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HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.
AllForexnews replied to AllForexnews's topic in Fundamental Analysis
Date: 4th February 2026. Market Briefing: Tech Sell-Off, Gold Rebound and Rising Geopolitical Tensions Shake Global Markets. Global financial markets experienced heightened volatility as investors navigated political developments in the US and Europe, renewed geopolitical risks, sharp rotations within equities, and extreme price swings in precious metals. While risk appetite has not collapsed, sentiment has clearly shifted toward caution, diversification, and selective positioning. US Politics and the Federal Reserve: Markets Look Past the Shutdown US President Donald Trump signed a bill to end the latest government shutdown, an event that had little impact on markets. Investors appear increasingly desensitised to US political disruptions, treating them as background noise rather than systemic risks. More attention was paid to developments surrounding the Federal Reserve. Democrats signalled unified opposition to confirming former Fed governor Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair unless the administration halts its legal actions against the central bank. While expected, this raises the possibility that Jerome Powell could remain as FOMC Chair beyond May. For markets, continuity at the Fed is viewed as supportive, particularly at a time when confidence in institutional independence is being closely scrutinised. Europe: Fiscal Uncertainty Persists as Inflation Cools France passed its 2026 budget after the government survived a vote of confidence. Although this avoided immediate political instability, the country’s longer-term fiscal challenges remain unresolved. Markets largely absorbed the news calmly, viewing France’s fiscal position as less destabilising than ongoing US budget concerns. Across the Eurozone, flash estimates for January consumer price inflation are expected to confirm further disinflation, with headline CPI slowing to around 1.7% year-on-year. Cooling inflation continues to support real income growth, offering a constructive foundation for European economic activity despite political uncertainty. US Equity Markets: Technology Under Pressure Wall Street retreated as technology stocks led a broad rotation away from growth. The S&P 500 fell 0.8%, the Dow Jones slipped 0.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.4%. Major technology names weighed on sentiment, with Nvidia and Microsoft both declining close to 3%. Investors remain concerned about elevated valuations and whether heavy spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure will translate into sustainable earnings. PayPal plunged more than 20% following weaker-than-expected results, while Pfizer declined despite posting stronger quarterly profits, highlighting the market’s increasingly selective response to earnings. Asian Markets: Mixed Performance Amid Tech Weakness Asian equities were mixed, reflecting the overnight decline in US technology stocks. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.6%, pressured by losses in semiconductor-related stocks such as Tokyo Electron and Advantest. Nintendo shares plunged more than 10% despite strong earnings, as investors questioned whether sales momentum for the Switch 2 console can be maintained. South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.9%, continuing to set record highs despite weakness in major chipmakers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng slipped 0.4%, while mainland China’s Shanghai Composite was flat. Software stocks across Asia came under particular pressure following developments in artificial intelligence that threaten traditional software-as-a-service business models. Indian IT leaders Tata Consultancy Services and Infosys fell sharply, while Australia’s Xero and Japan’s Nomura Research Institute also posted significant losses. These declines were partly offset by gains in financials and industrials, reinforcing the theme of sector rotation rather than broad risk aversion. Commodities: Gold and Silver Rebound After Historic Sell-Off Precious metals staged a strong rebound after last week’s sharp collapse. Gold rose nearly 4%, reclaiming levels above $5,000 an ounce, while silver jumped more than 5% following heavy liquidation-driven losses. The rebound was driven by dip-buying as forced selling eased and the US dollar weakened. Despite extreme volatility, analysts argue the broader macro case for gold remains intact. Safe-haven demand, geopolitical uncertainty, concerns over Federal Reserve independence, and central bank diversification continue to support bullion over the medium to long term. Several major banks have reiterated bullish outlooks, even as near-term volatility remains elevated. Oil Prices Rise on Renewed Gulf Tensions Oil prices advanced for a second consecutive session after geopolitical tensions resurfaced in the Gulf. Brent crude traded near $68 per barrel, while WTI moved toward $64, following reports that the US Navy shot down an Iranian drone near an aircraft carrier. Energy markets remain sensitive to even limited incidents in the region, with analysts warning that miscalculations could lead to rapid escalation. For now, price action reflects a modest geopolitical risk premium rather than supply disruption concerns. Currencies and Crypto: Yen Weakens, Bitcoin Stabilises In currency markets, the US dollar was broadly steady. The Japanese yen weakened ahead of Japan’s upcoming election, with investors positioning for potential fiscal stimulus that could increase government debt. The euro edged higher, supported by easing inflation expectations in the Eurozone. Bitcoin rebounded modestly in Asian trading after falling to a more-than-one-year low during US hours. However, sentiment remains fragile, with concerns that further declines could intensify stress across crypto-exposed companies and leveraged products. Market Outlook: Volatility Favours Active Traders The dominant theme across global markets is rotation rather than capitulation. Investors are reassessing technology exposure, rotating into value sectors, and selectively increasing allocations to defensive and safe-haven assets. With geopolitical risks simmering, political uncertainty persisting, and AI-driven disruption accelerating, volatility is likely to remain a defining feature of the trading environment. For traders, the current landscape rewards disciplined risk management, flexibility, and close monitoring of cross-asset signals as markets continue to adjust to a rapidly evolving macro backdrop. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Andria Pichidi HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.
AllForexnews replied to AllForexnews's topic in Fundamental Analysis
Date: 3rd February 2026. 2026 Market Highlights: AUD Leads, Silver Corrects, NASDAQ Gains on Trade. The years 2024 and 2025 were great year-on-year performances for the global stock markets and metals. In 2026, the trend for metals continues even though the market has seen a significant dip over the past few days. The stock market has also had its mixed volatility but is in line with traditional levels from the past decade. However, the currency market has seen higher volatility than previous years. The Australian Dollar - 2026’s Best Performing Currency The Australian Dollar is the best-performing currency of the year so far. Its volatility levels are also significantly higher than those seen in other bullish trends from previous years. The best performing currency of 2025 was the Euro and Swiss Franc, which rose around 13%. The Australian Dollar, in a period of five weeks, has already risen more than 5%. What is driving the price of the Australian Dollar higher? HFM - AUDUSD 3-Hour Chart The bullish price movement of the AUD is mainly split into three points. The first being the hawkish monetary policy due to strong economic data. Gold strength is another factor. Another is Australia’s limited exposure to current geopolitical hotspots such as China and Greenland. Finally, the Australian Dollar has been heavily shorted over the past 15 years, and investors are now unwinding those positions. The latest developments supporting the price of the Australian Dollar are the Reserve Bank of Australia’s rate decision. The RBA has raised the cash rate from 3.60% to 3.85%, which is the first rate hike of 2026 and the RBA’s first rate adjustment since July 2025. ANZ’s Adam Boyton said higher inflation, weaker growth and a higher projected rate path make another RBA hike likely. NAB’s Sally Auld added inflation pressures mean this is unlikely to be a one-and-done move, with another 25bp hike expected and risks skewed higher. The RBA said upcoming global and domestic data will guide future decisions. The Australian Dollar index has risen 0.90% in response to the RBA’s decision to increase rates. Was Silver Too Expensive? HFM - Silver 3-Hour Chart Silver had been the best performing asset across all asset classes of both 2025 and 2026 so far. However, Silver is now stranger to volatility and it is a significantly smaller market than Gold and even other metals. Therefore, even though Silver’s decline, which started on Friday, measured 40%, the figure is not unthinkable considering Gold also fell 21%. Many economists believe that Silver sees double the level of volatility of Gold and sometimes even 2.5 times higher. Most economists including StoneX saw the price movements as an unwinding of a trend which was ‘vastly overstretched’. The main drivers for the sell-off were Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Federal Reserve chairman, large institutions raising capital requirements for Silver futures and many economists advising the price was simply too high. NASDAQ - Key Earnings Reports The NASDAQ is witnessing a stronger bullish correction due to recent developments continuing to support higher prices. The NASDAQ trades 0.35% higher on Tuesday and is forming its second bullish daily candlestick. HFM - Silver 3-Hour Chart Stocks find support from a new US-India trade and economic agreement, which investors see as strengthening cooperation and reshaping global trade flows. The deal cuts US import duties on Indian goods from 50% to 18%, boosting competitiveness, export-focused profits, and emerging-market stocks. In return, India will increase purchases of US goods by around $500B a year and reduce oil imports from Russia, supporting US industries and reinforcing risk appetite across markets. A key factor for the stock market this week will be the upcoming employment data for the US as well as significant earnings reports. AMD, which is the NASDAQ’s 13th most influential company, is due to release its earnings report later this evening. The stock so far this year has risen more than 10%. In addition, the stock is trading 1.65% higher during pre-market hours indicating investors are expecting strong earnings. Alphabet (Google) is also due to announce its quarterly earnings report tomorrow evening. Alphabet has become the second most influential stock for the NASDAQ and is also rising more than 1% during pre-market hours. In 2026 so far, the stock is trading 9.38% higher. Currently, 64% of the most influential stocks are trading higher as the stock market gets ready to open. Key Takeaways: RBA rate hikes, strong gold prices, limited geopolitical risk, and short-covering have driven the Australian Dollar to become 2026’s best-performing currency. Silver has seen extreme volatility with a sharp 40% drop as the market corrects after an overstretched rally and higher capital requirements. The US-India trade deal, strong earnings expectations, and upcoming US employment data are supporting the NASDAQ and other stocks. AMD and Alphabet are increasing in value as the release of their quarterly earnings reports edge closer. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission. -
Thank you@fxtrader99. But I am using the official NT8.
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Can someone re-up this please?
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⭐ htn4653 reacted to a post in a topic:
Futures.i0 indicators requests
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⭐ SignalTime reacted to a post in a topic:
NQ Ultra can someone please educate
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⭐ SignalTime reacted to a post in a topic:
atch imbalance need to educate
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Any one interested in discuss / learn to crack
⭐ SignalTime replied to ⭐ SignalTime's topic in Ninja Trader 8
for NT7 de4dot and dnspy are good enough. but NT8 is a beast. Nevertheless it uses mostly junk / control flow obfuscation and same code virtualization techniques. code encryption is another big thing in nt8. Agile dot net is customized for NT8. anyone knows what was the oldest version of it failed with the de4dot. -
Any one interested in discuss / learn to crack
⭐ laser1000it replied to ⭐ SignalTime's topic in Ninja Trader 8
Some time ago, in this forum, the user Admin explained how to clean NT7 DLLs (back then, NT8 didn't exist yet). After some study, I managed to learn how to do it, but without his help, I would never have succeeded on my own. Wanting to return the favor, I cleaned many DLLs myself. Today, however, NT8 DLL protections are much more serious. I also sought help, but I couldn't find anyone willing to point me in the right direction. Unfortunately, as I'm no longer young and tire easily from being at the PC, I didn't continue trying to figure out how to solve the problem. It's a bit like going mushroom hunting. There are many books and videos that explain how to do it, but when you go into the woods, you can't find a single one. And those who do find them never reveal their secret. update: I think it's important to point out that many of the indicators for NT are junk. So, there's no point wasting time on reversal engineering to clean them up. A demonstrably superior method is to use the free tier of the TradingView platform and leverage artificial intelligence for script development; the result will be a significantly more robust and professional tool. I encourage you to test this approach and see the difference in quality. Don't forget that AI can create you an indicator or strategy for NT8 too -
Any one interested in discuss / learn to crack
⭐ SignalTime replied to ⭐ SignalTime's topic in Ninja Trader 8
old de4dot does not work because it uses hard coded signatures for the vm handlers. i am not understanding that part yet -
I have attached the Ninza resource file from N9T and VWAP Flux files. This works on my fixed NT 8.1.4.2. You could give this a try. NinZaVWAPFlux_NT8.zip
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Any one interested in discuss / learn to crack
Gagirl replied to ⭐ SignalTime's topic in Ninja Trader 8
I would LOVE to learn more about cracking. I know a little, but not enough to do it all. -
I just got 8.0.28. I am assuming others might have purchased the cracked newer version
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Here you go. ES Cycle Day.xlsx
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Would it be possible for someone to look into this? I compared a lot of the mainstream copiers and this new more unknown might be the best. It's the fastest local trade copier 1.6ms execution with riskmanagement included. it's called "copi link Risk"
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There are so many talents and knowledge in this forum. I would like someone can teach / talk / point to the learn the art of de virtualization of Agile dot net
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samson joined the community
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Thanks Atomo
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Before you download any system, ask for full rules and real results, because many shared files are repacked or not same version. In my experience it is better to learn the logic behind levels, then you can rebuild it on your chart without depending on a link
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Looking for this one myself, I appreciate your efforts and generosity
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Xcell78 joined the community
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@dexDownload the images from the link. I can send more later, maybe grabbing some from the RTH session
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@blackhex I'm going to sell them, but rest assured the pricing will be 'from trader to trader'—most people will be able to afford them
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Can someone post the excel file? https://nexusfi.com/showthread.php?t=57872 Thank you,
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will you be sharing the indicator ?