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OctaFX_Farid

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  1. European Commission fines eight banks for fixing rates FXstreet.com (Łódź) - Following an investigation led since October 2011, the European Commission finally announced its decision on Wednesday to fine eight European and American financial institutions a total of €1.71B for “participating in cartels in the interest rate derivatives industry.” Deutsche Bank was hit the hardest with a fine of €725M. Société Générale was fined €446M, RBS €391M, JPMorgan and Citigroup between €70-80M, UK broker RP Martin €247K. Barclays has escaped penalty as it revealed the existence of the cartel to the EC. The EC led two separate investigations in the matter, one concerning interest rate derivatives denominated in the euro currency (in which four firms were involved). The other concerned interest rate derivatives denominated in Japanese yen (in which six firms were involved). EU's competition commissioner, Joaquin Almunia commented following the EC's announcement: “What is shocking about the LIBOR and EURIBOR scandals is not only the manipulation of benchmarks, which is being tackled by financial regulators worldwide, but also the collusion between banks who are supposed to be competing with each other.” “Today's decision sends a clear message that the Commission is determined to fight and sanction these cartels in the financial sector. Healthy competition and transparency are crucial for financial markets to work properly, at the service of the real economy rather than the interests of a few." Almunia added that the European Commision was still investigating companies which declined to settle and that it might look into the foreign exchange market as well. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 04,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  2. USD&JPY deflates below 102.50 FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) - The USD/JPY continues to retrace yesterday’s sharp ascent to the area of 103.40 amidst a context slightly biased towards the risk-off trade. USD/JPY back below 103.00 The pair lacked the vigour in its run up to 2013 highs beyond 103.70 on Tuesday, sparking a correction lower while market participants keep digesting the recently announced stimulus package and the pessimistic comments by T.Sato, emphasizing his doubts regarding the capacity of the Japanese economy to achieve the 2% inflation target. “over the short-term, it will bethe events in the US and the euro-zone that will determine the near-term direction of the yen. The best (and most likely) outcome for yen sellers is that the ECB remains cautious on further easing but equally leaves open the prospect in 2014 and an around consensus 180-200k print in NFP on Friday”, assessed Derek Halpenny, European Head of Global Markets Research. USD/JPY levels to watch At the moment the pair is advancing 0.05% at 102.48 and a surpass of 103.38 (high Dec.3) would target 103.57 (high May 23) en route to 103.74 (2013 high May 22). On the downside, the immediate support is at 102.24 (low Dec.4) ahead of 102.17 (Tenkan Sen line) and then102.04 (MA10d). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 04,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  3. USD&JPY deflates below 102.50 FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) - The USD/JPY continues to retrace yesterday’s sharp ascent to the area of 103.40 amidst a context slightly biased towards the risk-off trade. USD/JPY back below 103.00 The pair lacked the vigour in its run up to 2013 highs beyond 103.70 on Tuesday, sparking a correction lower while market participants keep digesting the recently announced stimulus package and the pessimistic comments by T.Sato, emphasizing his doubts regarding the capacity of the Japanese economy to achieve the 2% inflation target. “over the short-term, it will bethe events in the US and the euro-zone that will determine the near-term direction of the yen. The best (and most likely) outcome for yen sellers is that the ECB remains cautious on further easing but equally leaves open the prospect in 2014 and an around consensus 180-200k print in NFP on Friday”, assessed Derek Halpenny, European Head of Global Markets Research. USD/JPY levels to watch At the moment the pair is advancing 0.05% at 102.48 and a surpass of 103.38 (high Dec.3) would target 103.57 (high May 23) en route to 103.74 (2013 high May 22). On the downside, the immediate support is at 102.24 (low Dec.4) ahead of 102.17 (Tenkan Sen line) and then102.04 (MA10d). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 04,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  4. Japan’s GPIF can lower JGB weighting without selling bonds immediately FXstreet.com (Łódź) - Takahiro Mitani, the head of Japan's Government Pension Investment Fund admitted on Wednesday that the fund´s JGB holdings were too big but that their weighting could be reduced to the recommended 52% level by allowing the bonds to mature instead of byselling them. The projected 5.8 trillion yen in pension payouts in 2014 and 2015 would come from JGB redemptions and interest and would lower the domestic bonds' weighting. “If we know that this will happen, then why do we need to shake up the market now by selling?” Takahiro Mitani said. He also expressed interest in buying inflation-linked JGBs as an inflation hedge as well as foreign bonds. Japan's GPIF is the world's largest public pension fund and financial markets remain sensitive to its actions. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 04,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  5. USD/CAD consolidates near 3-year high FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The USD/CAD retreated a tad and turned flat for the day after hitting its highest level since August 2010 during the European session. The USD/CAD peaked at 1.0663 but lost momentum and retreated slightly to enter a consolidation phase contained by 1.0630 on the downside over the last hours. At time of writing, the USD/CAD is trading at the 1.0655 zone, still up 0.1% on the day and with only second-tier data scheduled for the NY session. USD/CAD technical levels In terms of technical levels, the USD/CAD could find immediate resistances at 1.0663 (daily high) and 1.0669 (Aug 31 2010 high) followed by 1.0678 (Jul 5 & 6 2010 highs) and 1.0700 (psychological level). On the flip side, supports are seen at 1.0630 (daily low) and 1.0600 (psychological level). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 03,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  6. GBP/USD rejected near 1.6440 FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) - The sterling is rapidly picking up pace against the greenback on Tuesday, pushing the GBP/USD to the vicinity of 2013 peaks near 1.6440, although losing some vigour afterwards. GBP/USD buoyed by data Better results from Monday’s manufacturing PMI and today’s construction PMI have been supporting the GBP bullish momentum, ahead of the BoE MPC meeting and the Autumn Statement Forecast due later in the week. In the wake of the string construction PMI, analysts at BBH observed that “It is encouraging the market to increase the odds of a rate hike by early 2015 as reflected in the short-sterling futures contracts. It leaves tomorrow's services PMI to round out the trifecta that will point to an acceleration of the UK economy into the end of the year. GBP/USD levels to watch At the moment the pair is up 0.38% at 1.6417 facing the next hurdle at 1.6443 (2013 high Dec.2) followed by 1.6455 (high Aug.29 2011) and finally 1.6500 (psychological level). On the flip side, a break below 1.6315 (low Nov.29) would aim for 1.6277 (low Nov.28) and then 1.6260 (high Oct.1). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 03,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  7. Session Recap: USD retreats across the board FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The dollar trades lower versus most competitors Tuesday while the pound is outperforming underpinned by a solid UK construction PMI reading. The EUR/USD managed to advance but stalled at the 1.3575 zone, while the USD/JPY pulled back after hitting a fresh 6-month high of 103.37 amid profit taking. The GBP/USD was boosted to a high of 1.6436, a few pips shy of its last week's peak after the UK construction PMI reached a 6-year high. The AUD/USD managed to erase early losses after dipping to the 0.9055 area in the wake of the RBA decision to leave policy unchanged. The AUD/USD was last up 0.2% at the 0.9125 zone while the USD/CAD was little changed at 1.0638, having printed a high of 3-year high of 1.0663. During the New York session, watch for ISM New York index, Redbook, IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism index and total vehicle sales. Main Headlines in Europe: UK: PMI Construction grows to 62.6 in November EMU: Annual PPI drops 1.4% in October Flash: What’s the sentiment surrounding the EUR/USD today? – Commerzbank and OCBC Bank EU's Rehn: Recovery still fragile in some parts of Europe OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 03,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  8. Flash: GBP/USD has NOT closed above 1.6370 - Commerzbank FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Karen Jones, Head of Technical Analysis at Commerzbank notes that she made an error yesterday – the did NOT close above the 1.6370 December 2012 high. Key Quotes “This attempt higher was seen in fairly thin market conditions and ONLY a CLOSE above 1.6370 will persuade us that there is scope for a move to 1.6634/16735.” “Every time frame is implying that this is in fact the end of the upmove, and the 60 minute chart is suggesting intraday rallies will now fail 1.6275/85.” “The daily RSI has not confirmed the new high and we will watch price action around the 1.6259/55 previous highs from October, as failure here will cast attention back to the 5 month uptrend at 1.6029. A close below here will re-target the 1.5855 November low.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 03,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  9. Flash: EUR/USD dips below 1.3550. What’s next? – Commerzbank and OCBC Bank FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) - The single currency abandoned the area around 1.3600 at the beginning of the week, with the EUR/USD falling through the 1.3550 level despite the solid PMI data from the euro zone. “The EUR-USD has to contend with a busy data calendar this week as well as the ECB meeting on Thursday. In the interim, an increasingly supported tone may persist, with 1.3653 the next visible resistance while the 55-day MA (1.3558) is expected to offer good support in the current environment”, suggested Emmanuel Ng, Strategist at OCBC Bank. Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, observed “… near term strength continues to be viewed as corrective and we continue to view the pattern as a potential rising wedge pattern. The top of the pattern is at 1.3627 and a close below 1.3471 will complete it. We look for the 1.3295/94 zone to be retested (current November low and the 50% retracement of the move up from July). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 02,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 02,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  10. USD/JPY nears 103.00 FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The USD/JPY extended gains into a fourth day Monday and advanced to fresh 6-month highs, despite the negative tone in stocks. USD/JPY hits fresh 6-month peak The USD/JPY climbed to a high of 102.80 during the European session and continues to threaten recent highs, eyeing next resistance at the 103.00 area. At time of writing, the pair is trading at the 102.75 zone, recording a 0.3% gain on the day. USD/JPY technical levels In terms of technical levels, if the USD/JPY breaks above 102.80 (daily high), next resistances are seen at 103.00 (psychological level) and 103.55 (May 23 high). On the other hand, supports are seen at 102.20 (daily low) and 102.00 (psychological level) ahead of 101.14 (Nov 26 low). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 02,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 02,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  11. GBP/USD bounces after strong UK manufacturing PMI FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The GBP/USD rebounded from daily lows after UK Markit Manufacturing PMI came in above forecast in November. UK Markit Manufacturing PMI rose to 58.4 last month from 56.5 printed the previous month (upwardly revised from 56.0) and beating expectations of 56.0. The Cable was lifted toward the 1.6425 area from below 1.6400, although momentum was short-lived and the pair pulled back afterward. At time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at the 1.6405 zone, still up 0.2% on the day. GBP/USD technical outlook From a technical perspective, "The minor corrective pattern below 1.6370 was well bid at 1.6313 low and the uptrend has been renewed, reaching a new local high at 1.6441", said Stoyan Mihaylov, analyst at DeltaStock.com. "The bias remains positive above 1.6385 intraday support, for next leg upwards, toward 1.6613 resistance area. Crucial on the downside is 1.6313 low". OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 02,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  12. GBP/USD bounces after strong UK manufacturing PMI FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The GBP/USD rebounded from daily lows after UK Markit Manufacturing PMI came in above forecast in November. UK Markit Manufacturing PMI rose to 58.4 last month from 56.5 printed the previous month (upwardly revised from 56.0) and beating expectations of 56.0. The Cable was lifted toward the 1.6425 area from below 1.6400, although momentum was short-lived and the pair pulled back afterward. At time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at the 1.6405 zone, still up 0.2% on the day. GBP/USD technical outlook From a technical perspective, "The minor corrective pattern below 1.6370 was well bid at 1.6313 low and the uptrend has been renewed, reaching a new local high at 1.6441", said Stoyan Mihaylov, analyst at DeltaStock.com. "The bias remains positive above 1.6385 intraday support, for next leg upwards, toward 1.6613 resistance area. Crucial on the downside is 1.6313 low". OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 02,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  13. Flash: Sterling higher ahead of Autumn Statement - Societe Generale Kit Juckes, Global Head of Currency Strategy at Societe Generale notes that the pound has broken through key chart levels this morning against EUR, CHF and USD. Key Quotes We remain short EUR/GBP and long GBP/CHF. RSIs and momentum indicators in GBP/USD look stretched, but we also expect solid PMI data at 9:30 GMT and Thursdays Autumn Statement is an opportunity for the Chancellor to make optimistic noises about the economic recovery. I expect the BOE to go on pouring cold water on the idea of rates going up in 2014,but I also expect an investment bank economic department or two to forecast an earlier than expected move. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Dec 02,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  14. Canada: GDP (Sep.) expanded 0.3% MoM FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) - The Canadian economic activity expanded 0.3% on a monthly basis during September. At the same time, the Canadian economic activity expanded at an annual pace of 2.7%, surpassing estimates at 2.5% and the previous 1.6% expansion (revised from 1.7%). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 29,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  15. GBP/USD finds support ahead of 1.6300 FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The GBP/USD found support at the 1.6310 area and halted the downward correction that started after the pair printed a fresh 11-month high of 1.6373. Coupled with a technical correction, the GBP came under pressure during the European session in the wake of disappointing UK mortgage and lending data and slid to a low of 1.6313 versus the USD. However, the GBP/USD managed to bounce and it is currently trading at the 1.6335 zone, virtually unchanged on the day, ahead of an empty (in the data front) NY session. GBP/USD technical outlook From a technical perspective, Valeria Bednarik, chief analyst at FXstreet.com notes that GBP/USD maintains the overall bullish tone as, despite extreme overbought readings, corrective movements remain shallow. "Further gains should be expected on price accelerations beyond 1.6380 yearly high, eyeing then the 1.6425/40 area, where the pair presents several daily highs and lows from August/September 2011", says Bednarik. "To the downside, main support comes around 1.6290, and a break below it may favor a downward correction towards 1.6250, albeit this latter should again attract buyers if reached". OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 29,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  16. Italy Producer Price Index (MoM) down to -1% in October; -2.2% (YoY) Read more in Forex News OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 29,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  17. Flash: EUR/USD buoyed by confidence indicators - OCBC Bank FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Emmanuel Ng, FX Strategist at OCBC Bank notes that EUR/USD was buoyed by supportive November confidence indicators. Key Quotes “The pair may continue to capitalize on any potential dollar weakness into the end of the week pending the EZ CPI data release later today.” “EUR/USD upside in the near term continues to show a healthy restraint and the pair may remain capped at 1.3650 with the 55-day MA (1.3554) expected to support on dips.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 29,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  18. UK November Nationwide Housing Prices n.s.a (YoY) rises to 6.5%; 0.6% (MoM) Read more in Forex News OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 29,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  19. BoE Carney shifts lending focus from home buyers to SMEs as house prices accellerate FXstreet.com (London) - Bank of England governor Mark Carney today announced that the central bank would be moving to strongly rein in its policy to support mortgage borrowing as house prices begin to further accelerate. The Bank of England launched the Funding for Lending scheme in June last year in tandem with the Treasury to prop-up lending to home buyers and small businesses. Under the Funding for Lending scheme, banks and building societies are able to access cheap credit from the central bank as a carrot to encourage them to lend. However, with the UK economy strongly outperforming forecasts, the BoE is set to pare the scheme back to focus on support for small businesses struggling to gain access to credit. "Although the growth in household loan volumes remains modest, activity is picking up and house price inflation appears to be gaining momentum," wrote Carney in a letter to Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne. "We should refocus the FLS so that it continues to support lending to the business sector, without adding further broad support to household lending at a time when that is no longer necessary." OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 28,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  20. AUD/USD extends recovery to fresh highs FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The AUD/USD has managed to advance Thursday, snapping a 7-day losing streak, supported by rising stocks and domestic data. The AUD/USD regained the 0.9100 mark after stronger than expected Q3 capex data, and following a phase of consolidation below 0.9140, renewed buying took the pair above the 100-hour SMA to a fresh high of 0.9149. At time of writing, the AUD/USD is trading at the 0.9135 zone, recording a 0.6% gain Thursday. AUD/USD levels to watch In terms of technical levels, the AUD/USD could find next resistance levels at 0.9149 (daily high) and the 0.9200/0.9204 zone (psychological level/Nov 26 high), while supports are seen at 0.9064 (Nov 27 low) and 0.9036 (Sep 4 low). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 28,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  21. Flash: USD/JPY has 103.74 in it’s sights – UOB Group FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Quek Ser Leang, Market Strategist at UOB Group comments that the next USD/JPY target at 103.74 will likely come under threat sooner than expected Key Quotes “The high of 102.28 early this morning came close to the bullish target highlighted at 102.53 on Monday.” “The strong upward momentum suggests that a break above this level is likely and the next target at 103.74 (this year’s high) will likely come under threat sooner than expected.” “The key support has moved higher quickly to 101.00 and as long as this level is intact for the next few days, a break of 102.50/55 could be the trigger for a sharp acceleration towards the year’s high at 103.74.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 28,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  22. EU Business Climate (November): 0.18 vs -0.01 (October) Read more in Forex News OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 28,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  23. Flash: EUR, year-end squeeze a growing risk - TDS FXstreet.com (London) - A research team at TD Securities said the EUR might have found a modest bid on the back of news that Germany finally has a government but the void since the September election has hardly been a factor in the past couple of months so we doubt the news was that significant for investors. Key Quotes: “Moreover, chatter of further ECB easing steps has not weighed on the EUR at all today. While we remain broadly bullish on the USD outlook over 2014, the risk of a short-term squeeze higher in EUR/USD that we have highlighted remains alive”. “Since 1999, December has been one of the better months of the year for EUR/USD, delivering a near 2.5% average gain. Even when the outsize rally in late 2008 is removed, average gains are still nearly 2%”. “With EUR/USD through the November 20 high (date of the negative depo rate story), the risk of further, near-term EUR gains is rising”. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 27,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  24. USD/CAD out of consolidation? FXstreet.com (London) - USD/CAD has rallied higher on up beat US data and has broken out of the consolidative range of 1.0560 acting as previous resistance. Meanwhile, strategists at TD Securities said there is little on the domestic front (September Average Weekly Earnings) to drive the CAD so focus will remain on external issues and flows. USD/CAD traded heavily earlier in the week as the market backed off the upper 1.05 area but the lack of downside follow-through suggests the market is consolidating, rather than reversing the mid-November rally. We remain bullish on the near and longer-term outlook for funds (we target 1.06 for end 2013… near-term but we think that minor dips remain a buy. USD/CAD Levels The 20 DMA is 1.0468, the 50 DMA is 1.0390 and the 200 DMA is 1.0321. RSI (14) reads 67.50. Supports are ascending from 1.0414, 1.0436, 1.0480, 1.0516, 1.0550. Spot is currently 1.0594 while resistances are 1.0609, 1.0658 and 1.0674. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 27,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
  25. GBP/USD losing 1.63 handle FXstreet.com (London) - The dollar rallied after a number of US data readings beat expectations. GBP/USD is sub 1.6300 again with consumer confidence rebounding 75.1 vs 73.5. Meanwhile, strategists at TD Securities note that decent growth numbers were near consensus however for the UK, and it seems the outsized GBP rally also had a lot to do with a break of key resistance at 1.6240/50. “A close above that level would add to bullish momentum”. GBP/USD Levels The 20 DMA is 1.6073, the 50 DMA is 1.6083 and the 200 DMA is 1.5522. RSI (14) reads 73.76. Supports are ascending from 1.6093, 1.6110,1.6134,1.6168, 1.6210, 1.6241 and 1.6260. Spot is 1.6277 while key resistance is 1.6380 on the upside. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 27,2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates
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