Market Outlook By Commexfx

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Daily Outlook 23-05-2014

 

Euro (1.3651) continues exchanging at a 3-month low and any ricochet is required to face offering weight. It is trying a minor swing low at 1.3630 to keep the likelihood of an ascent alive yet more fall is not out of the ordinary towards sub-1.35 as long as it stays underneath 1.3800.

 

Dollar-Yen (101.78) bears neglected to break the long haul backing of 100.70-60 and got hit by a sharp skip of course. A break over 101.75-102.00 may bring back uptrend and augment the rally further towards 103.00.

 

Euro-Yen (138.94) is trying an essential Support here around 138.70-30 and could endeavor a bit of a skip. Be that as it may unless Resistance at 140 is broken, there could be risks of further tumble to test 200-day MA at 137.94 or much lower towards 136.

 

Pound (1.6869), the strongest among the real coinage now, searches set for further climb to 1.70-71 as long it exchanges over 1.6730. Just a break beneath 1.6730 could refute the uptrend and afterward a dip to sub-1.6600 levels would be on cards.

 

Aussie (0.9247) is attempting to keep afloat significant help territory of 0.9200-0.9150 after the sharp fall. Anyway the current structure indications at more downmove towards 0.8950 on a break underneath 0.9150.

 

Gold (1294.96) attempted to climb over 1300 yet returned to test channel backing close to 1290 as Dollar fortifies against significant monetary forms. Close term combining may proceed with yet further course can’t be guaranteed unless a maintainable break on either side of the 1280-1310 locales is seen.

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Daily Outlook 27-05-2014

 

Euro (1.3662) is making a Matching Low at 1.3613, near the trendline help at 1.3590-80 and this bob may take Euro higher to 1.3700-30. Anyway the shortcoming stays in place beneath 1.3800 and any skip is required to face offering weight.

 

Dollar-Yen (101.97) is trying our safety region of 102 and a break over 102.00-15 may take it to the real supply zone at 102.75-103.00.the Euro-Yen (139.29) is skipping from a critical Support around 138.70-30 however unless Resistance at 140 is broken, there could be risks of further tumble to test 200-day MA at 137.94 or significantly lower towards 136.

 

Pound (1.6864) has experienced a sharp rectification recently yet the uptrend stays in place for focuses of 1.70 as just a break beneath 1.6730 could refute the uptrend and after that a dip to sub-1.6600 levels would be on cards. Look for a break over 1.6900-20 for quality.

 

Aussie (0.9256) is attempting to keep afloat significant help zone of 0.9200-0.9180 after the sharp fall, however the current structure stays powerless. Are the Bulls thinking about a vast Cup & Handle breakout within a brief span of time?

 

Gold (1291.61) keeps on remainning steady inside the 1280-1304 locales. Unless we see a break on either side of the extent, further bearing can’t be dead set. Silver (19.391) is likewise steady however is trying urgent long haul backing close present levels hanging in the balance outline. This may prompt 19.66 again yet unless a break over 19.66 is seen, it may remain extent bound.

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Daily Outlook 28-05-2014

 

Euro (1.3637) is attempting to discover some purchasing near the trendline help at 1.3590-80 and this endeavor, if fruitful, may take Euro higher to 1.3700-30. Be that as it may the shortcoming stays in place beneath 1.3800 and any bob is relied upon to face offering weight at the more elevated amounts.

 

Dollar-Yen (101.93) has been confronting offering weight precisely from our safety at 102.00-15 however a break over this safety is obliged to take it to the real supply zone at 102.75-103.00.the Euro-Yen (138.99) is in a sideways move in 138.50-139.50 in the wake of skipping from an imperative Support around 138.70-30 yet unless Resistance at 140 is broken, there could be risks of further tumble to test 200-day MA at 137.94 or considerably lower towards 136.

 

Pound (1.6812) has experienced a sharp adjustment recently however the uptrend stays in place for focuses of 1.70 as just a break underneath 1.6730 could nullify the uptrend and afterward a dip to sub-1.6600 levels would be on cards. Look for a break over 1.6900-20 for quality.

 

Aussie (0.9261) is attempting to keep afloat significant help territory of 0.9200-0.9180 after the sharp fall, yet the current structure stays frail. A break past the more extensive reach of 0.92-0.94 may transform the following significant directional move.

 

Gold (1264.68) drooped pointedly to 1261 yesterday, (falling more level than our normal 1280 levels) on superior to expected US information that may help the Federalreserve to further check boost. It is trying vital backing close to 1260 which if keeps may cut it down to 1280-1294 else it may confront the risk of falling towards 1230-1225 levels. General our perspective keeps on remainning bearish in the close term.

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Daily Outlook 29-05-2014

 

Euro (1.3605) is trying the trendline help at 1.3590-80 and may attempt to bob once more to 1.3700-30. Anyway the shortcoming stays in place beneath 1.3800 and any skip is required to face offering weight at the larger amounts.

 

Dollar-Yen (101.68) has been pushed down precisely from our safety at 102.00-15 however a break over this safety is obliged to take it to the higher safety at 102.75-103.00.the Euro-Yen (138.35) is additionally trying the last swing low close to 138 (likewise 200 DMA at 138.30) as all endeavors to break over 140 have fizzled so far and searches all set for a tumble to 136-135 in the following few sessions.

 

The uptrend in Pound (1.6723) has been killed with this break of 1.6730 and now a dip to 1.6670-20 can’t be discounted. Presently it stays to be checked whether the last trust for the bulls at 1.66 remaining parts secured or not.

 

Aussie (0.9274) tried the help range at 0.9200-0.9180 at the end of the prior day bobbing strongly. Yet in any case we sit tight for a break past the more extensive reach of 0.92-0.94 which may handle the following significant directional move.

 

Gold (1257.126) has started a sharp fall which may focus on 1225 in the impending sessions. In spite of the fact that it is trying a close term backing close to 1257-1260, possibilities of breaking beneath is higher. Notwithstanding, in the event that it bobs back from current levels it may focus on 1280 preceding again continuing the fall. General our more extended term bearish perspective holds.

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Daily Outlook 30-05-2014

 

No indication of quality is noticeable yet in the Euro (1.3605) as it tests the trendline help at 1.3590-80 and may attempt to skip over to 1.3700-30. Be that as it may the shortcoming stays in place beneath 1.3800 and any skip is relied upon to face offering weight at the larger amounts.

 

Dollar-Yen (101.54) must break over 102.15 to climb higher towards the following safety at 102.75-103.00. Inside this expansive sideway run of 100.50-103.00, any quick bullish probability gets by till 101.20. The Euro-Yen (138.16) is likewise trying the last swing low close to 138 (additionally 200 DMA at 138.30) as all endeavors to break over 140 have fizzled so far and searches all set for a tumble to 136-135 in the following few sessions.

 

The shortcoming and misfortune of bullish energy in Pound (1.6733) is purported and now a dip to 1.6670-20 can’t be precluded. Be that as it may it stays to be checked whether the last trust for the bulls at 1.66 remaining parts ensured or not.

 

The Aussie (0.9313) looks all set to test the real safety region of 0.9400-50 yet a break over 0.94 may help it to move beyond the whole supply zone and push it up towards 0.96-0.97. A disappointment close to 0.94 would mean an alternate little plunge and all the more sideways move in the extent of 0.92-0.94.

 

Gold (1257.587) is steady for the present while in a downtrend and underneath 1261.10, it may fall towards 1225 in the nearing weeks. Testing a close term backing close to 1257-1260, shots of fall is higher.

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Daily Outlook 2-06-2014

 

Euro (1.3628) has been attempting to make a bullish example like the Morning Star and may attempt to skip once more to 1.3700-30. Be that as it may the shortcoming stays in place beneath 1.3800 and any bob is required to face offering weight at the larger amounts.

 

Dollar-Yen (102.05) is near breaking over 102.15 to indicator an ascent towards the following safety at 102.75-103.00, even 103.50.

 

The Euro-Yen (139.04) has ricocheted from the significant backing at 138 and may rally to 139.40 or even 140 if Euro figures out how to fortify further against the Dollar. Underneath 138, the route to 136-135 opens up.

 

The shortcoming and misfortune of bullish energy in Pound (1.6744) is professed and now a dip to 1.6670-20 can’t be discounted. Anyway it stays to be checked whether the last trust for the bulls at 1.66 remaining parts ensured or not.

 

The Aussie (0.9263), in spite of the desires, has neglected to test the 0.94 levels and consequently stays stuck in the extent of 0.92-0.94 for the time being. Just a break of this reach of 0.92-0.94 may prepare any significant moves.

 

Gold (1248.41) and Silver (18.789) shrank on steady values and easier US GDP information, breaking 1257 obviously. Gold is prone to see help levels close to 1230-1225 on the off chance that it keeps falling with such force. Silver then again may test backing close to 18.5 from where it may bob over to 19-19.5 locale. Close term stays bearish.

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Daily Outlook 4-06-2014

 

EUR/USD was exchanging at 1.3627, up 0.22% at time of writing.the pair was prone to discover help at 1.3586, Thursday’s low, and safety at 1.3650, Friday’s high.meanwhile, the Euro was up against the British Pound and the Japanese Yen, with EUR/GBP picking up 0.20% to hit 0.8136 and EUR/JPY climbing 0.33% to hit 139.69.

 

GBP/USD hit 1.6782 throughout U.s. morning exchange, the pair’s most elevated since May 28; the pair hence solidified at 1.6749, creeping up 0.01%. Link was prone to discover help at 1.6693, the low of May 29 and safety at 1.6816, the high of May 28.Australia’s first quarter GDP information climbed 1.1%, contrasted with a 1.0% addition expected.aud/USD exchanged at 0.9284, up 0.19%, after the information. Prior Australian AIG Group’s Services Index for May rose to 49.9 from a 48.6 perusing in April.

 

Gold costs picked up in Asia Wednesday on a bounce back from overnight with financial specialists hunt down interest signals. Gold costs bounce back marginally in Asia, interest signals wantedgold costs up in Asia

On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold for August conveyance exchanged at $1,245.30 a troy ounce, up 0.06%.

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Daily Outlook 5-06-2014

 

Euro (1.3598) is unstably trying the help zone of 1.3590-70 for the last 6-7 sessions, holding up for the following ECB step. A breakout of the reach of 1.3570-1.3650 may focus the fleeting course even while the real pattern stays down.

 

Dollar-Yen (102.56) is taking a stop in the wake of arriving at our beginning focus of 102.75 and now may achieve even 103.00-50. The Euro-Yen (139.45) has officially pulled back from 140 of course. The fall would be deeper on a break beneath 139.30-139.00.

 

Pound (1.6746) is stuck in the little run of 1.6690-1.6790 for a week now. This reach may be broken today and a dip to 1.6670-20 can’t be precluded. Yet it stays to be checked whether the last trust for the bulls at 1.66 remaining parts ensured or not.

 

The Aussie (0.9277) remaining parts stuck in the reach of 0.92-0.94 for the present with no acceptable transient directional intimations. Just a break of this reach of 0.92-0.94 may generate any genuine moves. An alternate test of 0.9215-0.92 may indicate the end of this curative mode.

 

Gold (1243.77) remaining parts steady for the present at easier levels close to 1240. It may confront a danger of further fall if the European Central Bank cuts rates which may reinforce the US Dollar. While over 1240, it may keep on consolidaing sideways inside the 1240-1260 areas yet a fall beneath 1240 may push it down to 1230-1225 levels. Close term looks bearish while in a general downtrend.

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Daily Outlook 6-06-2014

 

On the off chance that you had taken a gander at the EURUSD rate first thing at the beginning of today and afterward contrasted it and the rate as we approached the end of the European session, it was really level, give or take a couple of premise focuses. In any case, the smooth shrouds a gigantic measure of instability in the single cash and an emotional venture into the obscure from the ECB.

 

GBP/USD has edged higher on Thursday as the pair plays with the 1.68 line in the North American session. On the discharge front, there were no astonishments from the Bank of England, which rolled out no improvements to premium rate levels or its QE program. Halifax HPI was extraordinary, hopping 3.9% in May. In the US, Unemployment Claims moved higher missed the assessment.

 

USD/CAD is consistent on Thursday, as the pair exchanges the mid-1.09 extent in the North American session. On the discharge front, the news was not positive. Canadian Building Permits and Ivey PMI were fortunate their appraisals. In the US, Unemployment Claims rose and likewise missed the figure.

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Market Outlook 11-06-2014

 

EUR/USD was down 0.38% at 1.3541, up from a session low of 1.3534 and off a high of 1.3602.the sets was prone to discover help at 1.3503, Thursday’s low, and safety at 1.3677, Friday’s high.rising Treasury yields, four months of robust month to month employments reports and other energetic monetary markers in the U.s. sent speculators pursuing the dollar on Tuesday.

 

GBP/USD hit 1.6759 throughout U.s. morning exchange, the pair’s most reduced since June 5; the pair consequently merged at 1.6767, shedding 0.21%.cable was prone to discover help at 1.6699, the low of June 4 and safety at 1.6845, the high of June 6.

 

USD/JPY was down 0.15% to 102.37, off session lows of 102.22. USD/CHF rising 0.26% to 0.8993.AUD/USD easing up 0.09% to 0.9362 and NZD/USD rising 0.22% to 0.8512. USD/CAD edged up 0.10% to 1.0913.

 

Gold prospects for August conveyance exchanged at $1,259.60 a troy ounce, down 0.04%, in the wake of hitting an overnight session low of $1,250.40 and off a high of $1,263.70. The European Central Bank’s late choice slice premium rates kept on weighing on the euro, which reinforced gold’s claim as a support.

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Daily Outlook 26-06-2014

 

At 1.3650, Euro (1.3633) has tried the higher end of its tight contracting extent of 1.3550-1.3650 yet it needs to affirm the bullishness by a break over 1.3680-90, which may prompt revives towards 1.38 or more.

 

Dollar-Yen (101.75) is stuck in the reach of 101.50-102.75 for the about two weeks not surprisingly. Presently just a break over 102.70 or beneath 101.50 may bring any directional move. The Euro-Yen (138.71) has been in a lethargic mode as both Euro & Yen are stagnant for the last few days. In any case it runs the downside danger of testing 137 however there is a bullish inversion plausibility, recommended by pointers, to be affirmed just on a break over 139.50-60.

 

Pound (1.6990) is amending the last sharp climb and may test 1.6925-1.6900 now yet this rectification ought to be constrained to 1.69 to keep the bullish force in place.

 

A breakout in a low instability environment is extremely troublesome and Aussie (0.9400) demonstrated that by neglecting to break over 0.9440-60 and go into the extent of 0.9200-0.9450 which may proceed for a couple of sessions more.

 

Gold (1318.90) changed profoundly in the 1325-1310 locale. Note that the 1325-1330 zone is vital and can possibly push the costs down to 1300-1290 and further to 1250 levels. The Gold-WTI proportion (12.35) has precisely fallen off from safety at 12.5 and may now tumble to 12-11.3 levels demonstrating that Gold costs may drop in the impending sessions.

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Daily Outlook 27-06-2014

 

EUR at a finer cost. Presently the EUR is obstructed underneath the H4 Sma200 cost however when it is broken, our first target will be the safety territory 1.3650-1.3665. Really wide and really solid one, that will be amazingly difficult to break, however a few spikes to 1.3670-75 are conceivable, yet i surmise that the cost will stay beneath 1.3665 till Monday.

 

NZD has recorded a crisp high at 0.8792. Day by day and week by week are to a great degree bullish yet on H4 pointers demonstrate a downside rectification has begun, so be cautious. I think you may attempt little Short in front of 0.88 and TP at 0.8740

 

AUD is bullish on practically untouched edges, yet a few revisions to 0.9425 are conceivable, the pair is focusing on 0.9445 and will attempt to record another high, yet i think promptly after another high is recorded the pair will right to the downside to 0.9400

 

JPY has picked the best place to push the dollar to the downside. This is the cross purpose of Daily Sma200 and Daily negative Senkou Span A cost at 101.75. In the event that the cost is not fit to close once more over 101.65 today, then no good thing for the dollar’s future here.

 

GBP – there is probably pound is searching for a new high, however keep in mind we are breaking the Monthly negative cloud and i think the adjustment to the downside will happen one month from now. Furthermore work then 1.71 will be the target. You ought to be prepaired to take your benefits from long soon. We are bullish as long as the pair is over 1.7030. In the event that there is any spike to 1.7010 the pair will rapidly recuperate to the upside

 

GOLD even now moving inside the negative day by day cloud, with a reasonable “banner” development untouched and an incredible probability to passageway the cloud to the upside. Resistances are 1331 and 1339. Some place closer to the second you may attempt little SHORT, in light of the fact that i anticipate that the cost will return once again to 1315 not long after the upside is over.

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Daily Outlook 2-07-2014

 

British pound keeps on posting additions on Tuesday, as GBP/USD exchanges the mid-1.71 extent in the North American session. On the discharge front, British Manufacturing PMI enhanced somewhat in June to 56.7 focuses, posting a seven-month high. In the US, ISM Manufacturing PMI indicated little change and met desires.

 

USD/CAD is indicating little development on Tuesday, as the pair exchanges the mid-1.06 reach right on time in the North American session. On the discharge front, the ISM Manufacturing PMI was very nearly unaltered in June and met desires. Exchanging is relied upon to be thin on Tuesday, with Canadian markets shut for a national occasion.

 

Australian dollar has posted increases on Tuesday, as the pair exchanges somewhat beneath the 0.95 level right on time in the North American session. In budgetary news, the RBA kept up investment rate levels at 2.50%. The Aussie likewise accepted a help from Chinese Final Manufacturing PMI, which posted its most noteworthy perusing since December. In the US, the ISM Manufacturing PMI was very nearly unaltered a month ago.

 

USD/JPY has posted unobtrusive additions on Tuesday, as the pair exchanges the high-101 extent late in the European session on Monday. On the discharge front, the Tankan Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Indices both mollified in May, indicating diminished financial action. In the US, today’s highlight is ISM Manufacturing PMI, with the businesses expecting a solid perusing in June.

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Daily Outlook 3-07-2014

 

Euro (1.3650) is revising delicately in front of the ECB meet today yet a ton of instability is normal now. Shortcoming will rise underneath 1.3615-00 and quality over 1.3700.

 

Dollar-Yen (101.86) is skipping up not surprisingly and it may well ricochet to 102.50 levels now. The reach of 101.20-102.75 may proceed for some more of a chance. The Euro-Yen (139.05) is exchanging around the safety of 139 after a rally on the again of a stronger Euro and a firm break over 139 may take it to 140.00-50 levels.

 

Pound (1.7156) is exchanging with a great deal of bullish force and the solid industrial facility yield has helped it more. Presently it may achieve 1.72 not surprisingly or significantly higher in a day or two.

 

It ended up being a false breakout over 0.9460 for Aussie (0.9377) as it fell strongly a while later. On the off chance that the help zone of 0.9350-20 breaks, the whole uptrend might be debilitated.

 

Gold (1324.16) has been steady and may stay consolidative for a couple of sessions. The 1325-1350 locale is significant however while underneath 1325, we may expect a fall towards 1310-1300. Note that it is not able to support an ascent over 1325 for the present. The week by week safety close to 1330 is as of now holding for the time being.

 

Silver (21.0661) is additionally steady yet appears to move in the long run up focusing on 21.5-22.5 in the close term. Gold-Silver degree (62.737) is extended inside the 63.098-62.37 area and until a break on either side of the reach, we can’t focus further course.

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Daily Outlook 4-07-2014

 

Euro (1.3609) broke the uptrending channel after the ECB meet and the ensuing soak soften up EURGBP (0.7927) proposes more downside, even upto 1.35. Keep an eye on the backings at 1.3580 and 1.3550.

 

Dollar-Yen (102.13) is near our focus of 102.50 after the US NFP information supported the Dollar yet the extent of 101.20-102.75 may proceed for some more of a chance. The Euro-Yen (138.99) remained generally unaltered as both the Euro and Yen debilitated at the same time. The more extensive extent of 138-140 doesn’t hint at any breaking soon.

 

Pound (1.7166) is unaffected by every one of those happenings in ECB or US and continues exchanging with a considerable measure of bullish force. Presently it may achieve 1.72 of course or considerably higher soon.

 

After the false breakout over 0.9460, Aussie (0.9358) has tried the whole help band of 0.9350-20 and now it must bob higher without making any new low to keep the officially undermined uptrend alive.

 

Gold (1319.343) fell pointedly yesterday after the US NFP turned out superior to gauges. The heading further is misty unless we see a break on either side of the 1300-1325 extent. 1350 on the upside could be focused on if a break over 1325 is seen. General the pattern stays down.

 

http://www.commexfx.com/daily-outlook-4-07-2014/

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Daily Outlook 8-07-2014

Euro (1.3604) is trying our backing of 1.3580-50 and a break over 1.3600 may create a bob to 1.3640-50 where the merchants may return once more. The proceeded with shortcoming in EURGBP (0.7940) recommends more downside, even up to 1.35, particularly if EURGBP neglects to bob from the channel backing of 0.7905-0.7900.

 

With the unaltered arrangement of BOJ & no extra QE in sight, the upward capability of Dollar-Yen (101.79) is restricted and the scope of 101.20-102.75 may proceed for some more of a chance. The Euro-Yen (138.48) dropped forcefully by virtue of a frail Euro and stagnant Yen however the more extensive scope of 138-140 must break before a definitive run rises.

 

Pound (1.7134) is unaffected by each one of those happenings in ECB or US and continues exchanging with a great deal of bullish force. Presently it may achieve 1.72 not surprisingly or significantly higher not long after the current combination closes.

 

After the false breakout over 0.9460, Aussie (0.9388) has tried the whole help band of 0.9350-20 and now it must skip higher without making any new low to keep the officially undermined uptrend alive.

 

Gold (1317.721) and Silver (20.991) are steady for the time being and may show went developments in for some more of an opportunity. A break on either bearing could be normal which would launch sharp moves. In any case, the long haul pattern is down.

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Daily Outlook 14-07-2014

 

The discourse by the ECB president Mario Draghi today may focus the fleeting heading for the Euro and thus the Dollar as well. Continue viewing.

 

Euro (1.3603) has been solidifying in the more extensive scope of 1.35-1.37 throughout the previous 6 weeks and may keep doing so. Presently it may achieve the 1.3650-1.37 afresh before switching towards the lower end.

 

Dollar-Yen (101.36) keeps on traing sideways in the old scope of 101.20-102.75 almost as expected after the false break down t 101.07 and there is still no indication of a break impending. Euro-Yen (137.87) is exchanging beneath the 2 month old scope of 138-140 and any failure to rapidly return inside that go may drag the cost down to the long haul channel backing of 137 or even 136.30.

 

Pound (1.7114) is unaffected by each one of those happenings in ECB or US and continues uniting at the more elevated amounts for almost two weeks. Presently it may achieve 1.72 of course or considerably higher after the current amendment closes.

 

Aussie (0.9400) is stuck in the band of 0.9320-0.9500 throughout the previous 5 weeks. A break over 0.9525 may bring about a rally towards 0.98 however a break beneath 0.9320 would bring about a drop to the long haul backing of 0.92. Anticipate that sideways move will proceed till a breakout happens in either bearing.

 

Gold (1334.92) is steady for the time being keeping in mind exchanging over 1330, it may target safety close to 1350-1360 on the upside. Close term rally is in energy.

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Daily Outlook 28-07-2014

 

The Dollar quality is noticeable all around now however the likelihood a transient top this week may not be completely discounted. Delight in the Dollar rally yet with a bit of alert.

 

Euro (1.3430) is exchanging at a 8 month low and searches prepared for a voyage to 1.33 or 1.31 in the following few days. Any endeavor to skip will face supply from 1.3475-1.3500.

 

Dollar-Yen (101.80) keeps exchanging sideways in the scope of 101-102, which still hints at no breaking. On a break over 102, some more skip to 102.25-50 may be seen. Euro-Yen (136.72) is exchanging sideways in 1.3630-1.3730 on the once more of similarly debilitating Euro and a frail Yen however it may even now drop further if neglects to beat 1.3770 levels in the advancing days.

 

Pound (1.6975) has made a Marubozu week after week candle with solid bearish ramifications in the short term. On the off chance that the former example is kept up, then this progressing amendment may end close to 1.6890 levels before turning around for an alternate new high.

 

Aussie (0.9395) has been rejected from the larger amounts almost as expected and the 5-week long band of 0.9320-0.9500 may proceed for a couple of more days.

 

Gold (1302.92) bobbed up forcefully on Friday from 1287 not surprisingly however while beneath 1325, bearish weight still exists. Tumbling to 1280-1260 appears a plausibility in the close term while the general pattern stays down.

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Daily Outlook 31-07-2014

 

The US GDP information brought more cheer for the Dollar bulls all over yet maybe the time for some alert is here with the Dollar Index still not able to convincingly exchange over the 10 month safety of 81.50 and the Sterling hinting at inversion. A transient top in Dollar and a fleeting base in Euro? Let watch.

 

Euro (1.3399) is immovably exchanging beneath the 200 week MA now and any remedial ricochet may confront safety at first at 1.3415-45 and afterward 1.3475-1.3500. It searches prepared for a voyage to 1.33 or 1.31 in the following few days.

 

Dollar-Yen (102.76) hit a 3 month high at 103.09 after the US information yet may think that it hard to climb further to 103.50-104. A sideways move in the extended scope of 101.-103 looks more likely now. Euro-Yen (137.68) bounced higher on the over of a forcefully debilitated Yen however for real quality, a break over 1.3850 is essential.

 

Pound (1.6949) is attempting to turn around precisely from our target level of 1.6890 and keeping with the prior example, we may finish up forcefully that the amendment has finished. Purchasers may rise here with a stoploss underneath 1.6885 for a fabulous danger reward degree.

 

Aussie (0.9327) hit a 3 month low at 0.93 levels and unless it figures out how to exchange over 0.9350-60 soon, the bears may endeavor to push it down to 0.9250 levels. At this time, the whole more extensive band of 0.9250-0.9550 is grinding away.

 

Gold (1294.69) has additionally dropped after better US GDP turned out and the US values went down. Right now exchanging simply over 1292.8, it may head towards 1280.5. Long haul bearishness is still in power while underneath 1350-1400. Falling to1280-1260 appears a plausibility in the more extended run.

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Daily Outlook 30-07-2014

 

The advance estimate of US Q2 GDP may affect the Euro in a big way today as can the FOMC decision. With Dollar Index reaching close to the 8-10 months old supply zone in 81.40-50, anything is possible now including a short term top for the Dollar. Keep cautious tonight.

 

Euro (1.3411) is testing the 200 week MA and the FOMC decision today may decide if it will hold or not right now though Euro looks ready for a journey to 1.33 or 1.31 in the next few days. Any attempt to bounce will face supply from 1.3475-1.3500.

 

Dollar-Yen (102.12) is trading close to the resistance of 102.25-30 with no strong bias and the price action here may decide if it will rise towards 102.80 or return to 101.50-10 levels. Euro-Yen (136.97) is trading sideways in 1.3630-1.3730 on the back of equally weakening Euro and a weak Yen but it may still drop further if fails to overcome 1.3770 levels in the coming days.

 

Pound (1.6949) has created a Marubozu weekly candle with strong bearish implication in the short term. If the prior pattern is maintained, then this ongoing correction may end near 1.6890-75 levels before reversing for another new high.

 

Aussie (0.9381) has been rejected from the higher levels just as expected and the 5-week long band of 0.9320-0.9500 may continue for a few more days.

 

Gold (1299.63) is trading lower. The correction that started from 1345 is still not over and has some room on the downside towards 1280.5. Long term bearishness is still in force while below 1350-1400. Falling to1280-1260 seems a possibility in the longer run.

[bhinder1713006680]

Daily Outlook 4-08-2014

 

While the lower than anticipated US NFP information has debilitated the Dollar, the Indian Rupee holds up for the RBI meet tomorrow. About all the EM monetary standards are confronting solid backings, which must be broken to fortify the Dollar once more.

 

Euro (1.3418) ricocheted higher in opposition to desires yet to grow the bob, it must break over 1.3450. The ECB meet later this week may bring some short blanket however the significant pattern remains immovably down and set for lower targets.

 

Dollar-Yen (102.67) is exchanging the scope of 101-103 not surprisingly yet now it may in any case endeavor the troublesome ascent to 103.50-104 on the off chance that it figures out how to manage over 102.35-25. Euro-Yen (137.76) is merging in the larger amounts and may climb to test the safety zone of 1.3830-50, above which the way to 1.39 will open.

 

Pound (1.6825) has indicated the end of its 9-month long uptrend and now every restorative ascent may face offering weight at the larger amounts. A bob may be expected from this help band of 1.68-67, so watch out.

 

Aussie (0.9322) is stuck in the scope of 0.9350-0.9250 and unless it figures out how to break this extend, no drifting move will develop and sideways value activity may predominate.

 

Gold (1292.58) appears to climb now however unless it breaks 1300-1350, bearish weight would exist for some more of a chance. While beneath 1300 shots of a fall towards 1280-1260 still exists. Silver (20.36) is steady for the time being showing a fall towards 20.10. Gold-Silver proportion (63.462) has forcefully climbed and in the event that it breaks 63.82 it may focus on 64.9-65 levels indicating an ascent for the metals.

[bhinder1713006680]

Daily Outlook 5-08-2014

 

All the worldwide coinage are in an insensible mode with exceptionally thin extends with the ECM get meeting up and this unaltered situation may be thought about the Rupee as well, anticipating the RBI meet toward the beginning of today.

 

Euro (1.3418) is exchanging a scope of 20-30 pips yet to amplify the ricochet, it must break over 1.3450. The ECB meet later this week may bring some short blanket yet the real pattern remains solidly down and set for lower targets.

 

Dollar-Yen (102.56) is exchanging the scope of 101-103 obviously yet now it may in any case endeavor the troublesome ascent to 103.50-104 on the off chance that it figures out how to maintain over 102.35-25. Euro-Yen (137.63) is uniting in the larger amounts and may climb to test the safety range of 1.3830-50, above which the avenue to 1.39 will open.

 

Pound (1.6863) bobbed of course however may think that it hard to handle the safety at 1.6890-6900 now. It has indicated the end of its 9-month long uptrend and now every restorative ascent may face offering weight at the larger amounts.

 

Aussie (0.9323) is stuck in the scope of 0.9350-0.9250 and unless it figures out how to break this run, no inclining move will develop and sideways value activity may predominate.

 

Gold (1288.98) is battling in the 1280-1300 area. Force stays low and the metal may keep on remainning extent bound this week. 1280 has been a pivotal backing and we have to check whether it can throw the metal to larger amounts.

[bhinder1713006680]

Daily Outlook 6-08-2014

 

The Dollar quality is pushing the metals lower and may proceed with so in the close term indicating bearishness for the metals. Oil markets are additionally exchanging low.

 

Euro (1.3368) is experiencing its disappointment to break over 1.3450 and has hit a new low at 1.3356. Unless 1.3450 is broken soon, the likelihood of it arriving at the help range of 1.33 will be stronger.

 

Dollar-Yen (102.53) is exchanging the scope of 101-103 not surprisingly however now it may even now endeavor the troublesome ascent to 103.50-104 on the off chance that it figures out how to manage over 102.35-25. Euro-Yen (137.06) descended in opposition to desire on the once again of a debilitated Euro. It can hit 136.40-05 now if Euro keeps on falling.

 

Pound (1.6876) ricocheted obviously yet may think that it hard to handle the safety at 1.6890-6900 now. It has indicated the end of its 9-month long uptrend and now every remedial ascent may face offering weight at the larger amounts.

 

Aussie (0.9298) is stuck in the scope of 0.9350-0.9250 and unless it figures out how to break this run, no drifting move will develop and sideways value activity may win.

 

Gold (1289.63) is steady and exchanging a bit higher. We may see a few sideways union in the close term in the 1280-1300 area and unless this extent breaks further heading can’t be dead set. General long haul pattern is down.

[bhinder1713006680]

Daily Outlook 7-08-2014

 

Notwithstanding Italian retreat, awful Germany Factory Orders, sanctions against Russia and dangers of Russian attack into Ukraine, the skip seen in Euro has bewildered all the dealers. Maybe simply a show of alert from Euro-bears before the enormous occasion of ECB meet today? Maybe QE is not nearing today?

 

Euro (1.3386) has skiped pointedly from 1.3330, near our help region of 1.33 however 1.3450-75 would be an extremely extreme obstacle to handle. The ECB meet toward the evening would be the pattern decider today.

 

Dollar-Yen (102.18) is exchanging the scope of 101-103 yet lost the bullish catalyst to endeavor the troublesome ascent to 103.50-104.the reach bound value activity doesn’t look like consummation whenever soon. Euro-Yen (136.78) ricocheted once again in the wake of accomplishing our focus of 136.40-05 as it made a low at 136.16. On the off chance that Euro can develop the skip, this pair may hope to test the real safety territory around 138 by and by.

 

Pound (1.6856) tried 1.6820 levels after a sharp dismissal from 1.6890-6900 not surprisingly. The following course relies on upon the BOE choice today and it would be better not to conjecture before that occasion.

 

Aussie (0.9281) is experiencing a horrendous selloff as its Unemployment rate hits a 12-year high and the Labor Force information takes on at -300 against the normal 13500. The value activity at the long haul help zone of 0.9250-0.92 may focus the medium term course and pattern.

 

Gold (1307.15) shot up yesterday on flaring strains over Ukraine expanding the interest for the metal. Yet in the more drawn out run the conceivable Dollar quality over Euro may get to be bearish for Gold. Need to lie low if the ascent manages and takes it higher towards 1330 or returns to lower levels of 1290 in the advancing sessions.

 

Silver (20.089) likewise climbed after the ECB Meeting yesterday, additionally skipping from vital backing close to 19.7. On the off chance that the help holds we may see an ascent towards 20 once more. General quick pattern is down.

[bhinder1713006680]

Daily Outlook 8-08-2014

 

QE didn’t show up of course and the majors didn’t do anything altogether diverse. There is checked contrast with the values in this portion in regards to the value activities.

 

Euro (1.3362) didn’t find any course significantly after the ECM meet and is stuck in the restricted scope of 1.3330-90. Sit tight for a breakout to run with the fleeting stream. All the bigger patterns stay down.

 

Dollar-Yen (101.81) is exchanging the scope of 101-103 yet lost the bullish catalyst to endeavor the troublesome ascent to 103.50-104.the extent bound value activity doesn’t look like closure whenever soon. Euro-Yen (136.01) is trying the real help zone of 136.00-135.75 after the Euro debilitated. A break underneath 135.75 would mean a conceivable adventure towards 134 levels.

 

Pound (1.6812) tried 1.68 levels after a sharp dismissal from 1.6890-6900 obviously. The BOE meet couldn’t influence the pattern or course in any critical way and all ricochets ought to be restricted to 1.69 levels in this firm downtrend.

 

Aussie (0.9256) is experiencing a horrible selloff as its Unemployment rate hits a 12-year high and the Labor Force information takes a swing at -300 against the normal 13500. The value activity at the long haul help zone of 0.9250-0.92 may focus the medium term heading and pattern.

 

Gold (1316.02) is climbing pointedly and if that maintains, it may focus on 1340-1350 in the close term. This may be an impermanent ascent and we might soon see a fall towards 1300 from 1340-1350 levels. Gold-WTI degree (13.48) is trying urgent safety close to 13.5 and that may push it towards 13-12.5 in the close term. That may indicate a bearish Gold perhaps after a few sessions.