alayoua

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 20 2013 Asset purchase schemes remaining static. As the tide went out on the shock decision by the FOMC regarding their asset purchase schemes remaining static, the markets in the USA appeared to pause for thought in Thursday's trading sessions. Looking at high impact news events the improved unemployment data was discounted given the fact that two states, including California, failed to proved jobs data as their computer systems were still off grid. Better news came in the form of house sales reaching a recent high, whilst the Philly Fed number came in off the scale in terms of positivity. The improved housing market news was added to by costs for U.S. home buyers predicted to fall from the highest level in two years after the Federal Reserve increased expectations that it will keep short-term interest rates at about zero percent. Rates on 30-year mortgages reached 4.93 percent in the week ended Sept 6th, the highest level seen since April 2011 and up from a record low of 3.57 percent in December, according to Mortgage Bankers Association data. The rate declined to 4.86 percent last week. Treasuries dropped the day after experiencing the biggest rally in two years as improved economic conditions made investors more certain that the Federal Reserve’s next move will be to reduce monetary stimulus. The 10-year yield rose six basis points or 0.06 percentage point to 2.75 percent late in the New York session. The price of the 2.5 percent note maturing in August 2023 dropped 17/32, or, $5.31 per $1,000 face value, to 97 26/32. The yield slid 16 basis points on Wednesday, the biggest decline since Oct 31st 2011. http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-09-20 08:30 GMT | UK Public Sector Net Borrowing (Aug) 2013-09-20 12:30 GMT | CA Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Aug) 2013-09-20 14:00 GMT | EMU Consumer Confidence (Sep) 2013-09-20 16:30 GMT | US Fed's George Speech FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-20 05:18 GMT | RBA likely to ease again; AUD to trade heavy - NAB 2013-09-20 05:15 GMT | GBP/USD bouncing modestly at 1.6042 after downside correction day Thursday 2013-09-20 05:11 GMT | GBP/JPY finds strong supply at 160 round 2013-09-20 04:38 GMT | EUR/GBP stalling below 0.8450 ahead of Germany elections --------------------- EURUSD : HIGH 1.35393 LOW 1.35279 BID 1.35354 ASK 1.35357 CHANGE 0.05% TIME 08 : 47:18 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Next hurdle that limit uptrend development lies at 1.3569 (R1). If the break occurs here we would suggest next attractive point at 1.3598 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to final resistance at 1.3628 (R3). Downwards scenario: We placed our support level right below the local low at 1.3507 (S1). Clearance here is liable to open way towards to our interim target at 1.3474 (S2) and then might expose final aim at 1.3440 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3569, 1.3598, 1.3628 Support Levels: 1.3507, 1.3474, 1.3440 --------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.60462 LOW 1.60238 BID 1.60450 ASK 1.60454 CHANGE 0.09% TIME 08 : 47:19 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Immediate resistance at 1.6082 (R1) remains in near-term focus, climb above this level might open way towards to next interim target at 1.6126 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to final resistive measure at 1.6170 (R3) Downwards scenario: On the downside, next support level locates at 1.6021 (S1). Possible penetration below this mark would open way towards to next target at 1.5978 (S2) and then any further market decline would be limited to last mark at 1.5933 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.6082, 1.6126, 1.6170 Support Levels: 1.6021, 1.5578, 1.5933 USDJPY : HIGH 99.562 LOW 99.174 BID 99.253 ASK 99.257 CHANGE -0.22% TIME 08 : 47:20 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Possible uptrend development is limited now to the next resistive measure at 99.63 (R1). Clearance here is required to enable our interim target at 99.85 (R2) en route to final aim at 100.06 (R3). Downwards scenario: Penetration below the support level at 99.10 (S1) might maintain a negative tone in near term perspective. In such case we would suggest next supportive measures at 98.87 (S2) and 98.64 (S3) as possible retracement targets. Resistance Levels: 99.63, 99.85, 100.06 Support Levels: 99.10, 98.87, 98.64 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 19 2013 The Fed decides to maintain the status quo; No taper The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain its interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. Same story with the bond buying pace at $85Bn as officials need more information that the economy is growing at a sustainable pace. According to a recent press release, the Fed affirms that the pace of bond purchases depends on the economic outlook. The inflation is still low, financial market conditions are tight while the fiscal retrenchment could be damaging, so the FOMC needs more signs of progress. "Accordingly, the Committee decided to continue purchasing additional agency mortgage-backed securities at a pace of $40 billion per month and longer-term Treasury securities at a pace of $45 billion per month." The Fed has lowered its growth expectations and now officials forecast the US GDP to slowdown in 2016 to 2.5%-3.3% range, from 3.0%-3.5% in 2014. They see 2013 to show a 2.0%-2.3% growth in the United States. The unemployment rate is expected to finish the year around 7.2%-7.3% and to decline to 6.5%-6.8% in 2014, 5.8%-6.2% in 2015 and 5.4%-5.9% in 2016. http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-09-19 07:30 GMT | SW SNB Interest Rate Decision 2013-09-19 08:30 GMT | UK Retail Sales (YoY) (Aug) 2013-09-19 14:00 GMT | US Existing Home Sales Change (MoM) (Aug) 2013-09-19 23:50 GMT | JP Foreign investment in Japan stocks (Sep 13) FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-19 04:52 GMT | USD licking its wounds; China markets closed 2013-09-19 04:34 GMT | USD/CHF slightly lower at 0.9119 ahead of big data; ultimate dowside may be 0.9073 2013-09-19 04:33 GMT | Fed relies heavily on low yields regarding “tapering” – RBS 2013-09-19 04:18 GMT | AUD/USD slightly downwards but still dancing close to 0.9500 area ---------- EURUSD : HIGH 1.3536 LOW 1.3501 BID 1.35318 ASK 1.35320 CHANGE 0.08% TIME 08 : 40:15 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Medium-term bias is clearly bullish oriented, however, to resume ascending structure price is required to clear the barrier at 1.3543 (R1). Next on tap locates our intraday targets at 1.3567 (R2) and 1.3593 (R3).Downwards scenario: On the other hand, our next support measure lies at 1.3499 (S1). Decline below it would enable lower targets at 1.3474 (S2) and 1.3448 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3543, 1.3567, 1.3593 Support Levels: 1.3499, 1.3474, 1.3448 ------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.61478 LOW 1.61146 BID 1.61302 ASK 1.61307 CHANGE -0.08% TIME 08 : 40:16 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: On the upside market might get more incentives above the immediate resistive barrier at 1.6168 (R1). If the price manages to overcome it we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.6215 (R2) and 1.6264 (R3). Downwards scenario: Although market players may prefer to increase exposure on the short positions and push the price below the support level at 1.6089 (S1). Possible price devaluation would suggest initial targets at 1.6040 (S2) and then 1.5989 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.6168, 1.6215, 1.6264 Support Levels: 1.6089, 1.6040, 1.5989 ---------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 98.475 LOW 97.897 BID 98.280 ASK 98.282 CHANGE 0.37% TIME 08 : 40:16 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: USDJPY is approaching our next resistance level at 98.51 (R1), keeping the short-term ascending structure intact. The break here is required for the price appreciation towards to next target at 98.86 (R2) and any further rise would then be targeting to 99.21 (R3). Downwards scenario: Negative developments might be settled below the important support level at 97.76 (S1). Any price action below it would then be targeting support level at 97.46 (S2) and then final target could be exposed at 97.14 (S3). Resistance Levels: 98.51, 98.86, 99.21 Support Levels: 97.76, 97.46, 97.14 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 18 2013 All eyes on the Fed as investors weigh September taper odds As the September Fed monetary policy meeting is drawing near, the debate on the FOMC's possible decision to start scaling back the asset purchase program is becoming more and more heated. Recent developments, such as the disappointing August NFP numbers, as well as the ongoing Syrian conflict, have shaken economists' confidence as to whether the QE taper will really be initiated next week. “With a job market 'far from satisfactory' and a promise to adjust monetary policy depending on economic conditions, it would not be a surprise if the Fed postpones the reduction of monthly asset purchases until the next meeting in late October,” Ilian Yotov suggests. Alexandra Estiot also doesn't expect the Fed to make the move at the upcoming meeting, reasoning that “the likeliness of inflation pressures showing up is close to zero,” which means “the cost, in terms of inflation, of ending QE3 too late is nil, while the benefits, even if very difficult to clearly assess, are positive.” Despite the doubts about whether the Fed will start reducing QE in September, all of the economists agree with Steve Ruffley that the FOMC “are planning to taper by the end of the year and nothing will change this.” http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-09-18 08:30 GMT | Bank of England Minutes 2013-09-18 18:00 GMT | US Fed Interest Rate Decision 2013-09-18 18:30 GMT | US Fed's Monetary Policy Statement and press conference 2013-09-18 22:45 GMT | NZ Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Q2) FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-18 05:21 GMT | USD/CHF muted ahead of FOMC minutes 2013-09-18 05:05 GMT | EUR/USD rebounds from ST dip but remains below 1.3432 ceiling ahead of US data / news 2013-09-18 04:58 GMT | EUR/GBP battling to recover the 0.84 handle ahead of BoE 2013-09-18 04:32 GMT | GBP/USD holding below the flat line ahead of BOE minutes and FOMC fun ------------------------- EURUSD : HIGH 1.33639 LOW 1.33468 BID 1.33619 ASK 1.33621 CHANGE 0.03% TIME 08 : 43:12 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: EURUSD trapped to the consolidation mode on the hourly chart frame after the initial uptrend formation. Next resistive barrier is seen at 1.3384 (R1), break here is required to enable next attractive points at 1.3405 (R2) and 1.3427 (R3). Downwards scenario: Yesterday low offers a key supportive measure at 1.3324 (S1). A violation here is liable to commence correction pattern on the bigger picture and expose our initial targets at 1.3301 (S2) and 1.3275 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3384, 1.3405, 1.3427 Support Levels: 1.3324, 1.3301, 1.3275 ---------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.59146 LOW 1.58919 BID 1.59133 ASK 1.59136 CHANGE 0.07% TIME 08 : 43:13 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Local high offers a key resistive barrier at 1.5936 (R1). Subsequently loss here might create upside momentum and drive market price towards to our initial targets at 1.5971 (R2) and 1.6008 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: On the other hand, depreciation below the support level at 1.5885 (S1) would suggest next intraday target at 1.5851 (S2) and any further weakening would then be limited to final support level at 1.5816 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5936, 1.5971, 1.6008 Support Levels: 1.5885, 1.5851, 1.5816 ------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 99.336 LOW 99.103 BID 99.194 ASK 99.197 CHANGE 0.08% TIME 08 : 43:13 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Possible bullish penetration might face next challenge at 99.38 (R1). Break here would suggest next target at 99.58 (R2) en route towards to last resistance for today at 99.77 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside, we see potential to positively retest our supportive measure at 99.03 (S1). Clearance here is required to open route towards to our initial targets at 98.84 (S2) and 98.64 (S3) in potential. Resistance Levels: 99.38, 99.58, 99.77 Support Levels: 99.03, 98.84, 98.64 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 17 2013 The Fed to maintain forward guidance with firm tone, says Hilsenrath The Federal Reserve is struggling to justify extending forward guidance as part of its strategy to maintain the recovery path according to Fedwatcher Jon Hilsenrath in his latest article on the FOMC policy meeting. The FOMC is expected to publish its interest rate and monetary policy decision on Wednesday September 18 and market is widely expecting the Fed to start its cut in the bond buying program. The Fedwatcher affirmed in his piece that "Federal Reserve officials face a communication challenge explaining their interest-rate plans when they gather for a policy meeting this week." Their challenge is "how to justify the low interest-rate plan when their own estimates suggest an economy regaining its health." According to Hilsenrath, Fed forecasts could show "rates rising but still low" by 2016. The Fed also expects economy at "full employment" by the same year. The decision on QE tapering the $85 billion-a-month bond-buying program is now a close call "on whether to start pulling back on the QE." The Fed is now changing its emphasis from bond buying to the "low-rate pledge." http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-09-17 08:30 GMT : UK Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Jul) 2013-09-17 09:00 GMT : EMU ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment (Aug) 2013-09-17 12:30 GMT : US Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Aug) 2013-09-17 13:00 GMT : US Net Long-Term TIC Flows (Jul) FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-17 05:29 GMT : NZD/USD downwards in tandem with “Aussie” 2013-09-17 04:43 GMT : EUR/USD sails below EMA20 - extending trading range 2013-09-17 04:43 GMT : EUR/GBP still under the 0.84 handle ahead of German ZEW & UK CPI 2013-09-17 04:16 GMT : AUD/JPY pops up after RBA minutes ----------------- EURUSD : HIGH 1.33422 LOW 1.33252 BID 1.33396 ASK 1.33398 CHANGE 0.04% TIME 08 : 56:12 OUTLOOK SUMMARY Up TREND CONDITION Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY High MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Current price setup is looking for upwards extension possibility. Risk of the price acceleration is seen above the key resistance level at 1.3361 (R1). Clearance here would put immediate focus on the next targets at 1.3384 (R2) and then 1.3405 (R3). Downwards scenario: Our next support level is placed at 1.3321 (S1). Possible penetration below it might initiate bearish pressure and gradually push the price towards to our intraday targets at 1.3298 (S2) and 1.3275 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3361, 1.3384, 1.3405 Support Levels: 1.3321, 1.3298, 1.3275 -------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.59151 LOW 1.58884 BID 1.59091 ASK 1.59098 CHANGE 0.08% TIME 08 : 56:13 OUTLOOK SUMMARY Up TREND CONDITION Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY High Upwards scenario: GBPUSD resumed upwards penetration today and we see potential to expose our intraday targets at 1.5996 (R2) and 1.6030 (R3) if the price manages to overcome key resistance measure at 1.5964 (R1). Downwards scenario: Though, we still keep the bearish scenario in focus. Risk of market decline is seen below the key support level at 1.5888 (S1). Loss here would enable initial targets at 1.5853 (S2) and 1.5818 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5964, 1.5996, 1.6030 Support Levels: 1.5888, 1.5853, 1.5818 ------------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 99.358 LOW 99.009 BID 99.145 ASK 99.147 CHANGE 0.1% TIME 08 : 56:14 OUTLOOK SUMMARY Down TREND CONDITION Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY Medium Upwards scenario: Price strengthening is possible above the next resistance level at 99.36 (R1). Our interim target holds at 99.56 (R2) en route to our final aim for today at 99.77 (R3). Downwards scenario: However if the price manages to break our key support level at 99.00 (S1) bearish market participants might take the initiative. Our intraday support level locates at 98.79 (S2) and 98.58 (S3). Resistance Levels: 99.36, 99.56, 99.77 Support Levels: 99.00, 98.79, 98.58 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 16 2013 US and Russia outline diplomatic framework on Syria Asian markets reacted positively at the open, cheering up what is perceived as a headline likely to fuel risk-on appetite, as news hit the wires on a political U.S. / Russia deal for the Syrian crisis over the weekend. Despite the easing in geopolitical tensions, there are still claims from both sides of the political spectrum in the U.S. implying the deal with Russia is a defeat by the US administration. In an interview with ABC over the weekend, Obama said limited military action should not be rule out just yet, should the Assad regime not comply to disarm its chemical arsenal. In a joint news conference between US Secretary of State John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, a framework document for Syria to surrender its chemical stockpiles was outlined, with Kerry calling Assad to live up to its commitments. http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-09-16 08:00 GMT | EMU ECB President Draghi's Speech 2013-09-16 09:00 GMT | EMU Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY) (Aug) 2013-09-16 09:00 GMT | EMU Labour cost (Q2) 2013-09-16 13:15 GMT | US Industrial Production (MoM) (Aug) FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-16 05:07 GMT | GBP/USD flirting with 1.6000 on risk-on sentiment 2013-09-16 04:40 GMT | Expecting a $20bn Fed taper - RBS 2013-09-16 04:11 GMT | USD/CHF trading just above 0.9230 support after Fed / Summers news 2013-09-16 03:51 GMT | EUR/USD spikes on much more dovish Yellen EURUSD : HIGH 1.33822 LOW 1.33551 BID 1.33622 ASK 1.33627 CHANGE 0.49% TIME 08 : 34:20 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Our next resistance level is placed at 1.3384 (R1). Break here would open route towards to higher target at 1.3405 (R2) and any further price advance would then be limited to 1.3426 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, prolonged movement below the supportive measure at 1.3339 (S1) is required to activate new phase of downtrend expansion. We would suggest next aim at 1.3318 (S2) and then final target could be met at 1.3295 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3384, 1.3405, 1.3426 Support Levels: 1.3339, 1.3318, 1.3295 ------------------------ GBPUSD : HIGH 1.59576 LOW 1.59302 BID 1.59529 ASK 1.59535 CHANGE 0.5% TIME 08 : 34:20 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: GBPUSD is approaching our next resistive measure at 0.5971 (R1) on the upside. Break here is required to enable bullish potential and expose our interim target at 1.6000 (R2). Further price appreciation would then be limited to last resistance at 1.6030 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, price devaluation below the support at 1.5919 (S1) would initiate bearish pressure. On the way our next interim support at 1.5889 (S2) en route to final aim for today at 1.5858 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5971, 1.6000, 1.6030 Support Levels: 1.5919, 1.5889, 1.5858 --------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 99.104 LOW 98.456 BID 98.925 ASK 98.928 CHANGE -0.44% TIME 08 : 34:24 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Down trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low Upwards scenario: Discounted value of USDJPY determined negative bias on the medium-term perspective. From the technical side, next resistance is seen at 99.11 (R1). Only clearance here would allow possible gains, targeting 99.33 (R2) and 99.54 (R3). Downwards scenario: Risk of the market decline is seen below the support level at 98.44 (S1). Break here is required to open the way towards to immediate supports at 98.25 (S2) and 98.04 (S3). Resistance Levels: 99.11, 99.33, 99.54 Support Levels: 98.44, 98.25, 98.04 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 13 2013 Countdown for QE taper fireworks is on! The judgment day for the Fed, Sept 17, is nearing, and the market is preparing accordingly for what may represent the most important monetary policy decision taken in years, as the start of QE taper gets kick-started. Even if the next FOMC meeting comes on the back of a rather disappointing NFP past Friday, the communication strategy carried out by Chairman Ben Bernanke & Co. so far suggest that some sort of light taper should be expected, or else the sell-off in the USD might be one that make headlines all over the world. According to Adam Button, Editor at Forexlive, "The market has settled on $10 billion as the most-likely size for the Fed’s taper next week", anticipating that "larger and the dollar will rally hard, smaller and it will fall." Meanwhile, Treasury traders seem to be perceive the taper being priced in less than 10bln, which makes a bullish case for a stronger USD for those supporting odds for a more aggressive taper. If this scenario happens to be true, some long USD plays vs other G10 currencies such as the NZD, EUR or even the CAD, might be a great play based on this assumption. As Button notes: "I think it’s clear that a taper is coming but the Fed could still change its mind on the size and the messages that accompany it. Two reports in the days ahead could change their thinking: retail sales on Friday and the CPI on Monday." http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 24h | EMU EcoFin Meeting 2013-09-13 12:30 GMT | US Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug) 2013-09-13 13:55 GMT | US Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Sep) 2013-09-13 14:00 GMT | US Business Inventories (Aug) FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-13 05:17 GMT | GBP/USD little moved after Carney, US job data 2013-09-13 04:52 GMT | NZD/USD faces formidable 0.8150/70 tech resistance 2013-09-13 04:39 GMT | USD stronger ahead of US retail sales; Gold stalls 2013-09-13 04:38 GMT | EUR/USD capped by 1.3300 EURUSD : HIGH 1.33022 LOW 1.32644 BID 1.32677 ASK 1.32680 CHANGE -0.23% TIME 08 : 40:28 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Possibility of market strengthening is seen above the immediate resistive barrier at 1.3286 (R1). Clearance here would suggest next interim target at 1.3302 (R2) and then final aim locates at 1.3317 (R3). Downwards scenario: Further downside extension might face next supportive barrier at 1.3256 (S1). Clearance here is required to open the way towards to interim target at 1.3240 (S2) and any further price regress would then be targeting 1.3225 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3286, 1.3302, 1.3317 Support Levels: 1.3256, 1.3240, 1.3225 -------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.58117 LOW 1.57766 BID 1.57812 ASK 1.57816 CHANGE -0.14% TIME 08 : 40:29 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: GBPUSD tested negative side recently, however we see potential to test resistive barrier at 1.5812 (R1) later on today. Successful penetration above that level would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5838 (R2) and 1.5864 (R3) later on today. Downwards scenario: In terms of technical levels, risk of price depreciation is seen below the support level at 1.5775 (S1). Loss here would suggest to monitor marks at 1.5750 (S2) and 1.5725 (S3) as possible intraday targets. Resistance Levels: 1.5812, 1.5838, 1.5864 Support Levels: 1.5775, 1.5750, 1.5725 -------------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 99.976 LOW 99.418 BID 99.861 ASK 99.866 CHANGE 0.33% TIME 08 : 40:29 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Further price appreciation is a likely scenario for today according to the technical readings. If the pair manages to clear the barrier at 100.08 (R1), we would suggest next targets at 100.24 (R2) and 100.40 (R3). Downwards scenario: Our next supportive barrier lies at 99.72 (S1). Break here is required to enable downside expansion towards to our intraday targets at 99.54 (S2) and 99.36 (S3) in potential. Resistance Levels: 100.08, 100.24, 100.40 Support Levels: 99.72, 99.54, 99.36 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 12 2013 Barroso calls for quick implementation of Eurozone banking union Europe is on a road to recovery, but efforts must still be made to prop it up, president of the European Commission José Manuel Barroso said on Wednesday, delivering the annual State of the Union speech. He listed unemployment as the the most burning issue to solve, as its current level is “economically unsustainable, politically untenable and socially unacceptable.” Speaking at the European Parliament in Strasbourg, Barroso pointed to the recent improvements in the European financial markets as well as the better situation in Greece. “For Europe, recovery is within sight. Let's not overestimate the progress, but neither should we underestimate what has been done,” he said. He called for a quicker implementation of the Eurozone banking union, which would help boost growth and employment. Finalizing discussions on the next EU budget was also listed as a top priority. Furthermore, Barroso stressed the need for a tighter political union, suggesting that “Europe must focus on where it can add most value. It needs to be big on big things and smaller on smaller things.” The European Commission president also referred to the chemical attack in Syria, which the EU condemns but still hopes to see the a conflict resolved through a negotiated settlement. http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-09-12 08:00 GMT | ECB Monthly Report 2013-09-12 09:00 GMT | UK Inflation Report Hearings 2013-09-12 11:40 GMT | ECB President Draghi's Speech 2013-09-12 12:30 GMT | US Initial Jobless Claims FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-12 05:33 GMT | AUD/USD falls apart on softest Australian jobs data 2013-09-12 05:26 GMT | Gold teetering on the brink above 1,351.60 key support 2013-09-12 05:07 GMT | Overbought GBP/USD buoyant at 1.5835 ahead of data / events 2013-09-12 04:50 GMT | EUR/GBP threatening the 0.84 big support --------------------- EURUSD HIGH 1.33241 LOW 1.33041 BID 1.33043 ASK 1.33047 CHANGE -0.05% TIME 08 : 53:11 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: On the upside potential is seen for a break above the resistance at 1.3325 (R1). In such case we would suggest next target at 1.3339 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to final resistance at 1.3354 (R3). Downwards scenario: Instrument looks overbought and we expect to see some consolidation pattern ahead. Risk of possible price regress is seen below the support level at 1.3299 (S1). Break here would suggest lower targets at 1.3283 (S2) and 1.3268 (S3) in potential. Resistance Levels: 1.3325, 1.3339, 1.3354 Support Levels: 1.3299, 1.3283, 1.3268 ------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.58316 LOW 1.58131 BID 1.58144 ASK 1.58146 CHANGE -0.01% TIME 08 : 53:12 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Mark at 1.5837 (R1) acts as next resistive barrier on the way if the pair keeps it upside potential. Break here is required to achieve higher targets at 1.5861 (R2) and 1.5886 (R3) later on today. Downwards scenario: Medium term bias is clearly positive however we expect recovery action if the price manages to overcome key supportive bastion at 1.5800 (S1). In such case we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5775 (S2) and 1.5748 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5837, 1.5861, 1.5886 Support Levels: 1.5800, 1.5775, 1.5748 ------------------------ USDJPY : HIGH 99.99 LOW 99.394 BID 99.493 ASK 99.495 CHANGE -0.39% TIME 08 : 53:13 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: USDJPY tested negative territory today though appreciation above the resistive structure at 99.69 (R1) might shift short-term tendency to the bullish side and validate our intraday targets at 99.88 (R2) and 100.08 (R3). Downwards scenario: Failure to establish corrective structure might lead to further downtrend evolvement later on today. Penetration below the support at 99.33 (S1) would suggest next intraday targets at 99.14 (S2) and 98.96 (S3) in perspective. Resistance Levels: 99.69, 99.88, 100.08 Support Levels: 99.33, 99.14, 98.96 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 11 2013 Obama puts Syrian action on hold while diplomacy pursued President Obama addressed the American people on the Syrian conflict, and where the U.S. goes from here, after headlines for a diplomatic resolution inundated media outlets on Tuesday. Barack Obama started the speech with a strong case for a ‘yes’ vote in Congress, saying "We know Asssad's government was responsible" Iran would be emboldened.... "This is not a world we should accept'' , although making clear that the U.S. "will not put American boots on the ground in Syria." As the speech progressed, a more conciliatory Obama emerged, saying that after the Russian proposal to place under international control Syria's alleged chemical weapons - which Assad's government agreed to -, he asked Congress to postpone a vote on Syria action while diplomacy is pursued, adding that Assa's initiative has the potential to remove weapons without use of force. Obama also said: "Over the last few days we’ve seen some encouraging signs, in part because of the threat of military action." Since Obama was specific about the slim chances of an immediate attack, the speech supports the recent bid on risk assets. http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : N/A | The US Congress votes on military action against Syria 2013-09-11 08:30 GMT | UK Claimant Count Change (Aug) 2013-09-11 15:30 GMT | UK MPC Member Miles Speech 2013-09-11 21:00 GMT | RBNZ Interest Rate Decision FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-11 05:41 GMT | GBP/JPY still up near the highs and eyeing 158.46 after convincing breakout 2013-09-11 05:25 GMT | USD/CHF on higher levels as geo-political tensions are fading away 2013-09-11 05:05 GMT | EUR/USD tumbling after Obama’s address; 1.3278 resistance looms large 2013-09-11 04:29 GMT | GBP/USD heads into employment report easing away from 1.5737 resistance ----------------- EURUSD HIGH 1.32819 LOW 1.32437 BID 1.32491 ASK 1.32493 CHANGE -0.13% TIME 09 : 05:26 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Possible upwards extension above the resistance level at 1.3266 (R1) is liable to commence medium-term bullish structure. Important fractal levels offers next targets at 1.3282 (R2) and 1.3298 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the moving averages our short-term outlook would be negative. Possible extension lower the 1.3240 (S1) is being able to drive market price towards to initial supports at 1.3226 (S2) and 1.3211 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3266, 1.3282, 1.3298 Support Levels: 1.3240, 1.3226, 1.3211 ------------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.57417 LOW 1.57186 BID 1.57190 ASK 1.57197 CHANGE -0.08% TIME 09 : 05:34 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: GBPUSD is approaching our key resistive measure at 1.5744 (R1). If the price manages to overcome it we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5767 (R2) and 1.5789 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside, currency pair might encounter supportive measures at 1.5711 (S1). Break here would open the way for a test of our next targets at 1.5689 (S2) and 1.5666 (S3) later on today. Resistance Levels: 1.5744, 1.5767, 1.5789 Support Levels: 1.5711, 1.5689, 1.5666 --------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 100.609 LOW 100.139 BID 100.430 ASK 100.433 CHANGE 0.04% TIME 09 : 05:35 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Mark at 100.65 (R1) acts as next resistive barrier on the way if the instrument keeps it upside potential. Break here is required to achieve higher targets at 100.93 (R2) and 101.19 (R3) later on today. Downwards scenario: Risk of market weakening is seen below the support level at 100.12 (S1). Loss here is required to enable our supportive barrier at 99.85 (S2) en route towards to final target for today at 99.59 (S3). Resistance Levels: 100.65, 100.93, 101.19 Support Levels: 100.12, 99.85, 99.59 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 10 2013 EUR/USD up around 1.3270 on China The shared currency is extending its ascent on Tuesday, lifting the EUR/USD to the area of 1.3270 on upbeat tone from the Chinese economy.China continues to be the main driver for the risk appetite trends in the first half of the week, after Industrial Production, Retail Sales and Urban Investment figures all surpassed expectations during August, giving extra oxygen to the risk-associated assets in general. In the opinion of Westpac Global Strategy Group, “The 55, 100 and 200 day moving averages have converged in the 1.3140-90 range, with the runup to 1.34 an increasingly distant memory. ECB president Draghi’s mood last week was gloomier than expected, adding to our bias to sell into the 1.32-1.33 region. However, US data has been too soft to inspire much fresh USD buying, leaving 1.3100 intact for now”. At the moment the pair is gaining 0.09% at 1.3268 with the next resistance at 1.3279 (Kijun Line) ahead of 1.3298 (low Aug.22) and then 1.3322 (low Aug.27). On the downside, a break below 1.3157 (low Sep.9) would target 1.3104 (50% of 1.2755-1.3453) en route to 1.3089 (low Jul.19). http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : N/A UK 30-y Bond Auction 2013-09-10 08:00 GMT | IT Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Q2) 2013-09-10 12:15 GMT | CA Housing Starts s.a (YoY) (Aug) 2013-09-10 17:00 GMT | US 3-Year Note Auction FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-10 05:40 GMT | Time for another leg up in USD/JPY - RBS 2013-09-10 05:21 GMT | EUR likely to be supported on dips - JPMorgan 2013-09-10 05:02 GMT | AUD/USD, risk is high of a further squeeze up towards 0.9500 - RBS 2013-09-10 04:25 GMT | USD/CHF holding ground above 0.9307 support despite Friday’s bearish candle --------------- EURUSD : HIGH 1.32725 LOW 1.32502 BID 1.32676 ASK 1.32681 CHANGE 0.1% TIME 08 : 54:03 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Current price setup might suggest retracement formation in near term perspective, however, if the price get acceleration on the upside and manages to surpass our resistive measure at 1.3281 (R1), we would suggest next targets at 1.3297 (R2) and 1.3313 (R3). Downwards scenario: Clearance of our support at 1.3248 (S1) is required to determine negative intraday bias and enable lower target at 1.3230 (S2) and then any further market depreciation would suggest final target at 1.3213 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3281, 1.3297, 1.3313 Support Levels: 1.3248, 1.3230, 1.3213 ------------------------ GBPUSD : HIGH 1.57086 LOW 1.56856 BID 1.57056 ASK 1.57059 CHANGE 0.08% TIME 08 : 54:04 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low Upwards scenario: Further positive bias development would face next resistive measure at 1.5731 (R1). If the price manages to overcome it we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5751 (R2) and 1.5772 (R3). Downwards scenario: Successful retest of our next support level at 1.5680 (S1) might provide sufficient momentum for the price acceleration towards to interim target at 1.5658 (S2) and then final aim for today could be exposed at 1.5637 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5731, 1.5751, 1.5772 Support Levels: 1.5680, 1.5658, 1.5637 ---------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 99.757 LOW 99.477 BID 99.628 ASK 99.630 CHANGE 0.06% TIME 08 : 54:05 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low Upwards scenario: Current price setup might suggest range mode development in near term perspective. Though If the price manages to surpass our resistive measure at 99.88 (R1), we would suggest next targets at 100.18 (R2) and 100.47 (R3). Downwards scenario: Possible downside expansion is protected by support level at 99.33 (S1), break here would put bullish oriented traders on hold. Marks at 99.04 (S2) and 98.75 (S3) acts as our initial targets today. Resistance Levels: 99.88, 100.18, 100.47 Support Levels: 99.33, 99.04, 98.75 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 09 2013 EUR/USD higher in early Europe after rising on Friday but still gets no love from ECB The EUR/USD opened higher the week after having dropped for a second week in a row. Elaborating on, the single currency managed to have a “green” day on Friday due to dismal NFP data, but still closed the week lower against the greenback for a second consecutive week, partly on Draghi’s more than expected dovish stance. ECB Draghi seems to remain very cautious about the Euro zone return to growth and not much enthusiastic about recovery in the Euro land. On the opposite side, despite the dismal NFP, the consensus in the market is for the Fed to announce the commencement of gradual tapering in the meeting of 17th and 18th of September. Traders should bear into consideration the Sentix Investor Confidence which will be released at 8.30 GMT hours and a further improvement in sentiment is anticipated. As long as the view for tapering remains “on”, any potential EUR/USD rallies will be well capped. Despite the great disappointment on Friday’s NFP release, hints from the Fed points to tapering, even in a small gradual scale such as of $15bililion/$20 billion per month. What’s more, the power-horse of Europe as well depicted in the industrial figures released last week, isn’t strong enough. There are political problems in coalition forces in Italy, a third bailout package in Greece seems inevitable and there is also political uncertainty in Cyprus. http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-09-09 08:30 GMT | EMU Sentix Investor Confidence (Aug) 2013-09-09 12:30 GMT | CA Building Permits (MoM) (Jul) 2013-09-09 19:00 GMT | US Consumer Credit Change (Jul) 2013-09-09 23:50 GMT | BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-09 05:44 GMT | USD/CHF bouncing modestly ahead of data following bearish reversal Friday 2013-09-09 04:16 GMT | EUR/GBP limited below 0.8430 on Euro weakness 2013-09-09 04:05 GMT | AUD/USD is heading upwards on China data and after weekend elections 2013-09-09 03:38 GMT | Playing USD/JPY from the long side - JPMorgan EURUSD : HIGH 1.31812 LOW 1.31642 BID 1.31718 ASK 1.31723 CHANGE -0.05% TIME 08 : 36:45 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Further positive bias development would face next resistive measure at 1.3190 (R1). If the price manages to overcome it we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.3212 (R2) and 1.3234 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, our bearish expectations remain intact below the key support level at 1.3155 (S1). Price penetration below it would allow further declines towards to lower targets at 1.3134 (S2) and 1.3112 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3190, 1.3212, 1.3234 Support Levels: 1.3155, 1.3134, 1.3112 --------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.56455 LOW 1.56158 BID 1.56441 ASK 1.56443 CHANGE 0.11% TIME 08 : 36:46 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low Upwards scenario: GBPUSD is approaching our key resistive measure at 1.5651 (R1). If the price manages to overcome it we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5668 (R2) and 1.5685 (R3). Downwards scenario: Medium-term bias remains sideways orientated. A dip lower the key support measure at 1.5613 (S1) would open a route towards to lower targets at 1.5596 (S2) and 1.5579 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5651, 1.5668, 1.5685 Support Levels: 1.5613, 1.5596, 1.5579 ------------------ USDJPY : HIGH 100.105 LOW 99.49 BID 99.645 ASK 99.649 CHANGE 0.56% TIME 08 : 36:47 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Measures of resistance might be activating when the pair approaches 100.11 (R1) price level. Break here would suggest next interim target at 100.44 (R2) and If the pair keeps its momentum we would expect an exposure of 100.75 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside bearish pressure might push the price below the support at 99.29 (S1). Further downside extension would open road towards to next target at 98.97 (S2) and any further losses would then be limited to 98.64 (S3) mark. Resistance Levels: 100.11, 100.44, 100.75 Support Levels: 99.29, 98.97, 98.64 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 06 2013 ECB's Draghi reiterates forward guidance on rates At the press conference following the ECB Governing Council's decision to keep interest rates unchanged at 0.5% in September, president Mario Draghi reiterated that key interest rates would remain at the current or lower levels for an extended period of time.He stressed that economic activity in the Eurozone is improving, as confidence indicators show, and that the ECB is ready to support the recovery with its accommodative monetary policy. Current geopolitical tensions are one of the main threats to the recovery, he said. Inflation in the Eurozone is low and should remain at this level in the coming months. Upside risks on inflation are connected with higher indirect taxes and commodity prices, while downside risks stem from weaker growth. The ECB has risen its Eurozone 2013 growth forecast to -0.4% from -0.6% and lowered the projection for 2014 to 1% from 1.1%. As far as inflation is concerned, the forecast for 2013 was hiked to 1.5% from 1.4% this year and left unchanged at 1.3% for 2014. Mario Draghi also stressed the importance of setting up the banking union quickly, as "weak loan dynamics continue to reflect the current state of the business cycle." http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-09-06 08:30 GMT | UK. Consumer Inflation Expectations 2013-09-06 12:30 GMT | US. Nonfarm Payrolls (Aug) 2013-09-06 12:30 GMT | CA. Unemployment Rate (Aug) 2013-09-06 14:00 GMT | Uk. NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) (Aug) FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-06 05:29 GMT | USD/JPY close to 100.00 area ahead of NFP 2013-09-06 04:17 GMT | USD eases in Asia ahead of NFP; Yen strengthens 2013-09-06 03:57 GMT | Technicians need gold to break 1,351.60 to validate bearish call 2013-09-06 02:51 GMT | Sell EUR/USD into 1.3150, TP 1.3090 ahead of NFP - JPMorgan EURUSD : HIGH 1.31384 LOW 1.31161 BID 1.31310 ASK 1.31315 CHANGE 0.09% TIME 08 : 50:06 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: On the upside, fractals level at 1.3156 (R1) offers an important resistive structure. Any penetration above that level would suggest next intraday targets at 1.3179 (R2) and 1.3202 (R3). Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the 20 SMA our technical outlook would be negative. Extension lower the key support level at 1.3110 (S1) is being able to drive market price towards to our next targets at 1.3087 (S2) and 1.3065 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3156, 1.3179, 1.3202 Support Levels: 1.3110, 1.3087, 1.3065 ------------------ GBPUSD : HIGH 1.56133 LOW 1.55862 BID 1.56054 ASK 1.56059 CHANGE 0.1% TIME 08 : 50:07 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: GBPUSD stabilized on the hourly chart however appreciation above the next resistance at 1.5627 (R1) might be a good catalyst for an upwards formation towards to next targets at 1.5647 (R2) and 1.5666 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, new phase of retracement formation might commence below the important support level at 1.5572 (S1). Break here is required to validate our targets at 1.5552 (S2) and 1.5531 (S3) later on today. Resistance Levels: 1.5327, 1.5647, 1.5666 Support Levels: 1.5572, 1.5552, 1.5531 ----------------- USDJPY : HIGH 100.225 LOW 99.695 BID 99.735 ASK 99.739 CHANGE -0.37% TIME 08 : 50:07 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Upside risk aversion is seen above the next resistance level at 100.15 (R1). Appreciation above it might lead to the positive intraday bias formation towards to our next targets at 100.44 (R2) and 100.73 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: Any downside extension is limited now to the next support level at 99.56 (S1). Below here we see potential for the price regress towards to next targets at 99.29 (S2) and 99.00 (S3). Resistance Levels: 100.15, 100.44, 100.73 Support Levels: 99.56, 99.29, 99.00 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 05 2013 Today's main event is the ECB meeting this afternoon oday’s main event is the ECB meeting this afternoon. In our view, there are fewer arguments for a rate cut today than a month ago, given recent upside surprises in economic indicators and a slower pace of decline in excess liquidity (see ECB Preview: Keep the powder dry). Hence, we expect the ECB to keep rates unchanged and Draghi to refrain from explaining further the forward guidance. The EUR/USD is trading downwards ahead of ECB and G20 meeting, but still remains above its 200-day moving average. Will the EUR/USD finally manage to break its 200-day MA at 1.3144? The pair is under pressure again, after a short relief in Wednesday’s trading session. The global equities rally rounded out by the biggest advance for the US Indexes in two weeks, pushed downwards the American dollar on Wednesday, i.e. the single currency got a small relief yesterday. Still, risk over the next 48 hours is of great significance and should be considered more trend defining. The G20 meeting doesn’t have a definitely positive or negative outcome, but Friday’s NFPs do. For today’s ECB meeting, there are obviously many members of the Governing Council who want to convince the market that rate hikes are still an “illusion”. -FXstreet.com Market Analysis | FXCC Blog FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 24h All G20 Meeting 2013-09-05 11:00 GMT BoE Interest Rate Decision 2013-09-05 11:45 GMT ECB Interest Rate Decision 2013-09-05 12:30 GMT ECB Monetary policy statement and press conference FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-05 05:36 GMT EUR/USD still under pressure ahead of ECB meeting 2013-09-05 05:34 GMT USD/JPY now at key resistance at 99.94 after rally of the last hour 2013-09-05 04:42 GMT EUR/GBP glued to 0.8450 ahead of BoE & ECB 2013-09-05 04:24 GMT GBP/JPY confined in a tight range EURUSD : HIGH 1.32076 LOW 1.31644 BID 1.31689 ASK 1.31694 CHANGE -0.29% TIME 08 : 44:52 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: EURUSD gained momentum on the downside recently and likely will close on the negative territory today. However, clearance of our next resistive structure at 1.3200 (R1) would open way towards to our initial target at 1.3218 (R2) and any further market rise would then be targeting 1.3235 (R3). Downwards scenario: Possible market weakening is protected by important technical level at 1.3157 (S1). Break here is required to open road towards to interim target at 1.3138 (S2) en route to final aim at 1.3119 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3200, 1.3218, 1.3235 Support Levels: 1.3157, 1.3138, 1.3119 ------------------------ GBPUSD : HIGH 1.56275 LOW 1.55956 BID 1.56032 ASK 1.56038 CHANGE -0.13% TIME 08 : 44:53 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Measures of resistance might be activating if the pair approaches 1.5636 (R1) price level. Break here would suggest next interim target at 1.5652 (R2) and If the price keeps its momentum we expect an exposure of 1.5670 (R3). Downwards scenario: Our next support level locates at 1.5593 (S1) mark. Possible penetration below this level would open way towards to next target at 1.5575 (S2) and then final aim lie at 1.5557 (S3) price level. Resistance Levels: 1.5636, 1.5652, 1.5670 Support Levels: 1.5593, 1.5575, 1.5557 ---------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 99.982 LOW 99.644 BID 99.852 ASK 99.857 CHANGE 0.12% TIME 08 : 44:54 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Market trapped to the consolidation phase after initial uptrend development. Further buying interest might occur above the resistance at 100.15 (R1). Our initial targets locates at 100.41 (R2) and 100.66 (R3) Downwards scenario: On the other side, depreciation below the supportive measure at 99.53 (S1) would confirm bearish medium-term tendency and validate our next intraday targets at 99.27 (S2) and 98.99 (S3) in potential. Resistance Levels: 100.15, 100.41, 100.66 Support Levels: 99.53, 99.27, 98.99 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 04 2013 New Syria resolution in Senate sets 90-day deadline for U.S. military action A new use-of-force resolution for Syria sets a 60-day deadline, with one 30-day extension possible, for U.S. President Barack Obama to launch military strikes against Syria, reports Politico from a revised draft authorization, also adding it will also bar the involvement of U.S. ground forces in Syria. As Politico adds: "The revised resolution was crafted by Sens. Robert Menendez (D-N.J.) and Bob Corker (R-Tenn.), the chairman and ranking member of the Foreign Relations Committee, following several days of negotiations." The proposal could go for voting by Wednesday. http://blog.fxcc.com/market-analysis FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-09-04 09:00 GMT | EMU Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) (Q2) 2013-09-04 12:30 GMT | US Trade Balance (Jul) 2013-09-04 14:00 GMT | CA BoC Interest Rate Decision 2013-09-04 18:00 GMT | US Fed's Beige Book FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-04 05:20 GMT | Deeply oversold EUR/GBP breaking all support and projections on downside 2013-09-04 05:14 GMT | USD/CHF is trading nearly its daily highs 2013-09-04 04:17 GMT | GBP/USD stuck below 1.5587 key hurdle ahead of Wednesday’s data 2013-09-04 04:00 GMT | EUR/USD, potential of a sharp test of 1.3050 - ANZ ------------------------- EURUSD : HIGH 1.31761 LOW 1.31619 BID 1.31678 ASK 1.31682 CHANGE -0.02% TIME 08 : 51:30 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Down trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Price dip lower yesterday and finally stabilized near its local low. A violation of next resistance at 1.3194 (R1) might call for a run towards to next target at 1.3215 (R2) and any further appreciation would then be limited to final target at 1.3235 (R3). Downwards scenario: Fresh low formed today offers an important resistive measure at 1.3138 (S1). Break here is required to drive market price towards to next visible targets at 1.3117 (S2) and 1.3097 (S3) later on today. Resistance Levels: 1.3194, 1.3215, 1.3235 Support Levels: 1.3138, 1.3117, 1.3097 ----------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.55677 LOW 1.5555 BID 1.55616 ASK 1.55621 CHANGE 0.01% TIME 08 : 51:30 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Neutral tone remains favored on the hourly chart frame, however possible extension above the resistive measure at 1.5582 (R1) would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5597 (R2) and 1.5611 (R3). Downwards scenario: An evidence of possible descending structure could be provided if the pair manages to surpass key support level at 1.5543 (S1). In such case we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5529 (S2) and 1.5514 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5582, 1.5597, 1.5611 Support Levels: 1.5543, 1.5529, 1.5514 ---------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 99.769 LOW 99.418 BID 99.723 ASK 99.725 CHANGE 0.15% TIME 08 : 51:31 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Market remains relatively stable above the moving averages. Clearance of next resistance level at 99.88 (R1) might initiates bullish pressure and expose our intraday targets at 100.15 (R2) and 100.41 (R3) later on today. Downwards scenario: Any downside extension is limited now to the next support level at 99.40 (S1). Below here we see potential for the price acceleration towards to next targets at 99.14 (S2) and 98.89 (S3). Resistance Levels: 99.88, 100.15, 100.41 Support Levels: 99.40, 99.14, 98.89 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 03 2013 RBA keeps rate at 2.5%, easing bias removal? The Reserve Bank of Australia left rates unchanged at 2.5% record lows, with the Monetary Policy Statement offering some interesting clues, saying "the Board will continue to assess the outlook and adjust policy as needed", omitting a more aggressive narrative seen in last few months. While the door to reduce rates further is not closed, the statement sounds not as dovish as one may have expected, yet the value of the Australian Dollar and domestic indicators will continue to determine the future rate setting. For now, looks like AUD bulls will gain Sept battle. https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/03092013/ FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-09-03 08:30 GMT | UK PMI Construction (Aug) 2013-09-03 09:00 GMT | EMU Producer Price Index (YoY) (Jul) 2013-09-03 12:58 GMT | US Markit Manufacturing PMI (Aug) 2013-09-03 14:00 GMT | US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug) FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-03 05:38 GMT | GBP/USD drifting higher for a 3rd session after rough 2 weeks; 1.5587 key hurdle 2013-09-03 05:07 GMT | AUD/USD spikes above 0.9000 after RBA 2013-09-03 04:19 GMT | EUR/USD extends choppy range; remains at 30-day lows 2013-09-03 04:03 GMT | USD/JPY continues to consolidate above 99.00 ------------------------- EURUSD : HIGH 1.31968 LOW 1.31778 BID 1.31800 ASK 1.31804 CHANGE -0.08% TIME 08 : 44:17 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Down trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Possibility of retracement formation is seen above the yesterday high -1.3227 (R1). Break here is required to clear the way towards to higher targets at 1.3248 (R2) and 1.3269 (R3). Downwards scenario: We placed our support level right below the local low at 1.3173 (S1). Clearance here is liable to open way towards to our interim target at 1.3152 (S2) and then might expose final aim at 1.3130 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3227, 1.3248, 1.3269 Support Levels: 1.3173, 1.3152, 1.3130 ---------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.5562 LOW 1.55379 BID 1.55491 ASK 1.55498 CHANGE 0.05% TIME 08 : 44:17 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Fresh fractal level at 1.5562 (R1) prevents further gains. Successful clearance here would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5580 (R2) and 1.5597 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside, next support level locates at 1.5530 (S1). Possible penetration below this mark would open way towards to next target at 1.5513 (S2) and then any further market decline would be limited to last mark at 1.5496 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5562, 1.5580, 1.5597 Support Levels: 1.5530, 1.5513, 1.5496 ----------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 99.703 LOW 99.302 BID 99.555 ASK 99.557 CHANGE 0.24% TIME 08 : 44:18 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Instrument gained momentum on the upside recently, turning short-term bias to the positive side. Next resistive structure on the way lies at 99.71 (R1), break here would suggest next intraday targets at 99.93 (R2) and 100.15 (R3). Downwards scenario: Failure to establish positive bias today would shift our focus to the next support level at 99.29 (S1). Clearance here would open way towards to next targets at 99.06 (S2) and 98.82 (S3). Resistance Levels: 99.71, 99.93, 100.15 Support Levels: 99.29, 99.06, 98.82 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Sep 02 2013 Obama seeks Congressional approval before launching attack against Syria U.S. President Barack Obama has delayed a military strike against Syria by requesting authorization first from an incredulous Congress, a decision that may take no less than 10 days to be given. As Obama said, in a hastily organized appearance in the Rose Garden, "I’m prepared to give that order, but having made my decision as commander in chief based on what I am convinced is our national security interests, I’m also mindful that I’m the president of the world’s oldest constitutional democracy.” According to John Boehner, the Republican speaker of the House of Representatives, “we expect the House to consider a measure the week of September 9.″ https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/02092013 FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-09-02 07:53 GMT | DE Markit Manufacturing PMI (Aug) 2013-09-02 07:58 GMT | EMU Markit Manufacturing PMI (Aug) 2013-09-02 08:28 GMT | UK Markit Manufacturing PMI (Aug) 2013-09-02 15:30 GMT | US 6-Month Bill Auction FOREX NEWS : 2013-09-02 05:06 GMT | EUR/USD now trading lower and below key support at 1.3205 2013-09-02 04:50 GMT | Australian Dollar faces monumental week - UBS 2013-09-02 03:54 GMT | GBP/USD creeps north; target at 1.56 2013-09-02 03:18 GMT | EUR/GBP rapidly approaching projected downside target at 0.8472 --------------------- EURUSD HIGH 1.32141 LOW 1.31917 BID 1.32094 ASK 1.32097 CHANGE -0.08% TIME 08:32:59 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Down trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Possible retracement action is limited now to the next resistive measure at 1.3226 (R1). Clearance here is required to enable our interim target at 1.3248 (R2) en route to final aim at 1.3270 (R3). Downwards scenario: The downside direction remains favored according to the technical indicators. Our next support measure lies at 1.3174 (S1). Decline below it would enable lower targets at 1.3152 (S2) and 1.3130 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3226, 1.3248, 1.3270 Support Levels: 1.3174, 1.3152, 1.3130 ------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.55658 LOW 1.55056 BID 1.55500 ASK 1.55503 CHANGE 0.36% TIME 08:33:00 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low Upwards scenario: GBPUSD clearly determined positive bias on the short-term perspective. Penetration above the resistive measure at 1.5556 (R1) might encourage protective orders execution and drive market price towards to the next resistive means at 1.5582 (R2) and 1.5598 (R3). Downwards scenario: Although market players may prefer to increase exposure on the short positions and push the price below the support level at 1.5527 (S1). Possible price devaluation would suggest initial targets at 1.5510 (S2) and then 1.5493 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5556, 1.5582, 1.5598 Support Levels: 1.5527, 1.5510, 1.5493 --------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 98.674 LOW 98.275 BID 98.598 ASK 98.603 CHANGE 0.51% TIME 08:33:00 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low Upwards scenario: While both moving averages are pointing up, medium-term technical outlook would be positive. Appreciation above the resistance at 98.75 (R1) would enable recovery phase towards to next targets at 98.88 (R2) and 99.01 (R3). Downwards scenario: Negative developments might be settled below the important support level at 98.47 (S1). Any price action below it would then be targeting support level at 98.34 (S2) and then final target could be exposed at 98.21 (S3). Resistance Levels: 98.75, 98.88, 99.01 Support Levels: 98.47, 98.34, 98.21 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 15 2013 EUR/USD rips vertically on a 10-minute chart; still vulnerable macro set-up The EUR/USD just ripped straight higher for over 400 pips on non-news related buying. Still, any upside is corrective in nature unless 1.3414 is conquered say technicians. EUR/USD will likely be trading off of US data Thursday Despite the rip higher that just occurred on the intraday chart, the macro picture appears to be setting up for much more downside once this upside correction runs its course. The European markets are closed for the most part Thursday in honor of Ascension Day. http://www.einvestorsforum.com/#sthash.YmmEQouT.dpbs FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-08-15 12:30 GMT | US. Consumer Price Index (MoM)/(YoY) (Jul) 2013-08-15 12:30 GMT | US. Initial Jobless Claims 2013-08-15 13:15 GMT | US. Industrial Production (MoM) (Jul) 2013-08-15 14:00 GMT | US. Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (Jul) FOREX NEWS : 2013-08-15 04:35 GMT | EUR/GBP sitting above 0.8550 ahead of UK retail sales 2013-08-15 04:22 GMT | USD/JPY hits ceiling at 97.80 2013-08-15 03:45 GMT | GBP/AUD below 1.70 testing June highs as support now 2013-08-15 03:15 GMT | AUD/JPY struggles to break 90.00 but looking bullish EURUSD : HIGH 1.33103 LOW 1.3253 BID 1.32896 ASK 1.32897 CHANGE 0.26% TIME 08 : 09:02 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Neutral channel formation remains in play on the hourly chart. Our next resistance level is placed above the local peak at 1.3310 (R1). Strengthening above it would point to resistive structure at 1.3341 (R2) onto 1.3367 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, price pattern suggests bearish potential if the instrument manages to overcome next support level at 1.3241 (S1). Possible price regress could expose our initial targets at 1.3223 (S2) and 1.3202 (S3) in potential. Resistance Levels: 1.3310, 1.3341, 1.3367 Support Levels: 1.3241, 1.3223, 1.3202 --------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.55232 LOW 1.54978 BID 1.55187 ASK 1.55193 CHANGE 0.11% TIME 08 : 09:03 OUTLOOK : SUMMARY TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Measures of resistance might be activating when the pair approaches the 1.5538 (R1) mark. Break here would suggest next interim target at 1.5566 (R2) and If the price keeps its momentum we expect an exposure of 1.5601 (R3). Downwards scenario: Possible pull back development is limited now to the key supportive barrier at 1.5496 (S1). Only loss here would be considered as a beginning of a retracement expansion. Our intraday targets locates at 1.5467 (S2) and 1.5436 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5538, 1.5566, 1.5601 Support Levels: 1.5496, 1.5467, 1.5436 -------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 98.296 LOW 97.584 BID 97.732 ASK 97.737 CHANGE -0.39% TIME 08:09:04 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Upside formation is limited now to the next resistive barrier at 98.25 (R1). Clearance here is required to provide a space for a move towards to next target at 98.56 (R2) and then final aim would be 98.77 (R3). Downwards scenario: We would shift our short-term technical outlook to the negative if the price manage to penetrate below the key support at 97.60 (S1). Loss here would suggest next initial targets at 97.30 (S2) and 97.02 (S3). Resistance Levels: 98.25, 98.56, 98.77 Support Levels: 97.60, 97.30, 97.02 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 14 2013 Fed’s Lockhart reiterates September reduction in Federal bond buying In news that will certainly resonate through FX Markets, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart reported that the Federal Reserve could begin reducing its bond-buying stimulus as early as its September meeting – despite inflation still being below its targeted values. One of the more pressing concerns facing investors and policymakers alike is that the U.S. economic performance is too volatile or unstable for Federal Reserve policymakers to initiate their comprehensive plan for both reducing and eventually halting their asset-purchasing program as early as next month. Ultimately though, Lockhart appeared open or receptive to at least a modest pullback in Federal monetary stimulus from its current pace of $85 billion per month. "I wouldn't rule out September," he stated. "As I see it, a decision to proceed - whether it is in September, October, or December - ought to be thought of as a cautious first step." Indeed, U.S. inflation has been running well below the Fed's 2.0% target for some time – historically very low. However Lockhart noted he did not see any signs that deflation was accelerating, reiterating that the current inflationary backdrop would still be consistent with a modest pullback in quantitative easing. https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/14082013/ FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-08-14 06:00 GMT | Germany. Gross Domestic Product n.s.a (YoY) (Q2) 2013-08-14 08:30 GMT | UK. Bank of England Minutes 2013-08-14 09:00 GMT | EMU. Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) (Q2) 2013-08-14 12:30 GMT | US. Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) FOREX NEWS : 2013-08-14 05:01 GMT | EUR/USD grinds sideways at 1.3263 in advance of key European data 2013-08-14 04:56 GMT | EUR/GBP capped below 0.86 ahead of UK jobs data 2013-08-14 04:10 GMT | USD marginally lower on Yen strength; Hong-Kong closed 2013-08-14 03:12 GMT | Next RBA cut November, more cuts may follow - NAB -------------------- EURUSD : HIGH 1.3268 LOW 1.32532 BID 1.32638 ASK 1.32640 CHANGE 0.01% TIME 08 : 38:20 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Down trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Market remains relatively stable below the moving averages, though clearance of next resistance level at 1.3269 (R1) might initiates bullish pressure. Above the local high locates our intraday targets at 1.3282 (R2) and 1.3294 (R3). Downwards scenario: Failure to establish positive bias today would shift our focus to the next support level at 1.3246 (S1). Clearance here would open way towards to next targets at 1.3234 (S2) and 1.3221 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3269, 1.3282, 1.3294 Support Levels: 1.3246, 1.3234, 1.3221 --------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.54535 LOW 1.54362 BID 1.54425 ASK 1.54434 CHANGE -0.03% TIME 08 : 38:21 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Possibility of price progress is seen above the next resistance level at 1.5472 (R1). Breakthrough here would suggest our interim target at 1.5498 (R2) and then mark at 1.5524 (R3) acts as last resistive measure today. Downwards scenario: Any downside extension is limited now to the next support level at 1.5425 (S1). Below here we see potential for the price acceleration towards to next targets at 1.5401 (S2) and 1.5375 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5472, 1.5498, 1.5524 Support Levels: 1.5425, 1.5401, 1.5375 ---------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 98.406 LOW 97.866 BID 98.386 ASK 98.388 CHANGE 0.18% TIME 08 : 38:22 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Yesterday price acceleration on the upside suggests medium-term positive bias. Possible penetration above the resistance level at 98.52 (R1) is liable to open way towards to our initial targets at 98.71 (R2) and 98.89 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, break below the support at 97.85 (S1) is required to enable possible retracement development. Our next supportive measures locates at 97.65 (S2) and 97.45 (S3). Resistance Levels: 98.52, 98.71, 98.89 Support Levels: 97.85, 97.65, 97.45 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 13 2013 Yen short trade revival subject to Japan's sales tax chatter... By now, the market completes a full trading day in which investors and traders had the opportunity to digest what to make out of Monday's disappointing Japan Q2 GDP data, but most importantly, what might be the implications on the widely covered topic of the sales tax hike. As reported yesterday, the big miss in the Japanese growth figures, displaying a -1% negative deviation from 3.6% expected to 2.6% preliminary data, is not helping the case to implement a planned 3% aggressive increase on the sales tax. Historically, there are well-founded reasons to fear that the economy may face some undesirable headwinds if being too aggressive on a tax hike. Japanese policy-makers are growing more vocal on softer option to take on, including either a more conservative 1% incremental approach on the sales tax, or even delaying the tax hike by one year after Japan's PM Abe Adviser, Mr. Hamada,was quoted earlier yesterday saying "there is no need to hurry with the sales tax hike after the weaker-than-expected Q2 GDP as it might harm the economy." On the flip side, BoJ Chief Kuroda said last week that it is not necessary a delay in the sales tax hike, saying that “ending deflation and raising the sales tax are achievable at the same time.” https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/13082013/ FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-08-13 08:30 GMT | UK Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Jul) 2013-08-13 09:00 GMT | EMU ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment (Jul) 2013-08-13 12:30 GMT | US Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul) 2013-08-13 14:00 GMT | US Business Inventories (Jun) FOREX NEWS : 2013-08-13 04:54 GMT | GBP/USD working off overbought condition with current pullback 2013-08-13 04:54 GMT | EUR/GBP treading water above 0.86 ahead of UK CPI 2013-08-13 03:56 GMT | EUR/JPY pushed up to fresh new 129.60 highs 2013-08-13 03:42 GMT | EUR/USD ignited on impressive rally ---------------------- EURUSD : HIGH 1.3313 LOW 1.32891 BID 1.33032 ASK 1.33032 CHANGE 0.03% TIME 08 : 34:53 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Price dip lower yesterday and finally stabilized. A violation of next resistance at 1.3313 (R1) might call for a run towards to next target at 1.3327 (R2) and any further appreciation would then be limited to final target at 1.3340 (R3). Downwards scenario: We placed our support level right below the session low at 1.3288 (S1). Clearance here is liable to open way towards to our interim target at 1.3275 (S2) and then might expose final aim at 1.3262 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3313, 1.3327, 1.3340 Support Levels: 1.3288, 1.3275, 1.3262 ---------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.54649 LOW 1.54472 BID 1.54599 ASK 1.54607 CHANGE 0% TIME 08 : 34:54 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Market trapped to the consolidation phase after initial uptrend development. Further buying interest might occur above the resistance at 1.5485 (R1). Our initial targets locates at 1.5512 (R2) and 1.5538 (R3) Downwards scenario: On the downside Cable is approaching our next supportive barrier at 1.5442 (S1). Break here is required to drive market price towards to next visible targets at 1.5415 (S2) and 1.5388 (S3) later on today. Resistance Levels: 1.5485, 1.5512, 1.5538 Support Levels: 1.5442, 1.5415, 1.5388 ---------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 97.561 LOW 96.857 BID 97.451 ASK 97.454 CHANGE 0.57% TIME 08 : 34:55 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Instrument gained momentum on the upside recently, turning short-term bias to the positive side. Next resistive structure on the way lies at 97.65 (R1), break here would suggest next intraday targets at 97.88 (R2) and 98.11 (R3). Downwards scenario: Any downside fluctuations remains for now limited to the key support barrier at 97.14 (S1). Only clear break here would be a signal of possible market easing towards to our targets at 96.93 (S2) and 96.70 (S3) in potential. Resistance Levels: 97.65, 97.88, 98.11 Support Levels: 97.14, 96.93, 96.70 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 08 2013 BoJ to keep massive monetary easing BOJ kept monetary policy steady by unanimous vote, retaining its plan to increase monetary base at annual pace of 60-70 trillion yen. The bank said that the CPI uptick from recent months will gradually accelerate as inflation expectations continue to rise on the whole. Monetary easing to continue until 2% inflation target reached, the BoJ said. On the economic outlook, the central bank said the Japanese economy is recoverying moderately but still faces many uncertainties. https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/08082013/ FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-08-08 08:00 GMT | EMU ECB Monthly Report 2013-08-08 12:30 GMT | US Initial Jobless Claims 2013-08-08 12:30 GMT | Canada. New Housing Price Index (YoY) 2013-08-08 23:50 GMT | Japan. Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) FOREX NEWS : 2013-08-08 05:02 GMT | EUR/USD resting below fresh 7-week highs at 1.3350 2013-08-08 04:50 GMT | AUD/NZD takes off to reach 1.1397 intraday highs 2013-08-08 04:50 GMT | GBP/USD consolidating gains above 1.55 2013-08-08 04:20 GMT | USD/CHF pocketing 0.13% gains on steady climb ------------------- EURUSD HIGH 1.33506 LOW 1.33281 BID 1.33485 ASK 1.33489 CHANGE 0.1% TIME 08 : 35:44 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Fresh high offers a key resistive barrier at 1.3346 (R1). Subsequently loss here might create upside momentum and drive market price towards to our initial targets at 1.3358 (R2) and 1.3370 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: On the other hand, depreciation below the technically important support level at 1.3327 (S1) might lead to the correction formation on the short-term perspective. Possible targets lies at 1.3314 (S2) and 1.3302 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3346, 1.3358, 1.3370 Support Levels: 1.3327, 1.3314, 1.3302 ---------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.55067 LOW 1.54849 BID 1.55067 ASK 1.55071 CHANGE 0.13% TIME 08 : 35:45 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: After the strong appreciation yesterday we expect to see some consolidation ahead. Though clearance of next resistance level at 1.5531 (R1) might enable bullish pressure and open route towards to our next targets at 1.5557 (R2) and 1.5584 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside, support level at 1.5478 (S1) limits possible retracement expansion. Break here is required to enable lower target at 1.5450 (S2) en route to final aim at 1.5424 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5531, 1.5557, 1.5584 Support Levels: 1.5478, 1.5450, 1.5424 ---------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 96.935 LOW 96.322 BID 96.415 ASK 96.416 CHANGE 0.09% TIME 08 : 35:46 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Down trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Possible buying interest might arise above the resistance at 96.94 (R1). Clearance here would suggest next intraday target at 97.18 (R2) and if the price holds its momentum we can expect an exposure of 97.42 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, further downtrend development may encounter supportive measure at 96.30 (S1). Penetration through this level would targeting then supportive means at 96.08 (S2) and 95.84 (S3) in potential. Resistance Levels: 96.94, 97.18, 97.42 Support Levels: 96.30, 96.08, 95.84 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 07 2013 GBP/USD fading after failed test of 1.5435 level; BOE report looms The GBPUSD runs the risk of cascading lower yet again after it ran up to “correction resistance” and failed. The BOE’s inflation report and Mr. Carney’s appearance before Parliament are sure to create a sharp move. The GBP/USD cross rallied sharply on Dollar weakness following Friday’s jobs report in the US. The bullish tone carried over into Sunday night’s open and continued to stair-step higher until just after Britain’s industrial and manufacturing production numbers were released. Shortly after those numbers came out, the GBP/USD began to sell off – this time in a stair-step pattern in the opposite direction. So far, there is still a chance that the latest bit of selling is just a correction lower leading up to the next thrust higher. But, technicians say that a break below 1.5213 would put out any bullish flame. https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/07082013/ FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-08-07 09:30 GMT | Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report 2013-08-07 09:30 GMT | Mark Carney speaks at UK Parliament 2013-08-07 12:30 GMT | Canada. Building Permits (MoM) (Jun) 2013-08-07 19:00 GMT | US Consumer Credit Change (Jun) FOREX NEWS : 2013-08-07 05:20 GMT | EUR/GBP up after Tuesday’s gains ahead of BOE inflation report 2013-08-07 04:26 GMT | AUD/USD downtrend dominant; targets at 0.8550, 0.8675 - ANZ 2013-08-07 03:20 GMT | GBP/USD fading after failed test of 1.5435 level; BOE report looms 2013-08-07 02:49 GMT | Risk of a dovish BoJ - RBS ----------------- EURUSD : HIGH 1.33156 LOW 1.32926 BID 1.33025 ASK 1.33028 CHANGE -0.02% TIME 08:41:08 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: EURUSD trapped to the consolidation mode on the hourly chart frame. Next resistive barrier is seen at 1.3315 (R1), break here is required to enable next attractive points at 1.3324 (R2) and 1.3332 (R3). Downwards scenario: While instrument trades above the moving averages, our short-term bias would stay positive though penetration below the support level at 1.3292 (S1) might open way towards to lower targets at 1.3283 (S2) and 1.3273 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3315, 1.3324, 1.3332 Support Levels: 1.3292, 1.3283, 1.3273 ----------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.53635 LOW 1.53173 BID 1.53347 ASK 1.53352 CHANGE -0.09% TIME 08:41:08 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Possibility of uptrend evolvement is seen above the next resistance at 1.5363 (R1). Violation here would increase bullish pressure and suggest next intraday targets at 1.5387 (R2) and 1.5412 (R3). Downwards scenario: Our next support level is placed at 1.5317 (S1), right below the local minimum. Possible penetration below it might initiate bearish pressure and gradually push the price towards to our intraday targets at 1.5295 (S2) and 1.5273 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5363, 1.5387, 1.5412 Support Levels: 1.5317, 1.5295, 1.5273 ---------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 97.804 LOW 97.092 BID 97.226 ASK 97.230 CHANGE -0.52% TIME 08:41:09 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Down trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Descending structure suggests possible correction ahead. Break above the resistance at 97.58 (R1) would clear the way towards to higher target at 97.83 (R2). Further price appreciation would face then final resistive measure at 98.07 (R3) Downwards scenario: Local low offers an important supportive measure at 97.08 (S1). A violation here might call for a run towards to initial targets at 96.84 (S2) and 96.58 (S3). Resistance Levels: 97.58, 97.83, 98.07 Support Levels: 97.08, 96.84, 96.58 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 06 2013 AUD/USD rallies initially after RBA, but a lot of resistance looms The AUD/USD came into the RBA decision very oversold and ready squeeze the bears. Despite the initial pop, technicians say there’s plenty of resistance to conquer before the bulls take control of the macro picture. The initial positive reaction following the RBA’s 25 basis point rate cut appears to be the market weeding out those shorts who were banking on a 50 basis point cut. While nobody knows exactly how much money was being bet against the AUD/USD, but the mercilous selling that led to the extreme oversold readings made it quite apparent that the short-Aussie trade was extremely crowded – and the markets do not treat crowded trades well typically. The good news for bears that were not over-leveraged is that the RBA hinted that they stand at the ready to act further if growth continues to be a problem and inflation remains benign. https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/06082013/ FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-08-06 08:30 GMT | UK. Industrial Production (YoY) 2013-08-06 12:30 GMT | US. Trade Balance 2013-08-06 14:00 GMT | UK. NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) 2013-08-06 22:45 GMT | NZ. Unemployment Rate (Q2) FOREX NEWS : 2013-08-06 05:04 GMT | Japan June Leading Economic Index falls to 107 vs 110.7 2013-08-06 04:48 GMT | USD pares loses; RBA cuts 25bps as expected 2013-08-06 04:47 GMT | EUR/AUD, on never-ending downfall? 2013-08-06 03:48 GMT | USD/JPY, Houston, do we have a problem? --------------------- EURUSD : HIGH 1.32714 LOW 1.32526 BID 1.32546 ASK 1.32552 CHANGE -0.03% TIME 08 : 40:54 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Despite the current consolidation pattern, EURUSD remains in uptrend formation on the bigger picture. Clearance of our next resistance level at 1.3272 (R1) would suggest initial targets at 1.3282 (R2) and 1.3292 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside next supportive bastion lies at 1.3250 (S1). Prolonged movement below it might then expose our intraday targets at 1.3241 (S2) and 1.3231 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3272, 1.3282, 1.3292 Support Levels: 1.3250, 1.3241, 1.3231 --------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.53689 LOW 1.53362 BID 1.53376 ASK 1.53385 CHANGE -0.1% TIME 08 : 40:54 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Up trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Further bullish penetration might face next challenge at 1.5378 (R1). Break here would then be targeting 1.5396 (R2) en route towards to last resistance for today at 1.5415 (R3).Downwards scenario: On the other hand, retracement formation might occur below the immediate support level at 1.5319 (S1). Clearance here would enable our next intraday targets at 1.5301(S2) and 1.5281 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5378, 1.5396, 1.5415 Support Levels: 1.5319, 1.5301, 1.5281 -------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 98.377 LOW 97.838 BID 98.350 ASK 98.353 CHANGE 0.06% TIME 08 : 40:55 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Down trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: An element of resistive measure could be found at 98.46 (R1). Clearance here would open way towards to higher target at 98.63 (R2) and any further rise would then be limited to last resistance at 98.80 (R3). Downwards scenario: Failure to establish corrective structure might lead to further downtrend evolvement later on today. Penetration below the support at 98.03 (S1) would suggest next intraday targets at 97.86 (S2) and 97.69 (S3) in perspective. Resistance Levels: 98.46, 98.63, 98.80 Support Levels: 98.03, 97.86, 97.69 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 05 2013 Australian services sector falls below 40.00, first time since GFC Earlier on the session it was learnt that the Australian Performance of Services Index (Australian PSI®) fell deeper into the red, this time by 2.1 points to 39.4 in July, suggesting further contraction in activity. This is the lowest level for the Australian PSI® since March 2009, Ai Group reported, saying that "outside the GFC-related downturn in 2008-09, it is the first time the Australian PSI® has fallen below 40 points." https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/05082013/ FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-08-05 07:58 GMT | EMU. Markit Services PMI 2013-08-05 08:28 GMT | UK. Markit Services PMI (Jul) 2013-08-05 09:00 GMT | EMU. Retail Sales (YoY) 2013-08-05 14:00 GMT | US. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI FOREX NEWS : 2013-08-05 05:18 GMT | GBP/USD mustering a modest bounce after five straight down sessions 2013-08-05 04:31 GMT | AUD/USD enters heavy data week oversold and with the world leaning against it 2013-08-05 04:09 GMT | EUR/USD, sellers protect 1.3280 resistance 2013-08-05 03:24 GMT | USD/JPY easing below 99.00 ------------------------ EURUSD : HIGH 1.32868 LOW 1.32635 BID 1.32788 ASK 1.32791 CHANGE -0.02% TIME 08:33:34 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Neutral hourly studies point towards further consolidation, with a break of next resistive structure at 1.3293 (R1) is required to spark stronger upside action. In such scenario we would suggest our next initial targets 1.3304 (R2) and 1.3316 (R3). Downwards scenario: Risk of market depreciation is seen below the next support level at 1.3263 (S1). Clearance here would suggest next intraday targets at 1.3252 (S2) and 1.3241 (S3) in potential. Resistance Levels: 1.3293, 1.3304, 1.3316 Support Levels: 1.2263, 1.3252, 1.3241 --------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.52969 LOW 1.5259 BID 1.52751 ASK 1.52756 CHANGE -0.05% TIME 08:33:34 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low Upwards scenario: Market price penetrated above the Friday’s high. On the way is key resistive measure at 1.5309 (R1), break here is required to achieve higher targets at 1.5330 (R2) and 1.5350 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside next challenge is seen at 1.5248 (S1). Breakthrough here would open road for a recovery action towards to our initial targets at 1.5233 (S2) and 1.5212 (R3) in potential. Resistance Levels: 1.5309, 1.5330, 1.5350 Support Levels: 1.5248, 1.5233, 1.5212 ------------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 99.15 LOW 98.706 BID 98.771 ASK 98.776 CHANGE -0.17% TIME 08:33:35 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Low Upwards scenario: Market players may prefer to stay neutral today during limited tier one macroeconomic data flow, though a break of our resistance at 99.15 (R1) would suggest next targets at 99.32 (R2) and 99.49 (R3). Downwards scenario: Further recovery phase is limited now to the next supportive barrier at 98.65 (S1). Only loss here would enable our intraday targets at 98.50 (S2) and 98.34 (S3) on the downside. Resistance Levels: 99.15, 99.32, 99.49 Support Levels: 98.65, 98.50, 98.34 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Aug 01 2013 Mixed data spur controversies on Chinese PMI data restrictions Last month, the National Bureau of Statistics restrained industry-specific data upon publication of Purchasing Manufacturing indexes. Under the premise implying not enough resources were available to make such analysis public, the Chinese opted to suspend relevant information indicative of this year’s economic performance. As stated by the vice president of the China Federation of Logistics & Purchasing, “We now have 3,000 samples in the survey, and from a technical point of view, time is very limited — there are many industries, you know”. While Chinese provide zero point zone explanations, speculation concerning the reasons behind such measures continues to surge. https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/01082013/ FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-08-01 11:00 GMT | UK. BoE Interest Rate Decision 2013-08-01 11:45 GMT | EMU. ECB Interest Rate Decision 2013-08-01 12:30 GMT | EMU. ECB Monetary policy statement and press conference 2013-08-01 14:00 GMT | USA. ISM Manufacturing PMI FOREX NEWS : 2013-08-01 04:12 GMT | GBP/USD at fresh session lows ahead of London 2013-08-01 03:09 GMT | USD/JPY totally flat for the week above 98 waiting NFP 2013-08-01 02:55 GMT | AUD/USD, 0.8858 and 8775 next targets - 2ndSkies 2013-08-01 02:25 GMT | EUR/USD flat for the week inside a 150 pip range ------------------- EURUSD HIGH 1.33108 LOW 1.32661 BID 1.32698 ASK 1.32702 CHANGE -0.25% TIME 08 : 45:58 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Possible upside penetration looks limited now to the next resistive barrier at 1.3288 (R1). Appreciation above this mark might gradually push the pair toward to next targets at 1.3304 (R2) and 1.3319 (R3) in potential. Downwards scenario: As long as price stays below the next resistance level our technical outlook would be negative. Next on tap is support level at 1.3252 (S1). Penetration below this mark would suggest next targets at 1.3238 (S2) and 1.3223 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3288, 1.3304, 1.3319 Support Levels: 1.3252, 1.3238, 1.3223 ------------------------ GBPUSD : HIGH 1.52102 LOW 1.51535 BID 1.51597 ASK 1.51599 CHANGE -0.3% TIME 08 : 45:59 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Down trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bullish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Possible buying interest might push the pair to attack next resistive measure at 1.5187 (R1). Clearance here is required to resume upside formation, targeting marks at 1.5207 (R2) and 1.5226 (R3) later on today. Downwards scenario: On the other hand, loss of our support level at 1.5146 (S1) would open road for a market decline towards to our next target at 1.5128 (S2). Any further price weakening would then be limited to final support for today at 1.5109 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5187, 1.5207, 1.5226 Support Levels: 1.5146, 1.5128, 1.5109 ----------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 98.375 LOW 97.658 BID 98.350 ASK 98.353 CHANGE 0.52% TIME 08 : 46:00 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Risk of further price appreciation is seen above the next resistance level at 98.46 (R1). Clearance here would suggest next intraday target at 98.66 (R2) and then final aim locates at 98.86 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other hand, clearance of our support at 98.11 (S1) is required to determine negative intraday bias and enable lower target at 97.90 (S2) and then any further market depreciation would suggest final support at 97.69 (S3). Resistance Levels: 98.46, 98.66, 98.86 Support Levels: 98.11, 97.90, 97.69 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Jul 31 2013 The world awaits the FOMC decision and statements Unlike many of the recent Fed meetings, Today’s meeting will feature only the FOMC’s decision and accompanying statement – but still the world is watching. Today’s interest rate decision will only be accompanied by their official statement regarding their decision. Traders and analysts are hoping for more guidance on the Fed’s plans regarding their bond buying program. https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/31072013/ FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-07-31 09:00 GMT | EMU. Consumer Price Index - Core (YoY) 2013-07-31 12:30 GMT | USA. Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q2) 2013-07-31 18:00 GMT | USA. Fed Interest Rate Decision 2013-07-31 18:00 GMT | USA. Fed's Monetary Policy Statement and press conference FOREX NEWS : 2013-07-31 04:43 GMT | Today is the big day, USD to be pressured - SocGen 2013-07-31 04:29 GMT | FOMC client survey results; most hold USD longs - Nomura 2013-07-31 04:25 GMT | NZD/USD holding above 0.7950 while capped below 0.80 2013-07-31 04:04 GMT | USD to strengthen as 'dovish' Fed priced in - RBS EURUSD : HIGH 1.3268 LOW 1.32517 BID 1.32572 ASK 1.32577 CHANGE -0.04% TIME 08 : 46:29 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Neutral TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: All supports and resistances remains the same today. Mark at 1.3273 (R1) acts as next resistive barrier on the way if the pair keeps it upside potential. Break here is required to achieve higher targets at 1.3288 (R2) and 1.3304 (R3) later on today. Downwards scenario: On the other side, depreciation below the support at 1.3247 (S1) might shift short-term tendency to the bearish side and validate our intraday targets at 1.3232 (S2) and 1.3217(S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3273, 1.3288, 1.3304 Support Levels: 1.3247, 1.3232, 1.3217 -------------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.52434 LOW 1.52185 BID 1.52244 ASK 1.52250 CHANGE -0.09% TIME 08 : 46:30 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Down trend TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Instrument gained momentum on the downside recently, turning short-term bias to the negative side. Though, upwards penetration above the resistance at 1.5252 (R1) might enable bullish forces and expose our initial targets at 1.5267 (R2) and 1.5282 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the other side, depreciation below the support barrier at 1.5215 (S1) might provide sufficient space for the recovery action. In such case we would suggest next intraday targets at 1.5205 (S2) and then 1.5186 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5252, 1.5267, 1.5282 Support Levels: 1.5215, 1.5205, 1.5186 -------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 98.162 LOW 97.847 BID 98.019 ASK 98.020 CHANGE -0.01% TIME 08 : 46:31 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Sideway TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : High Upwards scenario: Possible volatility increase might commence new phase of downtrend extension either prolong retracement formation on the hourly chart frame. Price appreciation above the resistance at 98.23 (R1) would suggest intraday targets at 98.44 (R2) and 98.65 (R3). Downwards scenario: On the downside, next on tap is seen support level at 97.74 (S1). Clearance here is required to enable lower targets at 97.49 (S2) and 97.25 (S3) Resistance Levels: 98.23, 98.44, 98.65 Support Levels: 97.74, 97.49, 97.25 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )

Forex Technical & Market Analysis FXCC Jul 30 2013 RBA Stevens speech recap: Still some scope to ease after last CPI Governor of the RBA, Glenn Stevens, is giving his annual speech to The Anika Foundation Luncheon in Sydney, and some explosive comments are now crossing the wires. The topic of the speech is current issues in economic policy. According to RBA's Stevens, long rise in mining investment is now over, saying that coming fall could be "quite big". Stevens said that easing is working to shift investors to taking some more risk, adding that shift in risk taking not yet a serious impediment to further policy easing. Stevens remained dovish on his tone, saying that "still has some scope to ease after inflation data." On the Aussie value, Stevens wouldn't be surprised if it falls further, as "the fall makes economic sense." https://support.fxcc.com/email/technical/30072013/ FOREX ECONOMIC CALENDAR : 2013-07-30 09:00 GMT | EMU. Consumer Confidence (Jul) 2013-07-30 12:00 GMT | Germany. Consumer Price Index (YoY) 2013-07-30 14:00 GMT | US. Consumer Confidence (Jul) 2013-07-30 23:13 GMT | Japan. Nomura/ JMMA Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (Jul) FOREX NEWS : 2013-07-30 05:38 GMT | AUD/JPY slashes below key support at 89.39 on Stevens comments 2013-07-30 05:05 GMT | AUD/USD craters below recent trading range on Stevens’ speech 2013-07-30 05:03 GMT | NZD/USD breaks below 0.80 following RBA Stevens 2013-07-30 03:51 GMT | USD/JPY explodes towards 98.40/50 stops EURUSD : HIGH 1.32661 LOW 1.32474 BID 1.32587 ASK 1.32590 CHANGE -0.03% TIME 08 : 40:16 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Up TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium MARKET ANALYSIS - Intraday Analysis Upwards scenario: Market trapped to the consolidation phase after initial uptrend development. Further buying interest might occur above the resistance at 1.3273 (R1). Our initial targets locates at 1.3288 (R2) and 1.3304 (R3) Downwards scenario: If the price manages to clear an important technical level at 1.3247 (S1), recovery action might get more stimulus. Our next support levels locates at 1.3232 (S2) and 1.3217 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.3273, 1.3288, 1.3304 Support Levels: 1.3247, 1.3232, 1.3217 --------------------------- GBPUSD : HIGH 1.53438 LOW 1.53152 BID 1.53391 ASK 1.53398 CHANGE 0% TIME 08 : 40:17 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Downward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: GBPUSD is approaching our next resistive barrier at 1.5345 (R1). Break here is required to prolong upside pressure and trigger our intraday targets at 1.5360 (R2) and 1.5376 (R3) later on today. Downwards scenario: Further downtrend expansion might face next hurdle at the local low- 1.5314 (S1). Break here is required to open road towards to our next interim target at 1.5299 (S2) en route to final aim at 1.5283 (S3). Resistance Levels: 1.5345, 1.5360, 1.5376 Support Levels: 1.5314, 1.5299, 1.5283 ---------------------- USDJPY : HIGH 98.463 LOW 97.849 BID 98.372 ASK 98.376 CHANGE 0.43% TIME 08 : 40:17 OUTLOOK SUMMARY : Down TREND CONDITION : Upward penetration TRADERS SENTIMENT : Bearish IMPLIED VOLATILITY : Medium Upwards scenario: Medium term bias is clearly negative however we expect resuming of the recovery action if the price manages to overcome key resistive bastion at 98.46 (R1). In such case we would suggest next intraday targets at 98.71 (R2) and 98.96 (R3). Downwards scenario: Our next support level locates at 97.99 (S1) mark. Possible penetration below this mark would open way towards to next target at 97.73 (S2) and then final aim lie at 97.47 (S3) price level. Resistance Levels: 98.46, 98.71, 98.96 Support Levels: 97.99, 97.73, 97.47 Source: FX Central Clearing Ltd,( http://www.fxcc.com )