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Posted
How do you determine those waves? Do they represent moving averages of expected price action?

 

I build a forecast line on short-term cycles on a 30-minute timeframe. To do this, I take a segment of history of about six months. I use the Timing Solution program for this

Posted

 

I build a forecast line on short-term cycles on a 30-minute timeframe. To do this, I take a segment of history of about six months. I use the Timing Solution program for this

 

Have you conducted any backtests to verify that your forecasts yield satisfactory results on historical prices?

Posted

 

Have you conducted any backtests to verify that your forecasts yield satisfactory results on historical prices?

 

Yes I using this prognosis already about 2 years - positive possibility about 70-80%

Posted

 

Yes I using this prognosis already about 2 years - positive possibility about 70-80%

 

Is it possible to see results of using this system? Maybe u have myfxbook or something, would be really interesting to see performance of this approach.

Posted

 

Is it possible to see results of using this system? Maybe u have myfxbook or something, would be really interesting to see performance of this approach.

 

Unfortunately no, I do not disclose such data, but you can follow the forecast in real time week by week

Posted
Another summary and update. First, the results - the forecast line is not changed, only new quotes are loaded

 

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Next week

 

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I don't see any correlation between your forecast and actual price movements. Are you sure that it works?

Posted

 

 

I don't see any correlation between your forecast and actual price movements. Are you sure that it works?

 

If you convert the chart from a candlestick chart to a line chart, the correlation is noticeable

Posted
Damn it's not too bad, are you using the Hurst cycles? Could you possibly isolate the bigger cycles to get only the significant tops and bottoms (monthly highs and lows)?

 

Yes, if we apply this technique to the daily timeframe we get the same forecast line, but more general for a long period - about a year. But although it will show the general trend, small fluctuations may go against it.

  • 2 weeks later...
Posted
Damn it's not too bad, are you using the Hurst cycles? Could you possibly isolate the bigger cycles to get only the significant tops and bottoms (monthly highs and lows)?

 

What is Hurst cycles? Where can I get more detailed info about them? Is there any public indicator that helps to draw it.

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