JP 225 forecast: the index forms a sideways channel
The JP 225 stock index corrected towards the support level, but the global trend remains upward. The JP 225 forecast for today is positive.
JP 225 forecast: key trading points
Recent data: Japan’s GDP in Q3 2025 decreased by 1.8%
Market impact: moderately negative for the Japanese stock market
Fundamental analysis
Japan’s annualised GDP indicator showed a decline of -1.8% versus the forecast of -2.5% and the previous growth of 2.3%. This means the economy shifted from expansion to contraction, although the downturn turned out to be less severe than analysts expected. Formally, this still signals cooling: companies on average produce and sell less than a year ago, and both domestic and external demand weakened. Such data is generally negative for the Japanese stock market because a weaker economy usually implies cautious consumer and business behaviour, slower investment activity, and pressure on company revenues, especially those focused on the domestic market.
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