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finex reacted to rosijitosin in Next bar predictions.
so here is the formulae of the calculations and still standing i will be glad if somebody could right an indicator for it . this are levels which the market obeys everyday.
1.
let obtain previous weekly and daily data:high, low, and close.
i will use the recent data example for all my illustrations, using alpari uk. i think we could also compile it on our excel suppose one don't
understand my excel worksheet.
2. last weekly yesterday daily
H-1.43237, L-1.39689, C-1.43165 H-1.44579, L-1.43073, C-1.43294
3. then we add up both weeekly and daily data according to their group. i mean (weekly high + daily high), (weekly low +daily low), and
(weekly close + daily close). and we obtain the following mean data below:
HIGH-----1.43908, LOW-----------1.41381 CLOSE--------------1.43229
4. the next step is to find the following percentage(%) of the range---15/100, 25/100, 50/100, 75/100, 100/100 and 0.382
5. R = (H-L)
6. LEVELS HIGH= C + ®*15/100 etc for 25/100, 50/100,/75/100/, 100/100 and 0.382
LEVEL LOW = C - ®*15/100 etc for 25/100, 50/100,/75/100/, 100/100 and 0.382
7. So from the equation 6 above, we have the following datae
15/100 25/100 50/100 75/100 100/100 0.382
high----1.4361 1.4386 1.4449 1.4512 1.4575 1.4070
low-----1.4285 1.4260 1.4197 1.4133 1.4070 1.3979
8. this are the levels. as of the time am tying this equation 21.24 uk time, todays high so far reach our calculated point which was 1.4512
equivalent to 75%. from experience, once it break 100/100, it confirm establish trend or continuation of the trend. anytime market goes a
gainst us aove 50% at least , never add to the loosing trade. i also advise, our our to be set to 25% low and take profit @ 15% high and
vice versa. this levels works very well in the morning befor european section.
9. now we have to move further to stoploss and profit
stoploss = RANGE * 15/100 PROFIT = RANGE * 25/100
from the data above, then we have stoploss = 39.8 and profit = 63.80
this i see working like a magic. this are the objective stoploss and profit base on the above data calculated.
10. the next formular now is to calculate a daily breakout. the following calculation is used.
HIGH = ( ((CLOSE + (YESTERDAY DAILY RANGE)*25/100) + (CLOSE + (YESTERDAY DAILY RANGE)*0.382) )/2
LOW = ( ((CLOSE - (YESTERDAY DAILY RANGE)*25/100) + (CLOSE - (YESTERDAY DAILY RANGE)*0.382) )/2
from the data above we have HIGH = 1.4377 LOW = 1.4282
from my experience, any time market break throu any of the above, it confirms the market direction. i can say this works like magic. i thin
k this will help those who do not now the direction of the market for th day. on rare occassion if it the market forms above this levels will
it retrace back; in which case, it use our systems or technical indicators to confirms further trend.
11. the next formular now is to calculate a weekly breakout. the following calculation is used.
HIGH = ( ((CLOSE + (LAST WEEK RANGE)*25/100) + (CLOSE + (LAST WEEK RANGE)*0.382) )/2
LOW = ( ((CLOSE - (LAST WEEK RANGE)*25/100) + (CLOSE - (LAST WEEK RANGE)*0.382) )/2
from the data above we have HIGH = 1.4428 LOW = 1.4204
xperience shows that, in weekly breakout, sometimes, it moves some pips and reverse. so let be careful when using it for the weekly.yet
yet, one can still make some reasonable pips.
11. the next to calculate is daily range and weekly range. how i come to this formular is funny but funny enough, for day trader who trade the
asian market, is a margic. the price percolate this area before it breaks out. the weekly range shows the logistics when one can countertr
end with almost magic accuracy. when the price is in within the weekly range the best trade i could recomment is countertrade. i mean t
rading support/ resistance. here is the formular
DAILY RANGE HIGH = ( ((CLOSE + (YESTERDAY DAILY RANGE)*25/100)) ) + (CLOSE - (YESTERDAY DAILY RANGE)*0.382)/2
DAILY RANGE LOW = ( ((CLOSE - (YESTERDAY DAILY RANGE)*25/100)) ) + (CLOSE + (YESTERDAY DAILY RANGE)*0.382)/2
WEEKLY RANGE HIGH = ( ((CLOSE + (LAST WEEK RANGE)*25/100)) ) + (CLOSE - (LAST WEEK RANGE)*0.382)/2
WEEKLY RANGE LOW = ( ((CLOSE - (LAST WEEK)*25/100)) ) + (CLOSE + (LAST WEEK RANGE)*0.382)/2
from the above data, we have
daily range HIGH = 1.4333 daily range LOW = 1.4319
WEEKLY range HIGH = 1.4339 WEEKLY range LOW = 1.4293
this is formulae i used for the excel which i attached. i will be happy to answer any further questions. i will also be glad if somebody could make this indicator before intruders can in and begin to sell it to the public.and if anybody like to make it an indicator for the public to purchase under the name of this forum i will be glad to hear that. i wish u all good luck.
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finex reacted to rosijitosin in Next bar predictions.
attached here is the graph
http://www.mediafire.com/?1xfzajuxaju6ch2
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finex reacted to rosijitosin in Next bar predictions.
i have a formular which i would like to make an indicator. i will be glad to share it with this great forum as a seed of love. it is based on mathematical trading which delivers 60-70 win ratio or at least it helps one understand how market moves. i will appreciate if mickymounse or other forum programmer could help to write an indicator.
benefit of the formular
1. to predict the next wave lenght
2. area of daily and weekly consolidations and ranges
3. profit taking index
4. daily and weekly breakout
5. were to place other for a trade.
it works with all timeframes but i personal use it on 30mins eurusd. i attached here an excel which i have created for it . all we need to do is to put the previous weekly and daily data in it. to calculate wavelenght, just determine high and low which must be above 40pips and calculate the profit index/ likelihood expiration of the wavelengh, if this point is broken, then a breakout has occur which might be subject to major news. but any countertrend trader would really make profit from this.
i have make it easy for us; the two box we need is predictive levels and wavelenght which is sided at the right end. the wavelenght would really help those who trade with icw system. i will be ready to give futher information if request. which all the best
http://www.mediafire.com/?m54x75w7d3lo5yr
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finex reacted to pardy in Next bar predictions.
As an example, if you use say times 0700 to 1200, then the open would be the open price at 0700, the close would be close as at 1200, and the high/low would be the max high or low price within that period. On the 1 min tf, the 11.59 candle closes at 1200, on the 1 hr tf, the 1100 candle closes at 11.59 and will form a new candle at 1200. On the indi therefore, an easy way to do this might be to take the open price at 0700 and close price at 11.59 or even 1200, based on the broker platform, since you're not using tf based candles.
If based on tf candles, then on 4 hr and daily chart, there will be differences depending on the broker times.
Hope this helps.
Pardy
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finex reacted to MickyMouse in Next bar predictions.
so basically, i have no idea how you guys get to a 70% hit ratio.... i coded a simple ea to buy when prediction is higher than yesterday`s prediction, and opposite for sell.... no tp, no sl ... looking on the daily the hit ratio on the majors is under 15% (15% took the aussie)... now looking on the weekly the hit increased to 31 % (as well max on the aussie)...so it just does`nt work.... for me anyway!!! now, i reversed the logic...hit rate reversed as well, but it is still loosing money.... losses are way higher than whatever profits it makes... i added a trailing stop...that made things even worst....so basically "For Me", i end up with better results by flipping a coin !!! So sorry guys but its just not worth my time... i could code ore chase a better idea ....
Still, just a tip .... It does seem to have that 70% hit on the gold ....
Also, since the logic was developed for stocks, it might work on stocks...... have no idea ....
If u have any other idea`s , glad to help in my spare time...but as it goes for this small project it`s a dead end for me.
For whoever want`s to see the projection based on other tf, just open the indy and modify 2 times PERIOD_D1 with PERIOD_W1 ore PERIOD_H4 ore whatever tf you think would make more sense.....
it does seem to work better if u put it on MN1 but thats just crazy
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finex reacted to MickyMouse in Next bar predictions.
http://www.multiupload.com/JMT9P2L0AK
here you have the calculation applied to the BreakOutPanca indy ... i do hope this helps.
Cheers
Put the offset to 1 , and whatever hour you want it to start and end the calculation....
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finex reacted to rosijitosin in Next bar predictions.
NICE WORK JUICYT. i think i have the original version of the formula and the caution in applying it. by the author from Russia which i translated to English.
PREDICTION OF DAYTIME Price Range (DAILY RANGE PROJECTIONS)
In the early eighties I was regularly performed on television in the program of financial news before the opening of the trading day and announced forecasts of price ranges for different markets. The formula below is an improved version of the one I used to calculate the predicted values at the time. This - the fruit of many hours of research, its interpretation is extremely important to determine the short-term price movements.
My research has shown that tomorrow's price range is determined by the interrelation of the closing price of the current day and the opening price of the current day. Between these price points are three possible relations:
1. Today's closing price is less than today's opening price;
2. Today's closing price of today's more than the opening price;
3. Today's closing price is equal to today's opening price.
If you have the attitude 1, then I use the following formula to predict tomorrow's price range:
(The current maximum + minimum + present today's closing price today + minimum) / 2 = X
Projected tomorrow max = X - today at least
Projected at least tomorrow = X - currently a maximum
If you have the attitude 2, I somewhat alter the formula:
(The current maximum + minimum + today's closing price today + max) / 2 = X
Projected tomorrow max = X - today at least
Projected at least tomorrow = X - currently a maximum
If you have the relationship 3, then I make the following changes to the formula:
(The current maximum + minimum + today's closing price + today's closing price) / 2 = X
Projected tomorrow max = X - today at least
Projected at least tomorrow = X - currently a maximum
These values - the starting point for the analysis of price movements the next day. I recommend using these quantities as follows: if the opening price is within the projected price range, then the day trader should expect that resistance level would be to mark the projected maximum, and the level of support - to mark the projected minimum. But, more importantly, if the opening price is outside the projected price range (higher than the projected maximum or below the projected minimum), this means that there was a significant imbalance between supply and demand and short-term trend will continue in the direction of the breakout. In this case, trevdera playing on short-term changes in prices, there are two possibilities:
1. Ignore the projected price range of options for a given day;
2. Adjust the settings range by moving the projected value of the minimum price slightly below the projected maximum price (if there was a break up) or placing the value of the projected maximum slightly above the projected minimum (if there was a break down).
Practical application of this formula still gave enough good results, because it allows you to set realistic parameters for the subsequent evolution of prices of the day. Nevertheless, I can not guarantee that this formula will continue to work as effectively.
high-------maximum
low -------minimum
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finex reacted to MickyMouse in Next bar predictions.
ok so here u have it with the possibility to back test....
for other time frames ....what other time frames?
http://www.mirrorcreator.com/files/Q7VLBC66/High_Low_prediction_Past_0.mq4_links
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finex reacted to MickyMouse in Next bar predictions.
There you go, still it is showing todays`s prediction....
http://www.mirrorcreator.com/files/0JUNSHP6/High_Low_prediction.mq4_links
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finex reacted to juicyt in Next bar predictions.
Could anyone with coding skills take a look at the picture/formula and make an indicator that calculates and shows the calculations. This is an old formula for next day stock predictions but it looks alright on any chart. I would love to play around with it as I think it works basically on most high time frame charts reasonably accurate.
http://www.mediafire.com/i/?96etynd7k9ln0ym
Thanks
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finex reacted to alexkaras in My Gift 4 U - New Holy Grail - Tested & Proven for 37 Year
I also have a gift! And i think its the same gift!
Try this guys:
http://www.multiupload.com/4YXMIADS2R
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finex reacted to eggzactly in Building a Trading System - Step By Step Guide -
Hi all,
This is a thread where i´m going post the most important steps, at least in my opinion and more then 18 years trading experience, to build a trading system.
Because no building is built by the roof, and the foundations defines the strength of the building.
I will not share any specific trading system, i will not give you the holy grail ( there´s no such thing ) - what i will do is step by step help you build your own trading system.
You are Welcome to post comments, ideas, what you think will contribute for a better thread.
"Some parts of the thread i may copy from books and mine/other traders experience"
Regards,
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finex reacted to Johan445 in P_ristin.e 1 Full Course
Live Color Manual tpm1 (316pages)
http://www.mediafire.com/?73af26a6ck1b4f2
Video 1 of 8
http://www.mediafire.com/?vb11htk4jvcokp0
More to come
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finex reacted to Johan445 in P_ristine 2 Full Course
As promised
This is T_PM.II
Educator is Greg Capra
Video 1
http://www.mediafire.com/?1cbvqje47wa02db
Video 2
http://www.mediafire.com/?dswdpvw4rmnmppo
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finex reacted to ⭐ ian_uk in [req] prorealtime
John
In fact I am a registered user of prorealtime and have used it mainly for EOD but last month they have introduced realtime for registered free users. you have to enter the words freedata in the search box and it converts it to receive realtime data. It is based on the BATS system which others use (eg worden), but it means you can access some forex and commodities too. It is for the next 5 months.
Ian
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finex reacted to guedesjunior25 in Power levels trading
Levels eurusd 12 may 2011
http://i53.tinypic.com/10gbfj5.gif
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finex reacted to guedesjunior25 in Power levels trading
Hi everyone, one more update. After a huge conversation about what calculation is better,(using the change or the settle) my friends russians create a new spredsheet, in this one you need to use the settle. I think that they are good now.
http://www.multiupload.com/DKTZ0QYM3F
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finex reacted to guedesjunior25 in Power levels trading
Just another good update here, the options levels for the crude oil. Copy the new data of the dsloder and
paste above the blue part, call and putt respectively. The best Open interest are paint in red, and the yellow are the possible tomorow range.
http://www.multiupload.com/TSJ9IXVY50
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finex reacted to aclient21 in Wall Street Training - Financial Modeling, Investment Banking
mirror links
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finex reacted to gelan2000 in Wall Street Training - Financial Modeling, Investment Banking
hi friends :)
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finex reacted to jbozman in Req: Advanced Price Action Course by Brendan
Okay, so here it is. My review of this course:
I purchased the course. The reason why no one has it is because these are all streaming videos, so it's hard to capture. I know of a video download program called Orbit, that will download these as they stream. PLEASE take my word on this. This course if HORRIBLE!
I shouldn't say horrible because pure newbies will benefit from this. All Brendon does is go on and on and on about nothing but ****!!! He'll have an image of a kid on a tricycle and talk about how we start out not knowing what to do, and it takes time to get good at this. I listened to this for hours!!!
When he finally got into some chart examples, they were infantile examples...stuff we already know. He talks about ascending and descending triangles, about trendline breaks and areas of support and resistance. It's of no value whatsoever!
So please, no one ask me to share this, as I didn't download the videos with Orbit as it was a waste of time. Please, do not waste your time with wanting to know more about this course. Like you, I really thought this would be an amazing course. You know what's amazing? Or really good? Peter Bain's trade currency like big dogs. That was helpful. Dr. Barry Burns top dog trading's foundation courses were excellent. This? For $200, it was a huge waste of money. And that's what I'd like to talk about next.
After several emails, Brendan finally gave me a credit. He's not a bad guy. He simply wanted to help me. He wanted to know my trading strategy before he credited my account; however, it was very difficult to get my money back. Hear me out: this course is great for someone with zero experience about trading. Actually, it's an excellent course if you've never picked up a book on trading before, as it's an overview course. It has very little to do with Forex. Aside from that, if you know what ascending and descending flags/pennants are, you are way too advanced for this course.
Why did I buy it? I wanted to see if he had some insight into price action with forex and if he used tick volume in forex. I know there is no measure of volume, but I did hear tick volume could be used. His testimonials were all stellar, too. The thing of it is? There wasn't one bad review. They were all 5 star. That tells me he is cherry picking his testimonials.
You, like me, can all move on now, and forget about purchasing this. There is no value to anyone with any experience whatsoever. It's boring as heck. BORING.
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finex reacted to KING_BUNDA in MARKET REVERSAL SUPPORT n Resistance lineS
Please post which powerful horizontal MARKET MOVER indicators you are using that are profitable. Lets help each other find all the best and most profitable horizontal S/R lines.
AND DONT JUST SHARE USELESS S/R indis AS i AM NOT I will start by posting the S/R power lines I use.
Gann very powerful S/R
Virtual Gann Wheel reup
link is up
http://www.mirrorcreator.com/files/1LPLYWQK/GannWheel1Setup.exe_links
http://www.4shared.com/file/cKFvbJ2N/fibopiv_monthly.html
Weekly fib pivot
http://www.4shared.com/file/Hk5Qe5Ri/fibopiv_weekly.html
very good S/R indi
http://www.4shared.com/file/ePRML16q/_TLB_OC_v02.html
http://www.4shared.com/file/S9vsaWL3/GOLD999B.html
Link uppd by: Jayman007
http://www.mirrorcreator.com/files/GSMKX9KN/FPM_Support_and_Resistance.mq4_links
Candle Stick Analysis Patterns
http://www.4shared.com/file/D3GM525L/Standard_CandleStick_Patterns.html
http://www.4shared.com/file/WoLqVuvd/Daily-Weekly-Monthly_Hi-Low.html
http://www.4shared.com/file/-XSQD17o/Gann_Box_144.html
II supdEM
upped by chankl78
http://www.multiupload.com/59DFTQI6IT
Market Profile very powerful in finding the value of price before you Long Short
http://www.mirrorcreator.com/files/0SDJER85/MarketProfile.rar_links
http://www.mirrorcreator.com/files/1TE6J0SB/market_profile.rar_links
IF you LIKE... clicking Thanks Keeps the Thread ALIVE
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finex reacted to KING_BUNDA in MARKET REVERSAL SUPPORT n Resistance lineS
link to enlarge image
http://picrpicr.com/share-03F1_4DBF2EC3.html
IF you LIKE or want me too reup .. clicking Thanks Keeps the Thread ALIVE also giving thanks goes a long way
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finex reacted to bluerider in REQ-Practical Handbook on Successful Forex Trading
Here it is ---- The Practical Handbook on Successful Forex Trading 2.0
hxxp://xxx.multiupload.com/7FR1CZRJF5
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finex reacted to ForexExpert in (Share) The one secret - inside day
Here is the site :
http://www.theultimatetradingsystem.com/theonesecret.htm
Here is the download :
http://www.multiupload.com/P823KEK9X0
Thank you all