DE 40 forecast: the index continues to decline
The DE 40 stock index remains under pressure, although the pace of decline slowed significantly at the end of last week. The DE 40 forecast for today is negative.
DE 40 forecast: key trading points
Recent data: Germany’s PPI decreased by 0.5% in September 2025
Market impact: the data creates a mixed backdrop for the German stock market
Fundamental analysis
Germany’s latest Producer Price Index (PPI) for September showed a 0.5% month-on-month decline, compared to an expected fall of just 0.1%. This indicates that price pressure at the producer level is easing faster than anticipated. For the stock market, this is a crucial signal on two fronts – capital cost (interest rate expectations) and corporate earnings (balance between demand and costs). If the decline in PPI persists alongside a deterioration in leading indicators such as PMI and industrial orders, the market may need to revise its revenue forecasts – a clear risk for cyclical stocks.
For the DE 40 index, the short-term baseline scenario points to a moderately positive reaction. However, the medium-term trajectory will depend on whether leading indicators such as PMI, industrial orders, and exports confirm a sustained weakness in demand. Conversely, if data shows that the PPI drop is temporary and not systemic, while orders remain stable, there will be more room for growth.
RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts
Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.
Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team