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Daily Technical Analysis at 26th February 2013


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Daily Technical Analysis for EURUSD as at 26th February 2013



DAILY OVERVIEW



Trend : -



Ambush Zone : -



Target 1 : -



Target 2 : -



Stop : -



eur_zpsdb1c7501.gif
























Comments



EURUSD did trade higher off the lows and at one point was up over 120
points on the day which actually exceeds one daily Average True Range only for
Euro to rapidly lose value during the New York session and brake down
aggressively through the down trend line.



Technically EURUSD is swing long as it is still trading above the last isolated
HL of the 4th January which is at the 1.3000 area. It would not be a
surprise if this downward momentum is halted around this significant price
level however the aggressiveness of the move down has to be allowed for especially
after the break of trend line support.



As the current price level is extended from the 8 period moving
averages we are monitoring the possibility that EURUSD trades back to the area
of this average which also coincides with the bottom of the uptrend line where
we would expect to see a reaction that either rejects this price level and we
see a possible downward bounce off resistance or EURUSD breaches and closes
above resistance. Alternatively through the force of its own momentum EURUSD
continues to trade lower from this current level in the direction of 1.3000
areas.





Definitions



Trend : Current
trend as defined by technical Swing Analysis



HH : Higher High



HL : Higher Low



LL : Lower Low



LH : Lower High



CofT : Change of Trend





Daily Technical Analysis for GBPUSD as at 26th February 2013



DAILY OVERVIEW



Trend : Short



Ambush Zone : -



Target 1 : -



Target 2 : -



Stop : -




gbp_zpsad2cdfcd.gif






Comments



GBPUSD continues to trade beneath prior support but is this morning
attempting to trade back up towards this area. This may offer the possibility
for bears add additional shorts.





Definitions



Trend : Current trend as defined by technical
Swing Analysis.



HH : Higher
High



HL : Higher
Low



LL : Lower
Low



LH : Lower
High



CofT : Change of Trend













Daily Technical Analysis for USDJPY as at 26th February 2013



DAILY OVERVIEW



Trend : Long



Ambush Zone : -



Target 1 : -



Target 2 : -



Stop : -




jpy_zpsd7ac98f2.gif






Comments



Yesterday morning initial upward momentum reversed and collapsed in
what was one of the biggest moves of the past 12 months. The loss of value in
the USD was significant as it is completely opposite to what happened with both
the EURUSD and USDCHF and possibly points to a bigger picture that includes
what is happening to both the US Bond and Equities markets.



Although we are still Swing Positive the aggressiveness of the move has
to be allowed for therefore more down side momentum should not be a surprise.



Alternatively that USDJPY has actually bounced off the 34 period moving
averages could see a reaction that pushes the price higher at least to the 8
period moving averages.





Definitions



Trend : Current trend as defined by technical
Swing Analysis



HH : Higher High



HL : Higher Low



LL : Lower Low



LH : Lower High



CofT : Change of Trend









Daily Technical Analysis for USDCHF as at 26th February 2013



DAILY OVERVIEW



Trend : Short



Ambush Zone : 0.9205 – 0.9310



Target 1 : 0.9020



Target 2 : 0.8930



Stop : >0.9390





chf_zpsde60b4af.gif





Comments



Yesterday morning’s initial sell off in USDCHF was strong with a 70 pip
down move which is roughly in line with one daily Average True Range move.
However as with EURUSD the weakness in the USD was reversed during the New York
session. We continue to monitor the price action to see if USDCHF can follow through
higher during the London session. A failure to push higher will of course give
the bears encouragement to short these levels.





Definitions



Trend : Current trend as defined by technical
Swing Analysis



HH : Higher High



HL : Higher Low



LL : Lower Low



LH : Lower High



CofT : Change of Trend











Daily Technical Analysis for Gold as at 26th February 2013



DAILY OVERVIEW



Trend : Short



Ambush Zone : -



Target 1 : -



Target 2 : -



Stop : -






gold_zps8abb4387.gif






Comments



As
mentioned yesterday we pin pointed the 8 period moving averages as the initial
target area where additional shorts could possibly be considered. This morning
Gold has reached this target and is showing initial signs of negativity. We are
monitoring the price action at this levels for confirmation of this negative
rotation.



Definitions



Trend : Current trend as defined by technical
Swing Analysis



HH : Higher High



HL : Higher Low



LL : Lower Low



LH : Lower High



CofT : Change of Trend











Daily Technical Analysis for Oil (WTI) as at 26th February 2013



DAILY OVERVIEW



Trend : Long



Ambush Zone : -



Target 1 : -



Target 2 : -



Stop : -




oil_zps2f2eb1b9.gif






Comments



Oil has traded lower but has not significantly breached the downward
sloping trend line. We continue to monitor the price action at these levels so
as to identify the possibility that Oil is building a base where it can at
least trade up to the 8 period moving averages. Alternatively a break of
support may see Oil move to the Fibonacci area where the price action will be
monitored for a possible positive rotation.





Definitions



Trend : Current trend as defined by technical
Swing Analysis



HH : Higher High



HL : Higher Low



LL : Lower Low



LH : Lower High



CofT : Change of Trend



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  • 3 years later...

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