ian_arifin Posted September 13, 2012 Report Share Posted September 13, 2012 Money continues to flow out of defensive and into cyclical stocks This week's market moves will be focused on headlines from Eurozone, with Dutch election and German Constitutional Court ruling on European Stability Mechanism. Market expects a POSITIVE outcome on Europe on both events in order to keep sentimen in bull's camp! Fed will not act before US elections so DO NOT EXPECT any form of QE!! (Got this free idea from Saxo www.tradingfloor.com) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kristianto Posted September 21, 2012 Author Report Share Posted September 21, 2012 Looks like there is QE3 up until 2015. Short USD and expect low interest rates. I think Dow will fly for the short term, but once the market rationalises, it will correct quite heavily. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fxboard Posted September 23, 2012 Report Share Posted September 23, 2012 i think we will see dow near 14000 for the end of the year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sepa Posted September 28, 2012 Report Share Posted September 28, 2012 The Dow continues to confound. Despite lacklustre US economic perrformance, it keeps going up. True, corporate profits have been good, if mixed, but I don't think it can last. Europe's woes, contraction in Asia and the US's own debt problems don't justify market optimism looking forward. US markets always surge in election years. QE3 might also help it along, though I suspect that is a game of ever-diminishing returns. Tech stocks are driving most of the optimism, and the NASDAQ is looking like a bubble to me. I'm very doubtful the DOW can push through all-time highs of 2007, though it might get close and 14000 does look possible. My prediction: US stock indexes will keep edging up (assuming Europe doesn't implode anytime soon) until the elections, then stall, before a major fall 2013 when the fiscal cliff is hit. That's when I'll be shorting futures, and waiting for the bottom to buy back into stocks. Disclosure: I'm a bear and not optimistic the west can sort out its economic mess anytime soon. Apart from some defensive, high dividend stocks, I try not to hold stocks long-term anymore. If I'm up 10% after a few weeks, I'm looking to sell. It means I miss out on some good runs, but I don't trust greed anymore. callahan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
callahan Posted November 20, 2012 Report Share Posted November 20, 2012 The Dow continues to confound. Despite lacklustre US economic perrformance, it keeps going up. True, corporate profits have been good, if mixed, but I don't think it can last. Europe's woes, contraction in Asia and the US's own debt problems don't justify market optimism looking forward. US markets always surge in election years. QE3 might also help it along, though I suspect that is a game of ever-diminishing returns. Tech stocks are driving most of the optimism, and the NASDAQ is looking like a bubble to me. I'm very doubtful the DOW can push through all-time highs of 2007, though it might get close and 14000 does look possible. My prediction: US stock indexes will keep edging up (assuming Europe doesn't implode anytime soon) until the elections, then stall, before a major fall 2013 when the fiscal cliff is hit. That's when I'll be shorting futures, and waiting for the bottom to buy back into stocks. Disclosure: I'm a bear and not optimistic the west can sort out its economic mess anytime soon. Apart from some defensive, high dividend stocks, I try not to hold stocks long-term anymore. If I'm up 10% after a few weeks, I'm looking to sell. It means I miss out on some good runs, but I don't trust greed anymore. Well spoken. I aint being any expert but the global economy has been forecast since years ago that it can't keep goin' the way it's been goin' forever. A debt creatin' money system (Reserve Banks) and many other factors of course contributin' to the present situation of which can be referred to as "yes... the cracks are now startin' to show". Respectfully, Callahan <):) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew Norman Posted November 29, 2012 Report Share Posted November 29, 2012 There is still a push up on the Dow Jones. Here's a good chart that shows the bigger picture. http://bullandbearmash.com/chart/dow-jones-daily-swings-220-points-closes-100/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sixer Posted November 29, 2012 Report Share Posted November 29, 2012 AN, do you need subscribers for your site ?? Sixer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kristianto Posted December 21, 2012 Author Report Share Posted December 21, 2012 new year rally is here! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ian_arifin Posted December 26, 2012 Report Share Posted December 26, 2012 Market Review: Persistent worries about the US “fiscal cliff” SaxoBank UK, Saxo Capital Markets UK Forex: EUR trading mostly higher The EUR is trading higher against the USD and the JPY. Investors are keeping a close eye on developments concerning the outcome of the US budget talks after the House Republican leaders earlier cancelled a vote on a “Plan B” to avert the “fiscal cliff”. Market participants are expected to remain on the sidelines amid a holiday week and few economic releases globally. The EUR is trading 0.3 percent and 0.2 percent and 0.6 percent higher against the USD, the GBP and the JPY, respectively. The AUD has lost 0.1 percent versus the USD. US Stocks: Futures trading lower The Dow Jones futures have lost 0.2 percent and are trading at 13105, while the S&P 500 futures have declined 0.3 percent to trade at 1422.3 as cautious investors await the year-end outcome of the US "fiscal cliff" deal. Alexza Pharmaceuticals (ALXA) tumbled 10.2 percent in the after hours trading session on Friday, despite its announcement that the US Food and Drug Administration has given approval for Adasuve, its treatment for schizophrenia and bipolar disorder. Approval of a buy back plan of around USD 30.0 million worth of American Depositary Shares from its board of directors led Pactera Technology International (PACT) to advance 3.3 percent in the after hours trading session on Friday. Macro Update Japan’s Abe pressurises the Bank of Japan to adopt a new inflation target House prices in the UK continue to decline in December US President, Barack Obama, presses for a smaller “fiscal cliff” deal Surplus “possible” if economy delivers, says Australian trade minister Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PQL111 Posted January 21, 2013 Report Share Posted January 21, 2013 Still the best trade is to long SP500 and short Nikket 225 gaining the net profit. The U.S engine is real and strong this time around, so be aware as trading is to continue strong here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kat33 Posted April 9, 2019 Report Share Posted April 9, 2019 Dow Jones is near all-time highs. I think the Dow will be moving in a wide channel now. Stochastic is almost overbought. That speaks in favor of a turn down, near the highs of 27000. Weekly Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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