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[b]Date: 11th June 2025.[/b] [b]Dow Fails to Break Resistance Ahead of Key Bond Auction and CPI![/b] The Dow Jones rose to its highest price since March 2025 as the US and China agreed on a framework to lower tariffs. The comments from both the US and Chinese negotiators kept to an optimistic tone, reassuring markets of a deal. However, a key factor for today will be the US inflation rate and two US Bond auctions. The Treasury will sell $39B in 10-year notes Wednesday and $22B in 30-year bonds Thursday. Dow Jones Rises on US-China Optimism The Dow Jones on Tuesday rose 0.20% from market open to market close. However, the impulse wave after a decline early in the day measured 0.70%. The Dow Jones continues to honour the current trend lines which act as a support level. The bullish price movement is being given by the US-China trade negotiations in London and the optimistic tone. So far we know the agreement will mean China will ease export restrictions on rare earth materials essential for electronics and green tech. In exchange, the US will relax some export controls on high-tech items like semiconductors and jet-engine parts. As a result, the NASDAQ, SNP500 and Dow Jones rose in value. However, even with the latest upward price movement, the index continues to find resistance at the $42,959.00 level and fell 0.20% on Wednesday 11th. Dow Jones Price Action and Technical Analysis The main concern for technical analysts is that the Dow Jones on the daily chart is witnessing divergence. This means the price has risen to a higher high, but the RSI remains at a lower low. Simultaneously, as mentioned above the price finds resistance at the $42,959.00 level and has failed to break above this level on 4 occasions. USA30 1-Hour Chart Therefore investors remain on edge and prepared for an alternative price movement regardless of the price remaining above most Moving Averages and trend lines. Currently, some risk indicators point to a slight risk-off sentiment, however, no major red flags. The Put/Call ratio has fallen which is positive for the Dow Jones, and the VIX has risen which is negative. The High Low Index also points to a positive investor sentiment as 5 stocks remain at 52 week highs while zero are at a 52 week low. Due to not obtaining a clear one-sided signal, investors will await for the Bond Auction and Inflation Rate to determine the future price movement. Today’s Bond Auction and Inflation Rate Impact On The Dow Jones The Treasury will sell $39 billion in 10-year Bonds Wednesday and $22 billion in 30-year bonds Thursday. Traditionally, investors do not class bond auctions as an event which can trigger high volatility. However, given the increasing debt scenario, investors will pay particular attention. If the bond values are lower than previous auctions and expectations, investors may become spooked triggering a lower risk appetite. A poorly received auction (low demand, high yields) can have a negative effect on both the Dow Jones and the US Dollar. However, it can have a positive impact on Gold prices, the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc. US Budget Deficit Economists expect the US CPI (inflation rate) to rise from 2.3% to 2.5%. Over the past 3-months, the inflation rate has consecutively fallen below expectations. If the inflation rate again falls below expectations, the Dow Jones may find enough support to retest the current resistance level. Whereas, if the inflation rate rises to 2.5% or above, the Dow Jones can witness a potential quick selloff. Key Takeaway Points: Optimism from the trade deal boosted the Dow, with China easing rare earth export restrictions in exchange for US tech export relaxations. The Dow struggles at the $42,959 resistance level, with technical divergence signalling potential price shifts. Positive sentiment is seen with 5 Dow stocks at 52-week highs, but mixed risk indicators suggest caution. Bond auctions and inflation data will influence future market movement, with higher inflation possibly triggering a selloff. [b]Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.[/b] [b]Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.[/b] Click [url=https://www.hfm.com/hf/en/trading-tools/economic-calendar.html][b]HERE[/b][/url] to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding of how markets work. Click [url=https://www.hfm.com/en/trading-tools/trading-webinars.html][b]HERE[/b][/url] to register for FREE! [url=https://analysis.hfm.com/][b]Click HERE to READ more Market news.[/b][/url] [b]Michalis Efthymiou HFMarkets[/b] [b]Disclaimer:[/b] This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in Leveraged Products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

GBPUSD stabilises: market absorbs UK labour data The GBPUSD pair found support near 1.3478. Markets are regaining balance following weak employment data. Discover more in our analysis for 11 June 2025. GBPUSD technical analysis On the H4 chart, GBPUSD shows potential for a retest of the 1.3455 level, followed by a possible rebound towards 1.3498. The GBPUSD pair is pricing in the UK’s employment data. Read more - GBPUSD Forecast Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

US budget blowout and inflation surprise – gold (XAUUSD) poised to soar The US federal budget deficit could trigger a rally in XAUUSD towards the 3,400 USD level. Find more details in our forecast for 11 June 2025. XAUUSD forecast: key trading points US Consumer Price Index (CPI): previously at 2.3%, projected at 2.5% US federal budget statement: previously at 258.0 billion, projected at -314.3 billion Current trend: moving upwards XAUUSD forecast for 11 June 2025: 3,400 Fundamental analysis Fundamental XAUUSD analysis for today, 11 June 2025, takes into account that gold prices hold steady above 3,300 USD per troy ounce, maintaining their upward trajectory amid lingering uncertainty in US-China trade relations. The XAUUSD forecast for 11 June 2025 suggests the CPI could rise to 2.5% from the previous 2.3%, but this projection may not materialise given the index has shown consistent declines in past reports. A weaker-than-expected CPI could put additional pressure on the US dollar. Additionally, the US federal budget statement is projected to show a drop to -314.3 billion USD. The negative value indicates the budget deficit, which may further weaken the US dollar. RoboForex Market Analysis & Forex Forecasts Attention! Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews. Sincerely, The RoboForex Team

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