Gold is too volatile for me for intraday trading, but it does tend to follow seasonal patterns well. I entered a long position on June 29 with a tight stop. The entry was confirmed by a bullish engulfing pattern—a signal that has historically always led to a rise in the price of gold. The 76.4% retracement level at approximately $4,655 should be reached at a minimum; the price might even hit $5,000. However, the price should not drop below $4,000.