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Market Pulse 07/16

 

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Today, the European Central Bank will announce a decision on the key interest rate, followed by a traditional Mario Draghi press conference, from which market participants can receive interesting information, as well as signals for further ECB actions. Vista Brokers analysts note that during the US session fresh data on the US labor market be published.

 

1:00 ** MI Inflation Expectations - July (Australia)

1:30 ** NAB Quarterly Business Confidence - Q2 (Australia)

 

Moderate impact on the market (AUD). Australian MI inflation expectations index is often higher than the official data, but it is a good indicator of the assessment of current households attitudes in relation to inflation. High values ​​can be a signal to tighten policy, supporting the currency.

 

5:00 ** Bank of Japan Monthly Report - July (Japan)

 

Moderate impact on the market (JPY). The BOJ monthly report consists a fairly concise description of main indicators and the global economy that is taken into account by the monetary committee when deciding on the rate. The report helps to understand further policy of the Bank of Japan. Words about readiness to act in order to support the economy may put pressure on the yen.

 

9:00 ** Final Consumer Price Index - June (euro zone)

9:00 ** Core CPI - June (euro zone)

11:45 *** ECB Interest Rate Decision - July (euro zone)

11:45 ** Deposit Facility Rate - July (euro zone)

11:45 ** Marginal lending facility - July (euro zone)

12:30 *** ECB Press Conference - July (euro zone)

 

Strong impact on the market (EUR). The market does not wait for changes in interest rates by the ECB, but in the course of the press conference can be interesting comments that could be interpreted as signals to changes in the strategy of the European Central Bank in the future. Therefore, investors will be attentive to the words of Draghi.

 

12:30 *** Unemployment Claims - July (USA)

12:30 ** Continuing Claims - July (USA)

14:00 *** Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen Testifies - July (USA)

14:00 *** Philly Fed Manufacturing Index - July (USA)

14:00 ** NAHB Housing Market Index - July (USA)

 

Strong impact on the market (USD). Another portion of statistics from the US market may tense markets. Special attention is necessary to listen to the Janet Yellen's speech. She speaks ahead of the Congress the second consecutive day. As for other data, forecasts are generally optimistic, in addition to the expected decline in the index of the Philadelphia Fed. While there is always the possibility that the statistics will present surprises.

 

18:00 *** BOE Governor Mark Carney Speaks - July (UK)

 

Strong impact on the market (GPB). Previous performance of the BOE head has caused the rally of the pound, as the signal was given that the interest rate can be increased. Fresh Carney comments can strengthen confidence in the fact that the Bank of England is next in line after the Fed.

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Vista Brokers: Yellen Strengthened Confidence in Fed Rate Hike

 

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The main event on Wednesday was the speech of the Fed's head Janet Yellen. Vista Brokers analysts say that Yellen's comments has strengthened the belief that the US central bank will raise its key interest rate until the end of the year.

 

Yellen said that the interest rate will be raised "before year end", although noted some negative aspects. In particular, risks for the US economy, created with a situation in Greece and the slowdown in China's economy. After the Fed's head speech the dollar grew up broadly, gold has fallen to a minimum of 2015. The EUR / USD has declined by 0.50% to 1.0953 (the weekly low), while the dollar index has risen by 0.37% to 97.17 (maximum since 7 July).

 

Additional support for the optimism of market participants in relation to the dollar gave a statistic that was published yesterday in the United States. Thus, the index of producer prices in June has risen by 0.4% vs. 0.2%, while the Empire Manufacturing industrial index in July has increased to 3.86 against the expected 3.4. Recall that the previous month the index has declined to -1.98. Today, the market is also waiting for a busy day with another Janet Yellen's speech and statistics on the US labor market.

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Vista Brokers: Greece Weakened Precarious Position of Gold

 

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During the Asian trading session on Thursday, price of gold futures continued to reduce. Vista Brokers analysts say that the already precarious position of gold was weakened with the fact that the Greek parliament has passed first needed bills required under terms of a three-year bailout program. On the Comex, gold futures for August delivery have fallen by 0.08% to $ 1,146.50 per troy ounce. Silver for September delivery has fallen in price by 0.27% to $ 15,008 per ounce. Copper continues to rise after yesterday's strong statistics from China - September futures have increased by 0.07% to $ 2.516 per pound.

 

Many doubted that Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras can persuade parliament to pass unpopular reforms, against which the Greek people had voted. However, necessary measures have been taken with 229 yes, 64 no and 6 present, and now probably Athens will receive the first tranche from creditors. Greece needs the foreign aid desperately to resume the work of banks and to implement overdue payments. It is noteworthy that the "native" left-wing forces did not support their leader that may indicate that the split in parliament is worsening. In his defense, Tsipras said that other than to accept the creditors' plan, he had only two choices - a chaotic default and the voluntary exit from the euro zone.

 

So, Greece is likely to receive assistance from the EU, the ECB and the IMF, at least the first part of it, which undermines the position of gold as a safe-haven asset to which market participants are turning in unstable times. In addition, the pressure on the metal has the US economic recovery and the high probability that the Fed will raise the interest rate before the end of the year.

 

So, after a speech of the Federal Reserve head Janet Yellen yesterday gold has collapsed to a minimum of 2015. The head of the US central bank has confirmed that the regulator intends to raise rates later this year, provided that the statistics continue to show improvement in the economic situation.

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Market Pulse 07/17

 

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Friday will be saturated with statistics, especially during the American trading session, when some interesting data will be published in Canada and the United States.

 

12:30 *** Consumer Price Index - June (Canada)

12:30 *** Core CPI Bank of Canada - June (Canada)

 

Strong influence on the market (CAD). It is expected a slight increase in the consumer price index in the first summer month, although given the recent rate cut by the Bank of Canada, even if the growth is stronger than expected, it will hardly support the Canadian dollar.

 

12:30 *** Building Permits - June (USA)

12:30 ** Housing Starts - June (USA)

12:30 *** Consumer Price Index - June (USA)

12:30 *** Core CPI - June (USA)

12:30 ** Consumer Price Index - June (USA)

12:30 ** Core CPI - June (USA)

 

Strong influence on the market (USD). This week was very busy in terms of statistics, particularly for the USA, where the large portion of important data was published. Among Friday's statistics Vista Brokers analysts recommend to pay most attention to the consumer price index. The strong data may support market confidence that the Fed's rate hike is coming.

 

14:00 *** UoM Consumer Sentiment Index (Prelim) - July (USA)

14:00 ** Stanley Fischer (Fed Vice Chairman) Speaks - July (USA)

 

Strong influence on the market (USD). The UoM consumer sentiment index is predicted to rise, and the positive data may provide an additional support for the dollar. Fisher comments may also be interesting for the market, in particular, the vice chairman of the US central bank can confirm Fed's intention to raise the rate.

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Vista Brokers: Fundamental Background Supported Dollar

 

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On Friday, the dollar has increased to the highest in the last month and a half level relative to other major currencies. Vista Brokers analysts say that the American currency was supported with fresh statistics from the USA, which gave another argument to expect the Fed's rate hike in the near future. Recall that the head of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen has recently confirmed that the rate will be increased this year, but only if the statistics satisfy the regulator.

 

Over the past week data were multi-directional, but in general, the situation in the US economy looks optimistic, especially when compared with the euro area with its debt crisis and a slowing Chinese economy. On Friday was published data on changes in the consumer price index, and as forecasts had predicted, in June the index rose by 0.3% mom and by 0.1% yoy.

 

Also note that the data on the real estate market, namely building permits and housing starts in the United States came out much better than expected. A fly in the ointment was only the index of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan, which in July has dropped from 96.1 to 93.3 vs. 96.0. Nevertheless, the dollar index has increased by 0.20% to 97.97 (maximum from June 2). The EUR / USD has finished the day at around 1.08287.

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Vista Brokers: Quiet Trading, Strong Dollar

 

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On Monday trading was quiet and the US dollar remained at 3-months highs vs. its major competitors in Forex. Vista Brokers analysts note that the US currency continues to receive the tremendous support from the maturing market confidence that the Fed will raise the interest rate in the near future. In the new data absence traders in EUR/USD continued to take a lead from statistics published on Friday, and in particular, data on inflation in the USA.

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Vista Brokers: RBA and BOJ still Bear up for Monetary Easing

 

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Asian stock market is rising after minutes publication in Japan and Australia. The Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Japan both have shown that they bear up for a policy of monetary easing at their last meetings. Amid this the main Japanese Nikkei index has added 0.55% and the S & P / ASX - 0.29%. Meanwhile, China's Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng have gained 0.26% and 0.39% respectively. Just published at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers

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Market Pulse 07/22

 

Vista Brokers analysts have prepared a list of the most important ‎Forex events‬ for you.

 

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Just published at Fundamental Analysis Section.

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Vista Brokers: Market Participants Take Profits on EUR/USD

 

EUR/USD has rallied by more than 1% yesterday.

 

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It seems that situation in the euro zone has stabilized, and investors started to fix their profits. Read the full daily analysis at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.

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Vista Brokers: Oil Falls prior to US Data

 

WTI futures have dropped to a more than 3-month low amid speculations in the market about today's data from API.

 

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Oil is under pressure, not only because of finished negotiations on Iran. There are also some other factors of pressure. Discover them all at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers

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Market Pulse 07/23

 

On Thursday, the most important Forex releases are expected in the European and American trading sessions.

 

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Retail Sales in the UK and Canada, Unemployment Claims in the USA. What other information needs your attention? Find out at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.

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Vista Brokers: Greece Voted for New Reforms

 

EUR/USD fluctuations are uneven amid the fundamental background.

 

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Greece continues to influence the Forex market and cause sharp jumps of currencies. Get the wind of trends from Vista Brokers Fundamental Analysis.

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Vista Brokers: Oil Remains below $ 50

 

Oil is rising but staying lower than $50 (WTI).

 

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The market is pressured with weak statistics from the USA, concerns about the global economy slowdown and the Iran nuclear deal. Discover more at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers

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Market Pulse 07/24

 

On Friday the economic calendar is full of interesting statistics from the euro zone.

 

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Find out what news will influence the Forex market today at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.

Edited by Vistabrokers

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Vista Brokers: Euro Reasserts Itself

 

Did you know that one of the most important economic indicators in the USA is now at its best level since 1973?

 

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Of course it increases chances that the Fed will soon raise interest rates. Always stay tuned with Vista Brokers Fundamental Analysis.

Edited by Vistabrokers

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Market Pulse 07/27

 

Today, the new week in Forex market starts from IFO statistics in Germany and data on durable goods in the USA.

 

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We wish you interesting and full of profit trading week. Read more at Vista Brokers Fundamental Analysis.

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Vista Brokers: Business Activity in Euro Zone Is Getting Worse

 

On Friday there was a lot of disappointing statistics for EUR, as well as for USD.

 

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Due to expectations of the Fed rate hike, the market is very sensitive to American statistics, and it gave EUR/USD a chance to increase. Find out more at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.

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Oil Market Weekly Review by Vista Brokers

 

Last week oil has lost 4-5% amid the lifting of sanctions in Iran and some other factors.

 

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Do you want to know how the market will behave itself this week? So read the full weekly analysis at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers

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Market Pulse 07/28

 

News calendar is not too saturated today, but some important data will be released in the UK, the USA and Canada.

 

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The US consumer confidence indicator may give investors guideline prior to the Fed meeting. Read the full version at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.

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Vista Brokers: Market Worries prior to Fed Meeting

 

On Monday EUR/USD flew to space amid concerns prior to the Fed meeting.

 

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The US economy recovers, but not so steady. So will it be enough for the Fed to rise the interest rate this year? Discover more at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.

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Vista Brokers: Pound Soared after GDP Data

 

The UK GDP data gave GPB/USD an upward momentum.

 

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Strong statistics supports expectations regards BOE rate hike, increasing optimism of investors. Discover more about this at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.

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Market Pulse 07/29

 

It is beyond all doubt that the most important and anticipated data today will be results of the Fed meeting.

 

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The US central bank will decide on the interest rate and release the accompanying statement. Discover other important events for today at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.

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Vista Brokers: Tumult Subsided with Fed Meeting Opening

 

On Tuesday the market settled nerves with the Fed meeting opening and EUR / USD started to decline from the reached highs.

 

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Read the full daily analysis for this pair. Just published at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.

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Vista Brokers: What to Expect from Fed Meeting?

 

What to expect from the Fed meeting? Vista Brokers analysts have prepared a market outlook on this subject.

 

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Let's go back in history and then get a glimpse of the future prior to today's important event. Read more at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.

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Market Pulse 30.07

 

Today some important indicators will be published in the euro zone and particularly in it's powerhouse - Germany.

 

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During the American session the USA will also release interesting statistics. Find out more at Fundamental Analysis of Vista Brokers.

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