Daily Fundamental Analysis by Fxnet.com

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Fundamental Analysis April 17

EUR/USD gained 20 points to trade at 1.3835 and I cannot explain why. CPI missed expectations which will force action from the ECB. Perhaps it is a correction after comments from Mr. Draghi and other ECB members over the weekend about stimulus to push inflation upwards had already been taken into account by the markets.

GBP/USD remains the stellar performer as the UK economy keeps moving forward showing a stronger recovery than the US. Today the unemployment figure drops 2 points to report at 6.9% which might push the Bank of England to consider raising interest rates.

USD/CAD traded between small gains and losses as the US dollar gained a bit of momentum to trade at 1.0981 ahead of US and CAD data due towards the end of the European session.

Gold is trading just over the 1300 level at 1302.50 up $2.20 today ahead of US data and this evenings speech by FOMC Director Yellen. Pressures continue to climb in the Ukraine but traders are no longer moving to safety. Fed Chair Janet Yellen is due to speak on monetary policy and the economic recovery later on Wednesday.

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Fundamental Analysis April 22

EUR/USD completed marginally better on Monday joined by unstable value movement. Volume was down as a result of the developed Easter festival. Germany, Italy and France are all on bank occasion today.

Trading was limited in the GBP/USD today due to an extended Easter bank holiday. Later this week, investors will get the opportunity to react to the latest data from the Monetary Policy Committee although this report is expected to show no surprises. On deck is the MPC Official Bank Rate Votes, followed by Public Sector Net Borrowing.

AUD/USD saw some volatility on Monday. Thin holiday trading conditions may have had something to do with the two-sided trade. Traders could be positioning themselves ahead of the CB Leading Index report

Gold futures were down a little more than 0.50 percent on Monday. Price reached a low of $1281.80 before stabilizing. The market crossed to the weak side of a retracement level at $1289.45 before taking out last week’s low. Traders are looking for the slide to continue to at least the April 1 bottom at $1277.40, followed by a 61.8% level at $1265.20.

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Fundamental Analysis April 23

EUR/USD picked up 20 focuses to exchange at 1.3813 staying inside its late exchanging reach with no Eurozone information and US information still before the businesses.

GBP/USD was the star performer today adding 35 points to trade at 1.6827. Decent factory production figures combined with another strong month for the labor market sent March’s index of US Leading Indicators higher.

AUD is trading at 0.9348 after trading as high as 0.95 just a week ago. The US dollar has climbed above the 80 level as is expected to continue to gain as US data supports the defrost of the US economy after the severe winter freeze.

USD/JPY was the most active currency pair on Monday and continues to climb on Tuesday trading at 102.67 above its average trading range as data released on the Easter Monday holiday upset traders and analysts.

Gold recovered a few dollars today moving between small gains and losses with little direction as tensions seemed to ease in Ukraine. Gold is trading at 1291.40. Gold recovered from early losses on Tuesday as the dollar gave back some gains, but sentiment among investors continued to be fragile on further outflows from bullion-backed funds.

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Fundamental Analysis April 24

EUR/USD moved to exchange at 1.3838. The euro zone streak PMI was stronger than anticipated, and this helped lift the euro about a large portion of a penny and further bond its recuperation from the dip to seven-day lows yesterday.

GBP/USD eased by 28 points to trade at 1.6795 after the MPC meeting minutes seemed to indicated that the members were not contemplating an interest rate increase in the near future.

AUD/USD recovered 4 points after Wednesday’s decline after inflation reported lower than expected. The AUD is trading at 0.9294 well below its April trading range. Even the declining US dollar did not help support the currency. Traders were hit with a decline in China manufacturing.

USD/JPY eased by 21 points as the US dollar declined to trade at 102.32 after the dollar declined on lackluster new home sales. “The WSJ reported yesterday that the BOJ may upgrade its inflation forecast for FY2014 if the April Tokyo CPI, due to be released on Friday, is strong.” “Unnamed sources familiar with the matter in a WSJ article emphasized that a 2% inflation forecast for FY2015-16 does not necessarily mean the BOJ will consider exiting monetary easing any time soon.

Gold recovered $5.30 to trade at 1286.40 but remains directionless as data continues to support an increase in tapering at the next FOMC meet..

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Fundamental Analysis April 25

EUR/USD picked up 11 point today after US information disillusioned trader yesterday with new home deals falling admirably underneath desires. The euro was exchanging at 1.3828 in front of Mario Draghi's discourse this evening where he is relied upon to remark on the high cost of the euro.

GBP/USD gained 13 points to trade at 1.6796 as traders recovered from their disappointment in the MPC minutes. Speculators seem sure that the BoE was close to raising interest rates but the minutes showed that the members were not even considering a rate hike at this time and are waiting for more assurances that the economy is under full recovery.

AUD/USD recovered 4 points after Wednesday’s decline after inflation reported lower than expected. The AUD is trading at 0.9294 well below its April trading range. Even the declining US dollar did not help support the currency. Traders were hit with a decline in China manufacturing.

USD/JPY eased by 21 points as the US dollar declined to trade at 102.32 after the dollar declined on lackluster new home sales

Gold is flat for the day moving between gains and losses with no direction as traders take a breather after the situation in the Ukraine seems to have puffed out. Gold remains at the 1284.00 price level.

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Fundamental Analysis April 30

EUR/USD is exchanging at 1.3818 around 33 focuses after the US dollar kept on gainning on stronger information and the moving of pressures in the Ukraine. The euro fell Tuesday taking after German expansion assumes that fortify the view that the European Central Bank will need to grow jolt measures.

GBP/USD gained 10 points to trade at 1.6818 contrary to market expectations after GDP missed expectations but still printed well above the previous month. Traders are now sure that the Bank of England will begin to increase interest rates this year.

AUD/USD is trading at 0.9249 in the red this morning as traders wait for several major events this week, as there has nothing to affect the currency value except for continued worries about China after the IMF revised China’s growth for 2015 downwards.

USD/JPY is dead on its trading range at 102.49 ahead of the Bank of Japan decision. Although most believe that the Bank will sit tight at this meeting traders are hoping for some indication of if and when the bank is expecting to add additional stimulus and their evaluation of the current economic situation.

Gold gave up just over $4 to trade at 1294.80 ahead of the Fed decision as global sentiment shifted to a more risk on attitude as its seems that tensions in the Ukraine have petered out and the insignificant sanctions mounted by both the US and the EU had little effects on the markets.

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Fundamental Analysis May 2

EUR/USD is exchanging at 1.3880 crawling higher on Thursday having ridden out two days of more terrible than anticipated news on Eurozone swelling and the US economy that have not in a broad sense modified observations of the approach viewpoint in either.

GBP/USD outperformed its crosses to hit a 2014 trading at 1.6911 after strong manufacturing PMI data surprised the markets to the upside.

AUD/USD is down just 2 points at 0.9287 after data releases this morning. Australia’s dollar held a two-day gain after Chinese data showed manufacturing picked up in April.

USD/JPY is trading at 102.30 up by 7 points after the US dollar declined on Wednesday; the pair is recovering the overreaction to lackluster GDP data but extremely positive ADP payroll numbers.

Gold continued to creep down trading at 1285.00 down almost $11 after the US FOMC continued its tapering program and tensions eased in the Ukraine. Traders pushed the Dow Jones to a record high yesterday

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Fundamental Analysis May 7

EUR/USD picked up 52 focuses to exchange at 1.3927 setting itself up for a significant fall. Climbing relentlessly after eurozone administrations PMI basically beat desires and Spanish unemployment reported much superior to anticipated. Numerous accept this is all a measurable abnormality as Spain is not in a recuperation mode and with the Easter occasion amidst the month a considerable measure of information was most likely not arranged.

GBP/USD added 83 points to be the best market performed today after Services PMI data beat expectations. The pound soared to trade at 1.6951 with the possibility of breaking the 1.70 level later in the session.

AUD/USD gained 7 points after the announcement of the RBA decision to hold rates and policy this morning. The pair is trading at 0.9280. In a strange twist, data showed that Australia’s trade surplus has narrowed, driven by a fall in mining exports.

USD/JPY climbed off the 101 level touched as markets opened on Monday on safe haven trades with tensions escalating in Ukraine. The yen strengthen last week as the BoJ held rates and fire offering a better than expected assessment of the Japanese economy.

Gold is trading at 1307.60 down by $1.70 as traders closely monitor the situation in Ukraine but strong US data seems to be outweighing the flight to safety as ISM data a day before surprised markets to the upside. Gold has been trading sideways after it fell sharply after hitting a seven-month high at 1392 USD in mid-March.