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EURUSD awaits a news catalyst to continue its trend The primary pressure on the European currency comes from deteriorating economic expectations in the eurozone, worsening debt problems in France, and the Federal Reserve's continued tight monetary policy. Technical outlook On the EURUSD D1 chart, a resistance level has formed at 1.1270, while key support is located at 1.1150. In the medium term, the price continues to move sideways, retaining the potential to resume its rise. A breakout above the range’s upper boundary would create conditions for further gains. Fundamental and technical analysis of the EURUSD pair suggests that the outlook for the European currency remains moderately negative. Read more - EURUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

The Fed keeps gold on edge: a single statement could derail the XAUUSD recovery Gold is once again attempting to recover after its decline, supported by lower oil prices, with quotes currently hovering at 4,015 USD. XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways The Federal Reserve meeting is scheduled for 27–28 October Energy prices have fallen following diplomatic efforts to ease tensions surrounding Iran Another surge in oil prices could increase the likelihood of interest rate hikes Fundamental analysis The XAUUSD price forecast for today, 26 October 2026, indicates that gold is attempting to recover following a week-long decline, but the metal's outlook still depends on inflation risks and expectations for Federal Reserve interest rates. The upcoming meeting of the US central bank could be the key market event this week. At the start of trading on Monday, prices gained around 0.4% after falling 4.0% the previous week. The recovery was driven by a decline in oil prices, which eased concerns about another wave of inflation. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

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[B]Date: 26th October 2026.[/B] [B]Markets Brace for Five Central Bank Decisions & UK Budget.[/B] Financial markets are preparing for a pivotal week, with key developments expected to influence investors and multiple asset classes. The currency market and Gold will particularly likely to see strong volatility as five central banks confirm their rate decisions. These central banks include the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan. In addition to central bank decisions, the UK will also release its Autumn Budget. This is a key event for the FTSE 100, Euro and the Pound. However, the most influential event is likely to be the Federal Reserve’s rate decision and press conference on Wednesday evening. During Monday’s open, the best-performing currencies are the Euro, Swiss Franc and British Pound. The worst-performing are the US Dollar, Australian Dollar, and Japanese Yen. Euro - Moody Ratings Provides Limited Relief For European Investors The Euro is one of the best-performing currencies of the day due to opening with a bullish price gap. The price gap measures 0.15% and, so far, is holding onto its gains. The bullish price movement is due to the high bond yields, de-escalation in France, and the upcoming European Central Bank decision. France’s de-escalation, particularly the fact that the country has avoided any riots and further strikes over the weekend, has been key. In addition, Moody’s has confirmed it will not downgrade France’s credit rating. These developments are supporting investor sentiment, but long-term pressures remain. Moody’s said slower growth and a higher deficit have pushed France’s debt burden higher than previously expected, with bond yields rising more rapidly than expected. For this reason, the price of the Euro remains at risk in the long term. Investors will be paying close attention to the ECB’s press conference for comments on these developments. Technical indicators across most timeframes continue to suggest a bearish outlook, despite the day’s bullish price movement. While shorter timeframes show signs of modest bullish momentum, a decline of just 0.08% could be enough to reverse these signals. Therefore, monitoring price action remains essential in determining the market’s next direction. HFM - EURUSD 30-Minutes The US Dollar Falls But Aims to Rebound - Traders Eye Elections & Fed Guidance The US midterms are only a week away, and investors have one eye on the Federal Reserve and the other on the elections. The market expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates at 4.00% but comments on a December hike will impact demand. If the Fed seems particularly hawkish, the US Dollar could rise further. Oil prices are declining again on Monday, as are bond yields. The 10-year bond yield is currently trading at 4.974%, only the second time in October that the yield has fallen below 5.00%. The lower bond yields and oil prices are pressuring the US Dollar. However, both oil prices and bond yields remain high, and the price movement will depend largely on the Federal Reserve and the midterms. This afternoon’s CB Consumer Confidence Index could provide some volatility for the US Dollar. A higher-than-expected figure could support the currency. If the US Dollar Index rises to 101.66, traders will start contemplating the breakout level and resistance level. This is a key price for the US Dollar Index. So far, bullish momentum is again gaining pace for the Dollar as the European open edges closer. Great British Pound - Autumn Budget To Signal GBP Outlook The British Pound has been the best-performing currency of the past month as the UK’s economic data has outperformed previous market expectations. However, its outlook will massively depend heavily on the autumn budget. Markets will closely monitor government spending, taxation, and borrowing plans, particularly as elevated inflation and rising debt-servicing costs continue to challenge the UK economy. A fiscally disciplined budget could support sterling, while concerns over government borrowing may weigh on the currency. Investors need to feel that the UK’s economy can continue performing without prompting borrowing concerns. This is particularly vital as the Bank of England has been one of the central banks yet to increase rates. HFM - GBP/USD 30-Minute Chart Gold - More Bad News Mounts on XAU/USD Gold has fallen to its lowest level since July 2026. Gold is also now trading close to the $4,000 psychological price, which many economists have previously advised said they see as its intrinsic value. Under the current market conditions, the decline in Gold prices may seem strange. The decline is being driven by three main developments. Markets expect the Fed and most central banks to continue hiking into 2027 and struggle to bring rates down in the long term. Investors are also raising funds by selling Gold in order to cover stock market losses. Lastly, investors are turning to the bond market, which is paying high yields. In other words, investors are switching from Gold to Bonds as their preferred safe haven. In addition, high long-term oil prices are also pressuring Gold while supporting the Dollar. HFM - Gold 30-Minute Chart The key support levels can be seen between $3,943 and $4,000. For the price to maintain momentum below this level, investors would need to see a strong price driver. Key Takeaways: Five major central banks prepare to announce interest rate decisions, potentially triggering market volatility. The Euro strengthens as political tensions in France ease and Moody’s maintains its credit rating. The US Dollar weakens amid falling bond yields, while the Pound awaits the UK Autumn Budget. Gold remains under pressure near $4,000 as high bond yields and rate hike expectations weigh on demand. [B]Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.[/B] [B]Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.[/B] Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/hf/en/trading-tools/economic-calendar.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click [URL='https://www.hfm.com/en/trading-tools/trading-webinars.html'][B]HERE[/B][/URL] to register for FREE! [URL='https://analysis.hfm.com/'][B]Click HERE to READ more Market news.[/B][/URL] [B]Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets[/B] [B]Disclaimer:[/B] This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Fundamental Market Analysis for October 26, 2026 EURUSD EURUSD: It's our birthday, and we're giving you gifts! To celebrate our 22nd anniversary, we are offering: Swap-free trading until the end of the month! A 220% drawdown bonus from $220! Double cashback — up to $40 per lot! Just activate the promotion, activate promo code FF22 in your personal account and get gifts! Terms Moody's decision to maintain France's rating has weakened one of the near-term risks for the euro. On Friday, the rating remained at Aa3, although the outlook is still negative. After expectations of a downgrade, this gives the European currency reason to recover. However, budget disagreements and high borrowing costs continue to limit confidence in French assets. The beginning of the week is also accompanied by a decline in US bond yields. This reduces the interest rate attractiveness of the dollar and helps EURUSD. The market mainly expects the Fed and ECB to maintain rates at upcoming meetings, so attention shifts to further signals from regulators. A pause by the Fed itself does not necessarily mean a refusal to raise rates subsequently. Weak October business activity data in France remind us of the vulnerability of the regional economy. Therefore, improved sentiment following the rating decision does not eliminate all reasons for caution. A resumption of rising US yields or debt tension could bring pressure back on the euro. As long as these risks do not intensify, the combination of local relief and a weaker dollar supports the EURUSD growth scenario. Trading idea: BUY 1.1220, SL 1.1195, TP 1.1275 FreshForex offers an excellent bonus 300% on every deposit from $100, providing the opportunity to increase trading volumes! You can find more analytical information on our website.

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