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Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) A critical week for the US Dollar after a fragile start [/img] After having the worst annual performance since 2003, the dollar continued to struggle in the first trading week of 2018. The dollar index fell to a three-and-a-half-month low to trade below 92, leaving many traders wondering whether this year will be another devastating one for the greenback. When looking at the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, speculators are not showing interest in buying the U.S. dollar yet, and the latest bunch of data did nothing to support the dollar. Friday's jobs report did not motivate the dollar bulls to return, with non-farm payrolls rising 148,000 in December versus expectations of 190,000. Although I think the numbers weren’t bad and the labor market remains healthy with unemployment at 4.1%, wages are not yet showing signs of accelerating, and this remains the key missing ingredient of the U.S. economy’s recovery. The latest minutes of the Fed’s meeting also showed that policymakers aren’t sure whether inflation will return to the central bank’s target which is why markets believe that only two rate hikes will occur in 2018, as opposed to the three in the Fed’s dot plot. This week many Fed speakers are due to speak including the two dissenters against a rate hike in December, Neel Kaskhari and Charles Evans. Whether they have changed their mind, or still believe rates shouldn’t be hiked, remains to be seen but we’ll also tune into other Fed speakers for fresh insights.  If the Fed speakers don’t deliver news, tier one economic releases may provide the needed clues. Consumer prices and retail sales are both due for release on Friday. Given that energy prices spiked in December consumer prices are expected to increase 0.2%. However, I think traders will be more interested in the core CPI figure, which strips out volatile items like food and energy. Any upside surprise in the inflation numbers will likely bring back the dollar bulls. Given that the major U.S. economic releases are four days away, many traders will focus on whether any technical breakouts will occur. EURUSD failed to break above 1.2092 (2017 high) last week, but a successful breakout will likely lead to further buying of the single currency towards 1.22. Similarly, Sterling is only 100 pips short of 1.3656 (2017 High). So traders should keep a close eye on these levels. More Info Here

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Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) FOMC minutes give some life back to dollar bulls The latest FOMC minutes have given the bulls something to be happy about, as the FED once again looked to keep the pace of rate hikes in the near future. There were some key takeaways from the meeting and the most pressing was that FED officials expect inflation to rise to 2% in the medium term as the Tax bill has a impact on the US economy. Expectations were also strong that pressure on the labour market as unemployment further drops would also help boost inflation expectations, and that potentially forecasting of inflation may also have been low historically. So with the FED looking forward in 2018 and Trumps man Powell about to come to the table we could potentially see some strong bullish moves from the FED with a strong US economy in front of them. For the USD bulls it was positive across the board with large rises against all the major pairs, but mainly the European ones. For me one of the more interesting ones continues to be the USDCAD which lifted slightly, but is still lacking the momentum required to break out of the current bearish trend it finds itself in. So far traders will be watching to see if there is a bounce at support at 1.2427 to see if the bulls can come back into the market, otherwise they could be waiting until 1.2108 to see any sign of a solid bounce. If we see a push back higher 1.2628 and 1.2759 are likely to be the first key levels of resistance. However, the 200 day moving average is creeping down and likely to also act as dynamic resistance in the current market climate. For me the main thing that keeps on going in the bullish American climate is the equity markets at present, and look no further than the S&P 500. It's getting hard to believe that there is an end, but at some point the bears will look to swipe. For now though, the Trump effect and the recent Tax reform coupled with a FED with positive forecasts is driving American companies higher than ever before and in the process lifting the S&P 500 higher than ever before. Most weeks we are seeing a new record high at present, but that being said uncertainty could be the instability that shakes the bulls off the top for a bit. On the charts, and as previously stated, the focus would ideally be on psychological levels - as the market continues to rise it will look for these points. I would anticipate that markets will continue to look for key levels at 2725 and 2750 if the bulls look to push higher. Any swings lower are likely to get held up at 2700 as it acts as support in the current market. However, a push through would be treated with concern as generally speaking the 2600 and 2500 level were previously very good at holding back the bears. More Info Here

Beyond the Track Series Finale: Pit Stop tyre challenge with FXTM vs SFI vs FXTM Did you know that a typical F1™ pit stop can use up to 25 people? FXTM’s Beyond the Track series finale shines a light on one of the most demanding posts on the field with insights into pit stop strategies and pit crew training regimes, from Sahara Force India’s Sporting Director, Andy Stevenson. How difficult is it to change an F1™ tyre in less than 3 seconds? Get a taste of what it takes to become a pit stop pro with exclusive footage taken during FXTM’s filming week at the Sahara Force India factory. Watch as team FXTM goes head-to-head for the quickest tyre change with SFI crews in the FXTM Tyre Challenge. See the video https://youtu.be/jvy8oJxDOrM Be sure to visit our Beyond the Track page for shareable content from our partnership. For more information about our partnership with Sahara Force India Formula 1™ Team, please click here. Still not trading with a leading broker? Register with FXTM  FXTM Online Forex Trading Broker | ForexTime (FXTM) | Facebook: www.facebook.com/ForexTime |Twitter www.twitter.com/ItsForexTime ✓Traders from 156 countries | ✓13 international awards | ✓16 secure payment methods | ✓25 languages supported

Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) Dollar selloff in final trading week of 2017 With only two trading sessions remaining for 2017, liquidity dried up across the global markets. This has been obvious in U.S. and European equities, where volumes dropped significantly. However, some investors continued to tweak their portfolios slightly, leading to insignificant price action. I don’t expect equities to deviate much throughout Thursday and Friday. Interestingly though, traders continued selling off the U.S. dollar.  One could blame Wednesday’s U.S. consumer confidence report which fell from a 17-year high, but the dollar was declining before the release. I think the best explanation for the dollar weakness is the sharp fall in U.S. Treasury yields.       10-year bond yields dropped 7 basis points on Wednesday, to reverse almost 50% of the gains from mid-December towards last week, where yields broke above 2.5% for the first time since March 2017. Despite appetite for risk sending Asian equities to record highs on Thursday, the safe haven Yen is outperforming its major currency peers. USDJPY dipped below 113 for the first time in six trading days after the release of Bank of Japan meeting minutes.  Some members are considering tightening monetary policy, if the economy continues to improve next year. This would be a significant shift in strategy for a Central Bank thought to be the last to exit the unconventional stimulus packages.  However, I don’t think the BoJ will move anytime soon due to subdued inflation; but, given the lack of liquidity, moves in currency markets may be exaggerated. Commodity currencies are also enjoying a decent upside, after copper prices rallied to their highest level in almost four years.Oil prices remained close to a two and a half year high, and gold hit a one- month high. Considering that no Tier One economic reports will be released, the Aussie, Kiwi, and Loonie will continue to follow commodity prices direction. More Info Here

Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) Dollar selloff in final trading week of 2017 With only two trading sessions remaining for 2017, liquidity dried up across the global markets. This has been obvious in U.S. and European equities, where volumes dropped significantly. However, some investors continued to tweak their portfolios slightly, leading to insignificant price action. I don’t expect equities to deviate much throughout Thursday and Friday. Interestingly though, traders continued selling off the U.S. dollar.  One could blame Wednesday’s U.S. consumer confidence report which fell from a 17-year high, but the dollar was declining before the release. I think the best explanation for the dollar weakness is the sharp fall in U.S. Treasury yields.       10-year bond yields dropped 7 basis points on Wednesday, to reverse almost 50% of the gains from mid-December towards last week, where yields broke above 2.5% for the first time since March 2017. Despite appetite for risk sending Asian equities to record highs on Thursday, the safe haven Yen is outperforming its major currency peers. USDJPY dipped below 113 for the first time in six trading days after the release of Bank of Japan meeting minutes.  Some members are considering tightening monetary policy, if the economy continues to improve next year. This would be a significant shift in strategy for a Central Bank thought to be the last to exit the unconventional stimulus packages.  However, I don’t think the BoJ will move anytime soon due to subdued inflation; but, given the lack of liquidity, moves in currency markets may be exaggerated. Commodity currencies are also enjoying a decent upside, after copper prices rallied to their highest level in almost four years.Oil prices remained close to a two and a half year high, and gold hit a one- month high. Considering that no Tier One economic reports will be released, the Aussie, Kiwi, and Loonie will continue to follow commodity prices direction. More Info Here

FXTM’s Hussein Sayed Joins Global Family Office Investment Summit Family Office’s 4th Global Investment Summit kicked off in Miami at the end of November. Our Chief Market Strategist, Hussein Sayed, was lucky enough to find himself among the palm trees, white beaches and glorious sunshine of The Magic City, moderating several panel discussions over the course of the two-day summit. Attended by globally-recognised influencers and finance decision makers, the Family Offices summit provides a forum for world experts. These peer-to-peer networking opportunities enable delegates to identify actionable insights and strategies that will help them generate returns in low-rate, high volatility markets. Hussein led two panel discussions: ‘Elite Investor Insights as We Approach 2018’ and ‘Thinking Outside the Box in a Dynamic Low Yield Environment.’ Both involved spirted dialogue from leading industry experts, including representatives from the Clemson University Foundation, WE Family Offices, EA Global, and Syntax Research. Delegates were treated to unique insights about where to deploy capital, as well as an assessment of the implication to investors of Central Banks decreasing monetary stimulus. As renowned thought leaders in the financial services community, FXTM were honoured to join experts and policy makers for such a prestigious event. Discussions and debates such as these are vital for breaking down the boundaries between specialties, and represent just one of the ways FXTM actively supports global innovation and development. For the latest news and information on upcoming webinars and seminars in your region, check out the FXTM events page. Still not trading with a leading broker? Register with FXTM  FXTM Online Forex Trading Broker | ForexTime (FXTM) | Facebook: www.facebook.com/ForexTime |Twitter www.twitter.com/ItsForexTime ✓Traders from 156 countries | ✓13 international awards | ✓16 secure payment methods | ✓25 languages supported

FXTM’s Ultimate Trading Formula Seminar and Workshop Hits Johannesburg On Sunday the 10th December, FXTM’s celebrated Ultimate Trading Formula Seminar and Workshop continued its educational mission at the Sierra Hotel in Johannesburg. Designed for traders of all experience and knowledge levels, this one-day seminar allowed FXTM Trainer Jacques Nel the chance to share his considerable FX knowledge with participants from South Africa and beyond. Keeping the audience rapt with his unique and engaging teaching style, Mr. Nel covered a range of topics that included: - Forex Trading Revealed - Bollinger Bands Explained - Fibonacci Extensions as Take Profit Tool - Double Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy Over one hundred traders and clients attended this unmissable, interactive event – testament to the quality of the FXTM education programme and Mr. Nel’s expertise. To discover your nearest FXTM event, visit our events page and sign up.   Still not trading with a leading broker? Register with FXTM  FXTM Online Forex Trading Broker | ForexTime (FXTM) | Facebook: www.facebook.com/ForexTime |Twitter www.twitter.com/ItsForexTime ✓Traders from 156 countries | ✓13 international awards | ✓16 secure payment methods | ✓25 languages supported

Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) Equities reaction muted on tax breakthrough; Watch the bond market Asian markets woke up on Thursday to the news that Republicans had passed the long-awaited tax bill. President Trump is now just a pen stroke away from overhauling the tax code. Interestingly there aren’t any fireworks on the announcement of Trump’s Christmas gift; because as expected, the good news is already priced in. In fact, the reaction was more evident in fixed income markets. U.S. 10-year bond yields traded above 2.5% for the first time since March 2017, allowing the yield curve to steepen after flattening for most of 2017. The spread between 2-year and 10-year treasury bonds climbed more than 12 basis points, reaching 63 basis points, after falling to its lowest level in a decade last week. The spike in long-term bond yields is supposed to be positive for the U.S. dollar, as it suggests the Federal Reserve should become more aggressive in tightening policy next year. However, the dollar’s reaction was muted because there’s another side to this story. The additional supply of U.S. bonds due to the unfunded tax cuts, will probably make U.S. treasuries less attractive in the longer run, and given that most central banks are trying to catch up with the Federal Reserve, yields in Europe and other markets are also anticipated to move higher in 2018, thus narrowing the interest rate differentials gap. The enormous expected increase in U.S. deficit will also put the U.S. sovereign credit rating at risk. If any of the credit agencies- Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s or Fitch downgrades the U.S. sovereign rating, yields will spike even higher. However, the impact on the dollar won’t necessarily be positive, with the opposite reaction being more likely. The Yen’s reaction was also muted to Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision. As expected, the central bank kept interest rates unchanged at -0.1% and maintained its 10-year bonds yield target at around 0%. Given that weak inflation is expected to continue dominating the monetary policy outlook, I don’t expect any significant change in policy next year. Thus, the Japanese Yen will continue to take its cue from risk appetite/aversion in equity markets for the foreseeable future. Euro traders are awaiting the outcome of today’s Catalonia’s election. Polls are suggesting that it will be a tight race between the Catalan Republican Left party, which supports independence and Ciudadanos which is in favor of a unified Spain. Given that the election is not expected to be decisive and parties may form coalitions to govern, the risk of tensions flaring with Madrid again, remain limited. More Info Here

FXTM Research Analyst Lukman Otunuga steals the show at the FXTM Nigeria Gala Dinner On Saturday the 2nd of December, traders, celebrities and Lagos high society gathered at the Jevinik Event Place for one of the highlights of the FX calendar - the FXTM Nigeria Gala Dinner. Attendees enjoyed a thrilling afternoon of fine-dining, networking and fantastic entertainment, capped with a fascinating speech on the Nigerian financial markets by FXTM Research Analyst Lukman Otunuga. Live performances from dance groups and standup comedian Bash kept guests enthralled throughout the event, and the evening ended with a raffle that saw lucky winners take home top-of-the-range TVs and tablets. The event was a huge success, enhancing FXTM’s reputation as a trusted, award-winning global broker. On behalf of FXTM, we’d like to wholeheartedly thank everyone who attended and made it such a memorable evening. If you’re interested in taking part at an FXTM event, visit the FXTM events page and discover what’s going on near you. Still not trading with a leading broker? Register with FXTM  FXTM Online Forex Trading Broker | ForexTime (FXTM) | Facebook: www.facebook.com/ForexTime |Twitter www.twitter.com/ItsForexTime ✓Traders from 156 countries | ✓13 international awards | ✓16 secure payment methods | ✓25 languages supported

Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) US retail sales beat expectations It's been a funny day for the USD as it slipped lower on Tax legislation worries. For the most part it has fallen around two senators who are keen to fix the current child tax credits. In reality this is something republicans are likely to help remedy in order to get this bill over the final hurdles and in front of the president to sign before Christmas. However, for me the big mover - and what might have a much more interesting impact - was of course today's retail sales which lifted sharply to 0.8% m/m (0.3% exp). This is a very strong move just ahead of the December rush season and in return we could expect to see GDP forecasts raised for the 4th quarter going forward. I would be surprised if we didn't see solid earnings this season in the equity markets as well given the huge rises in consumer and business confidence. For now it would seem the Trump effect might be still there after all heading into the new year. One of the key areas this was felt was on the USDCAD which was swinging heavily today, not only on the USD weakness but also Bank of Canada comments which pushed up the chances of a rate hike for March next year. For the most part the USDCAD has been ranging for some time, and it has struggled to break through the major resistance level at 1.2921, which has so far seemed like an impossibility at present. One of the main reasons also has been the 200 day moving average bearing down on that level which of course adds further pressure. At the same time the swing lower today failed to stay below support at 1.2759 which leads me to believe that the bulls are still in this market despite the Canadian recovery we've seen. If the bulls do leap back into the market 200 day moving average will be the key level to close above, and if we do close above then expectations are that we could see a move upwards to the 1.3000 level. For now though it's a case of waiting to see if the ranging does stop and the trends continue. The other key one to watch out for is the AUD, with the market likely to be looking forward now to next week's RBA minutes on the economy and their thoughts after the most recent unemployment figures. We could certainly see the case made for a potential rate rise in the future, but for now it's a case of wait and see - even though the market is fairly bullish. Chart wise, and it's clear the AUDUSD bulls are back in fashion and looking to make up some ground. After the positive news yesterday and weak USD it is a surprise to see that it has failed to climb higher to the 200 day moving average and resistance at 0.7687. I still believe this is a key level to watch and if we do see further extensions it could lead to bigger things. For now though like the USDCAD it's a case of wait and see as the market looks to enter Friday trading. More Info Here

FXTM Introduces Pivot Points Strategy Unlike Any Other FXTM is committed to providing innovative tools aimed at improving traders’ experience in the markets, and we are thrilled to introduce FXTM Pivot Points Strategy. This tool – unique to FXTM – has been designed and developed by the Head of Education, Andreas Thalassinos, as an extra layer of support and assistance for traders looking to identify market sentiment. The characteristics of FXTM Pivot Points Strategy include: - Integration of Pivot Points with three of the most popular technical indicators in forex: MACD, Moving Average and Momentum. - The ability to download Pivot Point indicators directly on the MT4 trading platform. - A choice of eight different timeframes, from 5-mins to monthly. - Five pivot point calculation methods – Standard, Fibonacci, DeMark, - Camarilla and Woodie. - The capacity to assess potential profits using distance in pips from Support and Resistance levels. Featuring real-time price updates, with commentary by Andreas Thalassinos, on all 250+ financial instruments offered by FXTM, the Pivot Points Strategy tool can become an essential part of a trader’s arsenal. Visit the FXTM Pivot Points Strategy page for more details. Why not combine Mr. Thalassinos’ FXTM Trading Signals tool with the Pivot Points Strategy to provide even greater insight into market movements? Still not trading with a leading broker? Register with FXTM  FXTM Online Forex Trading Broker | ForexTime (FXTM) | Facebook: www.facebook.com/ForexTime |Twitter www.twitter.com/ItsForexTime ✓Traders from 156 countries | ✓13 international awards | ✓16 secure payment methods | ✓25 languages supported

Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) Bitcoin future trading kicks off; Investors awaiting central banks decisions  Trading bitcoins entered a new phase today, after Chicago’s CBOE listed the first futures contract on the cryptocurrency. The initial reaction was beyond expectations with the futures contract climbing more than 20% and triggering two trading halts. CBOE’s website experienced unprecedented traffic which may well have sent a new benchmark, the frenetic activity lead to delays and outages. So far, it seems professional investors aren’t willing to bet against the bitcoin, despite the many warnings of a bubble that will burst soon. Many traders aren’t even interested in the price direction, but the listing of the futures contract on CBOE and later next week on the CME, will provide them an arbitrage trading opportunity due to the vast pricing differences. However, the arbitrage trading will lead to improved price efficiency and probably less volatility. After volatility settles down, the focus will return to the price direction. Central Banks Meetings Currency markets were trading in tight ranges early Monday with the dollar slightly weaker against its major peers. Expectations of the Fed hiking rates on Wednesday, stands at 90.2% according to CME’s Fedwatch tool which means the disappointment in wage growth won’t shift the needle for US monetary policy. However, it isn’t the rate hike that will move the dollar on Wednesday, it’s the tone, economic projections and the dot plot. Given that we’re getting closer to a deal on tax reforms, the Fed might become slightly more hawkish. It remains to be seen whether this will shift up the Fed’s dots for future interest rate expectations. The European Central Bank and Bank of England are also meeting this week. Despite no substantive monetary policy changes expected, the language might still move the Euro and the Pound. Will the Fed support further rotation in stocks? Tech shares have been in focus over the past two weeks after the S&P tech index plunged more than 4% between 29-Nov and 05-Dec, before recovering last week. The fall in Teck stocks wasn’t accompanied by a selloff in other sectors, particularly the financials which have been on the rise. This is a classic type of rotation with active managers balancing their portfolios before year end. Tax reforms don’t seem to be of great support to Tech firms, given that their effective tax rate is considered to be the lowest in the U.S. Meanwhile, it’s a big deal for the rest of the U.S, with financials having an effective tax rate of more than 30%. The new Fed Chair, Jerome Powell will likely speed up deregulation for the financial sector which will drive more inflows. And of course, higher interest rates for 2018 will further support the banks' profit margins. That’s why the trajectory of interest rates in 2018 will likely lead to more portfolio balancing before year end. EU Summit The breakthrough in Brexit talks on Friday was a great relief for policymakers, who can now move to phase-2 of the talks. Interestingly though, Sterling instead of rising sharply, dropped on the news. Investors seem reluctant to buy Sterling as they view the next phase more complicated than the first. They want to see details of the transition agreement and trade talks concluded before buying Sterling. I don’t think the EU summit on Friday will reveal much, but blessings from EU leaders might lend some support to the Pound.  More Info Here

FXTM is proud to release a new Ebook: Bullish Japanese Candlesticks & Strategies Having established its reputation as one of the world’s leading FX educators, FXTM is delighted to announce the release of its new Ebook, Bullish Japanese Candlesticks & Strategies. Written by FXTM Head of Education Andreas Thalassinos, a renowned Technical Analysis expert, Bullish Japanese Candlesticks & Strategies features a detailed guide to this insightful method of price charting, as well as invaluable examples of Forex and CFD strategies. If you want to give your trading strategies a boost, and learn about this popular charting tool, you can download a free copy. You will: - Gain insights into price action in the markets - Identify changes in investor sentiment - Hone your trading with pattern analysis Bullish Japanese Candlesticks & Strategies is available to download for free from My FXTM. Get it now. Still not trading with a leading broker? Register with FXTM  FXTM Online Forex Trading Broker | ForexTime (FXTM) | Facebook: www.facebook.com/ForexTime |Twitter www.twitter.com/ItsForexTime ✓Traders from 156 countries | ✓13 international awards | ✓16 secure payment methods | ✓25 languages supported

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Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) CAD in focus on dovish comments The Canadian dollar was back in focus today as the market was looking for hawkish signs from the Bank of Canada, on the back of the recent interest rate statement. The interest rate was kept at 1% however, and the market was caught off guard by the dovish comments made by the BoC. While the economy has been adding new jobs and Fridays figures were a testament to that (+441,400), the BoC is still concerned about the NAFTA negotiations that are ongoing, as well as recent housing market developments. This came as a shock for a lot of market pundits, but more important it forced forecasts further out for future rate rises, while before the market was betting heavily on the BoC to come through and cause further positive betting on rate rises. The USDCAD was quick to jump on the back of the news out from the BoC, as USD bulls rushed away with all the recent gains and pushed through resistance at 1.2759. Further levels higher can be found at 1.2921 with the potential for any higher gains to the 200 day moving average - which would be very hard to push through. If the market does turn around and head back south then support at 1.2628 and 1.2516 are likely to be the prime candidates for bearish traders, with the area between these two levels likely to act as a key selling point on the market. Crude has been one of those funny players in the market as of late with a bullish rise, which has been purely on the back of OPEC extending production cuts. Now for many this comes as no surprise as the oil market did need to stabilise but today's fall caught many off guard given that the drawdown came in stronger than expected at -5.61M (-2.5M exp). The reason for this was refined oil products with gasoline showing an increase to 6.8M barrels, beating market expectations and causing the oil market to sell-off. Selling pressure is common when you have a build up of refined products as the market might start to think it's flagging or peaked already. Oil now finds itself in a weird place at present as the recent rise has struck strong resistance at 59.08 in this market, and the fall today hit the current old trend line which the market is respecting before taking a pause and stopping all together. I'm not sure if there is further potential falls on the cards given the bulls have been so strong, and this could be an excuse to unwind. However, if the trend line did break then support could be found at 55.14. If oil does indeed jump back higher, then for me resistance at 57.38 and 59.08 are the key levels traders will look to target. Expectations are though that 59.08 will be the level to beat currently.  More Info Here

Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) CAD in focus on dovish comments The Canadian dollar was back in focus today as the market was looking for hawkish signs from the Bank of Canada, on the back of the recent interest rate statement. The interest rate was kept at 1% however, and the market was caught off guard by the dovish comments made by the BoC. While the economy has been adding new jobs and Fridays figures were a testament to that (+441,400), the BoC is still concerned about the NAFTA negotiations that are ongoing, as well as recent housing market developments. This came as a shock for a lot of market pundits, but more important it forced forecasts further out for future rate rises, while before the market was betting heavily on the BoC to come through and cause further positive betting on rate rises. The USDCAD was quick to jump on the back of the news out from the BoC, as USD bulls rushed away with all the recent gains and pushed through resistance at 1.2759. Further levels higher can be found at 1.2921 with the potential for any higher gains to the 200 day moving average - which would be very hard to push through. If the market does turn around and head back south then support at 1.2628 and 1.2516 are likely to be the prime candidates for bearish traders, with the area between these two levels likely to act as a key selling point on the market. Crude has been one of those funny players in the market as of late with a bullish rise, which has been purely on the back of OPEC extending production cuts. Now for many this comes as no surprise as the oil market did need to stabilise but today's fall caught many off guard given that the drawdown came in stronger than expected at -5.61M (-2.5M exp). The reason for this was refined oil products with gasoline showing an increase to 6.8M barrels, beating market expectations and causing the oil market to sell-off. Selling pressure is common when you have a build up of refined products as the market might start to think it's flagging or peaked already. Oil now finds itself in a weird place at present as the recent rise has struck strong resistance at 59.08 in this market, and the fall today hit the current old trend line which the market is respecting before taking a pause and stopping all together. I'm not sure if there is further potential falls on the cards given the bulls have been so strong, and this could be an excuse to unwind. However, if the trend line did break then support could be found at 55.14. If oil does indeed jump back higher, then for me resistance at 57.38 and 59.08 are the key levels traders will look to target. Expectations are though that 59.08 will be the level to beat currently. More Info Here

Webinars with FXTM Head of Education, Prof. Thalassinos. Trend Indicators & Popular Trading Strategies FXTM’s series of highly successful educational webinars presented by our distinguished Head of Education, Andreas Thalassinos, continues with ‘Trend Indicators & Popular Trading Strategies’. This free 1-hour webinar is ideal for anyone looking to discover the world of forex and learn how to trade the markets with confidence. Date: 6 December 2017 Time: 19:00  WIB Language: EN About Prof. Andreas Thalassinos FXTM’s Head of Education, Professor Andreas Thalassinos, is one of the world’s most respected FX educators and Certified Technical Analysts. He is known for being an authority in algorithmic trading and for developing hundreds of automated systems, indicators and trading tools used today. Professor Thalassinos’ educational events are tailored to all experience levels, where both beginner and advanced traders gain thorough understanding of the financial markets and a deep knowledge of market analysis. His seminars particularly emphasise the importance of trend and risk management in order to maximise earning potential. With his extensive knowledge, Professor Thalassinos has been revolutionising forex education for years and was awarded with the international professional certificate, MSTA by the Society of Technical Analysts (UK), CFTe and MFTA by the International Federation of Technical Analysts (USA). To Participate in the Webinar: - If you are new to FXTM, use the form on this page to Register - If you already have a MyFXTM account, use the form on this page to  Login - After logging in or registering, click “Join” to participate in the Webinar of your choice. - Check your email inbox for the webinar link. Still not trading with a leading broker? Register with FXTM  FXTM Online Forex Trading Broker | ForexTime (FXTM) | Facebook: www.facebook.com/ForexTime |Twitter www.twitter.com/ItsForexTime ✓Traders from 156 countries | ✓13 international awards | ✓16 secure payment methods | ✓25 languages supported

Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) Market waits on Bank of Canada With a US tax bill and a Brexit currently flying around in the markets it's hard not to get lost on the bigger picture for other countries as well. However, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is one that we should all be paying attention to as in the next 24 hours they will have their monthly interest rate decision, as well as follow up conference to the market. Now a interest rate is not priced in at present - in fact the odds are very low, but the BoC has a habit of surprising markets and the recent employment figures were very positive adding further weight to the potential for a rise. I don't anticipate we will see a surprise interest rate jump, however the words that will be used will be vital for the market when it comes to pricing in the next interest rate rise and of course are likely to have a big impact on the Canadian dollar. It's not always about oil for the Canadian economy, but one thing is clear there is certainly more to offer on the trading calendar than oil updates. So far the USDCAD has been a big mover and has held up nicely on the charts in preparation for the upcoming announcement. So far the USD has been losing ground against the CAD after traders were quick to attack on USD weakness and the strong jobs report. Any movements higher on the USDCAD were likely to struggle regardless with resistance at 1.2759 and 1.2921, but also with the 200 day moving average starting to ebb lower and showing a pattern of being respected strongly by the USDCAD. Movements lower are likely to find support at 1.2628 and 1.2516 in the current market, but I would also watch out for the oil figures as well, as a strong drawdown would put further bearish pressure on the USDCAD. One of the key metal markets which has been moving sharply lower recently has been silver which has been reacting sharply to the boost in equities. There has been talk recently that metals could potentially be replaced by Bitcoin and the likes, but I don't believe they represent a tangible hedge like precious metals do in the current environment. What is clear that the US economy booming is starting to have a negative effect on the price of silver and the market is starting to shift lower as a response. I've always been a fan of silver and the trend is looking quite strong on the charts so far for the bears. Support has held up nicely at 15.996, with the potential to move event further lower to 15.556. Resistance is currently high in 16 dollar region at 16.546 and 16.863 at this stage. All in all though the bearish trend is strong and could continue in the current environment if we don't see any large hiccups. More Info Here

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Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) Pound rallies on divorce bill rumours It's been a crazy day on the markets and the GBPUSD has been a clear winner when it comes to movements today as the Market has reacted positively to the so called 'Divorce Bill' from the EU that Britain is meant to pay. So far people are expectong the figure to come in around 50-60 billion pounds that would be paid out over 40 years. Obviously, this is a large number for any sovereign nation, but it enables Britain to plow forth in its so called negotiations. The market is now looking for the next steps for the UK economy, as it expect to see some sort of trade negotiations come out of all of this. I do think that it might be a bit of a while off that we do see something realistic, the fact being that a) the UK has no strong leg to stand on, and b) it's always a long road to what people expect will be a result. Either way the volatility in the GBPUSD is likely to continue into the near future especially with the current pace of news and politics involved in Brexit. On the charts it's clear to see that the bulls are back into the market and are climbing higher. Yesterday we were talking about the 1.33 levels, and today we are in the 1.34 levels which shows the market is keen on these talks. After touching resistance at 1.3438 the market has pulled back to take a breather, but the real key level is to be found at 1.3588 which is where bullish traders will be looking to aim in this market. In the even the bears do regain control and look to push it lower then support at 1.3339 is likely to be a prime candidate for support as well as 1.3256. Traders should also be aware of the previous trend line which continues to be an obstacle for any bears in the current market. The US also continued its stellar run today with US pending home sales m/m lifting by 3.5% (1% exp) once again showcasing the strength in the USD. On top of the traders were also somewhat bullish about the first round of the senate tax review of the Trump tax bill, which is likely to boost the US economy - even though running a deficit for a bit. One of the big losers for this has been the commodity currencies which have been bearish against the USD with all this support. For me the NZDUSD continues to be one of those currencies that will struggle with a resurgent USD in the current market climate. So far all the candles have shown exhaustion by bulls in the market as the NZDUSD dipped under resistance at 0.6891. The market is now looking to extend further lower to 0.6834 and 0.6802 on the charts, as the market looks to push it back into the red. For me the bulls are going to be a real threat until the USD gives up some ground as the NZ economy is still struggling in the interim while it figures out a new government. More Info Here

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Daily Fundamental ForexTime ( FXTM ) Stocks drop, currencies range bound & bitcoin eyes $10,000 Most Asian indices edged lower on Tuesday, following a mixed session on Wall Street yesterday. China is becoming a key market to watch, as it’s leading the direction for other markets across Asia. Rising bond yields are threatening corporate profit margins for the second largest economy; meanwhile Chinese authorities are helping to drag equities lower, after sending alarming messages about a potential bubble being created in large-cap firms. Given that China continues to focus on quality rather than quantity growth, it’s not surprising to witness action of this nature from the Chinese government in an attempt to mitigate bubbles in asset prices. However, such actions may have a negative impact on sentiments that could spread across other Asian markets. U.S. equity traders are in a wait-and-see mode. President Trump will meet senators today at their weekly policy lunch, to ensure that Republicans are on the same page regarding the tax system overhaul. I firmly believe that U.S. legislative tax reforms are strongly “priced in” the U.S. markets, thus if significant tax reforms do not pass, I expect a substantial decline in major indices, particularly in small caps. Given that the effective tax rate currently stands at around 27%, taxes should be brought below 25% to be effective. Republican Senator Ron Johnson said he would vote against the bill unless his concerns about the legislation are resolved. Given that other Republican Senators share Johnson worries on deficit implications, passing the bill does not seem to be a done deal yet. Currency markets were trading in narrow ranges early Tuesday, as investors brace for UK bank stress test results, BoE’s Carney Speech and the Fed speech, including Powell’s Congressional address. On the data front, the U.S. Goods Trade Balance, and the Housing Price Index are likely to have minimal impact on the USD. At the time of writing, Bitcoin scored a new record high of $9,886 in an attempt to break above the critical $10,000 threshold. Bitcoin has become a very hot topic and many fund managers have raised the price target for the cryptocurrency. Yesterday, former Fortress hedge fund manager Michael Novogratz commented on CNBC, that bitcoin could be at $40,000 by the end of 2018 and he expects that total market capitalization could reach $2 trillion, from $309 billion currently. I think that we will hear more skyrocket predictions, but few will provide an economic metric that supports their valuations. It will be interesting to see how the market reacts when Bitcoin breaks above $10,000. More Info Here

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