Alan Rich Online

My predictions for 2013 are this.
 
Inflation is rearing its head and everything is starting to cost more, this wont stop and will only continue.
 
Keeping money on deposit is a waste of time and people will slowly realise that if they don't do something positive with their savings they will only drop hugely in real terms. In five years time they will wonder what has hit them. Wages will still be low and ordinary day things will be very expensive. Sensible people will start taking action in 2013 to protect themselves and many will start investing and trading the markets.
 
The Yen will be volatile and worth traders keeping a close eye on it in the year ahead.
 
The S&P futures will continue its up trend because Obama and the FED are committed to it.
 
The EURO will continue to rise unless a catastrophic event occurs. They have just done enough to keep things ticking along OK.
 
Gold will fall not rise in the near term.
 
The game is up for Apple and the shorts will jump on it until they drive it so low that it becomes worth buying again.
 
The US market will be the place to be and all the major moves will be directed from there.
 
Have a happy Christmas.

My predictions for 2013 are this.
 
Inflation is rearing its head and everything is starting to cost more, this wont stop and will only continue.
 
Keeping money on deposit is a waste of time and people will slowly realise that if they don't do something positive with their savings they will only drop hugely in real terms. In five years time they will wonder what has hit them. Wages will still be low and ordinary day things will be very expensive. Sensible people will start taking action in 2013 to protect themselves and many will start investing and trading the markets.
 
The Yen will be volatile and worth traders keeping a close eye on it in the year ahead.
 
The S&P futures will continue its up trend because Obama and the FED are committed to it.
 
The EURO will continue to rise unless a catastrophic event occurs. They have just done enough to keep things ticking along OK.
 
Gold will fall not rise in the near term.
 
The game is up for Apple and the shorts will jump on it until they drive it so low that it becomes worth buying again.
 
The US market will be the place to be and all the major moves will be directed from there.
 
Have a happy Christmas.

Hi all,
 
My names Alan, I have been trading full time 15 years, I make most of my trades on the ES futures and the EURUSD. I like 5 minutes and 30 minute time frames.
 
Glad to be a member here.
 
cheers
 
Alan

For the US markets and the US dollar, Lets substitute the S&P futures and the EURUSD.
 
There is a big correlation between S&P futures and the EURUSD.
 
Analysis of these two instruments can give us and edge in our day trading right down to the stocks we are trading.
 
These two instruments are the leaders, what they do galvanises the market and gives it its underlying direction. At times they will trade together and at times they’ll diverge and go their separate ways. When they diverge then one very often pulls the other back in line.
 
By understanding which one is the strongest at any one moment and the true leader we can get the heads up on the next market direction. Of course stocks are governed by how the S&P futures behave and therefore by understanding its movement helps us with our day trading.
 
Imagine finding a momentum stock poised to soar and the S&P futures set to move the same way, odds are you are on a winner and can get a very good run. Imagine finding the same momentum stock and the S&P futures due to collapse. Then after the initial euphoria that stock is likely to run out of steam quite quickly and fade.
 
The biggest Dollar cross is the EURUSD so watching that and the S&P futures helps us understand what the US markets and the US dollar are doing and gives us the heads up on the next potential market direction.
 
In the chart example the EURUSD is above S&P futures are below.
 
The S&P futures had been very lacklustre from the day before on the left and really only moved up because of the EURUSD dragged it up. When the EURUSD lost its momentum and went sideways the S&P futures collapsed shown by its black arrow. We now know the market is inherently weak. The next day as the S&P futures carried on its overnight drop, momentum suddenly powered into the EURUSD and once again lifted the S&P futures plus of course many, many stocks. This is shown by the red arrows.
 
We now know that at this moment in time we have a weak market that is only being held up by a weak Dollar. (This is showing its hand by the movement of the EURUSD which is strong. i.e. a weak Dollar and strong EURO.)
 
If the EURUSD stalls or any bad news comes out which affects it then the market has relative weakness against it and will drop. At this moment in time the EURUSD is the leader and the S&P futures is following. This gives us an edge in understanding what the underlying sentiment of the markets is and helps us take our trading decisions.
 
In essence these two tell us the big picture that’s occurring at any moment in time. Some traders trade stocks but equally there are some that just trade these two big leaders. I’ll show you how to do it all.
 
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