop in the UK does not appear unequivocally weak. The market anticipates a more hawkish trajectory from the Bank of England due to inflationary pressures, and statements on fiscal discipline have partially supported British assets. These factors limit the pace of GBP/USD decline but have not yet formed a sustained bullish momentum for the pound. The key external factor remains the divergence between high yields in the US and the more vulnerable valuation of British assets. The dollar is supported by strong US economic data and expectations of another Fed rate hike this year. John Williams' statement reduced the likelihood of immediate tightening in October, but the market still awaits confirmation from inflation and employment data. For GBP/USD, the picture looks more balanced than for the euro: the Bank of England can contain pressure on the pound, but the overall dollar momentum remains stronger. Given the already realized decline, selling potential is limited, so the base scenario assumes moderate continuation of the move, unless US statistics provide grounds for a significant revision of Fed expectations. Trading idea: SELL 1.3240, SL 1.3270, TP 1.3180 Up to $20 for each lot in real money - get a guaranteed income by connecting Cashback promotion! You can find more analytical information on our website.
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HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.
AllForexnews replied to AllForexnews's topic in Fundamental Analysis
[B]Date: 29th September 2026.[/B] [B]AUDUSD Falls Despite RBA Hike as Gold Drops to an 7-Week Low.[/B] The Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates for the fourth time taking the rate to a 15-year high. However, the Australian Dollar saw a considerable decline after the governor’s speech due to economic concerns. The best performing currencies of the day are the Japanese Yen and US Dollar. The US Dollar continues to find support from higher bond yields and expectations of further interest rate hikes. The stronger Dollar and higher yields saw a pause in the stock market’s bullish trend, but Gold saw the harshest ripple effect. Gold fell 4.00% in total on Monday taking the price to an 8-week low. AUDUSD - RBA Hikes But Economic Worries Take The AUD Lower The Australian Dollar Index is currently trading 0.44% lower during this morning Asian session and 0.50% against the US Dollar. The Reserve Bank of Australia increased its interest rate from 4.35% to 4.60% and remains the most hawkish central bank of 2026. This has been one of the primary reasons behind the bullish trend seen this year. The Reserve Bank of Australia has been particularly hawkish as inflation has remained far above its 2% target. Between 2015 to 2020, Australia’s inflation rate on average was 1.85%. Whereas the average over the past 5 years has been 4.3%. Inflation is the key reason behind the bank’s hawkish stance, however, the economy has also been weakening as a result. The fourth rate increase is expected to add around $480 per month to repayments on an average $730,000 mortgage compared with January. This equates to more than $5,000 per year. One of the reasons behind the decline and the market reaction was that the hike was already priced into the market. The second is that economists and the central bank are expecting higher rates to cause an economic slowdown. Economists now advise the possibility of a recession for Australia has risen to 35%. Higher Australian rates are also becoming a growth risk. This was the RBA's fourth increase this year, and the bank acknowledges that previous tightening is already slowing parts of the economy. That means additional hikes could eventually become negative for the Australian Dollar if investors become more worried about Australian growth. Lastly, another key factor is the strength of the US Dollar. The stronger Dollar is also placing downward pressure on Gold prices, which could further weigh on AUDUSD given Australia’s close exposure to commodity markets. HFM - AUDUSD 20-Minute Chart Gold Declines 4% To Seven-Week Low! Gold is retracing higher on Tuesday after Monday’s strong bearish decline but continues to remain low. The bullish momentum seen on Tuesday is forming a retracement but is also not indicating a stronger increase. The price action continues to remain relatively weak compared to the previous day's volatility. The decline is due to higher bonds, a strong US Dollar, rate hike expectations and also fear that oil prices will remain around $100. If oil prices remain high and rate hikes expectations continue, Gold prices may fall to the $4,000 psychological price. Another negative indication for Gold is that all metals are currently declining, despite Gold’s small upward retracement. Traders remain concerned about the lack of progress toward a peaceful settlement in the Middle East. The Wall Street Journal reported that the White House rejected Tehran’s proposal to unblock Iranian assets and ports in exchange for restoring traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Trump later said talks could continue this week. The risk of renewed escalation in the Persian Gulf is raising concerns about further disruptions to oil supplies and prolonged inflation. This could increase expectations for tighter Federal Reserve policy, particularly as officials continue to warn about persistent price pressures. Gold (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis HFM - Gold 20-Minutes On the 5-minute chart, AUDUSD remains under short-term pressure, with price trading below key moving averages and VWAP. The Bollinger Bands continue to reflect bearish momentum, while RSI remains below 50, indicating sellers still have the upper hand. However, if RSI moves toward oversold territory and price starts recovering above VWAP and the middle Bollinger Band, a short-term rebound could develop. On the 30-minute and 60-minute charts, the broader technical structure remains bearish. Price is still below the main moving averages, while the Bollinger Bands continue to favour the downside. RSI remains below 50 but has not yet reached deeply oversold levels, suggesting further weakness remains possible. RSI entered oversold territory on Monday but has since recovered above that level. A sustained recovery above VWAP and the short-term moving-average cluster would be needed to signal that bearish momentum is starting to weaken. Key Takeaway: The RBA raised interest rates to 4.60%, but concerns over economic growth weighed on the Australian Dollar. A stronger US Dollar and higher bond yields continue to place pressure on AUDUSD, equities and Gold. Gold declined by approximately 4%, reaching an seven-week low as expectations for tighter monetary policy increased. AUDUSD remains technically bearish, with price trading below key moving averages and VWAP. [B]Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.[/B] [B]Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.[/B] Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/hf/en/trading-tools/economic-calendar.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/en/trading-tools/trading-webinars.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to register for FREE! [URL='https://analysis.hfm.com/'][B]Click HERE to READ more Market news.[/B][/URL] [B]Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets[/B] [B]Disclaimer:[/B] This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) plunges 4% as market tests the 4,110 USD level Gold (XAUUSD) prices remain just above 4,100 after falling by around 4% in the previous session, with virtually every factor currently weighing on the precious metal. XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways Uncertainty surrounding US-Iran negotiations is supporting oil prices and increasing inflation risks The market estimates the likelihood of another Federal Reserve rate hike in October at around 70% Treasury yields are also reaching new multi-year highs Fundamental analysis Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around 4,100 after falling by approximately 4% in the previous session. Pressure on XAUUSD persists due to high oil prices and the associated inflation risks, which are fuelling expectations of further Federal Reserve monetary policy tightening. Oil prices have resumed their rise following reports that Iranian representatives doubt an agreement with the US can be reached before the November midterm elections. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 568 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
USDJPY rises again: the Fed supports the dollar, but Japan prepares a firm response After attempts to strengthen, the yen continues to lose ground, while the probability of intervention is gradually increasing. The price currently stands at 157.35. Technical outlook On the H4 chart, the USDJPY rate has formed a Harami reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band and is trading around 157.35. As the price remains within an ascending channel, it could continue its upward trajectory as the pattern signal plays out, with the first upside target at 158.00. The yen continues to lose ground ahead of US data releases. Read more - USDJPY Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
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Elliott wave analysis of the market for September 29, 2026 BTCUSD BTCUSD: SELL 82350, SL 83200, TP 74500. The continuation of the upward movement in the considered trading asset seems to be postponed indefinitely. This is due to the beginning of a corrective decline, which Bitcoin entered after several unsuccessful attempts to resume growth. In this case, the impulse at this stage of development can be considered complete. It is now worth paying attention to short trades. The target of the movement within this correction could be the minimum of wave (iv), which will be slightly updated, and the price will immediately start moving back up. Thus, there is a potentially interesting short trade. Investment idea: SELL 82350, SL 83200, TP 74500. Connect Drawdown bonus 101% and trade with double your deposit! Bonus funds will help you increase your profits or withstand a sudden drawdown! You can find more analytical information on our website.
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Weekly Review: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT | October 2, 2026 XAUUSD: SELL 4215.00, SL 4250.00, TP 4130.00 Gold starts the week under pressure from high US Treasury yields and expectations of further Fed policy tightening. Following the September rate hike, the market is particularly sensitive to PCE inflation and employment data: strong figures can support the dollar and limit the metal's attractiveness. Geopolitical tensions maintain safe-haven demand and may cap declines, but currently yield to monetary factors. With high yields and hawkish Fed expectations persisting, the baseline weekly scenario remains tilted towards moderate downward pressure on XAUUSD. Trade Idea: SELL 4215.00, SL 4250.00, TP 4130.00 #SP500: SELL 7790, SL 7845, TP 7660 For the US market, the key factor for the week remains the cost of money. US 10-year bond yields remain near multi-year highs, and the market allows for another Fed rate hike. This makes company valuations more sensitive to PCE, employment, and business activity data. Demand for the technology sector and steady corporate earnings expectations continue to support the index. However, expensive borrowing and the risk of renewed yield growth limit room for a broad rally. Given the current backdrop, the baseline scenario allows for a decline in #SP500. Trade Idea: SELL 7790, SL 7845, TP 7660 #BRENT: BUY 98.50, SL 96.00, TP 104.00 Brent enters the week with an elevated geopolitical premium after a quick resolution between the US and Iran once again came into question. Risks around the Strait of Hormuz persist, and new disruptions could quickly intensify supply concerns and support oil prices. A restraining factor has been the recovery in Middle East exports: Saudi Arabia and other producers' shipments rose noticeably in September. This limits upside potential but does not eliminate the risk of new logistical disruptions. With tensions persisting, the baseline weekly scenario remains tilted towards buying #BRENT. Trade Idea: BUY 98.50, SL 96.00, TP 104.00 Our company provides the opportunity to earn income not only from your trading. By attracting clients within the affiliate program, you can earn up to $30 per lot! You can find more analytical information on our website.
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roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
EURUSD loses ground amid hawkish Federal Reserve expectations The EURUSD pair has resumed its decline, with traders focusing on the 1.1360 support level. The rate currently stands at 1.1380. EURUSD forecast: key takeaways US consumer inflation expectations rose in September The market estimates the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate hike in October at 69.2% Key US inflation and labour market data will be released this week Fundamental analysis The EURUSD rate is declining after a correction that lasted for two consecutive trading sessions. The price is actively testing the 1.1360 support level; a breakout below this mark could accelerate the downward move and strengthen bearish momentum. Meanwhile, Friday’s data showed a smaller-than-expected deterioration in US consumer confidence in September. The final University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 48.1 points. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 568 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
Gold plummets again: a hawkish Fed and strong dollar weigh on XAUUSD Gold started the week lower amid a stronger USD, with prices currently standing at 4,180 USD. Technical outlook On the H4 chart, XAUUSD prices formed a Harami reversal pattern near the upper Bollinger Band and could continue the downward wave as the pattern signal plays out. Another wave of escalation between the US and Iran is affecting gold prices and driving quotes lower. Read more - Gold Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 28, 2026 EURUSD EURUSD: EUR/USD starts the week near multi-month lows, and the external backdrop remains unfavorable for the euro. The dollar holds near a two-month high: rising oil prices amid US-Iran tensions are once again fueling inflation concerns, and the market continues to price in the possibility of further Fed policy tightening. Higher US bond yields also support demand for the dollar. The euro's own factors are mixed. The ECB previously raised rates due to an energy shock, and regulator officials warn that pressure from energy prices may persist longer. This limits room for policy easing but simultaneously increases costs for the eurozone economy. Therefore, tighter expectations regarding the ECB have not yet given the euro a sustainable advantage. During the day, comments from ECB and Fed representatives could adjust expectations for the future interest rate trajectory. Some of the dollar's strengthening is already reflected in quotes, so the potential for EUR/USD decline should be assessed cautiously. Nevertheless, at the start of the session, the US currency retains a stronger fundamental momentum, and the base scenario allows for further pressure on the pair. Trading idea: SELL 1.1380, SL 1.1410, TP 1.1315 Our company provides an opportunity to earn income not only from your trading. By attracting clients within the affiliate program, you can get up to $30 per lot! You can find more analytical information on our website.
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Dollar pressures euro and pound: currency pairs hit new lows The U.S. dollar is ending the week significantly stronger, but this move is particularly evident across the major currency pairs. On September 25, EURUSD is trading around 1.1370 — its lowest level in two months, while GBPUSD is holding near 1.3220 — close to a three-month low. For the euro, this is already the third consecutive week of declines, while the British pound is having its worst week in roughly four months. The main momentum is coming from the United States. Following the Fed’s September rate hike, investors are increasingly considering the possibility of further monetary tightening, while a sell-off in U.S. government bonds has pushed long-term yields to their highest levels in more than 20 years. Against this backdrop, the Dollar Index has gained more than 1% this week, but for traders, the more important question is how this move is affecting EURUSD and GBPUSD. Use a 300% deposit bonus on deposits from $100! Trade with increased volume and get the opportunity to earn more. Learn more Why EURUSD continues to decline: U.S. interest rates are becoming more attractive again. The Fed has already raised its rate to 3.75–4.00% and continues to signal the possibility of further tightening. The higher the yield on dollar-denominated assets, the harder it becomes for EURUSD to recover. The ECB is taking a more cautious approach. The European regulator has also raised its rate to 2.50%, but its officials are trying to contain expectations of rapid further hikes. Christine Lagarde has emphasized that rising energy prices alone are not enough to automatically justify tighter monetary policy. Even strong European data are not helping the euro for now. Eurozone business activity in September came in above expectations, yet EURUSD continued to decline. This shows that the divergence in interest-rate expectations and rising U.S. yields are currently more important to the market than individual positive European indicators. As a result, EURUSD has moved closer to 1.1370. If selling pressure persists, market attention could shift toward the 1.1300 area, while a return above 1.1450 would be the first sign that the current downward move is losing momentum. Why GBPUSD is falling even faster: The pound’s interest-rate advantage has narrowed. The Bank of England kept its rate at 3.75%, while the Fed raised the upper bound of its target range to 4.00%. The yield differential is therefore providing less support for the British currency. The U.K. economy remains weak. Business activity slowed in September, while demand for workers remains under pressure. This limits the Bank of England’s ability to raise rates too quickly. High energy prices create a double challenge. They add to inflationary pressure while simultaneously reducing household real incomes and potentially slowing economic growth further. The market is already pricing in further tightening. Several future Bank of England rate hikes are partly reflected in current prices, meaning the pound needs new positive catalysts to sustain a recovery. As a result, GBPUSD has fallen to around 1.3220 and is down approximately 1.25% since the beginning of the week. A move below 1.3200 could increase pressure on the pair, while a return above 1.3300–1.3350 would be the first sign of a potential recovery. According to FreshForex analysts, as long as U.S. yields remain near multi-year highs, the advantage remains with the dollar, and pressure on EURUSD and GBPUSD may continue. Our trading terminal offers 250+ instruments, including currency pairs, stock CFDs, indices, and crypto assets. Follow market trends and trade with opportunities! Trade the decline
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Introduction To Online Forex Trading
Numbelley replied to StefGrig's topic in General Forex Discussions
The post nails the core habits you’re going to need, especially the demo-first route and picking a regulated broker. I’d add that once you move to live funds, treat every trade like it’s part of a funded test, where consistency beats big wins. I’ve personally found the evaluation structure at topstep trading useful for building that kind of discipline without risking my own cash. Stick to small position sizes and always know your exit before entering. -
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⭐ nkp9999 replied to MrAdmin's topic in Announcements
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⭐ nkp9999 replied to MrAdmin's topic in Announcements
Hi, I am not sure if I have a VIP status or not. Please let me know. Thanks -
roboforex Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Fundamental Analysis
US Tech rises on optimism in the AI sector US Tech has reached a new all-time high and is now correcting. The current price is 30,682. US Tech forecast: key takeaways The US Services Purchasing Managers Index rose to 58.7 The yield on 30-year US Treasuries rose to 5.44%, the highest level since 2004 Fundamental analysis The combination of two factors — a sharp rise in long-term US Treasury yields and a much stronger-than-expected services business activity index — is creating a primarily negative backdrop for US Tech. This does not point to a deterioration in the US economy. This is particularly important for US Tech. Technology companies are valued to a large extent on the basis of expected cash flows and profits to be generated many years into the future. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team- 568 replies
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Market Technical Analysis by RoboForex
RBFX Support replied to RBFX Support's topic in Technical Analysis
DOGEUSD under dual pressure: payments grow while investor interest declines Dogecoin's practical use is gradually increasing, which could support further growth in its price. The current price is 0.0952. Technical outlook On the H4 chart, DOGEUSD formed a Hammer reversal pattern near the lower Bollinger Band. At this stage, the price could continue the upward wave as the pattern signal plays out, with resistance around 0.1000 serving as the upside target. The main risk to further DOGEUSD gains remains buyers' inability to break above the 0.1000 resistance level and consolidate above it. Read more - DOGEUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team -
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AllForexnews replied to AllForexnews's topic in Fundamental Analysis
[B]Date: 25th September 2026.[/B] [B]Treasury Yields Ease From 19-Year High as Oil Prices Fall.[/B] Stock market today: US stock futures are pointing higher on Friday as Treasury yields pull back from their highest levels in nearly two decades and oil prices cool on hopes for a US–Iran deal. After two days of heavy selling in government bonds, investors are getting a pause. It isn’t a turnaround yet, but it's enough to steady stocks before the opening bell. 10-Year Treasury Yield Pulls Back From 19-Year High The 10-year Treasury yield slipped to around 5.17% in Asian trading, down from Thursday’s 19-year peak just above 5.22%. The size of the recent move matters more than today’s dip. The 10-year gained roughly 20 basis points in two sessions, its sharpest two-day jump since the tariff shock of April 2025. Longer-dated bonds did even worse. The 30-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5.50%, a level last seen in 2004. That rise has already reached ordinary households: US mortgage rates are now around 7%, a heavy burden on a housing market that was already struggling. Global Bond Sell-off Spreads to Japan and Australia The pressure isn't limited to the US. Japan’s 10-year government bond yield climbed above 3.1%, its highest level since 1996, and Australian 10-year yields moved above 5.4%. Investors worldwide are demanding more compensation to lend over the long-term, driven by both inflation and large government deficits. Fed Rate Hike Odds Rise to 71% for October Fed funds futures now put the odds of another US rate hike next month at about 71%, up from roughly even odds earlier this week. Markets are pricing close to four more quarter-point hikes before this cycle ends. The two-year Treasury yield, which tracks near-term Fed expectations, is holding near 4.9%, around a two-year high. Other central banks are moving in the same direction. Norway’s Norges Bank raised rates on Thursday, and Sweden’s Riksbank signalled it will likely follow by year-end. Mexico’s central bank held steady but dropped its promise of a long pause. That shift has kept the US dollar strong. The US dollar Index is heading for a weekly gain of about 1%, near its highest level since late July. Oil Prices Today: Brent Falls on US-Iran Truce Hopes Oil’s pullback is a big reason bonds have calmed. Brent crude fell about 1% to roughly $105.50 a barrel, after rising more than 7% over the previous two sessions. WTI crude dropped more sharply to around $93. The dip comes from hopes for diplomacy. US and Iranian negotiators in New York are reportedly working on a phased agreement: Tehran would reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and Washington would lift its blockade of Iranian ports. Since the war began in late February, about a fifth of global oil and gas shipments have been disrupted, so any credible path to reopening the strait would matter a great deal. The risks remain real. Saudi Arabia intercepted six Houthi ballistic missiles aimed at Taif and the Red Sea export hub of Yanbu on Thursday, a reminder that oil infrastructure is still a target. The Brent-WTI spread is also worth watching. At about $12.70, it's the widest since May. Much of the gap comes from fears that Washington could ban diesel exports, which would leave more fuel in the US market and push domestic prices down relative to global prices. Asian Markets: Nikkei Rises, Hang Seng Falls After Trump–Xi Talks With mainland China, South Korea, and Taiwan closed for holidays, trading in Asia was light. Japan’s Nikkei 225 led the region with a gain of about 1%. The yen also firmed to around 158.25 per dollar after Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said President Trump shares Tokyo's concern about the currency’s weakness. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell about 1% as the Trump-Xi summit continued without concrete deals on AI, trade, Taiwan, or Iran. Australian stocks also slipped as mining shares struggled. Corporate News: Anthropic, Oracle, Paramount Skydance Anthropic signed a seven-year, $11.6 billion computing deal with Akamai Technologies, adding to a long run of large AI infrastructure agreements. Oracle is taking steps to limit its cost exposure on a massive data center being built in New Mexico. Paramount Skydance is aiming to complete a $52 billion debt sale within the next week to fund its takeover of Warner Bros. Discovery. With yields this high, that financing will be closely watched. What to Watch Before the US Market Open Today The 10-year Treasury yield near 5.2%: If it stays below Thursday's peak, stocks may have room to rebound. A new high would quickly erase today’s calm. US-Iran headlines: Signs of real progress on Hormuz would likely push oil prices and yields lower. Another attack on Gulf infrastructure could reverse that quickly. Bitcoin options expiry: About $15 billion in Deribit contracts settle today, which could mean volatile trading in crypto. Fed speakers: With rate hike odds climbing, any comments from policymakers will move short-term yields. Weekly closes: The dollar’s 1% gain and bonds’ worst two days since spring will shape how investors position for next week. Today looks like a pause, not the end of the bond sell-off. Oil prices remain above $100, central banks are raising rates, and long-term Treasury yields are near their highest in about two decades. Investors should enjoy the calm without assuming it will last. The bond market is still setting the direction for stocks. [B]Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.[/B] [B]Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.[/B] Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/hf/en/trading-tools/economic-calendar.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/en/trading-tools/trading-webinars.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to register for FREE! [URL='https://analysis.hfm.com/'][B]Click HERE to READ more Market news.[/B][/URL] [B]Andria Pichidi HFMarkets[/B] [B]Disclaimer:[/B] This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. 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