riki143 Posted June 25, 2015 Report Share Posted June 25, 2015 Forex Analytics Danske Bank: trade signals for June 25 Open positions:* EUR/USD: Hold SHORT at 1.1235, TAKE PROFIT 1.1082, STOP LOSS 1.1301 USD/JPY: Hold LONG at 123.75, TAKE PROFIT 125.05, STOP LOSS 123.53 GBP/USD: Hold LONG at 1.5710, TAKE PROFIT 1.5930, STOP LOSS 1.5643 USD/CHF: Hold LONG at 0.9282, TAKE PROFIT 0.9438, STOP LOSS 0.9245 EUR/GBP: Hold SHORT at 0.7211, TAKE PROFIT 0.7014, STOP LOSS 0.7271 EUR/CHF: Hold LONG at 1.0450, TAKE PROFIT 1.0591, STOP LOSS 1.0395 EUR/CAD: Hold LONG at 1.3850, TAKE PROFIT 1.4225, STOP LOSS 1.3690 GBP/JPY: Hold LONG at 191.00, TAKE PROFIT 197.45, STOP LOSS 193.42 NZD/USD: Hold SHORT at 0.6970, TAKE PROFIT 0.6795, STOP LOSS 0.6945 USD/CAD: Hold LONG at 1.2285, TAKE PROFIT 1.2473, STOP LOSS 1.2275 Trade signals: EUR/JPY: BUY at 138.51, TAKE PROFIT 140.16, STOP LOSS 137.90 AUD/USD: SELL at 0.7794, TAKE PROFIT 0.7533, STOP LOSS 0.7859 _________________________________________________________ *Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price) More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5586 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted June 26, 2015 Report Share Posted June 26, 2015 Forex Analytics Forex trading plan for June 26 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ETFceV2Y-2k EUR/USD is fluctuating around 1.1200 as traders await news from Greece. It looks like the negotiators will take their time. On Friday there will be the second day of the EU Economic summit. Before that there will be more discussions and press conferences on Thursday evening. German finance minister Schaeuble said that Greece has actually moved backwards and that no progress has been made so far and that the difference between two sides has become larger. The key differences are over pensions and other budget cuts. On the other hand, EU’s Moscovici said the creditors agree with Greece on some aspects of reform proposals. Support lies at 1.1150 ahead of 1.1050. The pound was supported on Thursday as the US dollar remained held by the hopes about Greece. Yet, there’s strong resistance for GBP/USD in the 1.5800 area. Support is at 1.5640 and 1.5593 ahead of 1.5550. The Bank of England’s Governor Carney will speak at 14:15 GMT. USD/JPY is trading sideways. The latest US economic releases have been mildly positive for the greenback, but the yen is supported because of uncertainty about Greece. Keep an eye on Japanese inflation data due early on Friday: figures are expected to be weak and may lead to some USD buying. Still, there’s resistance in the 124.40/60 area ahead of 125.00. Support is at 123.20 and 122.45. The US will release revised consumer sentiment figures at 14:00 GMT on Friday. AUD/USD has some support above 0.7700/0.7680. Resistance is at 0.7795/0.7800 and 0.7850. The near-term outlook for the pair looks neutral. No important releases are planned in Australia. NZD/USD recovered from 5-year lows, but New Zealand’s trade balance data if shows deficit may hamper the rebound. Resistance is at 0.6940 and 0.7000. Support is at 0.6850. More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5592 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted June 26, 2015 Report Share Posted June 26, 2015 Forex Analytics USD: forecast for June 29 - July 5 Economic data released in America during the past week was mildly encouraging for the greenback. According to the revised figures, the US economy contracted in Q1, but not as strongly as initially estimated. American housing market showed improvement, while consumer spending recorded its largest increase in nearly 6 years in May, further evidence that economic growth was accelerating in Q2. However, we didn’t see big moves in USD as trading activity plunged because of uncertainty about Greece. Once a solution in Greece is reached, traders will switch back to the monetary policy divergence. This should help the US currency strengthen against the euro and the Japanese yen as despite cautious comments from the Federal Reserve this month, the market still expects it to raise borrowing costs sometime toward the end of the year, long before central banks in Europe and Japan make similar moves. Next week we’ll be once again looking at the most volatile component of the US labor market – Non-Farm Employment change indicator which will be released on Thursday. Also watch American consumer confidence on Tuesday and ISM Manufacturing PMI on Wednesday. More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5596 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted June 26, 2015 Report Share Posted June 26, 2015 Forex Analytics EUR/USD: forecast for June 29 - July 5 Euro zone’s finance ministers failed again to reach an agreement about Greece on Thursday. The talks will resume on Saturday, June 27. According to German Chancellor Angela Merkel, it’s “crucial” to finally get the deal this time. For now the biggest problem in negotiations is that Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsypras refuses to cut pensions. However, if Tsypras accepts more austerity, he may lose support of the parliament and will have to seek a fresh mandate. There are 2 scenarios ahead: either the Eurogroup secures a bailout for Greece and helps it avert default or it starts developing measures to protect the euro area from the financial market turmoil. Greek government has to repay 1.6 billion euro to the IMF on Tuesday. Note that German parliament has to ratify any changes first before paying for a bailout. Taking all into account the negotiations that will take place during the weekend, we can expect a volatile opening on Monday. EUR/USD stabilized between in the 1.12 area ahead of the news. Support is at 1.1050 and then at 1.0965 and 1.0825. Resistance is at 1.1300, 1.1465 and 1.1665. In our view, even in case of a Greek relief, the euro’s rally will be short-lived and will represent an opportunity to open short positions. As for the euro area’s economic calendar, it’s not very full, pay attention to flash inflation data on Tuesday. More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5598 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted June 26, 2015 Report Share Posted June 26, 2015 Forex Analytics USD/JPY: forecast for June 29 - July 5 USD/JPY keeps trading in a sideways range between 124.50 on theupside and 122.50 on the downside. The minutes of the Bank of Japan’s meeting brought no new surprises to the markets. Inflation in Japan remained subdued. This should keep alive expectations for more Bank of Japan’s stimulus later this year and make traders continue buying dollar/yen on the dips. Demand for the yen as a safe haven is capping the pair. Dollar/yen lacks drivers from the Fed for a rally. The market’s risk sentiment will be the central topic next week with the Greek issue still open and other important events like the end of Iran’s nuclear program talks on June 30. Until Greece gets funds to repay the IMF, USD/JPY will remain under pressure. If Greece defaults, we will likely see a selloff in dollar/yen. Important support lies at 122.45 (June lows). Below that support lies at 122.00 and 121.45. Resistance is in the 124.40/60 area ahead of 125.00. More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5597 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted June 29, 2015 Report Share Posted June 29, 2015 Forex Analytics Danske Bank: trade signals for June 29 Open positions:* EUR/USD: Hold SHORT at 1.1235, TAKE PROFIT 1.0887 (revised), STOP LOSS 1.1140 (revised) GBP/USD: Hold LONG at 1.5710, TAKE PROFIT 1.5930 (revised), STOP LOSS 1.5643 USD/CHF: Hold LONG at 0.9370, TAKE PROFIT 0.9573, STOP LOSS 0.9278 AUD/USD: Hold SHORT at 0.7645, TAKE PROFIT 0.7451, STOP LOSS 0.7739 USD/CAD: Hold LONG at 1.2285, TAKE PROFIT 1.2473 OBJ (revised), STOP LOSS 1.2275 (revised) EUR/GBP: Hold SHORT at 0.7211, TAKE PROFIT 0.6962 (revised), STOP LOSS 0.7079 (revised) EUR/CHF: Hold LONG at 1.0450, STOP LOSS 1.0395 NZD/USD: Hold SHORT at 0.6970, TAKE PROFIT 0.6675 (revised), STOP LOSS 0.6929 (revised) Trade ideas: EUR/CAD: Possibly SELL USD/JPY: Possibly SELL EUR/JPY: Possibly SELL GBP/JPY: Possibly BUY __________________________________________________________ *Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price) More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5616 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted June 29, 2015 Report Share Posted June 29, 2015 MARKET NEWS Key option levels 29 June 2015 FXBAZOOKA.com - Market prices tend to move towards the strike price at the time large vanilla options (ordinary put and call options) expire. It happens (all things equal) as each side of the deal seeks to hedge its risk exposure. This action is most noticeable ahead of 10 a.m. New York time when the majority of options expire (15:00 GMT). Here are the key options expiring today: EUR/USD: 1.0945/50 (EUR 420m), 1.1100 (666m); GBP/USD: 1.5800 (GBP 183m); USD/CAD: 1.2430 (USD 220m); AUD/USD: 0.7670/75 (240m); NZD/USD: 0.6840 (NZD 366m), 0.6875 (363m), 0.6890 (180m); EUR/JPY: 137.00 (225m). More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/2987 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted June 30, 2015 Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 Forex Analytics Forex trading plan for June 30 Kira Iukhtenko https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ab9I5fb_UHM The financial market is being dominated by the two major topics on Monday: the “Greek issue” and the Chinese stock market. As a result, the market turned into a risk-off mode. The majority of the global stock markets have spent the day in the red zone, while the US Dollar index fell from 96.60. Watch the consumer confidence index in the US on Tuesday. EUR/USD opened the day with a large bearish gap at 1.1000, but managed to close it during the day. Euro left the downbeat German CPI (-0.1% in June) with almost no attention. On Tuesday, watch the euro zone’s June CPI. The Greek question will stay on the center stage tomorrow: the indebted country has to pay 1.6 bln euros to the IMF tomorrow. Greece could face a technical default or get an extended aid program. High degree of uncertainty and nervousness persists. A negative scenario would let EUR/USD fix below 1.1050 and pave the ground to the next support at 1.0820. Resistance is now seen at 1.1230. GBP/USD followed its European counterpart, recovering from 1.5660 to 1.5720. The pair is trading in a short-term sideways channel, we expect it to be broken to the downside. Resistance at 1.5760, 1.5800 and 1.5900. The cable is expected to stay below this area in the coming days. Our near-term bearish target is seen at 1.5550. As for the economic calendar, watch the UK current account, final GDP and the MPC’s Haldane speech on Tuesday. As for the commodity block currencies, watch the NZD business confidence index and and the RBA Governor Stevens speech tomorrow. Despite the recent China’s National Bank rate cut, the commodity currencies remain at risk on the back of the Greek woes. More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5621 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted June 30, 2015 Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 Forex Analytics EUR/NZD: buy target - 1.6600 30 June 2015 By: Dima Chernovolov -EUR/NZD reached buy targets 1.6200 and 1.6400 -Next buy target - 1.6600 EUR/NZD recently corrected down after the price reached both of the buy targets set in our previous forecast for this currency pair - 1.6200 and 1.6400. The price corrected down to the support zone lying between the round support level 1.6000 and the 61.8% Fibonacci Correction of the previous upward impulse from the start of June. The pair subsequently reversed up sharply from this support zone and continues to rise at the moment. EUR/NZD is likely to rise further inside the active minor impulse wave 3 toward the next buy target 1.6600 (which stopped the earlier impulse (i)). http://fxbazooka.com/upload/freelance/tiny/DIMA%20CHE/EURNZD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Jun-30%201016%20AM%20(1%20day).png More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5626 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted June 30, 2015 Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 Forex Analytics GBP/NZD: buy targets – 2.3270 and 2.3550 30 June 2015 By: Dima Chernovolov -GBP/NZD reversed from support zone -Next buy targets – 2.3270 and 2.3550 GBP/NZD recently reversed up from the support zone surrounding the support level 2.2600 (former resistance level which was set as the buy target in our previous forecast for this pair, acting as support now after it was broken by the previous minor impulse wave 3). The upward reversal from this support zone completed the earlier minor correction 4 – starting the active impulse wave 5 (of the 5th intermediate impulse (5) from May). GBP/NZD is likely to rise further in the active impulse waves 5, (5) and ③ toward the next buy targets 2.3270 and 2.3550. http://fxbazooka.com/upload/freelance/tiny/DIMA%20CHE/GBPNZD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Jun-30%201021%20AM%20(1%20day).png More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5627 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted June 30, 2015 Report Share Posted June 30, 2015 Forex Analytics Forex trading plan for July 1 Greece remains the center topic for all traders. German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that the deadline for Greece’s bailout runs out at midnight on July 1. Still, the negotiations are expected to continue in the days ahead. EUR/USD is trading in 1.1250/1.1135 area. Support is at 1.1050 and 1.0960. Resistance is at 1.1280, 1.1380 and 1.1465. USD/JPY met support line since summer 2014. The key support is at 122.00, further support levels lie at 121.85 and 121.55. Strong resistance is at 123.20. Uncertainty about Greece maintains demand for the yen as a safe haven and limits the pair’s advance. In addition, comments from the Bank of Japan’s policymakers have diminished the likelihood of further monetary stimulus in Japan. On Wednesday, July 1, the US will release ADP employment report at 12:15 GMT and ISM manufacturing PMI at 14:00 GMT. The forecasts are quite optimistic. GBP/USD is sideways in range between 1.5660 and 1.5810. On the downside there are several support levels – 1.5638 and 1.5550. Resistance, however, will come only at 1.5930 (June 18 high). Britain will release manufacturing PMI at 08:30 GMT, and the Bank of England’s Governor Carney will speak at 09:30 GMT. AUD/USD rose to 0.7725, but met resistance of the 100- and 55-period MAs on H4. Aussie was supported by monetary easing in China. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens showed no new concerns over the Chinese economy on Tuesday. A bunch of Chinese and Australian statistics is due early on Wednesday. The forecasts are rather positive. Further resistance is at 0.7765 and 0.7800. Support is at 0.7650. More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5632 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 1, 2015 Report Share Posted July 1, 2015 Forex Analytics Danske Bank: trade signals for July 1 Open positions:* GBP/USD: Hold LONG at 1.5710, TAKE PROFIT 1.5930, STOP LOSS 1.5643 EUR/JPY: Hold SHORT at 137.50, TAKE PROFIT 133.10, STOP LOSS 138.15 GBP/JPY: Hold LONG at 191.90, TAKE PROFIT 195.88, STOP LOSS 191.15 NZD/USD: Hold SHORT at 0.6970, TAKE PROFIT 0.6675, STOP LOSS 0.6886 Trade ideas: EUR/CAD: BUY at 1.3805, TAKE PROFIT 1.4163, STOP LOSS 1.3730 EUR/USD: Possibly BUY USD/JPY: Possibly SELL USD/CHF: Possibly SELL AUD/USD: Possibly SELL USD/CAD: Possibly BUY EUR/GBP: Possibly SELL EUR/CHF: Possibly SELL ____________________________________________________________ *Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price) More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5644 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 2, 2015 Report Share Posted July 2, 2015 Forex Analytics Forex trading plan for July 2 By Kira Iukhtenko https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjHjBm64dws The greenback strengthened after the strong data releases in the United States. According to ADP, June Non-farm payrolls came out at 237K, this is well above the forecasts. As a result, the market sentiment improved ahead of the official labor market data release on Thursday (NFP forecast: 231K). EUR/USD extended the decline following the US releases.The Greek question remains unclear: technically, the country has entered the default zone yesterday, but negotiations continue.ECB head Mario Draghi will deliver a speech on Thursday. Technically, EUR/USD holds above the major 1.1050 area. Market hopes for a Greek solution continue supporting the currency. Resistance is now seen at 1.1155. Fix below 1.1050 would open the way for a rapid decline to 1.0820. GBP/USD slipped to a 2-month low around 1.5600 on Wednesday. A range of factors pressures the cable: Greek problem, weak UK manufacturing PMI and BOE Carney’s dovish comments. Watch the UK Construction PMI tomorrow. Safe haven assets stay in demand, but USD/JPY surged to 123.00 on the US figures. We are trading in a sideways 122.00 – 124.50 range. There is an open gap left (bullish sign). However, any bad news from Greece will rapidly pull the pair down. In Japan there are no important releases left this week. More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5648 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 2, 2015 Report Share Posted July 2, 2015 Forex Analytics Forex trading plan for July 3 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zvFuRE77BJY US labor market data disappointed those who wanted to price in more of the potential Federal Reserve rate hike. Non-farm payrolls 223K (forecast: +231K). The previous reading was revised down from 280K to 254K. Unemployment rate declined more than expected, but wage growth stagnated that makes the Fed’s policy tightening difficult. On Friday US banks will be closed in observance of the Independence Day. Lower amount of liquidity will make trading more volatile. Weaker US figures helped to keep EUR/USD above the 100-day MA in the 1.1040 area. Resistance is at 1.1136 and 1.1200. According to the opinion polls, most Greeks prepare to say ‘No’ to the austerity measures on the referendum this Sunday (about 40% compared to 37% for ‘Yes’). Note, though that since Greek banks were closed for emergency holidays the number of those who supports the position of Alexis Tsipras’ government has declined (from 57% for ‘No’ vote). The ECB President Mario Draghi may offer clues on how Greece affects QE as he speaks at 15:10 GMT on Thursday. GBP/USD has support at 1.5550. Resistance is at 1.5685 and 1.5735. The UK will release services PMI at 08:30 GMT. USD/JPY recoiled down from June resistance line in the 123.70 area and will likely return to 122.50. AUD/USD once again found support just below 0.7600. Resistance is at 0.7650 and 0.7700. Australia will release retail sales at 01:30 GMT (forecast +0.5% vs. previous reading of 0.0%). More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5660 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 3, 2015 Report Share Posted July 3, 2015 Forex Analytics EUR/AUD: buy target - 1.4760 3 July 2015 By: Dmitriy Chernovolov -EUR/AUD reversed from pivotal support level 1.4440 -Next buy target - 1.4760 EUR/AUD continues to rise after the recent upward reversal from the pivotal support level 1.4440 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of June, as you can see below). The support zone near 1.4440 was strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band, the support trendline of the daily up channel from April and by the 38.2% Fibonacci Correction of the previous upward impulse from May. EUR/AUD is likely to rise further toward the next buy target at the resistance level 1.4760 (which stopped the previous intermediate correction (2) in June). http://fxbazooka.com/upload/freelance/tiny/DIMA%20CHE/EURAUD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Jul-03%200951%20AM%20(1%20day).png More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5663 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 3, 2015 Report Share Posted July 3, 2015 Forex Analytics EUR/GPB: buy target – 0.7200 3 July 2015 By: Dmitriy Chernovolov -EUR/GPB reversed from strong support zone -Next buy target – 0.7200 EUR/GPB recently reversed up sharply from the powerful support zone located between the support levels 0.7060 and 0.7000 (this support also previously reversed the sharp primary impulse wave ① in March, as you can see below). The strength of this support zone is also indicated by the clear bullish divergence that can be seen on the daily Momentum indicator. Given the strength of the aforementioned support zone, EUR/GPB can be expected to rise further toward the next buy target at the resistance level 0.7200. http://fxbazooka.com/upload/freelance/tiny/DIMA%20CHE/EURGBP%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Jul-03%201002%20AM%20(1%20day).png More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5664 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 5, 2015 Report Share Posted July 5, 2015 Forex Analytics GBP/USD: forecast for July 6-12 Kira Iukhtenko GBP/USD declined for a second consecutive week in a row. The pair was pressured by the dovish BOE comments – according to the BOE Governor Marc Carney, the rate could stay low for “some time”. What’s more, the Greek factor remains a nuisance for the pound. Any negative developments in Greece over the weekend will send the cable lower on Monday. GBP/USD is forming a bearish wedge on the weekly chart. It could be broken to the downside in the coming days. Major support lies at 1.5500. We’ll remain bearish below 1.5900. On the new week, the market dynamics will depend on the Greek story and on the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday. As for the UK releases, watch the annual budget release on Wednesday and the BOE meeting on Thursday. http://fxbazooka.com/upload/tiny/Analytics/2015/July/02/GBPUSDDaily%20-%20July%203.png More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5666 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 5, 2015 Report Share Posted July 5, 2015 Forex Analytics EUR/USD: forecast for July 6-12 By Elizabeth Belugina Greece remains in the limelight. The nation missed a 1.5 billion euro repayment to the IMF on June 30 and went into a technical default. Greek authorities surprised the market by announcing referendum on austerity measures on Sunday, July 5. In case of a “Yes” vote the current government of Alexis Tsipras might resign and the technocratic authorities will be appointed to secure a deal with creditors. If the Greeks say “No” as Tsipras is urging them to, Greece’s financial system will collapse and it will likely have to leave the euro area. The results of the opinion polls change from day to day. On the one hand, the nation’s population is tired of spending cuts and other tough measures. On the other hand, people are afraid of the turmoil which will start if they reject bailout. http://fxbazooka.com/upload/tiny/Analytics/2015/June/23/Greek%20referendum.png The biggest risk for Greece is the poor state of its banking system. Greek banks stayed shut during the past week and are to reopen on Tuesday, July 7. However, the lenders are running out of money. Greek companies have serious troubles with import. All in all, the prospects of the euro look grim regardless of the outcome of the Greek vote. The “No” vote will make EUR/USD go down to 1.0800 and probably lower. The “Yes” vote may provoke a spike in the euro to 1.1350/1.1550. Here investors will once again start selling the euro, because political problems won’t end here. Don’t forget that Greece has to pay 3.5 billion euro to the ECB on July 20. This won’t let the relief last long. http://fxbazooka.com/upload/tiny/Analytics/2015/June/23/EURUSD.png More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5671 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 5, 2015 Report Share Posted July 5, 2015 Forex Analytics USD/JPY: forecast fot July 6-12 By Elizabeth Belugina As expected, USD/JPY had a volatile week. Risk sentiment was negative because of the uncertain future of Greece and decline in Chinese stocks. The pair was also moved by the economic data from America: there were good figures on Wednesday, but disappointing labor market figures on Thursday. At the same time, the NFP was still above 200K. As a result, many players will continue expecting the Federal Reserve’s rate hike in September. Next week Japan’s economic calendar will be rather empty. We can only pick out current account on Wednesday and core machinery orders on Thursday. It’s more important to watch the minutes of the Fed’s June meeting due on Wednesday. The start of the week will be determined by the outcome of the Greek bailout vote: we may see another opening gap. The closer Greece is to leaving the euro area, the stronger will be negative pressure on the US dollar versus the yen. Technically USD/JPY is forming a wedge-like descending trend which will remain corrective as long as the pair is above the 122.00/121.75/121.55 zone. Here the pair will be supported by the daily Ichimoku Cloud, so the bulls will defend these levels with much force. Further support is at 120.95 and 120.50. On the daily chart the pair formed the bullish “hammer” on Tuesday, but a bearish “shooting star” on Thursday. On the upside resistance is at 123.50/70 and the key one at 124.46/50 which guards the way to June highs at 125.85. http://fxbazooka.com/upload/tiny/Analytics/2015/June/23/USDJPY.png More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5672 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 5, 2015 Report Share Posted July 5, 2015 Forex Analytics US dollar: forecast for July 6-12 Kira Iukhtenko Mixed labor market data on Thursday capped the US Dollar growth. May Non-farm payrolls came out at 223K – this is solid result. Unemployment fell to 5.3% - this is the lowest level since 2008. However, wage growth and labor participation rate disappointed to the downside. All in all the employment figures still leave a September rate hike on the table. However, the Fed still needs to see the June data to confirm a positive trend. The Greek drama remains a “dark horse” for the market. Further negative developments in Greece will likely postpone the Fed’s rate hike expectations. According to the CME data, the futures market reflects only a 12% rate hike chance for September and a 49% chance for December. However, the picture could change dramatically after the FOMC meeting minutes release on Wednesday, July 8. We could get some bullish surprises out of there. You should also watch the US non-manufacturing PMI and trade balance on the new week. More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5667 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 6, 2015 Report Share Posted July 6, 2015 MARKET NEWS Euro hit by the Greek "No" vote 6 July 2015 On Monday, the market attention is glued to the euro zone’s internal issues. Probability of the Greek exit from the Eurozone surged after 61% of the Greek voters rejected the austerity measures on the referendum on Sunday. European leaders will hold emergent meetings on Monday and on Tuesday to discuss the new options. Meanwhile, the Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis stepped down, citing the creditors’ unwillingness to involve him in further negotiations. Level of uncertainty remains very high. The euro crosses gapped lower on the news, but have recovered some ground in the early trade. EUR/USD opened with a 115 pips bearish gap at 1.0990 before recovering to 1.1090. Traders should be monitoring developments in the euro zone with plenty of news to come. Meanwhile in China, stock market paused its decline due to the aggressive governmental intervention. The People’s Bank of China committed to support the brokerage houses with liquidity. As a result, China’s 21 largest brokerages announced they are buying stocks on the market to prevent a new market drop. More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/3035 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 7, 2015 Report Share Posted July 7, 2015 Forex Analytics Forex trading plan for July 7 Kira Iukhtenko Market attention is glued to Greece at the beginning of the new week. Greek people voted against the austerity measures on Sunday. As a result, market expectations for Grexit surged. EU authorities will hold an emergency meeting on Tuesday to discuss the options available on the table. The next deadline for Greece comes on July 20. The country owes 2.5 bln euros to ECB. EUR/USD opened the week with a bearish gap below 1,1000, but closed it when the dust settled a little bit. The market still believes that the Greek crisis could be resolved with negotiations. Euro met resistance at the 100-hor MA below 1,1100, however. Support is seen at 1,1030 and 1,0950. Market dynamics on Tuesday will be defined by the Greek-related headlines. GBP/USD also managed to close the morning gap, recovering above1,5600 on the weak US non-manufacturing PMI. Watch the UK manufacturing production figures tomorrow (forecast – positive). Watch the trend resistance at 1,5680, however. We remain bearish below 1,5900. USD/JPY tested the 122,00 support in Asia, but regained ground rather quickly. Resistance – 123,40 and 123,70, support - 121,80. AUD/USD dipped to a 6-year high at0,7460 on Monday,but crawled back into the green zone. RBA meeting will be held on Tuesday – no rate cut expected. As for the United States, don’t miss the May trade balance on Tuesday and the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday. More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5692 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 7, 2015 Report Share Posted July 7, 2015 Forex Analytics GBP/AUD: buy target - 2.1000 7 July 2015 By: Dmitriy Chernovolov -GBP/AUD reached buy target 2.0550 -Next buy target - 2.1000 GBP/AUD recently broke sharply above the resistance level 2.0550, which was set as the buy target in our previous technical analysis report for this currency pair. The breakout of this resistance level greatly accelerated the active minor impulse wave (v) – which belongs to the 3rd minor impulse 3 from the start of May. GBP/AUD is likely to rise further in the active impulse wave 3 toward the next buy target at the resistance level 2.1000 (intersecting with the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from May). Strong support remains at 2.0550. http://fxbazooka.com/upload/freelance/tiny/DIMA%20CHE/GBPAUD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Jul-07%201011%20AM%20(1%20day).png More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5696 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 7, 2015 Report Share Posted July 7, 2015 Forex Analytics USD/CAD: buy target – 1.2800 7 July 2015 By: Dmitriy Chernovolov -USD/CAD reached buy targets 1.2560 and 1.2650 -Next buy target – 1.2800 USD/CAD has been rising strongly in the last few trading sessions – breaking through the resistance levels 1.2560 and 1.2650 – both of which were set as the buy targets in our previous forecast for this currency pair. Each of these resistance breakouts intensified the bullish pressure on this currency pair - accelerating the active minor impulse wave 3 – which belongs to the 3rd intermediate impulse (3) from last month. USD/CAD is likely to rise further inside the active accelerated impulse waves 3 and (3) toward the next buy target at the strong resistance level 1.2800 (which reversed previous waves 3, (5) and (B) in March). http://fxbazooka.com/upload/freelance/tiny/DIMA%20CHE/USDCAD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Jul-07%201014%20AM%20(1%20day).png More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5697 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted July 8, 2015 Report Share Posted July 8, 2015 Forex Analytics Forex trading plan for July 8 Kira Iukhtenko https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTHOeafhiAk USD Index jumped above the 97 mark on Tuesday as the Greek issue leaves the market worried. For now, no decision on Greece has been made. Another risk factor for the market is the Chinese stock market collapse. Investors are seeking the safe currencies, such as the US dollar and the yen. EUR/USD fell to 1.0910 amid the increased uncertainty. The market is trying to fix below the important support at 1.1050. We could see a quick drop to 1.0820 if no solution is found on the Tuesday’s EU summit. Euro zone’s economic calendar is empty until the end of the week, so all eyes on Greece and on the US data. GBP/USD followed the euro, slipping to 1.5420. Road to 1.5200 is now open, resistance lies at 1.5500. UK manufacturing figures added to the market pessimism on Tuesday. On Wednesday UK will release its’ renewed annual budget. AUD/USD is testing fresh 6-year lows around 0.7400. Reserve Bank of Australia left monetary policy unchanged today. However, the Chinese stock collapse and the falling iron ore prices make us believe a rate cut is yet to come. We target 0.7000 in the coming weeks. USD/JPY returned to the 122.00 as investors are in love with the safe assets today. Support is seen at – 121.80. Be careful – the Bank of Japan is not interested in an excessive yen’s strength. Resistance – 123.40. Watch the FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT. The release will likely influence the market. More: http://fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/5703 Quote http://www.99fortuneforex.tk/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.