GOLD @ METAL @ OIL .... TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

[tondar2008]

GOLD:

 

H4 graph

The gold is consolidating at level 994 (the crossing of “Z” weekly trend line and “B+” – the higher bound of daily uptrend). This level is a key one and it determines further direction of the market for near future. As we can see, the higher bound of the “triangle” figure had been broken (level 977, “C+” trend line), which speaks in favor of the gold’s rising to the level of intermediate resistance 1024 (“K” weekly trend line). But it’s now worth excluding the variant of downtrend development followed by drop to level 974, and possibly even to 940.

 

That’s why there are two variants of events to proceed:

1. Since the higher bound of “triangle” was broken up, we’re moving towards level 1024. This scenario is confirmed if the gold manages to hold ground above 994 and doesn’t drop any lower than 974.

2. “Z” trend line shows a strong resistance and the gold retreats to support 974, if it drops below level 984. Such fact will weaken the hope for continuation of the uptrend and getting to level 1024. That’s why, if the market will then go under level 974, it will get to support 940.

 

http://forexmillion.com/uploads/posts/1252260103_g4.gif

 

Daily graph (from 09.06.09)

The gold is consolidating at level 994 (the crossing of “Z” weekly trend line and “B+” – the higher bound of daily uptrend). This level is a key one and it determines further direction of the market for near future. As we can see, the higher bound of the “triangle” figure had been broken (level 977, “C+” trend line), which speaks in favor of the gold’s rising to the level of intermediate resistance 1024 (“K” weekly trend line). But it’s now worth excluding the variant of downtrend development followed by drop to level 974, and possibly even to 940.

 

That’s why there are two variants of events to proceed:

1. Since the higher bound of “triangle” was broken up, we’re moving towards level 1024. This scenario is confirmed if the gold manages to hold ground above 994 and doesn’t drop any lower than 974.

2. “Z” trend line shows a strong resistance and the gold retreats to support 974, if it drops below level 984. Such fact will weaken the hope for continuation of the uptrend and getting to level 1024. That’s why, if the market will then go under level 974, it will get to support 940

 

http://forexmillion.com/uploads/posts/1252260093_g1.gif

 

 

Weekly graph (from 09.06.09)

The gold rose above level 977 (above the higher bound of “triangle” figure), which speaks that the market is supposed to approach target level 1115 soon. There is a resistance on the way up, level 1024 (“K” trend line), which the market will need to pass. So, while we’re trading under 1024, there is a probability of drop to level 990–977. If the gold eventually rises above 1024, there will be no obstacles on the way to 1115.

Alternatively, in case the gold drops below level 940 (breaks the “C” trend line), it will get to level 863

 

http://forexmillion.com/uploads/posts/1252260154_g-w.gif

[tondar2008]

Re: GOLD @ METAL @ OIL .... TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

 

OIL

 

Sept. 11 (Bloomberg)

 

Crude oil fell the most in four weeks after failing to break through $72.90, this month’s high, a signal for traders to sell futures.

“The market failed to sustain the move higher,” said Tom Bentz, a senior energy analyst at BNP Paribas Commodity Futures Inc. in New York. “Oil took out the highs of the last two days, got up to $72.90, and ran out of steam. It then quickly retreated below the last two days’ lows.”

 

Crude oil also dropped because of rising U.S. fuel stockpiles. Gasoline inventories climbed for the first time in seven weeks and supplies of distillate fuels, including heating oil and diesel, increased to the highest level in 26 years, a government report showed yesterday

[tondar2008]

Re: GOLD @ METAL @ OIL .... TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

 

GOLD

 

Support 1000.00 992.00 984.00 977.00 966.00

Resistance 1002.00 1007.00 1012.00 1025.00 1035.00

 

http://www.ecpulse.com/ecpulse.com/MainForms/ReportImages/gold11_09_2009.GIF

[sam_konna]

Re: GOLD @ METAL @ OIL .... TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

 

I saw in your screenshoot XAU/USD (GOLD) The Aroon Indicator gave us Bearish Signal & its trending too ... :-?

[tondar2008]

Re: GOLD @ METAL @ OIL .... TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

 

hi sam

 

i not use this indicator

i use the technical (resistant and support) point and universal analysis and tread on this basis

 

this chart is not my chart :D this is "www.ecpulse.com" chart

 

thanks my friend :)

[sam_konna]

Re: GOLD @ METAL @ OIL .... TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

 

you're welcome buddy :shand:

[tondar2008]

Re: GOLD @ METAL @ OIL .... TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

 

thanks :shand:

[autoforexgroup]

Re: GOLD @ METAL @ OIL .... TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

 

anyone shorted GOLD right after FOMC news? Crude oil dropped like a bomb too........

[tondar2008]

Re: GOLD @ METAL @ OIL .... TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

 

i think gold growing to 1200-1400 and growing oil too .

 

We have to see what happens :)

[tondar2008]

Re: GOLD @ METAL @ OIL .... TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

 

hi

 

Gold probably the next few days to amend his and probably To return to 1020

 

good luck :)