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The USD/JPY gained 17 points to trade at 103.84 as the yen loses


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EUR/USD : is level for the day, exchanging at 1.3794 unable to support the 1.38 level after Spanish unemployment indicated a huge drop in cases and yearly GDP met desires, in spite of the fact that quarterly GDP printed underneath figure. The euro also ticked higher. Like the dollar it tends to draw support from prospects of higher world growth and is also supported by expectations the European Central Bank will steer clear on Thursday of any action to ease monetary policy. A rising dollar was this year’s big call for many banks and funds in January and most have been disappointed, with a falloff in growth in China and a euro bolstered by returning flows of capital instead the dominant trends.

GBP/USD : climbed by 14 points after construction PMI printed close to expectations but showing strong growth. The pound is trading at 1.6642 as traders evaluate the Bank of England’s next move now that the economy is recovering steadily. The improved outlook suggests the Bank of England may tighten monetary policy in the next 12 months.

AUD/USD : eased to trade at 0.9235 giving up 13 points after building approvals missed expectations. The currency continues to remain well above its trading range on hopes of stimulus from the Chinese government. The RBA kept the target cash rate at 2.5 percent, as expected, and kept its view that rates won’t change while the central bank supports the economy.

USD/JPY : gained 17 points to trade at 103.84 as the yen loses its value as traders are now expecting the Bank of Japan to add stimulus to offset the negative effects of the sales tax increase which went into effect on April 1st. The combination of rising global equity markets with rising U.S. Treasury yields is a catalyst for USD/JPY to move higher,” said Kit Juckes, analyst at Societe Generale

Gold : added $3.90 ahead of the ADP payroll release to trade at 1283.90 as traders begin to take position ahead of the ECB and the NFP over the next two days. The ADP jobs report will be the main event that traders are waiting for with data due to be released in just a few hours. Having fallen 8% in just over two weeks, gold “hasn’t found a host of willing buyers looking to pick up cheaper metal,” said UBS analyst Adel Tully. “Some buying interest has emerged on the lows, but further downside has been prevented largely because sellers are in short supply.”

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Fundamental Analysis April 4

EUR/USD is flat ahead of the ECB meeting. the choice is expected in simply a couple of hours, yet the firecrackers will probably be later in the day at Mr. Draghi's question and answer session. Merchants can anticipate that the Governing Council will simplicity arrangement unassumingly at this gathering, through a little cut in key rates or liquidity activities. Aggressive unconventional policies remain distant. The ECB may introduce new liquidity measures today to counter tightness in funding conditions, but we think they will most likely not deliver additional rate cuts or monetary policy accommodation.

GBP/USD gave up 16 points to trade at 1.6610 after UK services PMI missed expectations and also printed lower than last months. It is not a major upset to the markets but enough to see some traders moving away from the pound as the US dollar continues to climb. Sterling fell to a day’s low against the dollar and the euro on Thursday, after UK services sector expanded at a slower-than- expected pace in March.

AUD/USD eased by 33 points against a much stronger greenback after more data showed a steady recovery in the US economy. Retail sales in Australia missed expectations this morning and the trade balance widened more than expected but remain less than the previous months. In Australia, the RBA wants Australia’s biggest banks and building societies to pay a levy to help pay for a fund that will protect their own depositors in the event of a banking collapse.

USD/JPY soared to trade at 104.05 as the dollar gained momentum after the ADP data release on Wednesday showed that the private employers created more jobs than in previous months and there was a strong upward revision to the previous month. The Japanese yen declined against other major currencies in Asian morning deals on Thursday as investor sentiment rose on strong U.S. data and China’s mini stimulus package designed to boost spending on railways and tax relief for struggling small businesses.

Gold reversed course and begin to ease giving up $4.50 to trade at 1286.30 after climbing in the Asian session as high as 1293. Traders are beginning to take positions ahead of tomorrow’s NFP and after comment from several Federal Reserve members all saying that we would likely see an interest rate increase in mid-2015. Investors are waiting on a European Central Bank policy statement later in the session and monthly jobs data from the U.S. Friday.

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