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In my opinion , the 40 and 80 EMA is ok to follow but the entry trigger (CCI) is just too lagging. The problem with lagging entries is that your risk is much2 bigger than your reward.

How obvious it may sound, people tend to always ignore this fact.

 

Try testing other entries such as "M" , "W" , TL , divergence , candlesticks or any PA triggers and then stick to which you are comfortable with. Just sharing my opinion. Good day.

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In my opinion , the 40 and 80 EMA is ok to follow but the entry trigger (CCI) is just too lagging. The problem with lagging entries is that your risk is much2 bigger than your reward.

How obvious it may sound, people tend to always ignore this fact.

 

Try testing other entries such as "M" , "W" , TL , divergence , candlesticks or any PA triggers and then stick to which you are comfortable with. Just sharing my opinion. Good day.

 

 

 

I agree 100% of your observation.

 

In addition, employing this kind simple trend following system, your account will get killed in a choppy or ranging market. Be very careful. The market will only trend in less than 30% of the time.

 

Just using two simple MA and a CCI will not show you the market is ranging or trending. Simply using the MA slope for trending determination is rather simple-minded and frustrating at best, because the MA slope can change its direction the very next bar.

 

So, be very careful about any "trend following system". People using this kind of strategy will only show you the "text" book example in an extremely smooth trending market. They will never show you the other 70% of the time when the market is ranging. Besides, hindsight is always 20-20.

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I like the simple strategy of the system but you can ad a couple of indicator to get the ranging market indication and trade only the 30% of the time like you kerberos007 said. 40/80 MAs are to slow to show the end of a trend. Employ some faster indicators to it and always look for S/R!

There is always a room for improvement in every strategy. Tweak it to your taste! I always do it.

Hermes

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I use the slope of EMA10 and for exits EMA5. Very simple. I tested it a little and it is far away from World #1 system! With a few additional indicators like MACD, RSI it is still usable. It take long time to line up conditions for entry with 40/80 SMA but there is less lagging (less noise). Something for something.

Hermes

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