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[Volkov Yuriy]

.

Edited December 21, 2022 by Volkov Yuriy

[Volkov Yuriy]

[b]Weekly Outlook: Oil, Natural Gas[/b]

[img]https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/8d86ed7617d89e288800139252170a4b[/img]

Dear clients,

 

Forecasts of a warmer weather cooling down the prices on gas, as oil is slowly correcting. This time we'll be looking at these instruments and their movements.

 

Join us on December 21 at 12:00 GMT.

 

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

 

[b]Ways to go: ECB's highest rate in 13 years[/b]

[img]https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/7076ad54f1afdc1510fa8e4cc789f250[/img]

Dear clients,

 

The European Central Bank raised its key rate by 50 basis points to 2.5%. This is the highest rate since January 2009. The central bank warns that aggressive rate hikes are far from over. Like the US Federal Reserve, the ECB expects to bring inflation to the level of 2%. Experts expect to see the final rate in the region of 3.5%.

 

Although rate hikes have slowed down, compared to previous moves of 75 basis points, President Christine Lagarde insists that investors should not read too much into that. Shorter moves are still acceptable, she said,even while acknowledging that a “shallow” economic slump is likely to have arrived.

 

The forecasts for inflation have also been revised, the target value of 2% is expected only by 2025. In particular, the scenario of a "relatively short" recession is being considered.

 

[b]The surprise effect. How the Bank of Japan blindsided the markets[/b]

[img]https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/2236/3069/c65aa74759e27bb8238db27116d043f0[/img]

Dear clients,

 

The Bank of Japan shocked markets after it unexpectedly revised its yield curve control policy, signaling that the last stronghold of minimum interest rates among developed countries is gradually moving towards policy normalization.

 

Japanese government and treasury bonds tumbled while the yen soared after the BOJ raised its benchmark yield cap to around 0.5% from 0.25%. Such a move surprised almost all analysts who did not count on any revisions, at least until the change in the bank's management.

 

The sudden decision could have a noticeable ripple effect in global financial markets, as the BOJ's unwavering commitment to protecting its 10-year yield cap has acted as an anchor, indirectly helping to keep borrowing costs low around the world. However, some analysts believe that this move is primarily aimed at improving the functioning of the bond market, rather than tightening monetary policy.

 

According to experts, the surprise effect is the Bank of Japan's signature move to achieve its strategic goals. So far, the biggest shock from the central bank in recent times was the decision in October 2014 to expand the easing program.

[Volkov Yuriy]

[b]Meet the '23 with 14th! iPhone 14 Plus raffle from FreshForex[/b]

[img]https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/a1129496a45a09021de19781e080d40d[/img]

The New Year is right on our doorsteps, and with it the festive mood, the holiday atmosphere that fills everything around. And to make this time even more special, we have prepared not one nor two gifts: we'll giveaway 200 iPhones of the 14th model!

Entering the raffle is extremely easy, in the period from 22.12.2022 to 19.01.2023:

1. Make a deposit from $202;

2. Close transactions with a volume of 3 lots or more;

3. Share the draw on your social networks.

In addition, a prize pool of $1,000 will be shared among the 10 participants with the most likes under the repost.

Winners will be randomly selected by January 23rd and will receive a notification to clarify the details*.

Participate, trade, share and may the New Year's miracle smiles upon you.

*If it is impossible to send the prize to the Client's address, or at the written request of the Client, the Company reserves the right to credit the face value of the gift to the Client's trading account in US dollars.

[b]One-two-three: 123% drawdown bonus![/b]

[img]https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/10d824a585371603a8f6f068be0c80c7[/img]

Dear clients,

Due to the upcoming celebrations, FreshForex has a special holiday offer for you. Until January 20, make a deposit from $101 and get a 123% drawdown bonus to your account.

Support your account during a drawdown or increase your trading volume and let this year end with a profit, and the next one begin with it!

We wish you a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!

[b]Market's Number One[/b]

[img]https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/021d4ca628c115af705b5e38d6bcd733[/img]

Dear clients,

Tesla has overtaken Apple as the most popular stock among retail investors in 2022, according to research firm Vanda. A large decline in the price of the electric car maker led to a surge in acquisitions.

Cumulative net retail purchases of Tesla shares are up 424% to $15.41 billion this year from $2.94 billion in 2021. That's higher than Apple's $15.21 billion, up 18% from $12.85 billion in 2021.

Tesla continues to maintain a fairly broad reach, with shares accounting for about 11% of the average retail portfolio. Investment in Tesla dwindled when the company did a 3-for-1 stock split in August, but it has since outperformed the iPhone maker.

Elon Musk's actions as CEO of Twitter damaged the stock quite a bit. Tesla shares are approaching a 60% drop in 2022 with their worst performance since their 2010 listing. YTD losses outpace the S&P 500's 18% and Nasdaq 100's 31% decline. In turn, Apple shares lost 23% in a year.

According to experts, the situation may change after Musk transfers leadership of the social network and refocuses on the company.

In general, Tesla, Apple and other tech giants have suffered this year due to a sharp rise in borrowing costs. The Fed continues to raise interest rates and investors worry about a looming recession.

[Volkov Yuriy]

[b]"Shorts" out of season[/b]

[img]https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/e3d9056ab5c509deba7c2c2ac28e419d[/img]

Dear clients,

The sharp drop in U.S. stocks this year has boosted the returns of shortists, who may finally be celebrating their first annual gain since 2018, thanks in part to betting on Tesla, Amazon and other mega-cap stocks that have been building markets for years.

According to S3 Partners, an analytics firm, short sellers — investors who bet on a company’s share price to fall — generated $303.7 billion in realized and unrealized profits in 2022. This is four times more than in 2018, their last profitable year.

The most attractive shorts were Amazon, Meta Platforms, Apple Inc and used car dealer Carvana Co. Tesla's collapse was especially helpful for shorts. The S&P 500 fell nearly 19% on its way to its biggest annual percentage decline since 2008 after the Fed's rate hikes dried up risk appetite.

According to experts, this year was favorable for shorting, as the economic environment stood against the entire market. For years, short positions just didn't work.

Not all short strategies have worked out this year, however. According to data provider HFR, hedge funds that bet on rising or falling stock prices lost 9.7% in November.

Recent years for the "bears" were quite difficult. The anti-covid measures of 2020 brought a loss of $241.7 billion, and in 2021 the shorts lost another $142.4 billion when big rallies in meme stocks like GameStop hurt firms that were betting against such companies.

[b]Gold for the Win[/b]
[img]https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/1d0499a0144011308dc9d439f7d0e0c3[/img]
Dear clients,

Gold prices rose above $1,800 an ounce as China lifted lockdown measures and inflation in the US decline. The metal returned to July levels, having won back a two-year minimum of September.

Gold is up more than 9% this quarter on the back of a dollar retreat and hopes that the Fed will slow down its aggressive monetary tightening.

Markets cheered up after Friday's data from the US, which indicated lower inflation and consumer spending, which could dampen the need for further rate hikes. A positive signal was the steps taken by the largest consumer of gold, China, to fully return to the market.

The best gift for a trader is profit, so why wait for the New Year — use the drawdown bonus 123% now!

[b]Looking for the best strategies for the cryptotrading[/b]
[img]https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/bebf9f82270e53d831d091fdca322fd4[/img]

Dear clients,

As cryptomarket has yet to recover for the recent events, it would be unwise to waste the opportunities provided by the turmoil. This time we'll continue the topic of cryptocurrency and pick the best trading strategies.

Join us on December 28 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

[Volkov Yuriy]

[b]Back to the Future. Tesla shares at the level of 2020[/b]
[img]https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/d7c70ca48b4a2d2527c57d137802ad21[/img]
Dear clients,

Decline in Tesla Inc. accelerated on Tuesday, continuing their longest black streak since 2018. The announcement of a possible temporary shutdown of production in China due to new outbreaks of the disease raised doubts about the risks of demand.

Shares of Elon Musk's company tumbled down 11% to $109.10, the seventh consecutive drop and the sharpest one-day drop since April.

The news of the Shanghai production cuts comes on the heels of a report that Tesla is offering American consumers a $7,500 discount to ship two of its highest-volume models before the end of the year, adding to fears of declining demand. For Tesla, whose value depends on its growth prospects, these concerns represent a significant risk.

The hope that Tesla will become a leading company in an EV-dominated future led to an impressive eightfold rally in the stock in 2020, earning its place in the S&P 500 and at one point making it the fifth most valuable stock of the group.

In this year however, the manufacturer lost about $720 billion in shareholder value. The crash is one of the biggest drivers behind the S&P 500's decline in 2022 after Amazon.com Inc., Microsoft Corp. and Apple Inc.

However, the overall analyst stance on Tesla remains bullish, with the highest share of buy or equivalent ratings since early 2015. In their opinion, despite stock performance, Tesla's innovation curve is accelerating, in stark contrast to other big tech companies whose product updates seem stagnant at best.

[b]A Rough Year[/b]
[img]https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/612/608/3d4738c43e608a4a3570c4a36940e8f6[/img]
Dear clients,

Asian equities rallied while European and US stock futures fluctuated on the final trading day of a rough year for financial markets, with stocks and bonds posting their worst annual gains in more than a decade.

Stock benchmarks in Japan, Australia and China strengthened as S&P 500 contracts faltered, shading the best day this month for the index on Thursday, when it jumped 1.7%. The dollar rebounded from the previous session's decline, with Treasury yields rising and the yen rising as the Bank of Japan announced a third day of unplanned bond buying.

Uncertain direction is undermining hopes for a strong rally in late 2022, a year in which inflation has reasserted itself, wiping out a fifth of global equities in the worst performance since the financial crisis. Few regions have escaped the effects of Asian equities falling more than 19% this year. Bonds lost 16% in value, the biggest drop for a single leading measure since at least 1990, as central banks sought to slow consumer price growth by raising interest rates around the world.

Nasdaq 100 futures also fell sharply after the benchmark index jumped 2.5% on Thursday. The index has lost a third of its value this year as tech stocks have been among the most vulnerable to rising rates.

Concerns about the global implications of a rise in Covid-19 cases in China eased in part when Italy said it had found no new strains of the virus in recent arrivals from China. Italy and the US this week introduced testing requirements for air passengers arriving from China as a wave of infection swept through the world's most populous country.

At the same time, oil rose after a three-day decline due to concerns about increased inventories of raw materials and a possible decrease in demand from China, as a major importer.

Analysts are cautious about predictions, waiting for the next year to begin. Central banks fight against inflation and the resumption of trade in China are among the main benchmarks.

[Volkov Yuriy]

[b]Picking a Match: 6 currency pairs to chose this year[/b]
[img]https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/Image/91f53927778d4cf6eaec8bbe57bc88c3.png[/img]
Dear clients,

New year has began and brought some new trading opportunities. This time we'll be looking at 6 instruments with a soild investment potential in this year.

Join us on January 11 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

If you missed the previous webinars, you can always find them here.

[Volkov Yuriy]

[b]Weekly Outlook: Natural Gas, Brent Oil[/b]
[img]https://fx-online.org/netcat_files/Image/3ed6aca87b25a00cf4a329d967cf57bc.png[/img]

Dear clients,

Entering midwinter with gas prices at a 2-year low, whie oil is keeping steady growth. This week we'll be looking at these instruments, their positions now and further down the line.

Join us on January 18 at 12:00 GMT.

During webinars, FreshForex analyst will answer your questions regarding the market situation and comment on the latest news.

[b]Trading Signals: Bank of Japan Decision on Interest Rates[/b]
[img]https://freshforex.com/netcat_files/Image/db7c6ba4612e7f5b2e6e5b347f73150d.png[/img]
Dear clients,

January 18 is expected to announce the interest rate of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of Japan on short-term interest rates. The decision to set interest rates depends mainly on the outlook for growth and inflation.

What is the expected result, our expert says:

The Japanese Central Bank will keep the interest rate at the current level, but may signal to traders about the need to increase rates in the future due to rising inflation, which will lead to the strengthening of the Japanese yen against most competitors. On Wednesday, consider selling AUDJPY, GBPJPY, EURJPY positions.

Don't sleep on market trends — always be ready with a 300% deposit bonus!